Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000 FNUS52 KILM 181915 FWFILM FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 315 PM EDT FRI APR 18 2014 .DISCUSSION... RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE TODAY AND TONIGHT AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO MOVES ACROSS FLORIDA AND THEN OFF THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES COAST. RAIN WILL PERSIST INTO THE WEEKEND AS THIS SYSTEM DRIFTS NORTHEAST. A HIGH PRESSURE PATTERN WILL THEN REASSERT ITSELF BRIEFLY BEFORE A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH LATE ON TUESDAY. DRY HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS FOR THE END OF THE WEEK. FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...NONE. NCZ105-106-191115- INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH 315 PM EDT FRI APR 18 2014 TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN CLOUD AMOUNT CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY PRECIP CHC (%) 100 100 60 50 PRECIP TYPE RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN LAL 1 1 1 1 MIN/MAX TEMP 50 64 49 69 WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE 10 G20 NE 11 NE 15 G23 NE 19 G29 WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE 10 NE 13 G20 NE 18 G26 NE 18 G29 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.68 0.76 0.24 0.03 PRECIP DURATION 8 11 4 2 INVERSION 1900 56/1000 1900 59/1000 MAX/MIN RH (%) 93 75 94 52 DSI 1 2 HAINES INDEX 3 2 3 3 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 2110 5100 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 17 NE 20 VENTILATION RATE 35870 102000 ADI EARLY 16 GEN POOR 29 FAIR 27 FAIR 61 GOOD ADI LATE 13 GEN POOR 35 FAIR 14 GEN POOR 67 GOOD MAX LVORI EARLY 4 5 4 5 MAX LVORI LATE 5 3 4 1 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY...BREEZY. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. $$ NCZ107>110-191115- INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-INLAND BRUNSWICK- COASTAL BRUNSWICK- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH... WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE... OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...SOUTHPORT 315 PM EDT FRI APR 18 2014 TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN CLOUD AMOUNT CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY PRECIP CHC (%) 100 100 70 50 PRECIP TYPE RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN LAL 1 1 1 1 MIN/MAX TEMP 52 63 51 68 WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE 13 G24 NE 11 NE 15 G23 NE 19 G29 WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE 10 NE 13 G20 NE 18 G26 NE 17 G26 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.95 0.89 0.27 0.05 PRECIP DURATION 8 11 9 4 INVERSION 1900 58/1000 1900 60/1000 MAX/MIN RH (%) 99 74 91 60 DSI 1 2 HAINES INDEX 3 2 2 3 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 2080 3950 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 21 NE 25 VENTILATION RATE 43680 98750 ADI EARLY 25 FAIR 33 FAIR 35 FAIR 67 GOOD ADI LATE 15 GEN POOR 41 GEN GOOD 17 GEN POOR 75 GOOD MAX LVORI EARLY 4 5 4 4 MAX LVORI LATE 5 3 4 1 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY...BREEZY. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. .THURSDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ NCZ087-096-099-191115- ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE 315 PM EDT FRI APR 18 2014 TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN CLOUD AMOUNT CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY PRECIP CHC (%) 100 100 60 30 PRECIP TYPE RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN LAL 1 1 1 1 MIN/MAX TEMP 49 59 48 67 WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE 11 NE 13 NE 14 G22 NE 17 G24 WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE 12 NE 12 NE 16 G23 NE 16 G24 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.97 0.74 0.18 0.01 PRECIP DURATION 8 11 4 2 INVERSION 1900 54/1000 1900 57/1000 MAX/MIN RH (%) 93 73 91 53 DSI 1 2 HAINES INDEX 3 2 3 4 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 1940 4690 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 22 NE 21 VENTILATION RATE 42680 98490 ADI EARLY 22 FAIR 33 FAIR 32 FAIR 50 GEN GOOD ADI LATE 15 GEN POOR 43 GEN GOOD 19 GEN POOR 62 GOOD MAX LVORI EARLY 4 5 4 4 MAX LVORI LATE 5 3 4 1 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ SCZ053>056-191115- INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH... NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN... MURRELLS INLET 315 PM EDT FRI APR 18 2014 TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN CLOUD AMOUNT CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY PRECIP CHC (%) 100 100 70 50 PRECIP TYPE RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN LAL 1 1 1 1 MIN/MAX TEMP 52 67 50 67 WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE 13 G22 NE 12 NE 15 G23 NE 20 G30 WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE 11 NE 13 G22 NE 18 G29 NE 18 G29 PRECIP AMOUNT 1.55 0.93 0.24 0.03 PRECIP DURATION 8 10 7 2 INVERSION 1900 59/1000 1900 59/1000 MAX/MIN RH (%) 99 74 87 59 DSI 1 2 HAINES INDEX 2 2 2 2 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 1930 3520 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 21 NE 26 VENTILATION RATE 40530 91520 ADI EARLY 31 FAIR 34 FAIR 32 FAIR 56 GEN GOOD ADI LATE 20 GEN POOR 38 FAIR 17 GEN POOR 68 GOOD MAX LVORI EARLY 4 5 4 4 MAX LVORI LATE 5 3 4 2 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY...BREEZY. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. $$ SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-191115- MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON... FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE 315 PM EDT FRI APR 18 2014 TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN CLOUD AMOUNT CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY PRECIP CHC (%) 100 100 60 30 PRECIP TYPE RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN LAL 1 1 1 1 MIN/MAX TEMP 49 62 49 68 WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE 12 NE 14 G20 NE 17 G23 NE 20 G25 WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE 12 NE 15 G23 NE 19 G25 NE 18 G25 PRECIP AMOUNT 1.34 0.71 0.18 0.01 PRECIP DURATION 9 10 4 2 INVERSION 1900 54/1000 1900 57/1000 MAX/MIN RH (%) 96 74 88 48 DSI 1 2 HAINES INDEX 2 2 2 3 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 1770 4380 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 23 NE 22 VENTILATION RATE 40710 96360 ADI EARLY 29 FAIR 34 FAIR 34 FAIR 50 GEN GOOD ADI LATE 19 GEN POOR 41 GEN GOOD 17 GEN POOR 63 GOOD MAX LVORI EARLY 4 5 4 4 MAX LVORI LATE 4 3 4 1 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== 0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS. LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX. $$ 40

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