Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 042006
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
306 PM EST THU FEB 4 2016

.DISCUSSION...
SEVERAL WAVES OF LOW PRESSURE WILL CAUSE A COLD FRONT TO DRIFT
SLOWLY ACROSS THE EASTERN CAROLINAS AND OFFSHORE THIS EVENING.
THE LAST OF THESE WAVES WILL INTENSIFY OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA
COAST OVERNIGHT. COOL HIGH PRESSURE WILL ARRIVE FRIDAY AND PERSIST
THROUGH SATURDAY. LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OFFSHORE LATE SATURDAY
AND QUICKLY MOVE OFF TO THE NORTHEAST. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING A
QUICK BOUT OF RAIN WITH JUST A SMALL CHANCE OF SNOW MIXING IN.
ARCTIC AIR WILL ARRIVE FOR THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...NONE.

NCZ105>110-051215-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
306 PM EST THU FEB 4 2016

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        100          30           0            0
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          42           48           29           52
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NW  5        N 15 G31     N  6         NE  6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NW 11 G23    N 11 G23     NE  5        N  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.96         0.04         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       9            1
INVERSION             NONE         NONE         2100         35/0800
MAX/MIN RH (%)        94           44           80           38
DSI                                2                         2
HAINES INDEX          2            4            4            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                4170                      3840
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 15                      N 12
VENTILATION RATE                   62550                     46080
ADI EARLY             15 GEN POOR  69 GOOD      10 POOR      33 FAIR
ADI LATE              24 FAIR      60 GEN GOOD  3 VERY POOR  38 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            3            3            4
MAX LVORI LATE        5            1            4            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 85 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 15 TO
20 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 82 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 86 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO
20 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. MAXIMUM RH
76 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH
46 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH
84 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH
43 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-051215-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
306 PM EST THU FEB 4 2016

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        100          20           0            0
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          39           48           28           52
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)N  7         N 14 G23     N  4         NE  4
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) N 11 G23     N 11 G20     NE  3        N  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.58         0.02         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       8            1
INVERSION             NONE         NONE         2100         33/0800
MAX/MIN RH (%)        96           41           81           36
DSI                                2                         2
HAINES INDEX          2            4            5            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                4180                      4420
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 15                      N 10
VENTILATION RATE                   62700                     44200
ADI EARLY             17 GEN POOR  65 GOOD      10 POOR      32 FAIR
ADI LATE              26 FAIR      60 GEN GOOD  2 VERY POOR  39 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            3            3            4
MAX LVORI LATE        4            1            4            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 82 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 85 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
54 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 87 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
77 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH
45 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH
81 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-051215-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
306 PM EST THU FEB 4 2016

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        100          0            0            20
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         NONE         RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          40           49           29           52
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NW  6        N 15 G27     N  7         NE  7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NW 10 G23    N 12 G24     NE  6        NE  8
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.59         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       7                                      1
INVERSION             NONE         NONE         2100         36/0800
MAX/MIN RH (%)        97           41           78           40
DSI                                2                         2
HAINES INDEX          2            4            4            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                4160                      3840
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 16                      N 13
VENTILATION RATE                   66560                     49920
ADI EARLY             17 GEN POOR  68 GOOD      11 POOR      26 FAIR
ADI LATE              30 FAIR      59 GEN GOOD  3 VERY POOR  39 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            3            3            4
MAX LVORI LATE        5            1            4            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. MAXIMUM RH 87 PERCENT. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
84 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 82 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO
20 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. MAXIMUM RH
74 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH
43 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
77 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-051215-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
306 PM EST THU FEB 4 2016

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        90           0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          38           49           28           52
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NW  5        N 15 G23     N  5         NE  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NW 12 G24    N 11 G21     NE  4        NE  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.34         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       7
INVERSION             NONE         NONE         2100         34/0800
MAX/MIN RH (%)        97           36           78           35
DSI                                2                         2
HAINES INDEX          2            4            5            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                4180                      4270
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 15                      N 12
VENTILATION RATE                   62700                     51240
ADI EARLY             17 GEN POOR  59 GEN GOOD  10 POOR      28 FAIR
ADI LATE              29 FAIR      60 GEN GOOD  2 VERY POOR  39 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            3            3            4
MAX LVORI LATE        4            1            4            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 83 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS
AROUND 50. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
86 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 83 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO
20 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
74 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH
41 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH
77 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

40


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