Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 190811
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
411 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Showers and thunderstorms will become more isolated in the
days ahead, as an upper ridge builds from the west. The ridge
will bring hot and humid conditions late this week through the
weekend. Rain chances may increase early next week, as a surface
trough deepens inland.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable

Fog potential for tonight...moderate

NCZ105>110-200015-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
411 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        20           0            20
Precip type           Tstms        None         Tstms
LAL                   2            1            2
Min/Max Temp          91           74           93
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  6         W  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  5         SW  5        S  8
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.01
Precip duration       1                         1
Inversion             79/1000      2100         80/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        55           97           51
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   7690                      7380
Transport wnd (mph)   W  7                      W  5
Ventilation rate      53830                     36900
ADI early             31 Fair      34 Fair      18 Gen poor
ADI late              31 Fair      3 Very poor  22 Fair
Max LVORI early       10           5            7
Max LVORI late        2            8            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-200015-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
411 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        20           0            0
Precip type           Tstms        None         None
LAL                   2            1            1
Min/Max Temp          91           73           94
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  4         W  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  5         SW  5
Precip amount         0.03         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Inversion             78/1000      2100         79/0900
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        52           99           46
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   7640                      7590
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  6                     SW  2
Ventilation rate      45840                     15180
ADI early             17 Gen poor  23 Fair      17 Gen poor
ADI late              40 Fair      3 Very poor  16 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       10           6            9
Max LVORI late        2            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 90 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-200015-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
411 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        20           0            20
Precip type           Tstms        None         Tstms
LAL                   2            1            2
Min/Max Temp          90           73           94
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  6         W  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  4        SW  5        S  7
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.01
Precip duration       1                         1
Inversion             79/1000      2100         81/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        57           98           48
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   7220                      8220
Transport wnd (mph)   W  6                      W  5
Ventilation rate      43320                     41100
ADI early             30 Fair      28 Fair      21 Fair
ADI late              38 Fair      3 Very poor  23 Fair
Max LVORI early       10           5            8
Max LVORI late        2            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-200015-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
411 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        20           0            0
Precip type           Tstms        None         None
LAL                   2            1            1
Min/Max Temp          91           73           94
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  4         W  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  4         SW  5
Precip amount         0.02         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Inversion             78/1000      2100         80/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        54           98           46
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   7280                      7970
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  6                     W  3
Ventilation rate      43680                     23910
ADI early             23 Fair      32 Fair      20 Gen poor
ADI late              43 Gen good  3 Very poor  22 Fair
Max LVORI early       10           6            9
Max LVORI late        2            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
92 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 91 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-200015-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
411 AM EDT Wed Jul 19 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        20           20           0
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        None
LAL                   2            2            1
Min/Max Temp          91           72           96
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  4         SW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  4         SW  5
Precip amount         0.02         0.01         0.00
Precip duration       1            0
Inversion             78/1000      2100         79/0900
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        50           99           40
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   7230                      9090
Transport wnd (mph)   W  6                      W  3
Ventilation rate      43380                     27270
ADI early             5 Very poor  22 Fair      13 Gen poor
ADI late              45 Gen good  3 Very poor  23 Fair
Max LVORI early       10           5            8
Max LVORI late        2            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
88 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH
42 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 86 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 89 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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