Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 211939
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
239 PM EST SAT JAN 21 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A WARM FRONT OVER THE NC/SC BORDER WILL LIFT NORTH THROUGH
TONIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES UP INTO THE CAROLINAS. A MORE
COMPLEX AND POTENT STORM SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE CAROLINAS SUNDAY
INTO MONDAY WITH POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER DURING SUNDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS TODAY THROUGH
MONDAY SHOULD AMOUNT TO ONE TO THREE INCHES. THIS STORM SYSTEM
WILL SLOWLY DEPART THROUGH MONDAY LEAVING HIGH PRESSURE FOR
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THE NEXT COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE AREA ON THURSDAY.


FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...HIGH

NCZ105>110-221145-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BURGAW, SURF CITY, WILMINGTON, MASONBORO,
MYRTLE GROVE, OGDEN, CAROLINA BEACH, SEAGATE, BOILING SPRING LAKES,
LELAND, SHALLOTTE, OAK ISLAND, LONG BEACH, SOUTHPORT,
AND SUNSET BEACH
239 PM EST SAT JAN 21 2017

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           80           90           30
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS
LAL                   2            5            5            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          58           72           54           62
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    S  6         SW  7        S 12         SW 10 G22
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     SW  7        S 11 G21     SW 11        SW 11 G23
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.28         0.50         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       2            8            8            1
INVERSION             1800         61/0800      1800         57/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        100          77           100          61
DSI                                1                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                2920                      4740
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 20                      SW 20
VENTILATION RATE                   58400                     94800
ADI EARLY             8 POOR       16 GEN POOR  13 GEN POOR  23 FAIR
ADI LATE              8 POOR       44 GEN GOOD  13 GEN POOR  49 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            8            6            5
MAX LVORI LATE        9            4            6            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
86 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
90 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
96 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 40. MAXIMUM RH
80 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
46 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
76 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-221145-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LUMBERTON, ELIZABETHTOWN, BLADENBORO,
WHITEVILLE, TABOR CITY, CHADBOURN, AND LAKE WACCAMAW
239 PM EST SAT JAN 21 2017

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        70           80           90           40
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS
LAL                   2            5            5            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          58           72           53           61
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    S  7         S  7         S 11         SW 10 G20
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     SW  6        S 12 G22     SW 10        SW 11 G20
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.35         0.40         0.02
PRECIP DURATION       3            8            8            2
INVERSION             1800         61/0800      1800         56/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        100          74           100          64
DSI                                2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                3750                      4620
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 26                      SW 18
VENTILATION RATE                   97500                     83160
ADI EARLY             7 POOR       20 GEN POOR  17 GEN POOR  28 FAIR
ADI LATE              7 POOR       68 GOOD      11 POOR      54 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       8            8            7            5
MAX LVORI LATE        9            3            7            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
84 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
92 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
96 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
MAXIMUM RH 79 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
45 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
78 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-221145-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF CONWAY, RED HILL, MYRTLE BEACH, SOCASTEE,
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH, GARDEN CITY, LITTLE RIVER, ANDREWS, GEORGETOWN,
AND MURRELLS INLET
239 PM EST SAT JAN 21 2017

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        70           80           90           30
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS
LAL                   2            5            5            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          59           74           53           62
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    S  7         S  9 G20     S 13 G20     SW 11 G23
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     SW  6        S 14 G24     SW 11        SW 13 G23
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.35         0.36         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       3            10           7            1
INVERSION             1800         63/0800      1800         57/1100
MAX/MIN RH (%)        100          74           100          63
DSI                                1                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                3150                      4910
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 25                      W 21
VENTILATION RATE                   78750                     103110
ADI EARLY             8 POOR       26 FAIR      16 GEN POOR  32 FAIR
ADI LATE              7 POOR       60 GEN GOOD  12 POOR      64 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       8            8            5            4
MAX LVORI LATE        9            4            6            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
81 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
90 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 40. MAXIMUM RH
79 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
47 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
76 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-221145-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNETTSVILLE, MCCOLL, HARTSVILLE,
DARLINGTON, NORTH HARTSVILLE, DILLON, FLORENCE, MARION, MULLINS,
AND KINGSTREE
239 PM EST SAT JAN 21 2017

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        70           90           90           40
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS
LAL                   2            5            5            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          59           73           52           62
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    S  8         S  8 G20     S 12         SW 11 G21
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     SW  6        S 13 G22     SW 11        SW 13 G21
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.44         0.31         0.01
PRECIP DURATION       3            12           7            2
INVERSION             1800         62/0800      1800         56/1100
MAX/MIN RH (%)        100          74           99           64
DSI                                1                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            2            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                3860                      4550
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 22                      W 22
VENTILATION RATE                   84920                     100100
ADI EARLY             9 POOR       24 FAIR      16 GEN POOR  30 FAIR
ADI LATE              7 POOR       57 GEN GOOD  11 POOR      61 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       8            8            6            5
MAX LVORI LATE        9            3            6            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
83 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
91 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
MAXIMUM RH 79 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
44 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
78 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

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