Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 250719
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
319 AM EDT Sun Jun 25 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A surface trough near the coast will interact with tropical
moisture to produce a few showers and thunderstorms through
early Monday. Another weak front may bring a few showers on
Tuesday, followed by drier and cooler air through mid-week.
A warming trend will develop late week through next weekend
along with returning humidity.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable

Fog potential for tonight...Moderate

NCZ105>110-252330-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
319 AM EDT Sun Jun 25 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        50           40           30
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            2
Min/Max Temp          88           68           84
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  5        S  4         N  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  4         SW  4        E  4
Precip amount         0.16         0.10         0.02
Precip duration       2            2            1
Inversion             79/1000      2000         79/1200
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        60           89           43
DSI                   2                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5660                      7720
Transport wnd (mph)   W 16                      W  3
Ventilation rate      90560                     23160
ADI early             24 Fair      40 Fair      26 Fair
ADI late              54 Gen good  4 Very poor  28 Fair
Max LVORI early       9            5            5
Max LVORI late        3            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
89 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Chance of precipitation
30 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows in the
lower 60s. Maximum RH 85 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
92 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
58 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-252330-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
319 AM EDT Sun Jun 25 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        50           40           20
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Showers
LAL                   3            3            2
Min/Max Temp          88           66           85
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  4         S  4         N  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  4         W  5         N  3
Precip amount         0.09         0.03         0.00
Precip duration       2            1            1
Inversion             79/1100      2000         79/1200
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        49           87           36
DSI                   2                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6610                      7770
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 10                     W  6
Ventilation rate      66100                     46620
ADI early             15 Gen poor  34 Fair      38 Fair
ADI late              33 Fair      8 poor       40 Fair
Max LVORI early       9            4            5
Max LVORI late        3            5            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent. Chance of precipitation
20 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-252330-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
319 AM EDT Sun Jun 25 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        60           50           40
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Showers
LAL                   4            3            2
Min/Max Temp          87           69           84
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  4         S  4         N  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  5         SW  5        E  6
Precip amount         0.18         0.11         0.02
Precip duration       2            2            4
Inversion             81/1000      2000         80/1200
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        62           86           47
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5330                      7430
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 16                     N  2
Ventilation rate      85280                     14860
ADI early             36 Fair      41 Gen good  33 Fair
ADI late              50 Gen good  5 Very poor  32 Fair
Max LVORI early       9            4            5
Max LVORI late        3            5            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Chance of precipitation
20 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-252330-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
319 AM EDT Sun Jun 25 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        50           50           20
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Showers
LAL                   3            3            2
Min/Max Temp          88           69           85
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  3         N  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  3         SW  4        NE  5
Precip amount         0.11         0.05         0.01
Precip duration       2            1            1
Inversion             79/1000      2000         79/1100
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        55           84           39
DSI                   2                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5750                      7380
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 12                     NW  2
Ventilation rate      69000                     14760
ADI early             20 Gen poor  54 Gen good  36 Fair
ADI late              43 Gen good  4 Very poor  35 Fair
Max LVORI early       10           3            4
Max LVORI late        3            4            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent. Chance of precipitation
20 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-252330-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
319 AM EDT Sun Jun 25 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           0            0
Precip type           Tstms        None         None
LAL                   3            1            1
Min/Max Temp          89           67           87
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  3         LGT/VAR      N  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  3        NW  4        N  4
Precip amount         0.05         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Inversion             78/1000      2000         79/1100
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        47           84           33
DSI                   2                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   7000                      7920
Transport wnd (mph)   SW  8                     W  7
Ventilation rate      56000                     55440
ADI early             9 poor       36 Fair      42 Gen good
ADI late              31 Fair      8 poor       52 Gen good
Max LVORI early       9            3            4
Max LVORI late        3            4            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 41 percent. Chance of precipitation
20 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 46 percent. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
92 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 49 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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