Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5

000
FGUS72 KILM 051731
ESFILM
NCC017-019-047-129-141-155-SCC031-033-041-043-051-067-069-089-
191745-

WINTER/SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1231 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

...WINTER/SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK FOR SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND
NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...

RAINFALL DURING THE LAST SEVERAL MONTHS HAS BEEN NEAR TO ABOVE
NORMAL ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA.  ACCORDING TO THE U.S. DROUGHT
MONITOR...THE AREA IS CURRENTLY DROUGHT FREE. THE TABLE BELOW
SUMMARIZES PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS AT AREA OBSERVATION SITES THROUGH
THURSDAY...MARCH 4TH...FOR VARIOUS TIME SCALES.


WILMINGTON NC
                              TOTAL    NORMAL   DEPARTURE  PERCENT
                            RAINFALL    VALUE     FROM         OF
                                                 NORMAL     NORMAL

      ONE MONTH (30 DAYS)      3.91      3.92     -0.01       100%
     TWO MONTHS (60 DAYS)      9.26      7.58      1.68       122%
   THREE MONTHS (90 DAYS)     14.51     11.08      3.43       131%
    SIX MONTHS (180 DAYS)     26.78     25.22      1.56       106%
                ONE YEAR      63.83     57.61      6.22       111%
           FIFTEEN MONTHS     70.47     68.12      2.35       103%

LUMBERTON NC
                              TOTAL    NORMAL   DEPARTURE  PERCENT
                            RAINFALL    VALUE     FROM         OF
                                                 NORMAL     NORMAL

      ONE MONTH (30 DAYS)      4.31      3.20      1.11       135%
     TWO MONTHS (60 DAYS)      9.55      6.07      3.48       157%
   THREE MONTHS (90 DAYS)     12.44      8.79      3.65       142%
    SIX MONTHS (180 DAYS)     19.92     18.57      1.35       107%
                ONE YEAR      45.86     43.52      2.34       105%
           FIFTEEN MONTHS     55.63     51.79      3.84       107%

NORTH MYRTLE BEACH SC
                              TOTAL    NORMAL   DEPARTURE  PERCENT
                            RAINFALL    VALUE     FROM         OF
                                                 NORMAL     NORMAL

      ONE MONTH (30 DAYS)      2.98      3.67     -0.69        81%
     TWO MONTHS (60 DAYS)      7.07      7.22     -0.15        98%
   THREE MONTHS (90 DAYS)     10.46     10.55     -0.09        99%
    SIX MONTHS (180 DAYS)     19.51     22.94     -3.43        85%
                ONE YEAR      44.05     52.01     -7.96        85%
           FIFTEEN MONTHS     49.54     61.98    -12.44        80%

FLORENCE SC
                              TOTAL    NORMAL   DEPARTURE  PERCENT
                            RAINFALL    VALUE     FROM         OF
                                                 NORMAL     NORMAL

      ONE MONTH (30 DAYS)      4.09      3.15      0.94       130%
     TWO MONTHS (60 DAYS)      7.08      6.27      0.81       113%
   THREE MONTHS (90 DAYS)     10.34      9.24      1.10       112%
    SIX MONTHS (180 DAYS)     23.41     18.34      5.07       128%
                ONE YEAR      45.86     42.91      2.95       107%
           FIFTEEN MONTHS     55.14     51.70      3.44       107%

SEVEN DAY AVERAGE STREAMFLOW VALUES ACROSS THE AREA ARE AT NORMAL
TO ABOVE NORMAL VALUES FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. UPSTREAM RESERVOIRS
ARE ALSO AT NORMAL TO ABOVE LEVELS FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR AND SOIL
MOISTURE CONDITIONS ARE AT NORMAL TO ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS AS WELL.

OVER THE NEXT WEEK...A COLD FRONT WILL BRING RAIN AND POSSIBLY
SOME WINTRY PRECIPITATION TO THE AREA TONIGHT.  ANOTHER FRONTAL
BOUNDARY MAY BRING ADDITIONAL RAIN TO THE AREA NEXT WEEK.  DURING
THE EIGHT TO FOURTEEN DAY PERIOD...ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION
IS EXPECTED. THE OUTLOOKS FOR MARCH AND FOR MARCH THROUGH MAY
FROM THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER CALL FOR ABOVE NORMAL AND
NEAR NORMAL PRECIPITATION RESPECTIVELY.

IN CONSIDERATION OF THE ABOVE FACTORS...THIS OUTLOOK CALLS FOR
A NORMAL TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL RISK OF FLOODING THROUGH MAY.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED WINTER/SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED BY
MARCH 20TH.

$$

RAN







USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.