Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 171339 AAA
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST...UPDATED
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
839 AM EST TUE JAN 17 2017

.DISCUSSION...
WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG THIS MORNING ACROSS ALL BUT THE CAPE FEAR
COASTAL AREA SHOULD DISSIPATE BY EARLY AFTERNOON. A WARM FRONT WILL
LIFT NORTH THROUGH THE AREA TODAY. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS ON
WEDNESDAY WITH A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS. COOLER AND DRIER HIGH
PRESSURE WILL FOLLOW FOR THURSDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT ACROSS
THE AREA FRIDAY WITH MORE SHOWER ACTIVITY. WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL
FOLLOW INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND BUT WITH CONTINUED UNSETTLED
WEATHER FOR SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...MODERATE.

NCZ105>110-172200-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BURGAW, SURF CITY, WILMINGTON, MASONBORO,
MYRTLE GROVE, OGDEN, CAROLINA BEACH, SEAGATE, BOILING SPRING LAKES,
LELAND, SHALLOTTE, OAK ISLAND, LONG BEACH, SOUTHPORT,
AND SUNSET BEACH
839 AM EST TUE JAN 17 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            20           30
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          69           57           71
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    LGT/VAR      SW  6        SW 10
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     SW  6        SW  8        W 10
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1
INVERSION             60/1100      1800         68/1200
MAX/MIN RH (%)        68           98           57
DSI                   2                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            4            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2030                      2560
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     W 20
VENTILATION RATE      34510                     51200
ADI EARLY             10 POOR      8 POOR       18 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              41 GEN GOOD  9 POOR       49 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       10           6            6
MAX LVORI LATE        3            7            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
53 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH
65 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 50. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-172200-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LUMBERTON, ELIZABETHTOWN, BLADENBORO,
WHITEVILLE, TABOR CITY, CHADBOURN, AND LAKE WACCAMAW
839 AM EST TUE JAN 17 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            20           30
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          67           57           71
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    LGT/VAR      SW  6        SW 10
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     SW  8        SW  9        W 10
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1
INVERSION             57/1300      1800         68/1200
MAX/MIN RH (%)        72           97           53
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            4            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1980                      3280
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     W 22
VENTILATION RATE      35640                     72160
ADI EARLY             11 POOR      8 POOR       19 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              42 GEN GOOD  9 POOR       52 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       10           5            6
MAX LVORI LATE        3            6            3

REMARKS...VERY FOGGY THIS MORNING, CLEARING BY EARLY AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
51 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH
63 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-172200-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF CONWAY, RED HILL, MYRTLE BEACH, SOCASTEE,
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH, GARDEN CITY, LITTLE RIVER, ANDREWS, GEORGETOWN,
AND MURRELLS INLET
839 AM EST TUE JAN 17 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            30
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          71           57           73
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    LGT/VAR      SW  6        SW  9
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     SW  7        SW  8        W 11
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01
PRECIP DURATION                                 1
INVERSION             62/1300      1800         70/1200
MAX/MIN RH (%)        62           96           57
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            4            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2280                      3540
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     W 22
VENTILATION RATE      36480                     77880
ADI EARLY             11 POOR      6 VERY POOR  20 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              49 GEN GOOD  8 POOR       52 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       10           6            6
MAX LVORI LATE        3            6            3

REMARKS...VERY FOGGY THIS MORNING, CLEARING BY EARLY AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
85 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
54 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 50. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 69 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 88 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.

$$

SCZ023-032-039-172200-
DARLINGTON-FLORENCE-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF HARTSVILLE, DARLINGTON, NORTH HARTSVILLE,
FLORENCE, AND KINGSTREE
839 AM EST TUE JAN 17 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            20           20
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          71           58           74
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    LGT/VAR      SW  6        SW 10
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     SW  7        SW  8        W 11 G20
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1
INVERSION             59/1300      1800         71/1200
MAX/MIN RH (%)        63           97           50
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            4            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2250                      4020
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     W 24
VENTILATION RATE      40500                     96480
ADI EARLY             11 POOR      5 VERY POOR  22 FAIR
ADI LATE              54 GEN GOOD  8 POOR       65 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       10           5            6
MAX LVORI LATE        3            6            1

REMARKS...VERY FOGGY THIS MORNING, CLEARING BY EARLY AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
85 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH
50 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 50. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
94 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 89 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-024-033-172200-
MARLBORO-DILLON-MARION-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNETTSVILLE, MCCOLL, DILLON, MARION,
AND MULLINS
839 AM EST TUE JAN 17 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            30           30
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          69           57           73
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    LGT/VAR      SW  6        SW  9
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     SW  8        SW  8        W 11
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1
INVERSION             57/1300      1800         69/1200
MAX/MIN RH (%)        66           96           50
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            4            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2060                      3830
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     W 22
VENTILATION RATE      37080                     84260
ADI EARLY             11 POOR      8 POOR       21 FAIR
ADI LATE              50 GEN GOOD  9 POOR       59 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       10           5            6
MAX LVORI LATE        3            6            3

REMARKS...VERY FOGGY THIS MORNING, CLEARING BY EARLY AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
86 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
50 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
94 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH
61 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

TRA


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