Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS San Joaquin Valley, CA

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AXUS76 KHNX 050530 AAA
DGTHNX
CAC019-029-031-039-043-047-107-070530-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
930 PM PST TUE MAR 4 2014

...EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS MOST OF THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA INTERIOR...

SYNOPSIS...

ON JANUARY 17TH...GOVERNOR BROWN DECLARED A DROUGHT EMERGENCY FOR
THE STATE OF CALIFORNIA. THE LATEST DROUGHT MONITOR /FEBRUARY 25TH
2014/ NOW DEPICTS ALL OF THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA INTERIOR...EXCEPT
THE KERN COUNTY DESERTS...UNDER EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT CONDITIONS
/CATEGORY D4/...WHILE THE KERN COUNTY DESERTS REMAIN UNDER EXTREME
DROUGHT CONDITIONS /CATEGORY D3/.

FOR CALIFORNIA AS A WHOLE...2013 WAS THE DRIEST YEAR ON RECORD. AS
THE 2013-2014 WINTER PROGRESSES...LITTLE RAIN HAS FALLEN ACROSS
CALIFORNIA. FOR THE PERIOD JULY 1ST TO FEBRUARY 14 THE STATE-WIDE
AVERAGE PRECIPITATION VALUE IS JUST 4.54 INCHES /NORMAL RAINFALL
FOR THE PERIOD IS 16.52 INCHES/.

DESPITE A SERIES OF STORMS THAT MOVED THROUGH THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
INTERIOR FROM THE END OF FEBRUARY THROUGH THE FIRST DAYS OF MARCH...
MONTHLY AND SEASONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS REMAIN WELL BELOW NORMAL...
ESPECIALLY FOR THE SOUTH END OF THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY WHICH WAS
HEAVILY RAIN SHADOWED.

A STORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL CALIFORNIA FROM THE NIGHT OF MARCH 5TH
THROUGH THE 6TH...WITH ANOTHER STORM EXPECTED TO REACH THE AREA
DURING THE NIGHT OF MARCH 9TH-10TH. ONLY LIGHT PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED FROM THESE STORMS AND THIS LIKELY WILL NOT BRING ENOUGH
PRECIPITATION TO PROVIDE ANY NOTABLE DROUGHT RELIEF...RATHER A
PAUSING OF WORSENING CONDITIONS. THE 8 TO 14 DAY PRECIPITATION
OUTLOOK FAVORS BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL FOR MUCH OF THE REGION. THERE
IS AN INCREASED RISK OF BELOW AVERAGE RAINFALL THROUGH MAY.
DROUGHT IMPACTS ARE BECOMING MORE WIDESPREAD AND VISIBLE.

SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

ON FEBRUARY 14TH...PRESIDENT OBAMA VISITED THE WEST SIDE OF THE SAN
JOAQUIN VALLEY TO DISCUSS THE IMPACTS OF THE DROUGHT WITH AFFECTED
FARMERS. ON FEBRUARY 21ST...THE U.S. GOVERNMENT ANNOUNCED THAT THERE
WOULD BE ZERO ALLOCATIONS OF WATER TO FARMERS IN THE SAN JOAQUIN
VALLEY THIS SUMMER.

THERE CONTINUES TO BE SIGNIFICANT MEDIA COVERAGE ON THE ON-GOING
DROUGHT CONDITIONS. THESE REPORTS INCLUDE DISCUSSION OF SIGNIFICANT
RE-ALLOCATION OF WATER RESOURCES FROM THE EAST TO WEST SIDE OF THE
SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY...FARMERS FORGOING PLANTING OF SOME CROPS...A
DECREASE IN THE SNOW-RELATED TOURISM ACTIVITY IN THE SOUTHERN
SIERRA NEVADA...REDUCTION IN AIR QUALITY DUE TO PERSISTENT STAGNANT
AIR...AND LOSS OR REDUCTION OF GROUND WATER.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...

FOR THE WATER YEAR /SINCE JULY 1ST 2013/ THROUGH MARCH 4TH...
FRESNO HAS RECEIVED 3.41 INCHES OF RAIN OR 41.7 PERCENT OF THE
NORMAL OF 8.17 INCHES. BAKERSFIELD RECEIVED 1.55 INCH OR 33.3
PERCENT OF THE NORMAL OF 4.65 INCHES.

