Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook) Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
000
FNUS52 KILM 211926
FWFILM
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
326 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013
.DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON WILL DISSIPATE
THIS EVENING. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL DECREASE ON
WEDNESDAY WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING A LITTLE. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE ON THURSDAY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT
WILL CROSS THE REGION EARLY FRIDAY. COOLER AND DRIER WEATHER WILL
DEVELOP FOR THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN TO NORMAL EARLY
NEXT WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OFF THE EAST COAST.
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...MODERATE.
NCZ105>110-221130-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
326 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD AMOUNT PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 20 30 50
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
LAL 3 2 2 3
MIN/MAX TEMP 66 83 68 82
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S 7 S 7 S 8 S 7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 5 S 10 S 7 S 10
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.01 0.06 0.14
PRECIP DURATION 1 2 5
INVERSION 2000 73/0900 2000 73/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%) 100 58 90 60
DSI 3 2
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4420 2790
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 21 S 18
VENTILATION RATE 92820 50220
ADI EARLY 40 FAIR 35 FAIR 48 GEN GOOD 40 FAIR
ADI LATE 1 VERY POOR 65 GOOD 1 VERY POOR 45 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 10 6 6
MAX LVORI LATE 10 2 6 2
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY THROUGH TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-221130-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
326 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD AMOUNT PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 30 30 20 50
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
LAL 3 3 3 3
MIN/MAX TEMP 65 83 67 82
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S 7 S 7 S 8 S 5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 6 S 9 S 5 S 8
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.02 0.01 0.03 0.15
PRECIP DURATION 1 2 2 4
INVERSION 2000 71/0900 2000 72/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%) 100 59 93 58
DSI 3 2
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4940 3120
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 20 S 17
VENTILATION RATE 98800 53040
ADI EARLY 32 FAIR 34 FAIR 47 GEN GOOD 25 FAIR
ADI LATE 1 VERY POOR 60 GEN GOOD 1 VERY POOR 50 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 10 6 7
MAX LVORI LATE 10 1 7 3
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY THROUGH TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
$$
SCZ053>056-221130-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
326 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD AMOUNT PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 20 20 40
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
LAL 3 2 2 3
MIN/MAX TEMP 64 84 68 82
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S 6 S 6 S 7 S 5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 5 S 9 S 5 S 8
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.02 0.04 0.11
PRECIP DURATION 1 1 4
INVERSION 2000 72/0900 2000 73/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%) 100 58 89 59
DSI 3 2
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4650 2940
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 18 SW 14
VENTILATION RATE 83700 41160
ADI EARLY 28 FAIR 30 FAIR 43 GEN GOOD 25 FAIR
ADI LATE 1 VERY POOR 56 GEN GOOD 1 VERY POOR 40 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 10 6 6
MAX LVORI LATE 10 2 6 3
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY THROUGH TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-221130-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON
326 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD AMOUNT PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 30 30 20 40
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
LAL 3 3 3 3
MIN/MAX TEMP 65 85 67 83
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S 6 S 6 S 6 S 4
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 6 S 8 S 5 SW 6
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.13
PRECIP DURATION 1 2 1 4
INVERSION 2000 71/0900 2000 71/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%) 100 54 96 55
DSI 3 3
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5500 3560
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 14 SW 9
VENTILATION RATE 77000 32040
ADI EARLY 25 FAIR 31 FAIR 38 FAIR 16 GEN POOR
ADI LATE 1 VERY POOR 43 GEN GOOD 1 VERY POOR 24 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 10 7 8
MAX LVORI LATE 10 1 8 3
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80.
MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY THROUGH TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-221130-
FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
326 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD AMOUNT PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 40 20 20 40
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
LAL 3 3 3 3
MIN/MAX TEMP 64 84 67 83
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S 6 S 5 S 6 S 4
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 5 S 8 S 4 SW 6
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.12
PRECIP DURATION 1 1 1 4
INVERSION 2000 71/0900 2000 72/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%) 100 56 94 55
DSI 3 2
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5240 3610
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 16 SW 8
VENTILATION RATE 83840 28880
ADI EARLY 25 FAIR 25 FAIR 40 FAIR 12 POOR
ADI LATE 1 VERY POOR 49 GEN GOOD 1 VERY POOR 25 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY 8 10 6 8
MAX LVORI LATE 10 1 8 2
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY THROUGH TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
$$
III