Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
Issued by NWS

Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4
000
FXUS10 KWNH 171602
PMDHMD

MODEL DIAGNOSTIC DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
1201 PM EDT THU APR 17 2014

VALID APR 17/1200 UTC THRU APR 21/0000 UTC

...SEE NOUS42 KWNO (ADMNFD) FOR THE STATUS OF THE UPPER AIR
INGEST...


12Z NAM/GFS EVALUATION WITH PRELIMINARY MODEL PREFERENCES
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
NAM/GFS INITIALIZATION ERRORS DO NOT SEEM TO DEGRADE THEIR SHORT
RANGE FORECASTS.


THE GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT MASS FIELD-WISE AT 500 HPA, 700
HPA, AND THE SURFACE PRESSURE FIELD FROM COAST TO COAST.  A
GENERAL MODEL COMPROMISE IS PREFERRED WITH ABOVE AVERAGE
CONFIDENCE CONSIDERING THE GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT.


...MODEL TREND GRAPHICS AT
www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/html/model2.shtml...
...500 MB FORECASTS AT www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/h5pref/h5pref.shtml...

ROTH
$$





USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.