Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000 FNUS52 KILM 221939 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 339 PM EDT Mon May 22 2017 .DISCUSSION... Waves of low pressure will develop along a stalled cold front, producing increased chance of showers and thunderstorms through Wednesday night. A cold front associated with low pressure over the Ohio Valley will move across the area early Thursday, bringing and end to any lingering storms. High pressure will build in from the west on Friday and linger over the region into the start of next week. Fog potential for tonight...Low NCZ105>110-231145- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover- Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 339 PM EDT Mon May 22 2017 Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed Cloud amount MCldy Cloudy Cloudy MCldy Precip chc (%) 70 80 80 90 Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 4 5 5 3 Min/Max Temp 69 81 66 80 Wnd20ft/early(mph) SW 6 S 8 G24 SW 10 G25 SW 8 Wnd20ft/late(mph) S 4 SW 11 G25 SW 8 S 12 G21 Precip amount 0.35 0.53 0.36 0.45 Precip duration 6 12 8 9 Inversion 2100 72/0900 2100 71/0800 Dispersion Fair Good Max/Min RH (%) 95 67 95 65 DSI 2 2 Haines Index 3 3 3 3 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 4300 3460 Transport wnd (mph) SW 25 SW 28 Ventilation rate 107500 96880 ADI early 37 Fair 54 Gen good 58 Gen good 25 Fair ADI late 4 Very poor 70 Good 8 poor 71 Good Max LVORI early 6 6 5 6 Max LVORI late 7 3 6 2 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Breezy. Showers and scattered thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Chance of precipitation near 100 percent. Southwest winds 20 to 25 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 88 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 43 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MEMORIAL DAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ NCZ099-231145- Columbus- Including the cities of Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 339 PM EDT Mon May 22 2017 Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed Cloud amount MCldy Cloudy Cloudy MCldy Precip chc (%) 70 90 90 90 Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 4 5 5 3 Min/Max Temp 69 81 65 80 Wnd20ft/early(mph) S 5 S 7 SW 8 SW 7 Wnd20ft/late(mph) S 3 SW 8 SW 7 S 10 Precip amount 0.36 0.60 0.35 0.41 Precip duration 5 12 7 9 Inversion 2100 72/0900 2100 69/0800 Dispersion Poor Fair Max/Min RH (%) 95 69 100 67 DSI 2 2 Haines Index 3 3 3 3 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 4220 3460 Transport wnd (mph) SW 17 S 28 Ventilation rate 71740 96880 ADI early 35 Fair 34 Fair 46 Gen good 23 Fair ADI late 4 Very poor 45 Gen good 7 poor 71 Good Max LVORI early 7 6 6 8 Max LVORI late 7 3 8 3 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and scattered thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 92 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 42 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MEMORIAL DAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. $$ NCZ087-096-231145- Robeson-Bladen- Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, and Bladenboro 339 PM EDT Mon May 22 2017 Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed Cloud amount MCldy Cloudy Cloudy MCldy Precip chc (%) 70 90 90 90 Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 4 5 5 3 Min/Max Temp 68 79 64 79 Wnd20ft/early(mph) S 3 S 6 S 7 SW 6 Wnd20ft/late(mph) SE 3 SW 7 SW 5 S 10 Precip amount 0.41 0.76 0.37 0.38 Precip duration 8 12 4 9 Inversion 2100 71/0900 2100 67/0800 Dispersion Poor Fair Max/Min RH (%) 96 72 100 66 DSI 2 2 Haines Index 3 3 3 3 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 3680 3460 Transport wnd (mph) SW 17 S 21 Ventilation rate 62560 72660 ADI early 32 Fair 24 Fair 46 Gen good 21 Fair ADI late 4 Very poor 48 Gen good 5 Very poor 57 Gen good Max LVORI early 7 6 6 9 Max LVORI late 7 4 9 3 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and scattered thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. South winds around 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 91 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 42 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MEMORIAL DAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ053>056-231145- Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown- Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, and Murrells Inlet 339 PM EDT Mon May 22 2017 Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed Cloud amount MCldy MCldy MCldy MCldy Precip chc (%) 70 80 80 90 Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 4 5 5 3 Min/Max Temp 69 82 66 80 Wnd20ft/early(mph) SW 6 SW 9 G21 SW 10 G22 SW 10 Wnd20ft/late(mph) S 5 SW 11 G21 SW 8 S 13 G24 Precip amount 0.30 0.47 0.36 0.48 Precip duration 6 12 8 10 Inversion 2100 73/0900 2100 71/0800 Dispersion Fair Good Max/Min RH (%) 95 68 97 66 DSI 2 2 Haines Index 3 3 3 3 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 4140 3410 Transport wnd (mph) SW 17 S 30 Ventilation rate 70380 102300 ADI early 32 Fair 34 Fair 45 Gen good 28 Fair ADI late 5 Very poor 49 Gen good 9 poor 78 Good Max LVORI early 6 6 5 6 Max LVORI late 6 3 6 3 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and scattered thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Chance of precipitation near 100 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 89 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 43 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MEMORIAL DAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ024-032-033-039-231145- Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 339 PM EDT Mon May 22 2017 Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed Cloud amount Cloudy Cloudy MCldy MCldy Precip chc (%) 70 90 90 90 Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 4 5 5 3 Min/Max Temp 68 80 65 80 Wnd20ft/early(mph) S 4 S 7 S 9 SW 8 Wnd20ft/late(mph) S 4 SW 9 SW 7 S 11 Precip amount 0.41 0.53 0.32 0.49 Precip duration 5 12 8 9 Inversion 2100 72/0900 2100 69/0800 Dispersion Fair Fair Max/Min RH (%) 98 70 100 66 DSI 2 2 Haines Index 3 3 3 3 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 3720 3440 Transport wnd (mph) SW 16 S 24 Ventilation rate 59520 82560 ADI early 26 Fair 30 Fair 46 Gen good 27 Fair ADI late 4 Very poor 44 Gen good 7 poor 63 Good Max LVORI early 7 7 6 8 Max LVORI late 7 3 8 3 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and scattered thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. South winds around 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 92 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 42 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 97 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MEMORIAL DAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-231145- Marlboro-Darlington- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, and North Hartsville 339 PM EDT Mon May 22 2017 Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed Cloud amount MCldy Cloudy MCldy MCldy Precip chc (%) 70 90 90 90 Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 4 5 5 3 Min/Max Temp 67 78 64 78 Wnd20ft/early(mph) SW 3 S 4 S 7 S 6 Wnd20ft/late(mph) S 4 SW 7 SW 5 S 10 Precip amount 0.50 0.75 0.43 0.52 Precip duration 7 12 5 9 Inversion 2100 70/0900 2100 66/0800 Dispersion Poor Fair Max/Min RH (%) 97 73 100 68 DSI 2 2 Haines Index 3 3 3 3 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 3500 3550 Transport wnd (mph) SW 20 S 22 Ventilation rate 70000 78100 ADI early 17 Gen poor 11 poor 48 Gen good 22 Fair ADI late 3 Very poor 52 Gen good 4 Very poor 58 Gen good Max LVORI early 6 8 6 9 Max LVORI late 8 4 9 3 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and scattered thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 93 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 43 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 99 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MEMORIAL DAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== 0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$ III

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