Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 280827
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
427 AM EDT Tue Mar 28 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front approaching from the west will bring scattered
showers and thunderstorms to the Carolinas today. Drier, but
still mild weather is expected Wednesday and Thursday behind
the front as high pressure builds in from the north. A warm front
will lift through from the south on Friday accompanied by another
period of showers and thunderstorms. Drier weather is expected
for the weekend into early next week. Mores showers and
thunderstorms expected late Monday into Tuesday.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...Low.

NCZ105>110-290030-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
427 AM EDT Tue Mar 28 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        50           40           0
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        None
LAL                   3            3            1
Min/Max Temp          78           56           77
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  5        SW  7        N  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 10        W  5         NE  7
Precip amount         0.14         0.05         0.00
Precip duration       2            1
Inversion             70/1100      2000         65/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        53           94           47
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5210                      5840
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 18                     N  9
Ventilation rate      93780                     52560
ADI early             21 Fair      40 Fair      39 Fair
ADI late              51 Gen good  3 Very poor  47 Gen good
Max LVORI early       5            5            6
Max LVORI late        2            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
48 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum
RH 70 percent. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. Southeast winds
15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s.
Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-290030-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
427 AM EDT Tue Mar 28 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        50           40           0
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        None
LAL                   3            3            1
Min/Max Temp          79           57           79
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  6        SW  6        N  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 11        NW  5        NE  7
Precip amount         0.14         0.04         0.00
Precip duration       2            1
Inversion             68/1100      2000         66/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        44           93           43
DSI                   2                         3
Haines Index          4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6440                      6200
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 21                     N  8
Ventilation rate      135240                    49600
ADI early             18 Gen poor  60 Gen good  42 Gen good
ADI late              68 Good      3 Very poor  48 Gen good
Max LVORI early       5            5            6
Max LVORI late        3            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 42 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum
RH 65 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. Southeast winds
15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s.
Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-290030-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
427 AM EDT Tue Mar 28 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        50           0            0
Precip type           Tstms        None         None
LAL                   3            1            1
Min/Max Temp          80           56           79
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  7        W  6         N  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 11        NW  5        NE  8
Precip amount         0.14         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       2
Inversion             69/1100      2000         66/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        43           92           41
DSI                   2                         3
Haines Index          3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6130                      6230
Transport wnd (mph)   W 22                      N  8
Ventilation rate      134860                    49840
ADI early             19 Gen poor  62 Good      41 Gen good
ADI late              71 Good      3 Very poor  47 Gen good
Max LVORI early       5            4            6
Max LVORI late        2            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
40 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 91 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum
RH 64 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. Southeast winds
15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-290030-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
427 AM EDT Tue Mar 28 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        50           0            0
Precip type           Tstms        None         None
LAL                   3            1            1
Min/Max Temp          82           57           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  6        SW  7        N  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 11        W  5         NE  5
Precip amount         0.13         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       2
Inversion             70/1100      2000         66/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        43           93           41
DSI                   2                         3
Haines Index          4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6420                      6270
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 17                     N  7
Ventilation rate      109140                    43890
ADI early             21 Fair      42 Gen good  29 Fair
ADI late              60 Gen good  3 Very poor  37 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            5            6
Max LVORI late        2            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
51 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum
RH 69 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. Southeast winds
15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-290030-
Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
427 AM EDT Tue Mar 28 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        50           0            0
Precip type           Tstms        None         None
LAL                   3            1            1
Min/Max Temp          82           57           81
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  6        W  6         N  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 11        NW  5        NE  6
Precip amount         0.12         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       2
Inversion             71/1100      2000         66/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        42           91           38
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6560                      6240
Transport wnd (mph)   W 21                      N  7
Ventilation rate      137760                    43680
ADI early             28 Fair      49 Gen good  33 Fair
ADI late              72 Good      3 Very poor  41 Gen good
Max LVORI early       7            3            7
Max LVORI late        1            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
44 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum
RH 61 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. Southeast winds
15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
43 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-290030-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
427 AM EDT Tue Mar 28 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        40           0            0
Precip type           Tstms        None         None
LAL                   3            1            1
Min/Max Temp          81           56           81
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  7        W  5         N  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 11        NW  5        NE  6
Precip amount         0.13         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       2
Inversion             71/1100      2000         66/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        41           90           40
DSI                   2                         3
Haines Index          3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6650                      6240
Transport wnd (mph)   W 21                      N  7
Ventilation rate      139650                    43680
ADI early             22 Fair      54 Gen good  35 Fair
ADI late              71 Good      3 Very poor  39 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            3            6
Max LVORI late        1            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
43 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum
RH 62 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. Southeast winds
10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
43 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

rgz



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