Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook) Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
000
FNUS52 KILM 200826
FWFILM
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
426 AM EDT MON MAY 20 2013
.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WELL OFFSHORE WILL MAINTAIN A MOIST SOUTHERLY WIND
THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK. A SLOW-MOVING UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE OVER THE CAROLINAS WILL HELP PRODUCE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TODAY...BECOMING LESS NUMEROUS TUESDAY. A COLD
FRONT ON FRIDAY WILL USHER IN COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS FOR
THE WEEKEND.
WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW.
NCZ105>110-202100-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
426 AM EDT MON MAY 20 2013
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY PCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 40 50 30
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
LAL 2 2 2
MAX/MIN TEMP 81 65 83
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S 6 S 8 SW 7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 9 S 6 S 8
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.15 0.10 0.10
PRECIP DURATION 2 2 2
INVERSION 74/1000 2000 73/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%) 66 99 56
DSI 2 3
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 3500 4150
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 18 S 18
VENTILATION RATE 63000 74700
ADI EARLY 32 FAIR 39 FAIR 35 FAIR
ADI LATE 49 GEN GOOD 11 POOR 53 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 5 7
MAX LVORI LATE 3 7 2
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-202100-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
426 AM EDT MON MAY 20 2013
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 70 60 40
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
LAL 2 2 2
MAX/MIN TEMP 81 65 84
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S 5 S 6 SW 6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 7 S 5 S 7
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.55 0.13 0.11
PRECIP DURATION 5 3 2
INVERSION 74/1000 2000 73/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%) 67 99 56
DSI 2 3
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 3620 5130
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 17 S 15
VENTILATION RATE 61540 76950
ADI EARLY 34 FAIR 40 FAIR 32 FAIR
ADI LATE 49 GEN GOOD 8 POOR 49 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 5 8
MAX LVORI LATE 3 8 2
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM
RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
$$
SCZ053>056-202100-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
426 AM EDT MON MAY 20 2013
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 70 60 30
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
LAL 2 2 2
MAX/MIN TEMP 81 66 83
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S 5 S 7 S 5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 8 S 5 S 7
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.31 0.11 0.11
PRECIP DURATION 5 3 2
INVERSION 74/1000 2000 73/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%) 69 100 56
DSI 2 3
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 3550 4620
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 18 S 14
VENTILATION RATE 63900 64680
ADI EARLY 32 FAIR 38 FAIR 31 FAIR
ADI LATE 48 GEN GOOD 8 POOR 45 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 5 9
MAX LVORI LATE 3 9 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-202100-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON
426 AM EDT MON MAY 20 2013
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 70 50 40
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
LAL 2 2 2
MAX/MIN TEMP 81 65 86
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S 4 S 6 S 5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 6 S 6 S 4
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.52 0.05 0.10
PRECIP DURATION 5 2 2
INVERSION 74/1100 2000 73/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%) 68 99 54
DSI 2 3
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 3670 5680
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 13 S 9
VENTILATION RATE 47710 51120
ADI EARLY 29 FAIR 26 FAIR 26 FAIR
ADI LATE 34 FAIR 6 VERY POOR 31 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 6 9
MAX LVORI LATE 3 9 3
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
52 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-202100-
FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
426 AM EDT MON MAY 20 2013
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 70 60 40
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
LAL 2 2 2
MAX/MIN TEMP 81 66 85
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S 4 S 6 S 4
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 7 S 5 S 5
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.45 0.07 0.11
PRECIP DURATION 5 3 2
INVERSION 74/1000 2000 73/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%) 68 100 52
DSI 2 3
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 3680 5740
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 14 S 12
VENTILATION RATE 51520 68880
ADI EARLY 31 FAIR 28 FAIR 26 FAIR
ADI LATE 38 FAIR 8 POOR 36 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 6 9
MAX LVORI LATE 3 9 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
55 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
$$
TRA