Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 180806
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
406 AM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE ANCHORED OFFSHORE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING WARM
TEMPERATURES INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. WEAK LOW PRESSURE ALOFT WILL
BRING INCREASING CHANCES FOR AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS
THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. DRIER WEATHER WITH CONTINUED
WARM TEMPERATURES IS EXPECTED FOR THE MIDDLE AND LATTER PORTIONS
OF NEXT WEEK.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...NONE.

NCZ105>110-190015-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
406 AM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        20           20           30
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            3            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          85           65           82
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  5        S  8         S  6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S  8         S  6         S 11
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.11
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2
INVERSION             75/1000      2000         75/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        51           97           55
DSI                   2                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            4            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4580                      6090
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     S 18
VENTILATION RATE      68700                     109620
ADI EARLY             28 FAIR      39 FAIR      54 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              44 GEN GOOD  11 POOR      64 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            4            6
MAX LVORI LATE        1            6            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-190015-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
406 AM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        30           30           50
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            3            4
MAX/MIN TEMP          85           64           83
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  5        S  7         S  7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S  8         S  5         S 10
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.02         0.16
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            2
INVERSION             74/1000      2000         73/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        47           100          53
DSI                   3                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            4            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5250                      6140
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 14                      S 20
VENTILATION RATE      73500                     122800
ADI EARLY             27 FAIR      41 GEN GOOD  52 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              47 GEN GOOD  11 POOR      67 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            5            8
MAX LVORI LATE        1            8            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-190015-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
406 AM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        20           20           30
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   2            2            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          85           65           83
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  5        S 10         S  7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 11         S  7         S 10
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.12
PRECIP DURATION       0            1            2
INVERSION             75/1000      2000         75/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        51           98           58
DSI                   2                         3
HAINES INDEX          4            4            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4490                      4980
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 14                      S 18
VENTILATION RATE      62860                     89640
ADI EARLY             32 FAIR      45 GEN GOOD  45 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              51 GEN GOOD  13 GEN POOR  56 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            4            5
MAX LVORI LATE        1            5            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
62 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-190015-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
406 AM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        20           30           50
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            3            4
MAX/MIN TEMP          87           64           84
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  6        S  8         S  7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S  8         S  6         S  9
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.02         0.19
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            2
INVERSION             73/1000      2000         73/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        42           99           55
DSI                   3                         3
HAINES INDEX          5            4            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5500                      5630
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 14                      S 17
VENTILATION RATE      77000                     95710
ADI EARLY             31 FAIR      41 GEN GOOD  44 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              53 GEN GOOD  11 POOR      55 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            4            7
MAX LVORI LATE        1            7            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

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