Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 200921
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
421 AM EST Mon Nov 20 2017

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure and tranquil weather will control the local
weather through tonight. A coastal trough just off the Carolina
coasts and an approaching cold front from the northwest will
combine to produce stratiform light rains late Tuesday and
Tuesday night ending with the cold frontal passage early
Wednesday. Weak high pressure will follow on Wednesday. Low
pressure with origins over the eastern Gulf of Mexico during
the mid week period, may bring unsettled weather to the local
area in the form of stratiform rains late Wednesday night
thru ThanksGiving Day Thursday. The low will accelerate
northeast away from the region by Friday with modest high
pressure slated for the upcoming weekend.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...Will range from NONE inland to LOW at the coast.

NCZ105>110-210130-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
421 AM EST Mon Nov 20 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          Clear        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            20
Precip type           None         None         Rain
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          58           36           68
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  4         E  3         LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  3        LGT/VAR      E  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration                                 1
Inversion             39/0800      1700         46/0800
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        29           100          55
DSI                   1                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2620                      2420
Transport wnd (mph)   N 10                      S 14
Ventilation rate      26200                     33880
ADI early             39 Fair      2 Very poor  8 poor
ADI late              37 Fair      1 Very poor  28 Fair
Max LVORI early       3            5            10
Max LVORI late        2            10           3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
64 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Colder. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
85 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain.
Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 92 percent. North winds 10 to
15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 50s. Minimum RH 52 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
90 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
80 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
56 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-210130-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
421 AM EST Mon Nov 20 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          Clear        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          58           34           66
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  3         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  3        LGT/VAR      E  4
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             38/0800      1700         43/0800
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        28           98           53
DSI                   1                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2740                      2470
Transport wnd (mph)   N  9                      SE 12
Ventilation rate      24660                     29640
ADI early             40 Fair      2 Very poor  7 poor
ADI late              32 Fair      1 Very poor  25 Fair
Max LVORI early       3            4            8
Max LVORI late        2            8            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
58 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the upper 30s.
Maximum RH 85 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 92 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
48 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
91 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
79 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
53 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-210130-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
421 AM EST Mon Nov 20 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          Clear        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          58           32           64
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  4         SE  3        LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  4
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             38/0800      1700         41/0800
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        28           95           52
DSI                   1                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2890                      1970
Transport wnd (mph)   N  7                      SE  7
Ventilation rate      20230                     13790
ADI early             36 Fair      2 Very poor  5 Very poor
ADI late              27 Fair      1 Very poor  13 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       3            4            7
Max LVORI late        2            8            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
54 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the upper 30s.
Maximum RH 84 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
91 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
78 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
51 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-210130-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
421 AM EST Mon Nov 20 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          Clear        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            20
Precip type           None         None         Rain
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          59           35           68
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  5        E  3         NE  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  4         LGT/VAR      E  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.01
Precip duration                                 1
Inversion             40/0800      1700         47/0800
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        30           100          58
DSI                   1                         2
Haines Index          4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2740                      2310
Transport wnd (mph)   NE 10                     SE 15
Ventilation rate      27400                     34650
ADI early             35 Fair      2 Very poor  9 poor
ADI late              34 Fair      2 Very poor  30 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            6            9
Max LVORI late        2            10           4

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
64 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Colder. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 86 percent. Northeast
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain.
Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 50s. Minimum RH 51 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
90 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
82 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
56 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-210130-
Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
421 AM EST Mon Nov 20 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          Clear        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          59           34           66
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  4        LGT/VAR      NE  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  3         LGT/VAR      NE  4
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             39/0800      1700         44/0800
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        28           97           54
DSI                   1                         2
Haines Index          4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2900                      2250
Transport wnd (mph)   NE  9                     SE 10
Ventilation rate      26100                     22500
ADI early             34 Fair      2 Very poor  8 poor
ADI late              32 Fair      1 Very poor  24 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            5            7
Max LVORI late        2            8            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows around 50. Maximum RH 100 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
58 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Colder. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 86 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 50s. Minimum RH 45 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
92 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
81 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
53 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-210130-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
421 AM EST Mon Nov 20 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          Clear        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          58           33           63
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  3         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  3
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             38/0800      1700         41/0800
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        27           94           53
DSI                   1                         2
Haines Index          4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3050                      1700
Transport wnd (mph)   NE  6                     E  5
Ventilation rate      18300                     8500
ADI early             24 Fair      2 Very poor  4 Very poor
ADI late              23 Fair      1 Very poor  9 poor
Max LVORI early       4            4            7
Max LVORI late        2            8            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
55 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the upper 30s.
Maximum RH 85 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
44 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
79 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
52 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

DCH



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