Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000 FNUS52 KILM 250807 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 307 AM EST Sat Feb 25 2017 .DISCUSSION... Warm air will prevail across the Carolinas today. A cold front approaching from the west will move off the coast this evening. Cooler and drier air high pressure will spread into the area tonight and persist through Monday. Shower chances will increase Monday night and early Tuesday as a warm front lifts north across the area. Much warmer temperatures will follow the front Tuesday and Wednesday before the next cold front moves offshore Thursday. Temperatures will drop to near to slightly below normal Friday as a cooler and drier air mass builds over the area. Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable Fog potential for tonight...High NCZ105>110-260015- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover- Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 307 AM EST Sat Feb 25 2017 Today Tonight Sun Cloud amount PCldy Clear Clear Precip chc (%) 0 0 0 Precip type None None None LAL 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 81 41 59 Wnd20ft/early(mph) SW 4 W 10 G21 NW 6 Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 13 G25 NW 7 NW 5 Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip duration Inversion 70/1000 None None Max/Min RH (%) 45 71 23 DSI 2 2 Haines Index 4 4 4 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 5790 3600 Transport wnd (mph) SW 24 NW 5 Ventilation rate 138960 18000 ADI early 32 Fair 17 Gen poor 36 Fair ADI late 71 Good 16 Gen poor 24 Fair Max LVORI early 10 3 2 Max LVORI late 1 2 2 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 44 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Warmer. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers with isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 85 percent. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Cooler. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 40 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 73 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 31 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ NCZ087-096-099-260015- Robeson-Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 307 AM EST Sat Feb 25 2017 Today Tonight Sun Cloud amount PCldy Clear Clear Precip chc (%) 0 0 0 Precip type None None None LAL 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 82 40 60 Wnd20ft/early(mph) SW 6 G20 W 11 G22 NW 5 Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 15 G27 NW 6 NW 4 Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip duration Inversion 70/1000 None None Max/Min RH (%) 36 60 22 DSI 3 2 Haines Index 3 4 4 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 7150 3830 Transport wnd (mph) SW 26 W 6 Ventilation rate 185900 22980 ADI early 37 Fair 25 Fair 30 Fair ADI late 95 Good 13 Gen poor 31 Fair Max LVORI early 9 2 2 Max LVORI late 1 2 2 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 89 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Warmer. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers with isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 84 percent. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Cooler. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 34 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 72 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 28 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ053>056-260015- Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown- Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, and Murrells Inlet 307 AM EST Sat Feb 25 2017 Today Tonight Sun Cloud amount PCldy Clear Clear Precip chc (%) 0 0 0 Precip type None None None LAL 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 83 41 60 Wnd20ft/early(mph) SW 6 W 11 G22 N 6 Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 14 G26 NW 7 NW 3 Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip duration Inversion 71/1000 None None Max/Min RH (%) 40 59 23 DSI 3 2 Haines Index 4 5 4 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 6960 3510 Transport wnd (mph) SW 23 NW 3 Ventilation rate 160080 10530 ADI early 35 Fair 27 Fair 37 Fair ADI late 84 Good 14 Gen poor 19 Gen poor Max LVORI early 9 2 2 Max LVORI late 1 2 2 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 46 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Warmer. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers with isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers with isolated thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 54 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 86 percent. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Cooler. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 72 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 31 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-260015- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon 307 AM EST Sat Feb 25 2017 Today Tonight Sun Cloud amount PCldy Clear Clear Precip chc (%) 0 0 0 Precip type Sprinkles None None LAL 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 81 38 60 Wnd20ft/early(mph) SW 8 G21 W 11 G22 N 5 Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 16 G29 NW 6 W 3 Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip duration Inversion 70/1000 None None Max/Min RH (%) 29 62 22 DSI 3 2 Haines Index 3 5 4 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 7150 3800 Transport wnd (mph) W 28 W 6 Ventilation rate 200200 22800 ADI early 60 Gen good 25 Fair 27 Fair ADI late 99 Good 12 poor 30 Fair Max LVORI early 9 2 2 Max LVORI late 1 3 2 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 85 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 37 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Warmer. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers with isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 87 percent. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Cooler. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 33 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 72 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 28 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ032-033-039-260015- Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 307 AM EST Sat Feb 25 2017 Today Tonight Sun Cloud amount PCldy Clear Clear Precip chc (%) 0 0 0 Precip type None None None LAL 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 82 40 61 Wnd20ft/early(mph) SW 7 G20 W 11 G22 N 5 Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 15 G27 NW 6 W 3 Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip duration Inversion 70/1000 None None Max/Min RH (%) 33 60 22 DSI 3 2 Haines Index 3 5 4 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 7060 3700 Transport wnd (mph) W 26 NW 3 Ventilation rate 183560 11100 ADI early 59 Gen good 29 Fair 31 Fair ADI late 93 Good 13 Gen poor 18 Gen poor Max LVORI early 9 2 2 Max LVORI late 1 3 2 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Warmer. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers with isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers with isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 85 percent. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Cooler. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 34 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 72 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 28 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures below normal. Precipitation below normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== 0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$ III

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