Area Forecast Discussion Issued by NWS San Joaquin Valley, CA
000
FXUS66 KHNX 122219
AFDHNX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
319 PM PDT WED JUN 12 2013
.SYNOPSIS...A DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL PERSIST OVER THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA INTERIOR FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. SEASONAL TEMPERATURES
AND DRY WEATHER WILL PREVAIL.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL CLOSED LOW OFF OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST CONTINUES
TO REMAIN IN PLACE BRINGING SHORTWAVE ENERGY IMPULSES AROUND THE
SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER LOW.
LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THE LATEST MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE
TROUGH CURRENTLY CENTERED OVER THE PACIFIC NEAR 34N/120W AND
MOVING EASTWARD TOWARDS THE SOUTHERN CENTRAL CALIFORNIA COAST.
AHEAD OF THIS DRY SHORTWAVE THE MARINE LAYER HAS BEEN THICKENING
THROUGH THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS AND ACCORDING TO FORT ORD
PROFILER DATA IS CURRENTLY AROUND 1900 FEET. AS THE TROUGH GETS
CLOSER THE MARINE LAYER WILL BEGIN TO SPILL THROUGH THE PACHECO
PASS AND SUNFLOWER VALLEY. SFO-LAS P-GRADS WILL HOVER AROUND 10 MB
THIS EVENING. WINDS ALONG THE WEST SIDE OF THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY
WILL APPROACH 35 TO 40 MPH FOR A SHORT TIME AND COULD KICK UP
SOME PATCHY DUST...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE AFOREMENTIONED PASSES. WINDS
WILL BE GUSTY IN THE KERN COUNTY DESERT AREAS AS WELL THIS
EVENING. AT THIS TIME WIND ADVISORIES DO NOT LOOK NECESSARY AS
THE DURATION OF THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE SHORT-LIVED. PRESSURE
GRADIENTS ARE PROGGED TO INCREASE TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND IS LIKELY
A HARBINGER OF ANOTHER MARINE PUSH TOMORROW.
THIS DRY ONSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AND WILL KEEP
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL LEVELS. ALTHOUGH...THURSDAY TEMPERATURES WILL
BE KEPT SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMS FOR MOST OF THE AREA AS THE COOLER
DRIER MARINE AIRMASS SETTLES INTO THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY.
TEMPERATURES WILL THEN AGAIN GRADUALLY INCREASE UNTIL ANOTHER
MARINE PUSH ON SUNDAY KNOCKS TEMPERATURES BACK BELOW NORMAL LEVELS
ONCE AGAIN. THIS PATTERN LOOKS TO CONTINUE AT LEAST THROUGH NEXT
THURSDAY.
&&
.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE CENTRAL CA INTERIOR.
&&
.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
NONE.
&&
.CERTAINTY...
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS HIGH.
THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.
&&
.CLIMATE...
RECORDS
SITE DATE HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR
KFAT 06-12 107:1985 66:1998 73:1985 47:1952
KFAT 06-13 107:1949 69:1922 71:1985 47:1907
KFAT 06-14 108:1966 65:1962 72:2007 42:1907
KBFL 06-12 110:1979 63:1998 75:1979 38:1907
KBFL 06-13 106:1940 75:1907 76:1975 41:1907
KBFL 06-14 111:1961 70:1962 78:1975 43:1907
&&
.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&
$$
PUBLIC...ANDERSEN
AVN/FW...BEAN
SYNOPSIS...BSO
WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD