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-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --
000
FXUS61 KGYX 201923
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
323 PM EDT MON MAY 20 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
-- Changed Discussion --
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT AND STALL
SOUTH OF THE AREA TONIGHT. SCATTERED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS ARE
POSSIBLE...BUT THE BETTER CHANCE FOR ANY RAIN WILL BE ON TUESDAY.
SEVERAL BOUTS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
THROUGH AS THE FRONT REMAINS IN THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE MOVES IN
ON FRIDAY AND DRIES US OUT FOR THE WEEKEND.
-- End Changed Discussion --

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...
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A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE REGION LATE TODAY AND
THIS EVENING POSSIBLY ACCOMPANIED BY A FEW SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A
THUNDERSTORM...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHERN ZONES EARLY ON. THE BULK
OF THE NIGHT SHOULD BE DRY. HOWEVER...FORCING FOR ASCENT WILL
INCREASE LATE AS WAA PATTERN INCREASES NORTH OF THE STALLED FRONT
TO OUR SOUTH. THEREFORE...WE EXPECT CHANCES FOR RAIN TO INCREASE
LATE TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS WESTERN ZONES WHERE ASCENT WILL
BE GREATEST. OTHERWISE...EXPECT A LOT OF CLOUDS...FOG...AND
PERHAPS SOME DRIZZLE.
-- End Changed Discussion --

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
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STALLED FRONT TO OUR SOUTH WILL REMAIN ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND
ON TUESDAY. ASCENT UP AND OVER THE SFC BOUNDARY WILL ALLOW FOR
NUMEROUS SHOWERS ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA DURING THE DAY...WITH A
RUMBLE OF THUNDER POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN THE SOUTH. WITH THE SFC
BOUNDARY REMAINING TO OUR SOUTH...A RAW EAST WIND WILL BE PRESENT
ALONG WITH THE RAIN...ALLOWING FOR TEMPS TO REMAIN IN THE 50S AT
MOST LOCATIONS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT
WILL AVERAGE ONE HALF TO 1 INCH IN THE MOUNTAINS...PERHAPS
LOCALLY HIGHER. TOWARD THE COAST...UP TO A HALF INCH IN SPOTS WILL
BE POSSIBLE. THE SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TUESDAY NIGHT.
-- End Changed Discussion --

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
-- Changed Discussion --
500 MB PATTERN THROUGH THIS WEEK WILL FEATURE ACTIVE...BUT LOW
AMPLITUDE JET OVER THE NRN TIER OF THE CONUS. COMBINES WITH A
STATIONARY FRONT OVER NEW ENGLAND...THIS WILL BRING SHRA/TSRA TO
THE CWA WED INTO THU NIGHT...WITH THE BEST CHC THURSDAY INTO THU
NIGHT...AND DEEPER 500 MB TROUGH SWINGS THROUGH AND DRAGS A COLD
FRONT ACROSS THE CWA FROM THE WEST. IT LOOKS LIKE THE FRONT WILL
LIFT FAR ENOUGH N ON WED TO BRING WARM AND MUGGY WX TO MOST OF THE
AREA INTO THU. ONCE THE FRONT MOVES THRU THU NIGHT...LOOK FOR
DRIER AND COOLER WEATHER FOR THE WEEKEND.
-- End Changed Discussion --


&&

.AVIATION /19Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
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SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...CIGS AND VSBYS WILL COME DOWN TO
IFR OR LOWER THIS EVENING...AND ESPECIALLY LATE TONIGHT. THESE
CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING AS WE WILL BE STUCK
TO THE NORTH OF A STALLED WARM FRONT THROUGH THAT TIME...WITH LOTS
OF LOW CLOUDS AND SHOWERS AROUND.

LONG TERM...MAINLY VFR WED-SAT. HOWEVER SCT SHRA/TSRA WILL BE
POSSIBLE WED AND THU...AND COASTAL STRATUS REMAINS A THREAT
ESPECIALLY WED NIGHT.
-- End Changed Discussion --

&&

.MARINE...
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SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...NO FLAGS EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY ALTHOUGH PLENTY OF RAIN AND FOG IS EXPECTED.

LONG TERM...WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCR TO SCA WED NIGHT AND THU.
-- End Changed Discussion --

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
WITH DAMP WEATHER EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE WEEK ALONG WITH HIGHER
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AND GREEN UP...FIRE WEATHER DANGER SHOULD BE
LOW THROUGH THE WEEK.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
-- Changed Discussion --
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR ANZ150.
-- End Changed Discussion --

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...EKSTER
SHORT TERM...EKSTER
LONG TERM...CEMPA
AVIATION...CEMPA/EKSTER
MARINE...CEMPA/EKSTER