Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Honolulu, HI

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AXHW70 PHFO 251959
DGTHFO
HIC001-003-007-009-262200-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
955 AM HST THU JUN 25 2015

...SEVERE DROUGHT RETURNS TO THE STATE OF HAWAII...

SYNOPSIS...
PERSISTENT BELOW AVERAGE RAINFALL CONDITIONS HAVE RESULTED IN THE
RETURN OF SEVERE DROUGHT...OR THE D2 CATEGORY IN THE U.S. DROUGHT
MONITOR MAP...TO SOME OF THE LEEWARD AREAS ON THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI
AND MAUI.  THIS MARKS THE FIRST TIME SINCE MAY 2014 THAT D2
CONDITIONS HAVE BEEN IN PLACE IN THE STATE OF HAWAII.  THE SEVERE
DROUGHT AREA ON KAUAI IS BETWEEN KALAHEO AND WAIMEA...AND THE AREA
ON MAUI ENCOMPASSES THE REGION FROM KAUPO TO AUWAHI ON THE SOUTHEAST
FLANK OF HALEAKALA.

MODERATE DROUGHT...OR THE D1 CATEGORY...COVERS OTHER AREAS OF THE
STATE INCLUDING LOWER KAUAI FROM KEALIA TO MANA...THE LEEWARD
WAIANAE RANGE ON OAHU...UPCOUNTRY MAUI...LOWER WEST MAUI FROM
UKUMEHAME TO LAHAINA...AND PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD BIG ISLAND SLOPES.

MOST OF THE WINDWARD SECTIONS OF THE STATE HAVE BEEN RECEIVING
ADEQUATE RAINFALL.

SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

KAUAI.
VEGETATION CONDITIONS IN THE HANAPEPE AREA ARE VERY POOR.  RAINFALL
SO FAR IN JUNE HAS BEEN BELOW 10 PERCENT OF AVERAGE NEAR HANAPEPE
AND AROUND 30 PERCENT OF AVERAGE NEAR KALAHEO.

OAHU.
ALONG THE SLOPES OF THE WAIANAE RANGE...PASTURES ARE IN A DEGRADED
STATE AND THE DRY VEGETATION CONDITIONS POSE AN INCREASED RISK OF
BRUSH FIRES.

MOLOKAI AND LANAI.
THERE ARE NO DROUGHT IMPACTS TO REPORT.

MAUI.
RANCHERS OPERATING IN THE KAUPO AREA HAVE BEEN FORCED TO WEAN CALVES
EARLIER THAN NORMAL AT LOWER WEIGHTS AND HAVE BEEN DESTOCKING
PASTURES DUE TO INADEQUATE FORAGE.  THERE IS CONCERN THAT THERE WILL
BE INSUFFICIENT DRY FEED TO LAST THROUGH THE SUMMER. VEGETATION IN
LEEWARD WEST MAUI HAS ALSO BEEN VERY DRY WITH AN INCREASING RISK OF
BRUSH FIRES.

BIG ISLAND.
PASTURES ON THE LEEWARD SIDE OF WAIMEA HAVE BEEN DETERIORATING IN
THE FACE OF LOW RAINFALL AND CONSTANT WIND.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...
ACCORDING TO THE NOAA CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...EL NINO CONDITIONS
ARE PRESENT IN THE PACIFIC OCEAN.  THERE IS AN 85 PERCENT CHANCE EL
NINO WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE 2015-2016 WINTER SEASON.

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...
THE LONG-LEAD HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OUTLOOK ISSUED ON JUNE 18 BY THE NOAA
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER INDICATED THAT PROBABILITIES FAVOR ABOVE
MEDIAN PRECIPITATION IN THE SUMMER AND EARLY FALL...THEN BELOW
MEDIAN PRECIPITATION DURING THE WINTER.  ABOVE MEDIAN SUMMER
RAINFALL IS MAINLY EXPECTED TO OCCUR ALONG THE WINDWARD SLOPES IN
PERSISTENT TRADE WINDS LEAVING LEEWARD AREAS GENERALLY DRY.  THE
NEXT LONG-LEAD OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CLIMATE PREDICTION
CENTER ON JULY 16.

HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...
DATA FROM THE U.S. GEOLOGICAL SURVEY INDICATED THAT MOST OF THE
MONITORED STREAMS ACROSS THE STATE HAD 30-DAY FLOW LEVELS IN THE
NORMAL TO BELOW NORMAL RANGE ON KAUAI AND OAHU.  MAUI AND BIG ISLAND
FLOW LEVELS WERE IN THE NORMAL TO ABOVE NORMAL RANGE.  FLOW LEVELS
FROM WINDWARD STREAMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE NORMAL TO ABOVE
NORMAL RANGE WITH NORMAL TO BELOW NORMAL FLOW WITHIN LEEWARD STREAMS.

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...
THE NEXT DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED ON JULY 17
2015 OR SOONER IF NECESSARY IN RESPONSE TO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN
CONDITIONS.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND AT
THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/

U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR...WWW.DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM/MONITOR.HTML
HAWAII DROUGHT MONITOR...HAWAII.GOV/DLNR/DROUGHT/INDEX.HTML
USGS HAWAII - RECENT CONDITIONS...HI.WATER.USGS.GOV/RECENT/INDEX.HTML
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER LONG-LEAD HAWAII OUTLOOK...
WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/PREDICTIONS/90DAY/FXHW40.HTML
HAWAII DROUGHT IMPACT REPORTER...HAWAII.DROUGHTREPORTER.UNL.EDU/

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...
INFORMATION FOR THIS PRODUCT WAS COMPILED FROM A NUMBER OF SOURCES
INCLUDING THE COUNTY BOARDS AND DEPARTMENTS OF WATER SUPPLY...U.S.
AND STATE OF HAWAII AGRICULTURE AGENCIES...THE U.S. GEOLOGICAL
SURVEY AND THE MEDIA.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...
IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT
INFORMATION STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...

KEVIN KODAMA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
2525 CORREA RD. SUITE 250
HONOLULU HI  96822
PHONE...808-973-5276
KEVIN.KODAMA@NOAA.GOV

$$





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