FRESNO HAD ITS WARMEST FEBRUARY ON RECORD  YEAR /JAN 1 TO FEB 19/
WITH AN AVERAGE TEMPERATURE OF 56.8 DEGREES. BAKERSFIELD TIED ITS
SIXTH WARMEST FEBRUARY /WITH 1977/ WITH AN AVERAGE TEMPERATURE OF
56.9 DEGREES. BAKERSFIELD/S WARMEST FEBRUARY WAS IN 1907 WITH AN
AVERAGE TEMPERATURE OF 59.0 DEGREES.

BAKERSFIELD WAS STRONGLY RAIN-SHADOWED DURING THE RECENT STORMS...AS
WAS THE REST OF THE SOUTH END OF THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY. FOR THE
PERIOD FEBRUARY 26TH THROUGH MARCH 4TH...BAKERSFIELD RECEIVED ONLY
0.32 INCH OF RAIN,,,WHILE FRESNO RECEIVED 1.11 INCH OF RAIN.

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...

THE FORECAST FOR THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS FOR THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
INTERIOR CALLS FOR A STORM TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION BEGINNING THE
NIGHT OF MARCH 5TH AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE 6TH...AND ANOTHER
STORM DURING THE NIGHT OF MARCH 9TH-10TH.

THE NOAA CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER 6-10 DAY OUTLOOK ISSUED MARCH 4TH
FAVORS BELOW-NORMAL PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
INTERIOR...AS DOES THE LATEST 8-14 DAY OUTLOOK.

THE CLIMATE PREDICTION OUTLOOK FOR THE NEXT 30 DAYS...BASED ON DATA
FROM THE CURRENT STATE OF THE OCEANS AND ATMOSPHERE ALONG WITH
CLIMATE MODELS...FROM THE NOAA CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER/S INDICATES
THE ODDS ARE EVEN FOR ABOVE-...NEAR-...OR BELOW-NORMAL PRECIPITATION.
THE ODDS FAVOR ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
INTERIOR.

FOR THE THREE-MONTH PERIOD MARCH-APRIL-MAY...THE ODDS FAVOR BELOW-
NORMAL PRECIPITATION AND ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA INTERIOR. GRAPHICS FOR THESE OUTLOOKS CAN BE FOUND ONLINE
/SEE LINKS BELOW/.

HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...

WITH NO ADDITIONAL SIGNIFICANT WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION EXPECTED
OVER THE AREA FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...NO INCREASES IN AREA
RIVERS AND RESERVOIRS WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED. THE CURRENT DROUGHT
OUTLOOK FROM THE NOAA CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER INDICATES CURRENT
DROUGHT LEVELS ARE LIKELY TO PERSIST THROUGH THE NEXT THREE MONTHS.

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...

20 MARCH 2014...OR EARLIER IF CONDITIONS CHANGE.

&&

RELATED WEBSITES...
CALIFORNIA DATA EXCHANGE CENTER: HTTP://CDEC.WATER.CA.GOV/
CALIFORNIA NEVADA RIVER FORECAST CENTER:
HTTP://WWW.CNRFC.NOAA.GOV/
DROUGHT MONITOR: HTTP://DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM/MONITOR.HTML
CALIFORNIA DROUGHT PAGE:
HTTP://WATERSUPPLYCONDITIONS.WATER.CA.GOV/
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER: HTTP://WWW.CPC.NOAA.GOV/INDEX.PHP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HANFORD: HTTP://WWW.WRH.NOAA.GOV/HNX/

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...

CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER
DROUGHT MONITOR
CALIFORNIA NEVADA RIVER FORECAST CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD
CALIFORNIA DEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES
CALIFORNIA STATE CLIMATOLOGIST
U.S. BUREAU OF RECLAMATION
CAL FIRE

QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS...PLEASE REFER ALL QUESTIONS TO
W-HNX.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV

$$

SANGER/INIGUEZ

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD





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