Area Forecast Discussion
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FXUS61 KGYX 181314
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gray ME
814 AM EST Sat Feb 18 2017
A warm front will push east through the region today and will be
quickly followed by a weak cold front this evening. A secondary
cold front will approach from the north on Sunday and will drop
south through the region Sunday night. High pressure will build
in from the west on Monday and will crest over the area on
Tuesday before shifting offshore. A warm front will push east
through the region Tuesday night and early Wednesday. A cold
front will slowly approach from the northwest Wednesday night
and will cross the region on Thursday.
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
Quick update to tweak area temps/td`s. Scattered to broken area
of mid and high clouds currently crossing the forecast area
ahead of a weak warm front. Expect these clouds to gradually
push east of the forecast area by early afternoon. No other
changes planned to the current forecast attm.
Weak warm front currently approaching from the west will bring
variable high and mid level clouds to the region this morning.
expect this cloud cover to push east of the region late this
morning and early this afternoon. High temperatures will top out
above normal ranging from the mid 30s north to the mid 40s
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY/...
Weak cold front will cross the region this evening with little
fanfare other than a wind switch and a few mountain clouds. Lows
overnight will range from the mid 20s to lower 30s.
Secondary cold front will approach from the north on Sunday.
Expect increasing clouds in the mountains with chance of
afternoon snow or rain showers. Downwind of the mountains mostly
sunny skies in the morning will give way to partly sunny
conditions. Highs will range from the mid 30s to lower 40s north
and mid to upper 40s south.
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A multi-model and ensemble consensus reveals that the long term
period will be dominated by minimally-amplified and fast moving
pacific flow. The result will be warmer than normal temperatures
on average through the period along with no major storm systems.
The only fly in the ointment we can see at this point is some
light warm air advection precipitation in advance of a warm
front later Tuesday night and Wednesday. This could mean a light
mix of precipitation and a little light freezing rain for
portions of the region in time for the Wednesday morning
commute. Otherwise, a lot quieter weather than what we have
experienced in recent weeks is expected.
.AVIATION /13Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Short Term...VFR today through tonight. VFR Sunday with areas of
MVFR ceilings in the mountains.
Long Term...Mainly VFR through the period. However, MVFR
conditions in light precipitation is possible later Tuesday
night and Wednesday.
Short Term...Southwest flow will pick up today behind a passing
warm front. Winds will continue brisk behind a cold front
overnight. Have issued SCA`s for the outer waters for this
afternoon through tonight.
Long Term...Marginal SCA conditions are possible Monday into
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 2 PM this afternoon to 5 AM EST
Sunday for ANZ150-152-154.