Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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081
FNUS52 KILM 102015
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
315 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016

.DISCUSSION...
DRY AND COLD WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY. A QUICK MOVING
AREA OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL PASS JUST SOUTH OF THE AREA LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT WHERE IT WILL PICK UP SOME ATLANTIC MOISTURE AS IT
MOVES OFFSHORE OF THE CAROLINA COAST FRIDAY. THIS WILL BRING SOME
LIGHT PRECIPITATION TO PORTIONS OF THE AREA AND PERHAPS A WINTRY
MIX FRIDAY MORNING. THE COLDEST AIR OF THE SEASON THUS FAR WILL
ARRIVE SATURDAY AND PREVAIL THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. A WARMUP WILL
BEGIN EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A CHANCE OF RAIN RETURNS.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...NONE.


NCZ105>110-111215-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
315 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            0            30
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         FRZ RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          20           42           25           42
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)W 12 G24     W  7         LGT/VAR      NE  6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) W  8         W  7         NE  3        N  4
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02
PRECIP DURATION                                              2
INVERSION             2100         30/0900      1800         CONTINUED
MAX/MIN RH (%)        66           31           73           48
DSI                                2                         1
HAINES INDEX          4            4            4            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                3560                      940
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      E  8
VENTILATION RATE                   49840                     7520
ADI EARLY             31 FAIR      37 FAIR      2 VERY POOR  10 POOR
ADI LATE              8 POOR       47 GEN GOOD  3 VERY POOR  10 POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       2            3            3            3
MAX LVORI LATE        3            2            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 19. MAXIMUM RH
52 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. MINIMUM RH 31 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH
74 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF
RAIN. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. NOT
AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 86 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH
44 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-111215-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
315 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            0            30
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         FRZ RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          20           42           25           40
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)W 10         W  6         LGT/VAR      NE  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) W  6         W  7         NE  4        N  3
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
PRECIP DURATION                                              1
INVERSION             2100         29/0900      1800         CONTINUED
MAX/MIN RH (%)        67           34           68           44
DSI                                2                         1
HAINES INDEX          4            4            4            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                3610                      920
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      E  6
VENTILATION RATE                   46930                     5520
ADI EARLY             33 FAIR      36 FAIR      2 VERY POOR  9 POOR
ADI LATE              6 VERY POOR  45 GEN GOOD  4 VERY POOR  7 POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       2            3            3            2
MAX LVORI LATE        3            2            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 19. MAXIMUM RH
53 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH
68 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF
RAIN. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS AROUND 50. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. NOT
AS COOL. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 89 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH
43 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-111215-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
315 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLEAR       CLEAR        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            0            20
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          21           46           30           46
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)W 12 G25     W  7         LGT/VAR      NE  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) W  8         W  6         NE  4        N  4
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02
PRECIP DURATION                                              1
INVERSION             2100         31/0900      1800         CONTINUED
MAX/MIN RH (%)        67           37           85           57
DSI                                2                         1
HAINES INDEX          4            3            4            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                3590                      940
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 10                      E  8
VENTILATION RATE                   35900                     7520
ADI EARLY             34 FAIR      27 FAIR      2 VERY POOR  12 POOR
ADI LATE              9 POOR       38 FAIR      4 VERY POOR  11 POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       2            3            4            3
MAX LVORI LATE        3            2            4            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.
MAXIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
73 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF
RAIN. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. NOT
AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 86 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH
46 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-111215-
FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
315 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            0            20
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          21           46           30           44
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)W 10         W  6         LGT/VAR      NE  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) W  6         W  5         NE  4        LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
PRECIP DURATION                                              1
INVERSION             2100         30/0900      1800         CONTINUED
MAX/MIN RH (%)        68           38           72           54
DSI                                2                         1
HAINES INDEX          4            3            3            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                3640                      960
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 10                      N  6
VENTILATION RATE                   36400                     5760
ADI EARLY             34 FAIR      24 FAIR      1 VERY POOR  11 POOR
ADI LATE              6 VERY POOR  36 FAIR      4 VERY POOR  9 POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       3            3            4            3
MAX LVORI LATE        3            2            3            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
94 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 20. MAXIMUM RH
52 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. MINIMUM RH 30 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
68 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF
RAIN. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. NOT
AS COOL. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 88 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 89 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH
43 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-111215-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON
315 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLEAR       CLEAR        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            0            20
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          20           43           27           39
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)W  7         W  6         LGT/VAR      NE  6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) W  4         NW  6        NE  5        N  3
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
PRECIP DURATION                                              1
INVERSION             2100         29/0900      1800         CONTINUED
MAX/MIN RH (%)        64           37           68           47
DSI                                2                         1
HAINES INDEX          4            4            3            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                3680                      930
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 10                      E  6
VENTILATION RATE                   36800                     5580
ADI EARLY             27 FAIR      30 FAIR      2 VERY POOR  9 POOR
ADI LATE              3 VERY POOR  38 FAIR      6 VERY POOR  8 POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       2            3            4            2
MAX LVORI LATE        3            2            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. MAXIMUM RH
94 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 19. MAXIMUM RH
51 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. MINIMUM RH 31 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH
62 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF
RAIN. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. NOT
AS COOL. LOWS AROUND 40. MAXIMUM RH 88 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 87 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH
42 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

27



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