Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000 FNUS52 KILM 221924 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 324 PM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017 .DISCUSSION... High pressure will expand across the area from the western Atlantic through Wednesday, allowing the heat and high humidity to continue. A cold front will track across the Eastern Carolinas from the northwest late Wednesday and Thursday then pass of the coast Thursday night. Canadian high pressure will build in behind the front bringing drier and breezier weather with slightly below normal temps for the weekend. Fog potential for tonight...Moderate/High. NCZ105>110-231130- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover- Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 324 PM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017 Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu Cloud amount PCldy PCldy MCldy MCldy Precip chc (%) 20 40 70 70 Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 3 4 4 Min/Max Temp 75 91 74 85 Wnd20ft/early(mph) SW 6 SW 5 SW 7 LGT/VAR Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 4 SW 7 SW 5 W 3 Precip amount 0.02 0.18 0.29 0.37 Precip duration 1 2 7 9 Inversion 1900 80/0900 1900 77/0900 Dispersion Fair Fair Max/Min RH (%) 93 61 97 70 DSI 2 2 Haines Index 3 3 3 3 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 5960 4660 Transport wnd (mph) SW 13 W 7 Ventilation rate 77480 32620 ADI early 27 Fair 43 Gen good 28 Fair 10 poor ADI late 3 Very poor 49 Gen good 6 Very poor 22 Fair Max LVORI early 5 6 5 8 Max LVORI late 6 3 7 3 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 91 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 84 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 87 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 86 percent. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 75 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. $$ NCZ087-096-099-231130- Robeson-Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 324 PM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017 Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu Cloud amount PCldy PCldy MCldy MCldy Precip chc (%) 0 40 70 60 Precip type None Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 1 3 4 4 Min/Max Temp 74 91 73 84 Wnd20ft/early(mph) S 5 SW 5 SW 5 LGT/VAR Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 4 SW 6 W 3 N 3 Precip amount 0.00 0.15 0.33 0.30 Precip duration 2 8 3 Inversion 1900 79/0900 1900 76/0900 Dispersion Poor Poor Max/Min RH (%) 96 53 98 65 DSI 2 2 Haines Index 3 4 4 3 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 7180 5370 Transport wnd (mph) SW 12 NW 7 Ventilation rate 86160 37590 ADI early 24 Fair 37 Fair 25 Fair 7 poor ADI late 2 Very poor 49 Gen good 3 Very poor 27 Fair Max LVORI early 6 7 6 9 Max LVORI late 6 2 7 4 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 86 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 86 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 87 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 84 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ053>056-231130- Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown- Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, and Murrells Inlet 324 PM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017 Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu Cloud amount PCldy PCldy MCldy MCldy Precip chc (%) 30 40 70 70 Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 3 4 4 Min/Max Temp 75 92 75 87 Wnd20ft/early(mph) S 6 SW 5 S 8 LGT/VAR Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 4 SW 7 SW 6 SW 3 Precip amount 0.03 0.13 0.31 0.36 Precip duration 1 2 7 9 Inversion 1900 80/0900 1900 78/0900 Dispersion Poor Fair Max/Min RH (%) 93 54 97 66 DSI 2 2 Haines Index 3 3 3 3 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 6670 4960 Transport wnd (mph) SW 10 W 6 Ventilation rate 66700 29760 ADI early 22 Fair 38 Fair 23 Fair 13 Gen poor ADI late 2 Very poor 43 Gen good 8 poor 21 Fair Max LVORI early 5 6 4 7 Max LVORI late 6 2 6 3 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 84 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 83 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 85 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 84 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-231130- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 324 PM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017 Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu Cloud amount PCldy PCldy MCldy MCldy Precip chc (%) 30 40 70 60 Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 3 4 4 Min/Max Temp 74 93 73 88 Wnd20ft/early(mph) S 5 SW 5 SW 5 LGT/VAR Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 4 SW 7 W 4 LGT/VAR Precip amount 0.02 0.13 0.28 0.25 Precip duration 1 2 7 2 Inversion 1900 79/0900 1900 76/0900 Dispersion Poor Fair Max/Min RH (%) 94 50 98 62 DSI 3 2 Haines Index 3 3 4 3 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 7680 5570 Transport wnd (mph) SW 12 NW 6 Ventilation rate 92160 33420 ADI early 20 Gen poor 39 Fair 27 Fair 9 poor ADI late 2 Very poor 55 Gen good 5 Very poor 25 Fair Max LVORI early 5 6 5 8 Max LVORI late 6 1 7 3 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 91 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 85 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 83 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 85 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 80 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures below normal. Precipitation near normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== 0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$ 5

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