Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000 FNUS52 KILM 190920 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 420 AM EST Sun Nov 19 2017 .DISCUSSION... A strong cold front will move offshore early this morning, ending the risk for showers and bringing very dry and much cooler temperatures on brisk northwest winds. There is the potential for a rather widespread frost away from the immediate coast Monday night with some freezing temperatures possible inland. A coastal trough and approaching cold front may bring some showers late Tuesday and Tuesday night. Low pressure is expected to develop in the eastern Gulf of Mexico mid week and may bring unsettled weather to the eastern Carolinas Thursday and Friday as it moves northeast. High pressure early next weekend will be followed by the passage of a cold front next Sunday. Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable. Brotak Wind Profile today. Fog potential for tonight...None. NCZ105>110-200130- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover- Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 420 AM EST Sun Nov 19 2017 Today Tonight Mon Cloud amount PCldy Clear Clear Precip chc (%) 40 0 0 Precip type Showers None None LAL 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 65 33 57 Wnd20ft/early(mph) W 13 G27 NW 8 N 6 G20 Wnd20ft/late(mph) NW 12 G22 N 7 G21 N 3 Precip amount 0.03 0.00 0.00 Precip duration 1 Inversion None 1900 43/0900 Dispersion Fair Max/Min RH (%) 40 83 29 DSI 2 1 Haines Index 2 5 4 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 3710 2380 Transport wnd (mph) NW 18 N 6 Ventilation rate 66780 14280 ADI early 51 Gen good 7 poor 21 Fair ADI late 50 Gen good 5 Very poor 19 Gen poor Max LVORI early 3 3 4 Max LVORI late 1 4 2 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 96 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 56 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Warmer. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 61 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 78 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph. .THANKSGIVING DAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 54 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 54 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ NCZ096-099-200130- Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 420 AM EST Sun Nov 19 2017 Today Tonight Mon Cloud amount MClear Clear Clear Precip chc (%) 40 0 0 Precip type Showers None None LAL 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 64 33 57 Wnd20ft/early(mph) NW 12 G23 NW 6 N 3 Wnd20ft/late(mph) NW 11 G22 N 4 N 3 Precip amount 0.01 0.00 0.00 Precip duration 0 Inversion None 1900 42/0900 Dispersion Fair Max/Min RH (%) 36 80 28 DSI 2 1 Haines Index 3 5 4 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 3720 2390 Transport wnd (mph) NW 17 N 5 Ventilation rate 63240 11950 ADI early 50 Gen good 7 poor 18 Gen poor ADI late 47 Gen good 3 Very poor 16 Gen poor Max LVORI early 3 3 4 Max LVORI late 1 4 2 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 95 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 53 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Not as cool. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 58 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 78 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .THANKSGIVING DAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 51 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 52 percent. West winds around 5 mph. $$ NCZ087-200130- Robeson- Including the city of Lumberton 420 AM EST Sun Nov 19 2017 Today Tonight Mon Cloud amount MClear Clear Clear Precip chc (%) 0 0 0 Precip type None None None LAL 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 63 33 57 Wnd20ft/early(mph) NW 12 G22 NW 7 N 3 Wnd20ft/late(mph) NW 11 G22 N 3 N 3 Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip duration Inversion None 1900 41/0900 Dispersion Poor Max/Min RH (%) 36 79 28 DSI 2 1 Haines Index 3 5 4 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 3700 2430 Transport wnd (mph) NW 16 N 3 Ventilation rate 59200 7290 ADI early 47 Gen good 7 poor 18 Gen poor ADI late 45 Gen good 3 Very poor 14 Gen poor Max LVORI early 3 3 4 Max LVORI late 1 4 2 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 50 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Not as cool. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 56 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 80 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .THANKSGIVING DAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 45 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 48 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 96 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 49 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ053>056-200130- Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown- Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, and Murrells Inlet 420 AM EST Sun Nov 19 2017 Today Tonight Mon Cloud amount PCldy Clear Clear Precip chc (%) 40 0 0 Precip type Showers None None LAL 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 65 35 58 Wnd20ft/early(mph) NW 12 G24 NW 7 N 6 Wnd20ft/late(mph) NW 10 G22 N 6 G20 NE 4 Precip amount 0.01 0.00 0.00 Precip duration 1 Inversion None 1900 44/0900 Dispersion Fair Max/Min RH (%) 38 83 32 DSI 2 1 Haines Index 3 4 4 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 3800 2400 Transport wnd (mph) NW 18 N 7 Ventilation rate 68400 16800 ADI early 53 Gen good 7 poor 20 Gen poor ADI late 51 Gen good 4 Very poor 20 Gen poor Max LVORI early 3 3 4 Max LVORI late 1 4 2 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 94 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 58 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Warmer. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 63 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 81 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .THANKSGIVING DAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 54 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 55 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ024-032-033-039-200130- Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 420 AM EST Sun Nov 19 2017 Today Tonight Mon Cloud amount MClear Clear Clear Precip chc (%) 0 0 0 Precip type None None None LAL 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 64 34 58 Wnd20ft/early(mph) NW 11 G22 NW 6 N 4 Wnd20ft/late(mph) NW 10 G21 N 4 NE 3 Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip duration Inversion None 1900 42/0900 Dispersion Fair Max/Min RH (%) 36 81 28 DSI 2 1 Haines Index 3 4 4 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 3780 2430 Transport wnd (mph) NW 16 NE 6 Ventilation rate 60480 14580 ADI early 49 Gen good 6 Very poor 18 Gen poor ADI late 46 Gen good 2 Very poor 17 Gen poor Max LVORI early 3 3 4 Max LVORI late 1 4 2 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 93 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 53 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Not as cool. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 58 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 81 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .THANKSGIVING DAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 49 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 95 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 50 percent. West winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-200130- Marlboro-Darlington- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, and North Hartsville 420 AM EST Sun Nov 19 2017 Today Tonight Mon Cloud amount MClear Clear Clear Precip chc (%) 0 0 0 Precip type None None None LAL 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 63 33 58 Wnd20ft/early(mph) NW 11 G21 NW 6 LGT/VAR Wnd20ft/late(mph) NW 10 G21 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip duration Inversion None 1900 41/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Max/Min RH (%) 35 80 29 DSI 2 1 Haines Index 4 4 4 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 3750 2510 Transport wnd (mph) NW 15 N 2 Ventilation rate 56250 5020 ADI early 44 Gen good 7 poor 15 Gen poor ADI late 43 Gen good 2 Very poor 12 poor Max LVORI early 3 3 4 Max LVORI late 1 4 2 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 52 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Not as cool. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 58 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 81 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .THANKSGIVING DAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 48 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 97 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 48 percent. West winds around 5 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures below normal. Precipitation below normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== 0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$ 27

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