Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 201911
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
311 PM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014

.DISCUSSION...
DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE OFF FLORIDA WILL LIFT NORTH THROUGH THE
WEEKEND...PASSING JUST OFF THE CAROLINA COASTS. THIS LOW PRESSURE
WILL REMAIN JUST FAR ENOUGH OFFSHORE SUCH THAT IMPACTS WILL BE
LIMITED...BUT SHOWERS AND SOME INCREASED WIND IS
LIKELY...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE
AREA MONDAY...WITH COOL HIGH PRESSURE FOLLOWING BEHIND IT THROUGH
THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...NONE.

NCZ105>110-211115-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
311 PM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        60           30           0            20
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         TSTMS
LAL                   1            1            1            2
MIN/MAX TEMP          66           84           65           83
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  9 G24    NW 11 G20    SW  8        W  7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) N 10 G21     W  9         SW  9        N  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.31         0.05         0.00         0.03
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         1
INVERSION             1900         75/1000      1900         74/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        92           48           83           48
DSI                                2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            4            4            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                4130                      3570
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 15                      SW  7
VENTILATION RATE                   61950                     24990
ADI EARLY             39 FAIR      35 FAIR      26 FAIR      17 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              8 POOR       60 GEN GOOD  7 POOR       35 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            5            3            5
MAX LVORI LATE        5            1            5            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
93 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
51 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS
15 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO
20 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO
20 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO
20 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO
20 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO
20 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-211115-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
311 PM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           0            0            20
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         TSTMS
LAL                   1            1            1            2
MIN/MAX TEMP          64           85           64           83
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  6        NW  7        SW  7        NW  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) N  7         W  7         SW  7        N  8
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.03
PRECIP DURATION       2                                      1
INVERSION             1900         74/1000      1900         73/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        96           44           84           47
DSI                                2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            4            4            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                4440                      3880
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     SW  9
VENTILATION RATE                   53280                     34920
ADI EARLY             40 FAIR      48 GEN GOOD  27 FAIR      34 FAIR
ADI LATE              11 POOR      57 GEN GOOD  10 POOR      40 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            6            3            5
MAX LVORI LATE        6            1            4            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
89 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
96 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
47 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
94 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-211115-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
311 PM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        60           0            0            20
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         TSTMS
LAL                   1            1            1            2
MIN/MAX TEMP          65           86           65           85
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)N  9 G23     NW  9        SW  6        W  6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) N 10 G20     W  7         SW  8        N  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.00         0.00         0.02
PRECIP DURATION       2                                      1
INVERSION             1900         75/1000      1900         74/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        94           47           85           49
DSI                                2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            4            5            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                4450                      3890
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     SW  6
VENTILATION RATE                   57850                     23340
ADI EARLY             36 FAIR      48 GEN GOOD  27 FAIR      17 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              8 POOR       57 GEN GOOD  7 POOR       30 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            5            4            5
MAX LVORI LATE        5            1            5            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
92 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
54 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO
20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. NORTHEAST
WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO
20 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO
20 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO
20 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-211115-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
311 PM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        30           0            0            20
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         TSTMS
LAL                   1            1            1            2
MIN/MAX TEMP          62           87           63           84
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  7        NW  6        SW  7        NW  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) N  7         W  6         SW  6        N  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.02
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1
INVERSION             1900         74/1000      1900         73/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        96           42           85           47
DSI                                2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            4            5            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                4500                      3940
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 10                     SW  7
VENTILATION RATE                   45000                     27580
ADI EARLY             57 GEN GOOD  47 GEN GOOD  27 FAIR      18 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              7 POOR       51 GEN GOOD  6 VERY POOR  40 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            6            3            5
MAX LVORI LATE        6            1            5            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
91 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
96 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
48 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

15




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