Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook) Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
000
FNUS52 KILM 180806
FWFILM
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
406 AM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013
.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE ANCHORED OFFSHORE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING WARM
TEMPERATURES INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. WEAK LOW PRESSURE ALOFT WILL
BRING INCREASING CHANCES FOR AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS
THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. DRIER WEATHER WITH CONTINUED
WARM TEMPERATURES IS EXPECTED FOR THE MIDDLE AND LATTER PORTIONS
OF NEXT WEEK.
WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...NONE.
NCZ105>110-190015-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
406 AM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013
TODAY TONIGHT SUN
CLOUD AMOUNT PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 20 20 30
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
LAL 3 3 3
MAX/MIN TEMP 85 65 82
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW 5 S 8 S 6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 8 S 6 S 11
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.01 0.11
PRECIP DURATION 1 1 2
INVERSION 75/1000 2000 75/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%) 51 97 55
DSI 2 3
HAINES INDEX 3 4 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4580 6090
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 15 S 18
VENTILATION RATE 68700 109620
ADI EARLY 28 FAIR 39 FAIR 54 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE 44 GEN GOOD 11 POOR 64 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 4 6
MAX LVORI LATE 1 6 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-190015-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
406 AM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013
TODAY TONIGHT SUN
CLOUD AMOUNT PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 30 30 50
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
LAL 3 3 4
MAX/MIN TEMP 85 64 83
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW 5 S 7 S 7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 8 S 5 S 10
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.02 0.16
PRECIP DURATION 1 2 2
INVERSION 74/1000 2000 73/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%) 47 100 53
DSI 3 3
HAINES INDEX 3 4 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5250 6140
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 14 S 20
VENTILATION RATE 73500 122800
ADI EARLY 27 FAIR 41 GEN GOOD 52 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE 47 GEN GOOD 11 POOR 67 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 5 8
MAX LVORI LATE 1 8 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
$$
SCZ053>056-190015-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
406 AM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013
TODAY TONIGHT SUN
CLOUD AMOUNT PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 20 20 30
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
LAL 2 2 3
MAX/MIN TEMP 85 65 83
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW 5 S 10 S 7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 11 S 7 S 10
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.12
PRECIP DURATION 0 1 2
INVERSION 75/1000 2000 75/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%) 51 98 58
DSI 2 3
HAINES INDEX 4 4 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4490 4980
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 14 S 18
VENTILATION RATE 62860 89640
ADI EARLY 32 FAIR 45 GEN GOOD 45 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE 51 GEN GOOD 13 GEN POOR 56 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 4 5
MAX LVORI LATE 1 5 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
62 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-190015-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
406 AM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013
TODAY TONIGHT SUN
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 20 30 50
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
LAL 3 3 4
MAX/MIN TEMP 87 64 84
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW 6 S 8 S 7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 8 S 6 S 9
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.02 0.19
PRECIP DURATION 1 2 2
INVERSION 73/1000 2000 73/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%) 42 99 55
DSI 3 3
HAINES INDEX 5 4 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5500 5630
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 14 S 17
VENTILATION RATE 77000 95710
ADI EARLY 31 FAIR 41 GEN GOOD 44 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE 53 GEN GOOD 11 POOR 55 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 4 7
MAX LVORI LATE 1 7 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL. PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
$$
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