Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FGUS72 KILM 041352
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NCC017-019-047-129-141-155-SCC031-033-041-043-051-067-069-089-
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WINTER/SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
952 AM EDT FRI APR 4 2014

...WINTER/SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK FOR SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND
NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...

RAINFALL DURING THE LAST SEVERAL MONTHS HAS BEEN NEAR TO BELOW
NORMAL ALONG THE COAST AND NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL INLAND.
HOWEVER...RECENT RAINFALL HAS BEEN ABOVE NORMAL...KEEPING DROUGHT
CONDITIONS AT BAY ACROSS THE AREA...ACCORDING TO THE U.S.
DROUGHT MONITOR.  THE TABLE BELOW SUMMARIZES PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS
AT AREA OBSERVATION SITES THROUGH WEDNESDAY...APRIL 2ND...FOR
VARIOUS TIME SCALES.

WILMINGTON NC
                              TOTAL    NORMAL   DEPARTURE  PERCENT
                            RAINFALL    VALUE     FROM         OF
                                                 NORMAL     NORMAL

      ONE MONTH (30 DAYS)      6.39      4.02      2.37       159%
     TWO MONTHS (60 DAYS)      9.07      7.93      1.14       114%
   THREE MONTHS (90 DAYS)     10.97     11.57     -0.60        95%
    SIX MONTHS (180 DAYS)     19.52     21.91     -2.39        89%
                ONE YEAR      53.20     57.61     -4.41        92%
           FIFTEEN MONTHS     62.75     68.58     -5.83        91%

LUMBERTON NC
                              TOTAL    NORMAL   DEPARTURE  PERCENT
                            RAINFALL    VALUE     FROM         OF
                                                 NORMAL     NORMAL

      ONE MONTH (30 DAYS)      3.27      3.22      0.05       102%
     TWO MONTHS (60 DAYS)      5.98      6.39     -0.41        94%
   THREE MONTHS (90 DAYS)      8.90      9.27     -0.37        96%
    SIX MONTHS (180 DAYS)     16.97     17.24     -0.27        98%
                ONE YEAR      46.80     43.52      3.28       108%
           FIFTEEN MONTHS     53.97     52.35      1.62       103%

NORTH MYRTLE BEACH SC
                              TOTAL    NORMAL   DEPARTURE  PERCENT
                            RAINFALL    VALUE     FROM         OF
                                                 NORMAL     NORMAL

      ONE MONTH (30 DAYS)      4.65      3.82      0.83       122%
     TWO MONTHS (60 DAYS)      7.04      7.48     -0.44        94%
   THREE MONTHS (90 DAYS)      8.18     11.04     -2.86        74%
    SIX MONTHS (180 DAYS)     15.30     21.06     -5.76        73%
                ONE YEAR      48.79     52.01     -3.22        94%
           FIFTEEN MONTHS     57.36     62.46     -5.10        92%

FLORENCE SC
                              TOTAL    NORMAL   DEPARTURE  PERCENT
                            RAINFALL    VALUE     FROM         OF
                                                 NORMAL     NORMAL

      ONE MONTH (30 DAYS)      4.49      3.19      1.30       141%
     TWO MONTHS (60 DAYS)      7.43      6.34      1.09       117%
   THREE MONTHS (90 DAYS)      9.74      9.46      0.28       103%
    SIX MONTHS (180 DAYS)     17.59     17.96     -0.37        98%
                ONE YEAR      55.78     42.91     12.87       130%
           FIFTEEN MONTHS     64.71     51.84     12.87       125%

SEVEN DAY AVERAGE STREAMFLOW VALUES ACROSS THE AREA ARE GENERALLY
AT NORMAL VALUES FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.  UPSTREAM RESERVOIRS ARE
AT NORMAL TO ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

OVER THE NEXT TWO WEEKS...NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED.  THE OUTLOOKS FOR THE REMAINDER OF APRIL AND FOR
APRIL THROUGH JUN FROM THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER CALL FOR
NEAR NORMAL PRECIPITATION.

IN CONSIDERATION OF THE ABOVE FACTORS...THIS OUTLOOK CALLS FOR
A NORMAL RISK OF FLOODING THROUGH THE END OF MAY.

THIS IS THE LAST SCHEDULED WINTER/SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK FOR THE SEASON.
THE OUTLOOKS WILL RESUME IN JANUARY 2015.

$$

RAN






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