Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 191925
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
325 PM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017

.DISCUSSION...
An upper level disturbance will bring some cloud cover Wednesday
and Thursday but nothing more than very isolated showers at
best. High pressure will build in from the north for the
remainder of the week while hurricane Maria passes a very safe
distance off the coast.

Fog potential for tonight...Moderate

NCZ105>110-201130-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
325 PM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            20           30
Precip type           None         Showers      Showers      Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            3
Min/Max Temp          65           89           69           88
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  3         W  4         SW  5        LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  3         SW  5        SW  4        LGT/VAR
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.03
Precip duration                                 1            2
Inversion             2000         74/0900      2000         76/1000
Dispersion            Poor                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        95           47           99           52
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          5            4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6350                      7320
Transport wnd (mph)                W 10                      NW  3
Ventilation rate                   63500                     21960
ADI early             36 Fair      43 Gen good  26 Fair      8 poor
ADI late              2 Very poor  49 Gen good  4 Very poor  22 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            7            5            9
Max LVORI late        7            2            8            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-201130-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
325 PM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            20           30
Precip type           None         Showers      Showers      Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            3
Min/Max Temp          66           89           69           89
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      SW  3        SW  4        LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  3        SW  5        SW  3        LGT/VAR
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.03
Precip duration                                 1            2
Inversion             2000         73/0900      2000         75/1000
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        98           47           99           48
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          5            4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6550                      7890
Transport wnd (mph)                W 12                      NW  5
Ventilation rate                   78600                     39450
ADI early             36 Fair      45 Gen good  29 Fair      10 poor
ADI late              2 Very poor  52 Gen good  3 Very poor  36 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            9            6            10
Max LVORI late        7            1            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-201130-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
325 PM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            20           30
Precip type           None         Showers      Showers      Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            3
Min/Max Temp          65           89           68           90
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      SW  4        SW  4        LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  3        SW  5        SW  3        LGT/VAR
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.03
Precip duration                                 1            1
Inversion             2000         73/0900      2000         75/1000
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        98           48           98           49
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          4            4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6890                      7900
Transport wnd (mph)                W 12                      NW  3
Ventilation rate                   82680                     23700
ADI early             32 Fair      49 Gen good  31 Fair      15 Gen poor
ADI late              2 Very poor  58 Gen good  3 Very poor  31 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            10           5            10
Max LVORI late        8            1            8            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-201130-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
325 PM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            20           30
Precip type           None         Showers      Showers      Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            3
Min/Max Temp          66           90           70           88
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  3         SW  4        S  5         LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  3        SW  4        SW  4        LGT/VAR
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.05
Precip duration                                 1            1
Inversion             2000         75/0900      2000         77/1000
Dispersion            Poor                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        96           49           97           52
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          5            4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6530                      7580
Transport wnd (mph)                W  8                      NW  3
Ventilation rate                   52240                     22740
ADI early             28 Fair      40 Fair      19 Gen poor  11 poor
ADI late              2 Very poor  44 Gen good  4 Very poor  24 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            7            5            9
Max LVORI late        7            2            7            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-201130-
Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
325 PM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            20           30
Precip type           None         Showers      Showers      Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            3
Min/Max Temp          66           90           69           89
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      SW  3        S  4         LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  3        SW  4        SW  3        LGT/VAR
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.06
Precip duration                                 1            2
Inversion             2000         73/0900      2000         75/1000
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        99           48           99           51
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          4            4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6640                      7800
Transport wnd (mph)                W  9                      NW  5
Ventilation rate                   59760                     39000
ADI early             25 Fair      38 Fair      23 Fair      11 poor
ADI late              2 Very poor  44 Gen good  3 Very poor  37 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            9            5            10
Max LVORI late        8            1            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-201130-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
325 PM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            20           30
Precip type           None         Showers      Showers      Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            3
Min/Max Temp          65           90           68           90
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      SW  3        SW  3        LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  4        SW  3        LGT/VAR
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.03
Precip duration                                 1            1
Inversion             2000         72/0900      2000         74/1000
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        99           47           99           47
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          4            4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6780                      8120
Transport wnd (mph)                W 10                      NW  3
Ventilation rate                   67800                     24360
ADI early             22 Fair      43 Gen good  26 Fair      22 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  51 Gen good  3 Very poor  36 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            10           5            10
Max LVORI late        9            1            8            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
46 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

III


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