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Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
000
FNUS52 KILM 092059
FWFILM
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
359 PM EST TUE FEB 9 2010
.DISCUSSION...
A DEVELOPING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OFF THE CAROLINA COAST WILL
MOVE NORTHEAST OF THE AREA THIS EVENING BEFORE BEGINNING TO
RAPIDLY INTENSIFY LATE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL CREATE A
VERY TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE AREA WHICH WILL LINGER
INTO THURSDAY AS THE STORM DEEPENS FURTHER SOUTHEAST OF NEW
ENGLAND. THIS WILL CREATE A PERIOD OF HIGH WINDS THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. THE NEXT IN THE PARADE OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS WILL
MOVE BY TO OUR SOUTH FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY BRINGING A CHANCE
OF SNOW. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE
WEEKEND.
NCZ097-100-101-101300-
PENDER-BRUNSWICK-NEW HANOVER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...LELAND...SHALLOTTE...
WILMINGTON...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH
359 PM EST TUE FEB 9 2010
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%) 40 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE NONE
LAL 1 1 1 1
MIN/MAX TEMP 36 44 24 46
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW 12 G23 W 23 G35 W 21 G37 NW 14 G22
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) W 13 G27 W 25 G39 NW 15 G27 NW 13 G22
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.14 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 4
INVERSION 0100 NONE NONE NONE
MAX/MIN RH (%) 99 31 69 32
DSI 3 1
HAINES INDEX 3 4 2 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 6590 4130
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 45 NW 25
VENTILATION RATE 296550 103250
ADI EARLY 53 GEN GOOD 90 GOOD 161 VERY GOOD62 GOOD
ADI LATE 40 FAIR 158 VERY GOOD55 GEN GOOD 71 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 3 1 1
MAX LVORI LATE 4 1 1 1
REMARKS...GUSTY WINDS AND NEAR CRITICAL RH VALUES FOR WEDNESDAY.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.
MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.PRESIDENTS DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
$$
NCZ096-099-101300-
BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
359 PM EST TUE FEB 9 2010
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%) 40 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE NONE
LAL 1 1 1 1
MIN/MAX TEMP 33 42 24 46
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW 11 W 23 G33 W 19 G33 NW 13 G22
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) W 14 G27 W 25 G39 W 12 G20 NW 13 G22
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 3
INVERSION 0100 NONE NONE NONE
MAX/MIN RH (%) 100 32 70 31
DSI 3 1
HAINES INDEX 3 4 2 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 6550 4140
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 44 NW 26
VENTILATION RATE 288200 107640
ADI EARLY 44 GEN GOOD 89 GOOD 152 VERY GOOD60 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE 44 GEN GOOD 152 VERY GOOD51 GEN GOOD 73 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 2 1 2
MAX LVORI LATE 4 1 2 1
REMARKS...GUSTY WINDS AND NEAR CRITICAL RH VALUES FOR WEDNESDAY.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.
MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.PRESIDENTS DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
$$
SCZ034-046-101300-
HORRY-GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...GEORGETOWN
359 PM EST TUE FEB 9 2010
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD AMOUNT PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%) 40 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE NONE
LAL 1 1 1 1
MIN/MAX TEMP 34 46 24 49
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW 13 G23 W 23 G33 W 19 G36 NW 13 G23
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) W 16 G30 W 25 G39 W 13 G22 NW 14 G23
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 3
INVERSION 0100 NONE NONE NONE
MAX/MIN RH (%) 100 27 66 28
DSI 3 1
HAINES INDEX 3 4 3 4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5890 4030
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 44 NW 26
VENTILATION RATE 259160 104780
ADI EARLY 56 GEN GOOD 95 GOOD 151 VERY GOOD59 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE 48 GEN GOOD 151 VERY GOOD53 GEN GOOD 72 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 1 1 2
MAX LVORI LATE 4 1 1 1
REMARKS...GUSTY WINDS AND NEAR CRITICAL RH VALUES FOR WEDNESDAY.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.PRESIDENTS DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50.
MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-101300-
FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
359 PM EST TUE FEB 9 2010
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD AMOUNT PCLDY MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%) 40 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE NONE
LAL 1 1 1 1
MIN/MAX TEMP 33 44 24 48
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW 12 G20 W 23 G34 W 18 G33 NW 12 G20
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) W 17 G27 W 25 G39 W 11 NW 13 G22
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 3
INVERSION 000 NONE NONE NONE
MAX/MIN RH (%) 100 27 69 26
DSI 3 1
HAINES INDEX 3 4 3 4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5850 3930
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 44 NW 24
VENTILATION RATE 257400 94320
ADI EARLY 56 GEN GOOD 101 VERY GOOD148 VERY GOOD53 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE 49 GEN GOOD 148 VERY GOOD43 GEN GOOD 67 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 2 1 3
MAX LVORI LATE 4 1 3 1
REMARKS...GUSTY WINDS AND NEAR CRITICAL RH VALUES FOR WEDNESDAY.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS AROUND 50.
MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S. MINIMUM RH 31 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.PRESIDENTS DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 50.
MINIMUM RH 31 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
$$
NCZ087-SCZ017-023-024-101300-
ROBESON-MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...
DILLON
359 PM EST TUE FEB 9 2010
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%) 40 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE NONE
LAL 1 1 1 1
MIN/MAX TEMP 31 43 23 46
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW 9 W 23 G34 W 19 G35 NW 13 G22
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) W 15 G30 W 26 G40 W 11 NW 14 G23
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 3
INVERSION 000 NONE NONE NONE
MAX/MIN RH (%) 99 28 70 28
DSI 3 1
HAINES INDEX 3 4 2 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 6090 4000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 45 NW 24
VENTILATION RATE 274050 96000
ADI EARLY 15 GEN POOR 106 VERY GOOD152 VERY GOOD54 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE 45 GEN GOOD 152 VERY GOOD47 GEN GOOD 71 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 2 1 3
MAX LVORI LATE 5 1 3 1
REMARKS...GUSTY WINDS AND NEAR CRITICAL RH VALUES FOR WEDNESDAY.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.
MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.PRESIDENTS DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL. PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
$$
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