Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
Issued by NWS

Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
000
FXUS10 KWNH 260639
PMDHMD

MODEL DIAGNOSTIC DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
239 AM EDT MON JUN 26 2017

VALID JUN 26/0000 UTC THRU JUN 29/1200 UTC

...SEE NOUS42 KWNO (ADMNFD) FOR THE STATUS OF THE UPPER AIR
INGEST...

00Z MODEL EVALUATION WITH PREFERENCES/CONFIDENCE INTERVALS
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
NAM/GFS INITIALIZATION ERRORS DO NOT SEEM TO DEGRADE THEIR SHORT
RANGE FORECASTS


DEEP LAYERED CYCLONE MOVING ACROSS WESTERN & CENTRAL CANADA
LEADING SHORTWAVE MOVING INTO THE GREAT LAKES EARLY THU
UPPER DISTURBANCE APPROACHING NORTHERN CA/OR TODAY
FRONT CROSSING THE NORTHWEST AND PLAINS INTO THE MIDWEST
700 HPA CIRCULATION ENTERING WESTERN KS EARLY THURSDAY
LONGWAVE TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE EASTERN U.S BY WED
MID-LEVEL WEAKNESS ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
THE GUIDANCE SHOWS VERY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THESE SYSTEMS.  A
COMPROMISE OF THE 00Z NAM, 00Z GFS, 00Z UKMET, 00Z CANADIAN, AND
00Z ECMWF IS PREFERRED TO IRON OUT ANY LINGERING DETAIL ISSUES
WITH ABOVE AVERAGE CONFIDENCE.


WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/HTML/MODEL2.SHTML... /ALL LOWER CASE/
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/H5PREF/H5PREF.SHTML... /ALL LOWER CASE/

ROTH
$$




USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.