Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 191911
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
311 PM EDT Mon Jun 19 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Bermuda high pressure will remain offshore all week. A tropical
disturbance moving into the Gulf of Mexico may become a
Tropical Storm by Tuesday. While this system will remain too far
south and west for any direct impact on the Carolinas, enhanced
moisture moving northward Tuesday and Wednesday will create plenty
of showers and thunderstorms. Thunderstorm activity should become more
scattered in nature the remainder of the week.

Fog potential for tonight...Low

NCZ105>110-201115-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
311 PM EDT Mon Jun 19 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        Cloudy       MCldy
Precip chc (%)        60           70           70           70
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   4            4            4            4
Min/Max Temp          74           83           70           82
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S 12 G25     SW  7 G20    SW  5        SW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  8        SW  7 G20    SW  4        SW  5
Precip amount         0.11         0.49         0.39         0.27
Precip duration       2            5            9            9
Inversion             2100         78/0800      2100         73/0800
Dispersion            Good                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        97           69           99           68
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3230                      3230
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 13                     SW 23
Ventilation rate                   41990                     74290
ADI early             75 Good      29 Fair      23 Fair      47 Gen good
ADI late              9 poor       31 Fair      17 Gen poor  58 Gen good
Max LVORI early       5            7            5            6
Max LVORI late        6            3            6            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-201115-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
311 PM EDT Mon Jun 19 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        70           70           70           70
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   4            4            4            4
Min/Max Temp          74           83           70           82
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S 10 G22     SW  6        S  4         SW  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  6        SW  5        SW  3        SW  5
Precip amount         0.16         0.56         0.38         0.21
Precip duration       3            7            9            7
Inversion             2100         76/0700      2100         72/0800
Dispersion            Fair                      Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        97           68           99           66
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3370                      3370
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 13                     W 17
Ventilation rate                   43810                     57290
ADI early             79 Good      28 Fair      26 Fair      34 Fair
ADI late              8 poor       31 Fair      11 poor      42 Gen good
Max LVORI early       5            7            6            8
Max LVORI late        7            3            8            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-201115-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
311 PM EDT Mon Jun 19 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        60           60           60           70
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   4            4            4            4
Min/Max Temp          75           83           70           82
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S 11 G24     SW  6        S  5         SW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  7        S  7 G20     LGT/VAR      S  5
Precip amount         0.07         0.49         0.33         0.25
Precip duration       3            7            5            9
Inversion             2100         78/0800      2100         73/0800
Dispersion            Good                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        96           69           97           67
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3250                      3250
Transport wnd (mph)                SW  9                     W 14
Ventilation rate                   29250                     45500
ADI early             61 Good      25 Fair      21 Fair      27 Fair
ADI late              9 poor       29 Fair      8 poor       36 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            6            5            7
Max LVORI late        6            3            7            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 91 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-201115-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
311 PM EDT Mon Jun 19 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        70           70           70           70
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   4            4            4            4
Min/Max Temp          73           83           69           83
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S 10 G21     SW  6        S  5         SW  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  6        SW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  5
Precip amount         0.15         0.54         0.35         0.20
Precip duration       3            7            9            7
Inversion             2100         76/0800      2100         72/0800
Dispersion            Fair                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        96           66           99           63
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3590                      3590
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 12                     W 14
Ventilation rate                   43080                     50260
ADI early             72 Good      28 Fair      28 Fair      28 Fair
ADI late              8 poor       32 Fair      9 poor       39 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            6            7            8
Max LVORI late        6            3            8            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 90 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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