Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

000
FNUS52 KILM 180846
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
346 AM EST Sat Feb 18 2017

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will move offshore of the SE coast bringing milder
weather and a gradual increase in clouds through today. An
upper level disturbance may produce a few showers late today into
early Sunday. Mild to warm weather will prevail through next week.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...Low.

NCZ105>110-190100-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
346 AM EST Sat Feb 18 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            20           20
Precip type           NONE         showers      NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          74           49           71
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  5        SW  5        NW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  8        W  4         NW  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.00
Precip duration                    1            0
Inversion             62/1000      1800         60/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        29           93           41
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          5            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4270                      4700
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 21                     NW 15
Ventilation rate      89670                     70500
ADI early             21 Fair      10 poor      32 Fair
ADI late              79 Good      3 Very poor  60 Gen good
Max LVORI early       5            5            6
Max LVORI late        1            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH
42 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
85 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
96 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 70. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 70s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-190100-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
346 AM EST Sat Feb 18 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            20           20
Precip type           NONE         showers      NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          73           48           72
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  5        SW  5        NW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  8        W  3         NW  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration                    1            0
Inversion             59/1000      1800         58/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        28           91           40
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          5            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4050                      5140
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 21                     NW 17
Ventilation rate      85050                     87380
ADI early             19 Gen poor  12 poor      29 Fair
ADI late              75 Good      3 Very poor  71 Good
Max LVORI early       5            4            6
Max LVORI late        1            7            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
39 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
85 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
40 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
96 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-190100-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
346 AM EST Sat Feb 18 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            30           30
Precip type           NONE         showers      NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          73           49           71
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  4        SW  5        NW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  8        W  4         NW  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.00
Precip duration                    1            0
Inversion             62/1000      1800         60/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        30           91           42
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4070                      4920
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 18                     NW 14
Ventilation rate      73260                     68880
ADI early             18 Gen poor  10 poor      37 Fair
ADI late              65 Good      3 Very poor  55 Gen good
Max LVORI early       5            5            6
Max LVORI late        2            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
90 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
46 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 70s. Minimum RH 59 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-190100-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
346 AM EST Sat Feb 18 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            20           20
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          72           47           72
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  5        SW  5        NW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  9        W  4         NW  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration                    1            0
Inversion             58/1000      1800         59/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        29           91           40
DSI                   2                         3
Haines Index          4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4290                      5210
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 20                     NW 15
Ventilation rate      85800                     78150
ADI early             15 Gen poor  12 poor      28 Fair
ADI late              57 Gen good  3 Very poor  69 Good
Max LVORI early       4            4            6
Max LVORI late        1            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
39 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
88 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
40 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
93 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-190100-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
346 AM EST Sat Feb 18 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            20           20
Precip type           NONE         showers      NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          73           48           72
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  5        SW  5        NW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  9        W  4         NW  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.00
Precip duration                    1            0
Inversion             60/1000      1800         60/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        29           92           40
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            2            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4260                      5100
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 18                     NW 15
Ventilation rate      76680                     76500
ADI early             17 Gen poor  9 poor       32 Fair
ADI late              60 Gen good  3 Very poor  63 Good
Max LVORI early       4            5            6
Max LVORI late        1            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
40 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
92 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 42 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

rgz



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.