Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 192013
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
313 PM EST FRI DEC 19 2014

.DISCUSSION...
CLOUDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT AHEAD OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE THAT WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO. THIS LOW WILL PASS OFF
THE COAST SATURDAY BRINGING RAIN AND COOL TEMPERATURES. ANOTHER
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING UP THE COAST WILL BRING MORE CLOUDS AND
RAIN MONDAY AND TUESDAY. A LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL PASS TO THE
NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY AND DRIVE A STRONG COLD FRONT THROUGH THE
CAROLINAS. COLD AND DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE END OF THE WEEK.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW

NCZ105>110-201215-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
313 PM EST FRI DEC 19 2014

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           90           30           20
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          34           50           36           53
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  4        NE  6        N  6         N  6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  4        NE  6        N  6         NE  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.15         0.01         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       1            10           3            1
INVERSION             1800         46/1200      1700         51/1200
MAX/MIN RH (%)        95           65           99           61
DSI                                1                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            2            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                1320                      1690
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 13                     NE 12
VENTILATION RATE                   17160                     20280
ADI EARLY             4 VERY POOR  9 POOR       9 POOR       9 POOR
ADI LATE              4 VERY POOR  20 GEN POOR  4 VERY POOR  24 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            6            7            6
MAX LVORI LATE        6            4            6            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 79 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF RAIN 80 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 73 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. MAXIMUM RH 75 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH.
.CHRISTMAS DAY...SUNNY...COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH
44 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-201215-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
313 PM EST FRI DEC 19 2014

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           80           20           20
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          34           48           33           53
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  3        NE  5        NE  3        NE  4
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  3        NE  5        NE  3        NE  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.12         0.01         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            2            1
INVERSION             1800         44/1200      1700         50/1200
MAX/MIN RH (%)        86           64           99           57
DSI                                1                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            2            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                1300                      1970
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 10                     NE 10
VENTILATION RATE                   13000                     19700
ADI EARLY             4 VERY POOR  9 POOR       5 VERY POOR  7 POOR
ADI LATE              3 VERY POOR  16 GEN POOR  3 VERY POOR  25 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            5            9            6
MAX LVORI LATE        5            4            7            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM
RH 84 PERCENT. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
MINIMUM RH 73 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 60 PERCENT. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
MAXIMUM RH 74 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.CHRISTMAS DAY...SUNNY...COOLER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
41 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
85 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-201215-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
313 PM EST FRI DEC 19 2014

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        60           90           30           20
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          38           49           36           55
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)E  4         NE  6        N  6         NE  7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  4        NE  7        N  5         NE  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.18         0.01         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       1            12           2            1
INVERSION             1800         47/1200      1700         52/1200
MAX/MIN RH (%)        98           70           100          62
DSI                                1                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            2            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                1240                      1710
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 12                     NE 10
VENTILATION RATE                   14880                     17100
ADI EARLY             5 VERY POOR  9 POOR       10 POOR      7 POOR
ADI LATE              3 VERY POOR  18 GEN POOR  5 VERY POOR  22 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            7            9            6
MAX LVORI LATE        5            4            8            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 84 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF RAIN 80 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM
RH 74 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 60 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO
20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
MAXIMUM RH 75 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.CHRISTMAS DAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-201215-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
313 PM EST FRI DEC 19 2014

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        60           80           20           20
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          38           49           34           54
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)E  3         NE  5        NE  4        NE  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  4        NE  5        NE  4        NE  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.13         0.01         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            2            1
INVERSION             1800         45/1200      1700         50/1200
MAX/MIN RH (%)        86           66           100          56
DSI                                1                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            2            2            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                1290                      1960
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 10                     NE 10
VENTILATION RATE                   12900                     19600
ADI EARLY             5 VERY POOR  9 POOR       7 POOR       6 VERY POOR
ADI LATE              3 VERY POOR  15 GEN POOR  3 VERY POOR  25 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       3            5            9            6
MAX LVORI LATE        4            4            8            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM
RH 84 PERCENT. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
MINIMUM RH 73 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 60 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO
20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
MAXIMUM RH 74 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.CHRISTMAS DAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

III





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