Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
673
FNUS52 KILM 170941
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
441 AM EST Sun Dec 17 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Today will see a slow increase of clouds from the southwest
with weak high pressure prevailing into tonight. Temperatures
today will be seasonable. A frontal system oriented east to west
will stall just south of the forecast area by Monday and
persist thru the mid-week period. Low pressure will develop on
the stalled boundary and push off the SC Coast late Wed and
offshore Thursday. Rain chances will be low Monday into Tuesday
then increase due to the low`s passage during Wednesday.
High pressure will return and ridge across the area from the
NE States during the late week period. Temperatures will be
above normal during the upcoming work week and at times well
above normal.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...Moderate.

NCZ105>110-180145-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
441 AM EST Sun Dec 17 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            20           20
Precip type           None         Showers      Showers
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          58           44           62
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  3        LGT/VAR      SW  4
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.02
Precip duration                    1            1
Inversion             49/1000      1700         55/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        44           99           57
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          4            3            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2180                      1900
Transport wnd (mph)   SW  9                     W  5
Ventilation rate      19620                     9500
ADI early             8 poor       1 Very poor  5 Very poor
ADI late              27 Fair      1 Very poor  14 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       6            7            9
Max LVORI late        3            9            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
69 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 50. Maximum RH 94 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs around 60.
Minimum RH 55 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
mid 40s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 61 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 60 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-SCZ059-180145-
Bladen-Columbus-Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, Lake Waccamaw, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
441 AM EST Sun Dec 17 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            20           20
Precip type           None         Showers      Showers
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          59           44           63
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  4        LGT/VAR      SW  4
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.01
Precip duration                    1            1
Inversion             46/1000      1700         55/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        45           96           58
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          4            2            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2160                      2110
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 10                     W  8
Ventilation rate      21600                     16880
ADI early             9 poor       2 Very poor  6 Very poor
ADI late              26 Fair      1 Very poor  16 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       9            6            8
Max LVORI late        2            8            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
66 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 93 percent. West winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs around 60.
Minimum RH 56 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent. North winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
lower 40s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 59 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southeast winds around
5 mph.

$$

NCZ087-180145-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
441 AM EST Sun Dec 17 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            20           0
Precip type           None         Showers      None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          58           43           63
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  5         LGT/VAR      SW  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration                    0
Inversion             45/1000      1700         54/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        43           91           57
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          4            2            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2240                      2380
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 13                     W 13
Ventilation rate      29120                     30940
ADI early             8 poor       4 Very poor  10 poor
ADI late              27 Fair      1 Very poor  28 Fair
Max LVORI early       9            5            7
Max LVORI late        2            7            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
63 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 50. Maximum RH 93 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the upper
50s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
lower 40s. Maximum RH 89 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 57 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 60. Minimum RH 57 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-180145-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, and Bucksport
441 AM EST Sun Dec 17 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            30           30
Precip type           None         Showers      Showers
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          61           46           64
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  3         LGT/VAR      SW  4
Precip amount         0.00         0.03         0.07
Precip duration                    1            1
Inversion             51/1000      1700         57/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        50           98           72
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          4            2            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2180                      1660
Transport wnd (mph)   S  8                      SW  5
Ventilation rate      17440                     8300
ADI early             14 Gen poor  1 Very poor  4 Very poor
ADI late              29 Fair      1 Very poor  9 poor
Max LVORI early       10           8            8
Max LVORI late        3            9            4

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 70 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 94 percent. West winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the lower
60s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
mid 40s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 63 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-180145-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
441 AM EST Sun Dec 17 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            30           30
Precip type           None         Showers      Showers
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          60           45           64
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  4        LGT/VAR      SW  4
Precip amount         0.00         0.03         0.05
Precip duration                    1            1
Inversion             49/1000      1700         56/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        43           98           63
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          4            2            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2310                      2020
Transport wnd (mph)   SW  9                     SW  5
Ventilation rate      20790                     10100
ADI early             12 poor      2 Very poor  3 Very poor
ADI late              26 Fair      1 Very poor  11 poor
Max LVORI early       10           6            9
Max LVORI late        2            9            4

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 50. Maximum RH 93 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 70. Minimum RH 64 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 95 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the lower
60s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Colder. Lows
in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Light and variable wind.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light and variable wind.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Southeast winds around
5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-180145-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
441 AM EST Sun Dec 17 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            20           0
Precip type           None         Showers      None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          58           44           64
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  4        LGT/VAR      SW  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.00
Precip duration                    0
Inversion             47/1000      1700         54/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        41           92           58
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          4            2            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2410                      2330
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 12                     W 13
Ventilation rate      28920                     30290
ADI early             9 poor       4 Very poor  9 poor
ADI late              28 Fair      1 Very poor  26 Fair
Max LVORI early       7            5            7
Max LVORI late        2            7            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 61 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 94 percent. West winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs around 60.
Minimum RH 57 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. North winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
lower 40s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Light and variable wind.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 60. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

dch



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.