Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000 FNUS52 KILM 011220 FWFILM FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 820 AM EDT WED APR 1 2015 .DISCUSSION... A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL DROP THROUGH THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING FOLLOWED BY DRY HIGH PRESSURE TODAY. THIS HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFFSHORE THURSDAY LEADING TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH LATE WEEK. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS EARLY SATURDAY BRINGING A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS. DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE BACK ACROSS THE AREA SUNDAY AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE. FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT..LOW. NCZ105-020430- INLAND PENDER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW 820 AM EDT WED APR 1 2015 TODAY TONIGHT THU CLOUD AMOUNT MCLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 0 PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE LAL 1 1 1 MAX/MIN TEMP 69 40 73 WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)N 7 LGT/VAR SE 3 WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) N 6 LGT/VAR S 9 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 PRECIP DURATION INVERSION 55/0600 2000 54/1000 MIN/MAX RH (%) 30 100 38 DSI 2 2 HAINES INDEX 4 5 4 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4770 4660 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 9 S 15 VENTILATION RATE 42930 69900 ADI EARLY 38 FAIR 37 FAIR 37 FAIR ADI LATE 48 GEN GOOD 2 VERY POOR 62 GOOD MAX LVORI EARLY 3 3 10 MAX LVORI LATE 1 10 1 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 87 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 78 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. $$ NCZ106>110-020430- COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER- INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...WILMINGTON... CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE... OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...SOUTHPORT 820 AM EDT WED APR 1 2015 TODAY TONIGHT THU CLOUD AMOUNT MCLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 0 PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE LAL 1 1 1 MAX/MIN TEMP 70 41 71 WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)N 8 E 4 SE 5 WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE 7 E 3 S 9 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 PRECIP DURATION INVERSION 57/0600 2000 55/1000 MIN/MAX RH (%) 33 100 43 DSI 2 2 HAINES INDEX 4 4 4 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4270 4140 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 9 SE 14 VENTILATION RATE 38430 57960 ADI EARLY 30 FAIR 30 FAIR 42 GEN GOOD ADI LATE 36 FAIR 5 VERY POOR 51 GEN GOOD MAX LVORI EARLY 3 3 9 MAX LVORI LATE 1 9 1 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 84 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. .SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 74 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. $$ NCZ096-020430- BLADEN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELIZABETHTOWN 820 AM EDT WED APR 1 2015 TODAY TONIGHT THU CLOUD AMOUNT MCLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 0 PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE LAL 1 1 1 MAX/MIN TEMP 70 41 74 WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)N 8 LGT/VAR SE 4 WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE 7 LGT/VAR S 9 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 PRECIP DURATION INVERSION 54/0600 2000 54/1000 MIN/MAX RH (%) 30 99 39 DSI 2 2 HAINES INDEX 4 5 4 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4610 4920 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 9 S 15 VENTILATION RATE 41490 73800 ADI EARLY 39 FAIR 38 FAIR 39 FAIR ADI LATE 41 GEN GOOD 3 VERY POOR 53 GEN GOOD MAX LVORI EARLY 3 3 9 MAX LVORI LATE 1 8 1 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 83 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 75 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ NCZ087-099-020430- ROBESON-COLUMBUS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...WHITEVILLE 820 AM EDT WED APR 1 2015 TODAY TONIGHT THU CLOUD AMOUNT MCLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 0 PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE LAL 1 1 1 MAX/MIN TEMP 71 41 74 WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)N 7 LGT/VAR SE 4 WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE 7 LGT/VAR S 10 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 PRECIP DURATION INVERSION 55/0600 2000 55/1000 MIN/MAX RH (%) 30 100 39 DSI 2 2 HAINES INDEX 4 4 4 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4500 4910 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 9 S 16 VENTILATION RATE 40500 78560 ADI EARLY 37 FAIR 34 FAIR 44 GEN GOOD ADI LATE 39 FAIR 3 VERY POOR 57 GEN GOOD MAX LVORI EARLY 3 3 10 MAX LVORI LATE 1 9 1 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 81 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 75 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. $$ SCZ053>056-020430- INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH... NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN... MURRELLS INLET 820 AM EDT WED APR 1 2015 TODAY TONIGHT THU CLOUD AMOUNT MCLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 0 PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE LAL 1 1 1 MAX/MIN TEMP 73 42 74 WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)N 7 E 4 SE 5 WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE 7 E 3 SE 10 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 PRECIP DURATION INVERSION 60/0600 2000 56/1000 MIN/MAX RH (%) 33 100 45 DSI 2 2 HAINES INDEX 4 4 4 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4350 4250 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 9 SE 15 VENTILATION RATE 39150 63750 ADI EARLY 30 FAIR 29 FAIR 49 GEN GOOD ADI LATE 33 FAIR 5 VERY POOR 55 GEN GOOD MAX LVORI EARLY 3 3 9 MAX LVORI LATE 2 9 1 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 86 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 75 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. $$ SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-020430- MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON... FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE 820 AM EDT WED APR 1 2015 TODAY TONIGHT THU CLOUD AMOUNT MCLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 0 PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE LAL 1 1 1 MAX/MIN TEMP 75 43 75 WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)N 6 E 3 SE 4 WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE 7 LGT/VAR SE 9 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 PRECIP DURATION INVERSION 59/0600 2000 56/1000 MIN/MAX RH (%) 29 97 40 DSI 2 2 HAINES INDEX 4 4 4 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4870 5720 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 7 S 16 VENTILATION RATE 34090 91520 ADI EARLY 41 GEN GOOD 31 FAIR 43 GEN GOOD ADI LATE 42 GEN GOOD 4 VERY POOR 61 GOOD MAX LVORI EARLY 3 3 7 MAX LVORI LATE 2 6 1 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 81 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 76 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== 0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS. LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX. $$ 40

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