Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 200826
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
426 AM EDT MON MAY 20 2013

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WELL OFFSHORE WILL MAINTAIN A MOIST SOUTHERLY WIND
THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK. A SLOW-MOVING UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE OVER THE CAROLINAS WILL HELP PRODUCE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TODAY...BECOMING LESS NUMEROUS TUESDAY. A COLD
FRONT ON FRIDAY WILL USHER IN COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS FOR
THE WEEKEND.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW.

NCZ105>110-202100-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
426 AM EDT MON MAY 20 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           50           30
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   2            2            2
MAX/MIN TEMP          81           65           83
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S  6         S  8         SW  7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S  9         S  6         S  8
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.10         0.10
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            2
INVERSION             74/1000      2000         73/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        66           99           56
DSI                   2                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3500                      4150
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 18                      S 18
VENTILATION RATE      63000                     74700
ADI EARLY             32 FAIR      39 FAIR      35 FAIR
ADI LATE              49 GEN GOOD  11 POOR      53 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            5            7
MAX LVORI LATE        3            7            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-202100-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
426 AM EDT MON MAY 20 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        70           60           40
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   2            2            2
MAX/MIN TEMP          81           65           84
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S  5         S  6         SW  6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S  7         S  5         S  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.55         0.13         0.11
PRECIP DURATION       5            3            2
INVERSION             74/1000      2000         73/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        67           99           56
DSI                   2                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3620                      5130
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 17                      S 15
VENTILATION RATE      61540                     76950
ADI EARLY             34 FAIR      40 FAIR      32 FAIR
ADI LATE              49 GEN GOOD  8 POOR       49 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            5            8
MAX LVORI LATE        3            8            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM
RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-202100-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
426 AM EDT MON MAY 20 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        70           60           30
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   2            2            2
MAX/MIN TEMP          81           66           83
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S  5         S  7         S  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S  8         S  5         S  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.31         0.11         0.11
PRECIP DURATION       5            3            2
INVERSION             74/1000      2000         73/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        69           100          56
DSI                   2                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3550                      4620
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 18                      S 14
VENTILATION RATE      63900                     64680
ADI EARLY             32 FAIR      38 FAIR      31 FAIR
ADI LATE              48 GEN GOOD  8 POOR       45 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       7            5            9
MAX LVORI LATE        3            9            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-202100-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON
426 AM EDT MON MAY 20 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        70           50           40
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   2            2            2
MAX/MIN TEMP          81           65           86
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S  4         S  6         S  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S  6         S  6         S  4
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.52         0.05         0.10
PRECIP DURATION       5            2            2
INVERSION             74/1100      2000         73/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        68           99           54
DSI                   2                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3670                      5680
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     S  9
VENTILATION RATE      47710                     51120
ADI EARLY             29 FAIR      26 FAIR      26 FAIR
ADI LATE              34 FAIR      6 VERY POOR  31 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            6            9
MAX LVORI LATE        3            9            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
52 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-202100-
FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
426 AM EDT MON MAY 20 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        70           60           40
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   2            2            2
MAX/MIN TEMP          81           66           85
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S  4         S  6         S  4
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S  7         S  5         S  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.45         0.07         0.11
PRECIP DURATION       5            3            2
INVERSION             74/1000      2000         73/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        68           100          52
DSI                   2                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3680                      5740
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 14                      S 12
VENTILATION RATE      51520                     68880
ADI EARLY             31 FAIR      28 FAIR      26 FAIR
ADI LATE              38 FAIR      8 POOR       36 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       7            6            9
MAX LVORI LATE        3            9            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
55 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

TRA




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