Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 191911
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
311 PM EDT Fri May 19 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Bermuda high pressure anchored off the Carolina Coast this weekend
will continue to ridge back across the area maintaining dry and warm
conditions. Showers and thunderstorms will begin to increase Sunday
night and continue through the middle of the week with a couple cold
fronts moving across the region.

Fog potential for tonight...Low

NCZ105>110-201115-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
311 PM EDT Fri May 19 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            30
Precip type           None         None         None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          66           90           67           86
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  7 G23     W  5         S  5         LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  4        S  6         LGT/VAR      SE  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.04
Precip duration                                              1
Inversion             2100         75/0900      2000         73/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        93           45           99           50
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5370                      4640
Transport wnd (mph)                SW  6                     S  8
Ventilation rate                   32220                     37120
ADI early             37 Fair      24 Fair      22 Fair      9 poor
ADI late              2 Very poor  25 Fair      1 Very poor  31 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            6            5            9
Max LVORI late        6            2            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs
in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
82 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
53 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-201115-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
311 PM EDT Fri May 19 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            30
Precip type           None         None         None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          66           90           67           87
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  7 G23     SW  4        S  7         LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  4         S  8         S  3         SE  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.03
Precip duration                                              1
Inversion             2100         75/0900      2000         73/0800
Dispersion            Poor                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        93           44           99           50
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          4            4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4780                      4900
Transport wnd (mph)                S  8                      S  9
Ventilation rate                   38240                     44100
ADI early             36 Fair      23 Fair      20 Gen poor  26 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  23 Fair      2 Very poor  46 Gen good
Max LVORI early       5            7            5            9
Max LVORI late        7            2            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs
in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
79 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
51 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-201115-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
311 PM EDT Fri May 19 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            20           40
Precip type           None         None         Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            1            2            2
Min/Max Temp          65           91           66           87
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  6         SW  4        S  5         LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  3        S  5         LGT/VAR      S  4
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.06
Precip duration                                 1            1
Inversion             2100         74/0900      2000         73/0900
Dispersion            Poor                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        94           40           99           47
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5650                      5270
Transport wnd (mph)                S  6                      S  7
Ventilation rate                   33900                     36890
ADI early             38 Fair      27 Fair      21 Fair      15 Gen poor
ADI late              2 Very poor  29 Fair      2 Very poor  23 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            7            5            10
Max LVORI late        7            2            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs
in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
79 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
50 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-201115-
Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
311 PM EDT Fri May 19 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            40
Precip type           None         None         None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          66           91           66           88
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  6         SW  3        S  6         LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  3         S  6         S  3         S  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.04
Precip duration                                              1
Inversion             2100         74/0900      2000         73/0900
Dispersion            Poor                      Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        94           40           98           47
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          4            4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5150                      5050
Transport wnd (mph)                S  7                      S 10
Ventilation rate                   36050                     50500
ADI early             35 Fair      22 Fair      24 Fair      27 Fair
ADI late              3 Very poor  28 Fair      2 Very poor  34 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            7            5            9
Max LVORI late        7            2            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs
in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
78 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-201115-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
311 PM EDT Fri May 19 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            40
Precip type           None         None         None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          66           91           67           88
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  6         SW  4        SE  5        SE  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  5        S  6         SE  3        S  3
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.04
Precip duration                                              1
Inversion             2100         73/0900      2000         72/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        91           39           97           47
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          4            4            5            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5590                      5060
Transport wnd (mph)                S  7                      SE 10
Ventilation rate                   39130                     50600
ADI early             32 Fair      21 Fair      24 Fair      16 Gen poor
ADI late              3 Very poor  30 Fair      2 Very poor  30 Fair
Max LVORI early       3            6            4            8
Max LVORI late        6            2            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance
of precipitation 50 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
80 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

III


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