Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000 FNUS52 KILM 212029 FWFILM FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 329 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2014 .DISCUSSION... RAIN IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES UP ALONG THE CAROLINA COAST. A WEDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP IT COOL AND CLOUDY INTO TUESDAY. AS THE WEDGE BREAKS DOWN LATER TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT...SHOWERS AND SOME THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AND PERSIST INTO A WARM WEDNESDAY. IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT...DRIER AIR IS EXPECTED TO FINALLY REACH THE AREA ON CHRISTMAS DAY. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING ACROSS THE AREA FROM THE SOUTHWEST LATE IN THE WEEK WILL MOVE OFFSHORE WITH ANOTHER COLD FRONT POSSIBLY MOVING ACROSS THE AREA LATE NEXT WEEKEND. FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW. NCZ105>110-221230- INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER- INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH... WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND... BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND... SOUTHPORT 329 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2014 TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE CLOUD AMOUNT CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY PRECIP CHC (%) 90 80 20 30 PRECIP TYPE RAIN RAIN RAIN SHOWERS LAL 1 1 1 1 MIN/MAX TEMP 42 54 42 57 WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE 8 N 7 N 3 LGT/VAR WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE 8 N 6 LGT/VAR E 6 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.16 0.07 0.01 0.06 PRECIP DURATION 9 5 1 2 INVERSION 1800 CONTINUED CONTINUED CONTINUED MAX/MIN RH (%) 98 87 100 94 DSI 1 1 HAINES INDEX 2 3 2 2 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 340 250 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 7 NE 1 VENTILATION RATE 2380 250 ADI EARLY 11 POOR 9 POOR 6 VERY POOR 5 VERY POOR ADI LATE 9 POOR 9 POOR 2 VERY POOR 8 POOR MAX LVORI EARLY 5 8 10 10 MAX LVORI LATE 6 7 10 8 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. PATCHY FOG. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION NEAR 100 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 75 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 90 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 83 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. .CHRISTMAS DAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. .THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 85 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. $$ NCZ087-096-099-221230- ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE 329 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2014 TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE CLOUD AMOUNT CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY PRECIP CHC (%) 90 80 20 60 PRECIP TYPE RAIN RAIN RAIN SHOWERS LAL 1 1 1 1 MIN/MAX TEMP 39 50 39 55 WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE 7 N 8 N 3 LGT/VAR WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE 7 N 7 LGT/VAR E 6 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.14 0.06 0.02 0.05 PRECIP DURATION 10 5 1 2 INVERSION 1800 CONTINUED CONTINUED CONTINUED MAX/MIN RH (%) 98 85 100 99 DSI 1 1 HAINES INDEX 2 2 3 2 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 410 250 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 8 NE 1 VENTILATION RATE 3280 250 ADI EARLY 11 POOR 10 POOR 7 POOR 5 VERY POOR ADI LATE 8 POOR 10 POOR 2 VERY POOR 8 POOR MAX LVORI EARLY 4 8 9 10 MAX LVORI LATE 5 6 10 8 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION NEAR 100 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 69 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 90 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 78 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .CHRISTMAS DAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 87 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. $$ SCZ053>056-221230- INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH... NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN... MURRELLS INLET 329 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2014 TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE CLOUD AMOUNT CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY PRECIP CHC (%) 80 70 20 50 PRECIP TYPE RAIN RAIN RAIN SHOWERS LAL 1 1 1 1 MIN/MAX TEMP 42 53 42 58 WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE 8 N 7 N 3 E 3 WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE 7 N 5 LGT/VAR SE 6 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.18 0.05 0.02 0.08 PRECIP DURATION 8 4 1 2 INVERSION 1800 CONTINUED CONTINUED CONTINUED MAX/MIN RH (%) 96 84 100 97 DSI 1 1 HAINES INDEX 2 3 2 2 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 410 250 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 6 NE 2 VENTILATION RATE 2460 500 ADI EARLY 11 POOR 9 POOR 5 VERY POOR 6 VERY POOR ADI LATE 8 POOR 8 POOR 2 VERY POOR 7 POOR MAX LVORI EARLY 5 7 9 10 MAX LVORI LATE 5 6 9 8 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION NEAR 100 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 90 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 80 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. .CHRISTMAS DAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. .THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. $$ SCZ017-023-024-221230- MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON 329 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2014 TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE CLOUD AMOUNT CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY PRECIP CHC (%) 90 80 20 80 PRECIP TYPE RAIN RAIN RAIN SHOWERS LAL 1 1 1 1 MIN/MAX TEMP 40 47 39 52 WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE 8 NE 8 NE 3 NE 3 WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE 9 NE 6 LGT/VAR E 5 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.14 0.05 0.02 0.07 PRECIP DURATION 10 6 1 5 INVERSION 1800 CONTINUED CONTINUED CONTINUED MAX/MIN RH (%) 95 83 100 99 DSI 1 1 HAINES INDEX 2 2 3 2 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 390 260 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 7 NE 2 VENTILATION RATE 2730 520 ADI EARLY 11 POOR 10 POOR 6 VERY POOR 6 VERY POOR ADI LATE 9 POOR 10 POOR 2 VERY POOR 8 POOR MAX LVORI EARLY 4 8 9 10 MAX LVORI LATE 5 5 9 8 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION NEAR 100 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 90 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 77 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .CHRISTMAS DAY...SUNNY...COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 86 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. $$ SCZ032-033-039-221230- FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE 329 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2014 TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE CLOUD AMOUNT CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY PRECIP CHC (%) 80 70 20 70 PRECIP TYPE RAIN RAIN RAIN SHOWERS LAL 1 1 1 1 MIN/MAX TEMP 41 51 40 56 WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE 8 N 7 NE 3 LGT/VAR WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE 8 N 5 LGT/VAR SE 5 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.16 0.05 0.02 0.08 PRECIP DURATION 9 4 1 5 INVERSION 1800 CONTINUED CONTINUED CONTINUED MAX/MIN RH (%) 97 82 100 99 DSI 1 1 HAINES INDEX 2 2 3 2 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 380 250 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 6 NE 2 VENTILATION RATE 2280 500 ADI EARLY 11 POOR 9 POOR 5 VERY POOR 5 VERY POOR ADI LATE 8 POOR 7 POOR 2 VERY POOR 7 POOR MAX LVORI EARLY 5 8 9 10 MAX LVORI LATE 5 6 9 8 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION NEAR 100 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 69 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 90 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 80 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .CHRISTMAS DAY...SUNNY...COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL. PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== 0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS. LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX. $$ 27

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