Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Honolulu, HI

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AXHW70 PHFO 081948
DGTHFO
HIC001-003-007-009-092000-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
948 AM HST FRI JUL 8 2016

...DROUGHT IMPACTS REDUCED TO LOCALIZED AREAS IN THE STATE...

SYNOPSIS...

A WETTER THAN NORMAL SPRING ACROSS MANY AREAS OF THE STATE HAS
CONTINUED TO REDUCE DROUGHT IMPACTS HEADING INTO THE HEART OF THE
DRY SEASON. DROUGHT COVERAGE ON THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR MAP WENT
FROM 46 PERCENT IN EARLY JUNE TO 21 PERCENT IN THE BEGINNING OF
JULY. UNFORTUNATELY THERE ARE STILL A FEW STUBBORN POCKETS OF
SIGNIFICANT DROUGHT CONDITIONS THAT REMAIN ON PORTIONS OF THE BIG
ISLAND AND MAUI. THIS INCLUDES SMALL AREAS OF EXTREME
DROUGHT...OR THE D3 CATEGORY ON THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR
MAP...IN THE POHAKULOA AND SOUTH POINT AREAS OF THE BIG
ISLAND...AND SEVERE DROUGHT...OR THE D2 CATEGORY...ON THE
KIHEI...WAILEA AND MAALAEA AREAS OF MAUI.

ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE STATE...MODERATE DROUGHT...OR THE D1
CATEGORY...LINGERED OVER SMALL SECTIONS OF LEEWARD KAUAI NEAR
HANAPEPE AND WAIMEA...LEEWARD OAHU NEAR LUALUALEI AND
WAIANAE...AND LEEWARD MOLOKAI WEST OF KAUNAKAKAI.

SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

KAUAI.
NO SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS TO REPORT.

OAHU.
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES SINCE THE LAST REPORT. VEGETATION
CONDITIONS REMAIN STRESSED IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE WAIANAE
AREA.

MOLOKAI AND LANAI.
A RECENT OBSERVATION FROM THE USDA INDICATED THAT VEGETATION WAS STILL
DRY IN THE WESTERN SIDE OF MOLOKAI WHICH WAS CONSISTENT WITH THE
EXISTING D1 COVERAGE ON THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR MAP AND
SATELLITE-BASED VEGETATION HEALTH DATA.

MAUI.
DRY VEGETATION OVER THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF SOUTH MAUI RESULTED IN
A LARGE BRUSH FIRE IN THE MAALAEA AREA. INITIAL ESTIMATES
INDICATED THE AFFECTED AREA TO BE AS HIGH AS 6000 ACRES BUT THE
AMOUNT HAS MORE RECENTLY BEEN REPORTED AS 4700 ACRES. THE FIRE
FORCED THE EVACUATION OF NEARBY HOMES AND TEMPORARILY CLOSED THE
HONOAPIILANI HIGHWAY WHICH IS THE MAIN LINK BETWEEN WEST AND
CENTRAL MAUI.

BIG ISLAND.
PASTURES IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE KONA SLOPES APPEAR TO BE
IN SATISFACTORY CONDITION FOLLOWING ABOVE AVERAGE SPRING
RAINFALL. HOWEVER...RANCHERS OPERATING IN THE LOWER KAU DISTRICT
NEAR SOUTH POINT HAVE REPORTED VERY LITTLE RAIN AND EXTREMELY DRY
PASTURES. THIS HAS BEEN CONFIRMED IN RECENT PHOTOS OF THE AREA.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...
ACCORDING TO THE NOAA CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...ENSO-NEUTRAL
CONDITIONS ARE PRESENT IN THE PACIFIC OCEAN. LA NINA IS EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP DURING THE SUMMER OF 2016.

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...
THE LONG-LEAD HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OUTLOOK ISSUED ON JUNE 16 BY THE NOAA
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER SHOWED THAT PROBABILITIES FAVOR ABOVE
MEDIAN PRECIPITATION DURING THE LATE SUMMER AND EARLY FALL. THIS
PROJECTION IS EXPECTED TO MAINLY AFFECT WINDWARD LOCATIONS AND THE
KONA SLOPES...WITH OTHER LEEWARD AREAS REMAINING DRY. TEMPERATURE
PROBABILITIES FAVOR ABOVE AVERAGE CONDITIONS INTO THE FALL AND
WINTER SEASONS. THE NEXT LONG-LEAD OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER ON JULY 21.

HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...
DATA FROM THE U.S. GEOLOGICAL SURVEY INDICATED THAT ALL OF THE MONITORED
STREAMS ACROSS THE STATE HAD 30-DAY FLOW LEVELS IN THE NORMAL TO
WELL ABOVE NORMAL RANGE. AVERAGE FLOW LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO
REMAIN IN THE NORMAL TO ABOVE NORMAL RANGE ALONG THE WINDWARD
SLOPES THROUGH THE FALL. FLOW LEVELS IN LEEWARD STREAMS ARE
EXPECTED TO DECREASE.

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...
THE NEXT DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED ON AUGUST 5
2016 OR SOONER IF NECESSARY IN RESPONSE TO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN
CONDITIONS.

RELATED WEB SITES...
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND
AT THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/

U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR...WWW.DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM/MONITOR.HTML
HAWAII DROUGHT MONITOR...HAWAII.GOV/DLNR/DROUGHT/INDEX.HTML
USGS HAWAII - RECENT CONDITIONS...HI.WATER.USGS.GOV/RECENT/INDEX.HTML
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER LONG-LEAD HAWAII OUTLOOK...
WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/PREDICTIONS/90DAY/FXHW40.HTML
HAWAII DROUGHT IMPACT REPORTER...HAWAII.DROUGHTREPORTER.UNL.EDU/

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...
INFORMATION FOR THIS PRODUCT WAS COMPILED FROM A NUMBER OF SOURCES INCLUDING
THE COUNTY BOARDS AND DEPARTMENTS OF WATER SUPPLY...U.S. AND STATE
OF HAWAII AGRICULTURE AGENCIES...THE U.S. GEOLOGICAL SURVEY AND
THE MEDIA.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...
IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT
INFORMATION STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...

KEVIN KODAMA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
2525 CORREA RD. SUITE 250
HONOLULU HI  96822
PHONE...808-973-5276
KEVIN.KODAMA@NOAA.GOV

$$



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