Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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433
FNUS52 KILM 201917
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
317 PM EDT Mon Mar 20 2017

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will move offshore tonight. A cold front will bring showers
and a few thunderstorms to the area later Tuesday. Cold high pressure will
build in from the north Wednesday through Friday. This high will move offshore
for the weekend with warming temperatures.


Fog potential for tonight...low.

NCZ105>110-211130-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
317 PM EDT Mon Mar 20 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            50           30
Precip type           None         None         Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            1            3            2
Min/Max Temp          45           79           53           65
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  4        SW  8        SW  6        N  9
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  5        SW 11 G20    W  4         NE 10
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.08         0.02
Precip duration                                 3            2
Inversion             2000         55/0900      2000         54/0600
Max/Min RH (%)        88           42           95           40
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            4            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4260                      3680
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 16                     NE 20
Ventilation rate                   68160                     73600
ADI early             26 Fair      27 Fair      30 Fair      57 Gen good
ADI late              5 Very poor  45 Gen good  10 poor      58 Gen good
Max LVORI early       4            5            5            5
Max LVORI late        5            1            5            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Breezy. Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s.
Maximum RH 71 percent. Northeast winds 20 to 25 mph.
.THURSDAY...Breezy. Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
37 percent. Northeast winds 20 to 25 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
98 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Warmer. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
51 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Warmer. Lows in the lower 50s.
Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 61 percent. South winds
10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 92 percent. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 70s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-211130-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
317 PM EDT Mon Mar 20 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            60           40
Precip type           None         None         Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            1            3            2
Min/Max Temp          46           79           54           65
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  4        SW  8        SW  3        N 10
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  5         W  9         NW  3        NE 10
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.13         0.01
Precip duration                                 3            2
Inversion             2000         55/0900      2000         55/0600
Max/Min RH (%)        86           41           92           38
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            4            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4750                      3900
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 15                     NE 18
Ventilation rate                   71250                     70200
ADI early             25 Fair      31 Fair      29 Fair      70 Good
ADI late              4 Very poor  57 Gen good  12 poor      67 Good
Max LVORI early       3            5            4            4
Max LVORI late        4            1            5            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
63 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
31 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
90 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Warmer. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Warmer. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 59 percent. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 90 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. West winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-211130-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
317 PM EDT Mon Mar 20 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            40           30
Precip type           None         None         Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            1            3            2
Min/Max Temp          46           81           55           68
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  5         SW  8        SW  7        N  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  5        SW 12 G23    W  5         NE 10
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.04         0.01
Precip duration                                 3            2
Inversion             2000         57/0900      2000         58/0600
Max/Min RH (%)        83           40           93           42
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            4            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4710                      3890
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 17                     NE 18
Ventilation rate                   80070                     70020
ADI early             27 Fair      28 Fair      30 Fair      57 Gen good
ADI late              4 Very poor  50 Gen good  10 poor      57 Gen good
Max LVORI early       3            4            4            4
Max LVORI late        4            1            4            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Breezy. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s.
Maximum RH 65 percent. East winds 20 to 25 mph.
.THURSDAY...Breezy. Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
37 percent. Northeast winds 20 to 25 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
91 percent. East winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Warmer. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
53 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 61 percent. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 94 percent. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-211130-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
317 PM EDT Mon Mar 20 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            50           40
Precip type           None         None         Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            1            3            2
Min/Max Temp          47           82           56           68
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  4         SW  8        SW  6        N  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  5         W 12 G20     W  5         NE 10
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.05         0.01
Precip duration                                 3            2
Inversion             2000         56/0900      2000         58/0600
Max/Min RH (%)        82           39           92           39
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          4            3            4            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4930                      4230
Transport wnd (mph)                W 16                      NE 17
Ventilation rate                   78880                     71910
ADI early             29 Fair      33 Fair      30 Fair      65 Good
ADI late              3 Very poor  55 Gen good  11 poor      62 Good
Max LVORI early       3            4            3            4
Max LVORI late        3            1            4            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
60 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
30 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
81 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Warmer. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
46 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Warmer. Lows in the lower 50s.
Maximum RH 98 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 93 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-211130-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
317 PM EDT Mon Mar 20 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            60           40
Precip type           None         None         Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            1            3            2
Min/Max Temp          47           82           56           68
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  4        SW  8        W  4         N  9
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  6         W 10         N  5         NE  9
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.12         0.01
Precip duration                                 3            2
Inversion             2000         55/0900      2000         57/0600
Max/Min RH (%)        86           39           90           37
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            4            4            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5000                      4130
Transport wnd (mph)                W 13                      NE 15
Ventilation rate                   65000                     61950
ADI early             29 Fair      28 Fair      29 Fair      64 Good
ADI late              5 Very poor  46 Gen good  15 Gen poor  61 Good
Max LVORI early       3            4            3            4
Max LVORI late        4            1            4            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
59 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
28 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
79 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Warmer. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Warmer. Lows in the lower 50s.
Maximum RH 95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 89 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent. West winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

15



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