Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook) Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
000
FNUS52 KILM 230807
FWFILM
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
407 AM EDT THU MAY 23 2013
.DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING
COLD FRONT. THE FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS OVER
THE WEEKEND. THE HIGH WILL MOVE OFF THE COAST EARLY NEXT WEEK AND
WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM TO NORMAL READINGS FOR LATE MAY.
WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS UNFAVORABLE
TYPE I-F. MAXIMUM WIND SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 21 KT AT 800 FEET AGL
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...NONE.
NCZ105>110-240015-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
407 AM EDT THU MAY 23 2013
TODAY TONIGHT FRI
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 50 30 20
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
LAL 2 2 2
MAX/MIN TEMP 82 64 83
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S 7 S 8 W 8
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 10 SW 7 NW 11
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.28 0.10 0.01
PRECIP DURATION 3 2 1
INVERSION 74/0900 2100 72/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%) 63 99 38
DSI 2 3
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4270 7890
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 15 NW 17
VENTILATION RATE 64050 134130
ADI EARLY 35 FAIR 32 FAIR 43 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE 45 GEN GOOD 8 POOR 62 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 5 6
MAX LVORI LATE 3 7 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
MINIMUM RH 26 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. MINIMUM RH 28 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-240015-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
407 AM EDT THU MAY 23 2013
TODAY TONIGHT FRI
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 50 40 10
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS
LAL 2 2 2
MAX/MIN TEMP 84 63 81
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S 5 S 6 NW 9
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 8 SW 6 NW 13
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.21 0.13 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 3 3 1
INVERSION 75/1000 2100 69/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%) 60 97 36
DSI 3 3
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5460 7920
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 13 NW 18
VENTILATION RATE 70980 142560
ADI EARLY 31 FAIR 29 FAIR 49 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE 42 GEN GOOD 10 POOR 70 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 5 5
MAX LVORI LATE 2 6 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. MINIMUM RH 25 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. MINIMUM RH 25 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
$$
SCZ053>056-240015-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
407 AM EDT THU MAY 23 2013
TODAY TONIGHT FRI
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 40 20 0
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE
LAL 2 2 1
MAX/MIN TEMP 85 64 85
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S 5 SW 8 NW 9
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 9 SW 8 NW 13
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.11 0.07 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 2 1
INVERSION 76/1000 2100 71/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%) 61 94 37
DSI 3 3
HAINES INDEX 3 4 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5290 8110
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 15 NW 20
VENTILATION RATE 79350 162200
ADI EARLY 32 FAIR 29 FAIR 54 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE 46 GEN GOOD 11 POOR 71 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 4 5
MAX LVORI LATE 3 5 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
MINIMUM RH 29 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-240015-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON
407 AM EDT THU MAY 23 2013
TODAY TONIGHT FRI
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 60 60 0
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE
LAL 2 2 1
MAX/MIN TEMP 85 62 79
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S 5 SW 6 NW 10
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW 7 W 6 NW 15 G20
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.16 0.11 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 3 3
INVERSION 75/1000 2100 67/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%) 55 95 34
DSI 3 3
HAINES INDEX 3 4 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 6400 7780
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 13 NW 22
VENTILATION RATE 83200 171160
ADI EARLY 31 FAIR 26 FAIR 55 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE 43 GEN GOOD 10 POOR 78 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 5 5
MAX LVORI LATE 1 6 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. MINIMUM RH 25 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80.
MINIMUM RH 25 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-240015-
FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
407 AM EDT THU MAY 23 2013
TODAY TONIGHT FRI
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 50 40 0
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE
LAL 2 2 1
MAX/MIN TEMP 85 63 83
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S 4 SW 7 NW 10
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW 8 W 7 NW 15 G20
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.13 0.08 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 2 2
INVERSION 76/1000 2100 68/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%) 57 94 35
DSI 3 4
HAINES INDEX 3 4 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5950 8160
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 14 NW 21
VENTILATION RATE 83300 171360
ADI EARLY 29 FAIR 28 FAIR 57 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE 45 GEN GOOD 11 POOR 77 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 5 5
MAX LVORI LATE 1 5 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. MINIMUM RH 25 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 28 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
$$
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