Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 190820
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
420 AM EDT SUN MAY 19 2013

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL BRING ENHANCED CHANCES OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TOMORROW. BERMUDA HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD TOWARD THE EAST COAST THE SECOND HALF OF
THE WEEK...BRINGING A DRYING AND WARMING TREND.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW.

NCZ105>110-200030-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
420 AM EDT SUN MAY 19 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           30           60
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            3            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          81           66           80
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S  5         S  9         S  8
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 10         S  7         S 11
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.06         0.31
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            4
INVERSION             74/1000      2000         74/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        61           99           65
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3860                      3660
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 17                      S 21
VENTILATION RATE      65620                     76860
ADI EARLY             28 FAIR      40 FAIR      39 FAIR
ADI LATE              49 GEN GOOD  13 GEN POOR  55 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       8            4            6
MAX LVORI LATE        2            7            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
60 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-200030-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
420 AM EDT SUN MAY 19 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        60           50           70
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            3            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          82           66           80
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S  5         S  8         S  7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S  9         S  6         S  8
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.15         0.36
PRECIP DURATION       4            3            6
INVERSION             72/0900      2000         72/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        59           99           63
DSI                   3                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4360                      3900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 20                      S 17
VENTILATION RATE      87200                     66300
ADI EARLY             32 FAIR      47 GEN GOOD  32 FAIR
ADI LATE              56 GEN GOOD  12 POOR      47 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            4            7
MAX LVORI LATE        1            7            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-200030-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
420 AM EDT SUN MAY 19 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           30           60
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            3            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          82           67           81
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S  5         S 10         S  8
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 11         S  6         S  9
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.05         0.33
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            5
INVERSION             74/1000      2000         73/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        64           98           64
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3700                      3730
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 18                      S 16
VENTILATION RATE      66600                     59680
ADI EARLY             29 FAIR      40 FAIR      33 FAIR
ADI LATE              47 GEN GOOD  12 POOR      42 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            4            6
MAX LVORI LATE        3            7            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
60 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS
IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-200030-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON
420 AM EDT SUN MAY 19 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        70           50           70
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            3            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          82           66           81
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S  5         S  8         S  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S  9         S  6         SW  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.21         0.37
PRECIP DURATION       5            4            6
INVERSION             72/1000      2000         71/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        61           98           62
DSI                   3                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4600                      3890
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 17                      S 12
VENTILATION RATE      78200                     46680
ADI EARLY             31 FAIR      46 GEN GOOD  26 FAIR
ADI LATE              52 GEN GOOD  10 POOR      32 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            5            7
MAX LVORI LATE        2            8            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-200030-
FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
420 AM EDT SUN MAY 19 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        60           50           70
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            3            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          82           67           81
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S  5         S  8         S  6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 10         S  6         SW  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.14         0.35
PRECIP DURATION       4            2            5
INVERSION             73/1000      2000         72/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        61           98           62
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4390                      3910
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 17                      S 12
VENTILATION RATE      74630                     46920
ADI EARLY             28 FAIR      42 GEN GOOD  28 FAIR
ADI LATE              48 GEN GOOD  10 POOR      34 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            5            8
MAX LVORI LATE        3            8            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN
THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

TRA




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