Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 221936
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
336 PM EDT Sat Apr 22 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A slow moving cold front will sink south into the area late tonight
before stalling. A complex storm system will develop along this
boundary and bring heavy rainfall and potentially strong to severe
thunderstorms late in the weekend and through Monday night. This
system will lift away from the area Tuesday with a return to
seasonable and dry weather by the middle of next week.

Fog potential for tonight...Low.

NCZ105>110-231145-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
336 PM EDT Sat Apr 22 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        MCldy        Cloudy
Precip chc (%)        30           70           100          100
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            4            4            2
Min/Max Temp          63           75           61           75
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW 10 G23    NE  4        E  8         SE  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  5        E  8         SE  7        SE  7
Precip amount         0.02         0.18         0.62         1.69
Precip duration       0            5            10           12
Inversion             2000         68/0900      2000         69/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Good
Max/Min RH (%)        97           70           100          68
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4210                      4930
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 14                     S 20
Ventilation rate                   58940                     98600
ADI early             41 Gen good  27 Fair      38 Fair      59 Gen good
ADI late              6 Very poor  36 Fair      9 poor       58 Gen good
Max LVORI early       5            7            6            8
Max LVORI late        8            3            8            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Rain. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Chance of rain 90 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 57 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
51 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
59 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-231145-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
336 PM EDT Sat Apr 22 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        Cloudy       Cloudy
Precip chc (%)        40           80           100          100
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            5            5            2
Min/Max Temp          61           75           60           74
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  8         NE  8        E  9         E  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  5         E  9         E  8         E  5
Precip amount         0.03         0.23         0.67         1.21
Precip duration       0            6            10           12
Inversion             2000         65/0900      2000         65/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Good
Max/Min RH (%)        97           68           100          70
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3810                      4490
Transport wnd (mph)                E 15                      SE 12
Ventilation rate                   57150                     53880
ADI early             44 Gen good  26 Fair      45 Gen good  33 Fair
ADI late              6 Very poor  43 Gen good  9 poor       40 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            6            5            9
Max LVORI late        7            3            8            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Rain. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Chance of rain 90 percent. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. North winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
47 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
52 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-231145-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
336 PM EDT Sat Apr 22 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        MCldy        Cloudy
Precip chc (%)        0            70           100          100
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            4            4            2
Min/Max Temp          65           80           64           74
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S 10 G23     S  5         SE 10        SE  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  6         SE  8        S  9         E  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.12         0.54         1.03
Precip duration                    2            9            12
Inversion             2000         71/0900      2000         69/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        94           59           99           72
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6230                      4510
Transport wnd (mph)                S 14                      SE 16
Ventilation rate                   87220                     72160
ADI early             39 Fair      44 Gen good  53 Gen good  49 Gen good
ADI late              6 Very poor  55 Gen good  10 poor      53 Gen good
Max LVORI early       4            6            5            8
Max LVORI late        6            2            7            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Rain. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Chance of rain 80 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
59 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-231145-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
336 PM EDT Sat Apr 22 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        Cloudy       Cloudy
Precip chc (%)        0            80           100          100
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            5            5            2
Min/Max Temp          62           80           60           74
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  8         E  6         SE  9        E  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  5         E  8         SE  7        E  9
Precip amount         0.00         0.20         0.68         0.71
Precip duration                    6            10           12
Inversion             2000         67/0900      2000         66/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Good
Max/Min RH (%)        95           57           98           65
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6020                      4900
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 13                     SE 14
Ventilation rate                   78260                     68600
ADI early             45 Gen good  26 Fair      48 Gen good  27 Fair
ADI late              5 Very poor  48 Gen good  9 poor       61 Good
Max LVORI early       4            6            5            9
Max LVORI late        6            2            6            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the upper 50s.
Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. North winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent. North winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
45 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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