Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook) Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
000
FNUS52 KILM 191916
FWFILM
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
316 PM EDT SUN MAY 19 2013
.DISCUSSION...
UNSETTLED CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEK
ALTHOUGH THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE THE
GREATEST MONDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION THIS
WEEKEND BRINGING COOLER AND DRIER AIR.
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW.
NCZ105>110-201130-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
316 PM EDT SUN MAY 19 2013
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 60 70 40 40
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
LAL 3 3 3 3
MIN/MAX TEMP 66 81 66 85
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S 9 S 9 S 9 SW 9
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 7 S 11 S 9 S 9
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.18 0.16 0.08 0.06
PRECIP DURATION 3 9 3 2
INVERSION 2000 74/1000 1800 76/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%) 99 60 99 51
DSI 2 3
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 3130 3310
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 20 SW 15
VENTILATION RATE 62600 49650
ADI EARLY 40 FAIR 39 FAIR 38 FAIR 16 GEN POOR
ADI LATE 13 GEN POOR 55 GEN GOOD 13 GEN POOR 16 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 6 4 5
MAX LVORI LATE 7 3 5 2
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
59 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-201130-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
316 PM EDT SUN MAY 19 2013
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 70 70 40 40
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
LAL 3 3 3 3
MIN/MAX TEMP 66 80 64 84
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S 8 S 7 S 7 SW 7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 6 S 9 S 7 S 7
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.33 0.18 0.08 0.06
PRECIP DURATION 6 9 3 2
INVERSION 2000 74/1000 1800 75/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%) 99 64 100 59
DSI 2 3
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 3360 4000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 17 SW 13
VENTILATION RATE 57120 52000
ADI EARLY 47 GEN GOOD 32 FAIR 35 FAIR 15 GEN POOR
ADI LATE 12 POOR 47 GEN GOOD 11 POOR 15 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 7 4 6
MAX LVORI LATE 7 3 7 2
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
SCZ053>056-201130-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
316 PM EDT SUN MAY 19 2013
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 60 70 40 40
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
LAL 3 3 3 3
MIN/MAX TEMP 67 81 65 85
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S 10 S 8 S 8 SW 6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 6 S 10 S 6 S 7
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.26 0.19 0.08 0.06
PRECIP DURATION 4 9 3 2
INVERSION 2000 74/1000 1800 75/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%) 98 63 100 55
DSI 2 3
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 3190 3940
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 17 S 13
VENTILATION RATE 54230 51220
ADI EARLY 40 FAIR 33 FAIR 32 FAIR 14 GEN POOR
ADI LATE 12 POOR 42 GEN GOOD 11 POOR 14 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 6 5 8
MAX LVORI LATE 7 3 8 2
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-201130-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON
316 PM EDT SUN MAY 19 2013
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 80 70 40 30
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
LAL 3 3 3 3
MIN/MAX TEMP 66 79 64 87
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S 8 S 6 S 6 SW 7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 6 S 8 S 6 S 6
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.45 0.18 0.08 0.05
PRECIP DURATION 7 9 3 2
INVERSION 2000 74/1000 1800 77/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%) 98 70 100 56
DSI 2 3
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 3270 4060
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 15 SW 12
VENTILATION RATE 49050 48720
ADI EARLY 46 GEN GOOD 26 FAIR 27 FAIR 14 GEN POOR
ADI LATE 10 POOR 32 FAIR 10 POOR 14 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 7 5 7
MAX LVORI LATE 8 3 8 2
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-201130-
FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
316 PM EDT SUN MAY 19 2013
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 70 70 40 40
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
LAL 3 3 3 3
MIN/MAX TEMP 67 80 65 85
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S 8 S 6 S 6 SW 5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 6 S 8 S 5 S 5
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.43 0.19 0.08 0.06
PRECIP DURATION 6 9 3 2
INVERSION 2000 74/1000 1800 76/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%) 98 66 100 57
DSI 2 3
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 3320 4440
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 15 S 12
VENTILATION RATE 49800 53280
ADI EARLY 42 GEN GOOD 28 FAIR 29 FAIR 13 GEN POOR
ADI LATE 10 POOR 34 FAIR 8 POOR 13 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 8 5 8
MAX LVORI LATE 8 3 8 2
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
$$
15