Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 300811
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
411 AM EDT Tue May 30 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front will enter the area tonight and stall. A stronger cold front
will push into the area Wednesday night and clear the coast on Thursday.
High pressure will build into the area Friday and the first half of the
weekend. Another stalled front may create unsettled weather again by
early next week.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...Low.

NCZ105>110-310015-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
411 AM EDT Tue May 30 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           20           40
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            2            3
Min/Max Temp          88           70           87
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  5        SW  5        W  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  8         SW  3        SW  8
Precip amount         0.04         0.02         0.12
Precip duration       1            1            2
Inversion             76/0900      2000         78/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        50           91           45
DSI                   2                         3
Haines Index          3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6700                      5550
Transport wnd (mph)   W 12                      W 17
Ventilation rate      80400                     94350
ADI early             24 Fair      34 Fair      20 Gen poor
ADI late              43 Gen good  2 Very poor  55 Gen good
Max LVORI early       9            4            6
Max LVORI late        2            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 90 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-310015-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
411 AM EDT Tue May 30 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        40           20           40
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            2            3
Min/Max Temp          88           68           87
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  4        W  4         W  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  9         LGT/VAR      SW  7
Precip amount         0.06         0.02         0.10
Precip duration       1            1            2
Inversion             75/0900      2000         77/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        48           93           43
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6620                      5610
Transport wnd (mph)   W 15                      W 22
Ventilation rate      99300                     123420
ADI early             17 Gen poor  32 Fair      20 Gen poor
ADI late              52 Gen good  2 Very poor  70 Good
Max LVORI early       10           4            7
Max LVORI late        2            7            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
41 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 94 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 87 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-310015-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
411 AM EDT Tue May 30 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        40           20           40
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            2            3
Min/Max Temp          89           69           87
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  5         SW  4        SW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  8         LGT/VAR      SW  8
Precip amount         0.02         0.02         0.11
Precip duration       1            1            2
Inversion             77/0900      2000         78/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        50           90           46
DSI                   2                         3
Haines Index          4            5            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6480                      5030
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 15                     W 13
Ventilation rate      97200                     65390
ADI early             23 Fair      39 Fair      13 Gen poor
ADI late              57 Gen good  2 Very poor  32 Fair
Max LVORI early       9            4            6
Max LVORI late        1            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 89 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-310015-
Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
411 AM EDT Tue May 30 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        40           20           30
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            2            3
Min/Max Temp          89           68           87
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  4         W  4         SW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  9         LGT/VAR      SW  8
Precip amount         0.04         0.02         0.10
Precip duration       1            1            2
Inversion             76/0900      2000         76/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        47           92           44
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6590                      5260
Transport wnd (mph)   W 17                      W 21
Ventilation rate      112030                    110460
ADI early             21 Fair      37 Fair      21 Fair
ADI late              63 Good      2 Very poor  68 Good
Max LVORI early       10           4            7
Max LVORI late        1            7            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
43 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
88 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 94 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 87 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-310015-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
411 AM EDT Tue May 30 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        40           20           30
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            2            3
Min/Max Temp          86           67           86
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  3         W  4         W  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  9         LGT/VAR      SW  8
Precip amount         0.07         0.02         0.07
Precip duration       1            1            1
Inversion             75/1000      2000         75/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        48           91           44
DSI                   2                         3
Haines Index          4            5            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6420                      5200
Transport wnd (mph)   W 15                      W 24
Ventilation rate      96300                     124800
ADI early             19 Gen poor  36 Fair      25 Fair
ADI late              53 Gen good  1 Very poor  77 Good
Max LVORI early       10           3            7
Max LVORI late        2            7            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 91 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
37 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
84 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 93 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 84 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

17


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