Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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491
FNUS52 KILM 202005
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
405 PM EDT Thu Apr 20 2017

.DISCUSSION...
The Bermuda High will expand west over the region through Saturday,
bringing very warm temperatures. A cold front will sag south toward
the area during the weekend. Low pressure will move slowly through
the Carolinas late Sunday through Monday night, possibly bringing
strong to severe thunderstorms and widespread rain. This system will
slowly depart through Tuesday as cooler high pressure builds in for
mid-week.

Fog potential for tonight...Low.

NCZ105>110-211215-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
405 PM EDT Thu Apr 20 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            20
Precip type           None         None         None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          63           87           65           84
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  6        SW  7        SW  9        SW  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  5        SW 10 G20    SW  8        SW 11
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
Precip duration                                              0
Inversion             2000         71/0900      2000         71/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Good
Max/Min RH (%)        92           40           92           45
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          4            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                7260                      6790
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 18                     SW 22
Ventilation rate                   130680                    149380
ADI early             18 Gen poor  54 Gen good  44 Gen good  64 Good
ADI late              3 Very poor  61 Good      6 Very poor  69 Good
Max LVORI early       6            6            4            5
Max LVORI late        6            1            5            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Cooler. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-211215-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
405 PM EDT Thu Apr 20 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            20
Precip type           None         None         None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          63           87           64           85
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  5        SW  7        SW  7        SW  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  5        SW 10        SW  7        SW 10
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.03
Precip duration                                              0
Inversion             2000         70/0900      2000         69/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        91           39           92           42
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          4            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                7390                      7310
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 20                     SW 23
Ventilation rate                   147800                    168130
ADI early             23 Fair      54 Gen good  64 Good      80 Good
ADI late              3 Very poor  67 Good      6 Very poor  79 Good
Max LVORI early       5            6            4            5
Max LVORI late        6            1            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Cooler.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
96 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-211215-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
405 PM EDT Thu Apr 20 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            20
Precip type           None         None         None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          62           87           65           85
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  6         SW  6        S  9         SW  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  4        SW 10        SW  7        SW 11
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
Precip duration                                              0
Inversion             2000         71/0900      2000         70/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Good
Max/Min RH (%)        94           41           92           45
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          4            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                7070                      7130
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 15                     SW 22
Ventilation rate                   106050                    156860
ADI early             16 Gen poor  51 Gen good  41 Gen good  70 Good
ADI late              3 Very poor  55 Gen good  6 Very poor  70 Good
Max LVORI early       5            6            4            5
Max LVORI late        6            1            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Cooler.
Highs around 70. Minimum RH 61 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ023-032-039-211215-
Darlington-Florence-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville,
Florence, and Kingstree
405 PM EDT Thu Apr 20 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            20
Precip type           None         None         None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          62           87           64           87
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  5         SW  6        S  7         SW  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  4        SW  9        S  6         SW 10
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
Precip duration                                              0
Inversion             2000         70/0900      2000         69/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        93           36           92           39
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                7710                      7370
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 15                     SW 23
Ventilation rate                   115650                    169510
ADI early             18 Gen poor  59 Gen good  55 Gen good  76 Good
ADI late              3 Very poor  64 Good      4 Very poor  107 Very good
Max LVORI early       4            6            3            5
Max LVORI late        6            1            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 50s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Cooler.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
47 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
43 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-024-033-211215-
Marlboro-Dillon-Marion-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Dillon, Marion,
and Mullins
405 PM EDT Thu Apr 20 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            20
Precip type           None         None         None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          63           88           63           87
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  5        SW  7        SW  7        SW  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  5        SW 10        SW  7        SW 10
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.03
Precip duration                                              0
Inversion             2000         69/0900      2000         68/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        93           37           90           38
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                7740                      7370
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 17                     SW 24
Ventilation rate                   131580                    176880
ADI early             23 Fair      55 Gen good  61 Good      78 Good
ADI late              3 Very poor  64 Good      6 Very poor  93 Good
Max LVORI early       4            6            3            5
Max LVORI late        6            1            5            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Cooler.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

NCZ087-211215-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
405 PM EDT Thu Apr 20 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            20
Precip type           None         None         None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          63           88           63           86
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  5        SW  8        SW  7        SW  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  6        SW 11        SW  8        SW 10
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.04
Precip duration                                              0
Inversion             2000         69/0900      2000         68/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Good
Max/Min RH (%)        93           39           92           40
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                7750                      7320
Transport wnd (mph)                W 18                      SW 25
Ventilation rate                   139500                    183000
ADI early             25 Fair      56 Gen good  66 Good      62 Good
ADI late              3 Very poor  68 Good      8 poor       87 Good
Max LVORI early       5            6            3            5
Max LVORI late        6            1            5            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of thunderstorms and a slight
chance of showers. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Cooler.
Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 89 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent. Northeast winds around
10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

17



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