Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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450
FNUS52 KILM 231921
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
321 PM EDT Sun Jul 23 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Hot and humid weather will continue through Monday. A cold front
will stall across South Carolina late Tuesday and Wednesday,
enhancing the potential of drenching thunderstorms. The front
should dissipate on Thursday, but a stronger cold front will move
into the area from the north next weekend bringing more
thunderstorms.

Fog potential for tonight...none.

NCZ105>110-241130-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
321 PM EDT Sun Jul 23 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           60           60           60
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            4            4            4
Min/Max Temp          77           90           76           90
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW 10 G22    SW  9 G20    SW  9        SW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  8        SW 10 G20    SW  7        SW  6
Precip amount         0.05         0.20         0.31         0.35
Precip duration       1            2            2            6
Inversion             None         None         2000         81/0900
Dispersion            Good                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        91           60           92           62
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4630                      3970
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 20                     SW 12
Ventilation rate                   92600                     47640
ADI early             53 Gen good  51 Gen good  42 Gen good  20 Gen poor
ADI late              9 poor       54 Gen good  8 poor       34 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            5            4            6
Max LVORI late        5            2            6            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-241130-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
321 PM EDT Sun Jul 23 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        40           60           50           60
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            4            3            4
Min/Max Temp          76           91           75           90
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  8        SW  8        SW  7        SW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  7        SW  8        SW  5        SW  3
Precip amount         0.09         0.21         0.30         0.36
Precip duration       2            2            2            5
Inversion             2000         78/0800      2000         80/1000
Dispersion            Good                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        92           57           98           57
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5240                      4370
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 17                     SW  8
Ventilation rate                   89080                     34960
ADI early             39 Fair      33 Fair      39 Fair      15 Gen poor
ADI late              8 poor       55 Gen good  6 Very poor  33 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            5            5            8
Max LVORI late        5            1            8            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-241130-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
321 PM EDT Sun Jul 23 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           50           60           60
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            3            4            4
Min/Max Temp          75           91           75           90
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW 10 G21    SW  8        SW  8        SW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  8        SW 10        SW  5        S  5
Precip amount         0.05         0.20         0.26         0.35
Precip duration       1            2            2            8
Inversion             None         None         2000         81/0900
Dispersion            Good                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        89           57           95           62
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5280                      4510
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 16                     SW  9
Ventilation rate                   84480                     40590
ADI early             52 Gen good  39 Fair      36 Fair      12 poor
ADI late              8 poor       45 Gen good  5 Very poor  25 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            5            5            6
Max LVORI late        5            2            6            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-241130-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
321 PM EDT Sun Jul 23 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           60           50           60
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            4            3            4
Min/Max Temp          75           92           75           90
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  8        SW  7        SW  6        SW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  7        SW  9        SW  5        SW  3
Precip amount         0.06         0.21         0.23         0.33
Precip duration       1            2            2            5
Inversion             2000         77/0800      2000         80/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        91           55           97           60
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5380                      4410
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 15                     SW  7
Ventilation rate                   80700                     30870
ADI early             44 Gen good  30 Fair      34 Fair      16 Gen poor
ADI late              7 poor       48 Gen good  5 Very poor  27 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            5            5            7
Max LVORI late        5            1            8            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-241130-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
321 PM EDT Sun Jul 23 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        40           60           50           60
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            4            3            4
Min/Max Temp          75           92           75           91
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  7        SW  8        SW  7        SW  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  7        SW  8        SW  4        LGT/VAR
Precip amount         0.11         0.21         0.25         0.32
Precip duration       2            3            2            5
Inversion             2000         78/0800      2000         80/1000
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        93           53           97           55
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5410                      4700
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 14                     SW  7
Ventilation rate                   75740                     32900
ADI early             40 Fair      24 Fair      29 Fair      14 Gen poor
ADI late              8 poor       42 Gen good  5 Very poor  26 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            5            4            7
Max LVORI late        6            2            7            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

TRA



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