Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 190705
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
305 AM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Weak high pressure will continue to cover the eastern United
States through the week. Temperatures should warm above normal
by Wednesday.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...Low.

NCZ105>110-192315-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
305 AM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          MClear       Clear        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            20
Precip type           None         None         Showers
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          85           66           88
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW  7        W  4         W  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  7        W  3         SW  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration                                 0
Inversion             70/0900      2000         74/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        47           95           50
DSI                   2                         3
Haines Index          4            5            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4970                      5850
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 13                     W  9
Ventilation rate      64610                     52650
ADI early             51 Gen good  36 Fair      36 Fair
ADI late              67 Good      2 Very poor  39 Fair
Max LVORI early       7            6            7
Max LVORI late        1            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-192315-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
305 AM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            20
Precip type           None         None         Showers
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          86           66           88
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  5         W  3         W  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  7        SW  3        SW  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration                                 0
Inversion             69/0900      2000         73/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        47           95           48
DSI                   2                         3
Haines Index          4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5020                      5710
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 14                     W  8
Ventilation rate      70280                     45680
ADI early             42 Gen good  36 Fair      35 Fair
ADI late              60 Gen good  2 Very poor  38 Fair
Max LVORI early       8            6            8
Max LVORI late        1            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-192315-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
305 AM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            20
Precip type           None         None         Showers
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          86           66           89
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  5         W  3         SW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  7        SW  3        W  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration                                 0
Inversion             69/0900      2000         73/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        47           95           48
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4990                      5710
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 13                     W  8
Ventilation rate      64870                     45680
ADI early             37 Fair      32 Fair      35 Fair
ADI late              52 Gen good  2 Very poor  39 Fair
Max LVORI early       9            6            8
Max LVORI late        1            8            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-192315-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
305 AM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            20
Precip type           None         None         Showers
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          86           67           89
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  5         SW  3        W  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  7        SW  3        SW  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration                                 0
Inversion             72/0900      2000         75/0900
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        49           98           50
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5000                      5890
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 10                     W  7
Ventilation rate      50000                     41230
ADI early             39 Fair      28 Fair      34 Fair
ADI late              48 Gen good  2 Very poor  34 Fair
Max LVORI early       7            6            7
Max LVORI late        1            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-192315-
Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
305 AM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            20
Precip type           None         None         Showers
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          87           66           89
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  3         SW  3        SW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  6        SW  3        SW  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration                                 0
Inversion             71/0900      2000         73/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        49           100          48
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4990                      5710
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  9                     W  8
Ventilation rate      44910                     45680
ADI early             31 Fair      25 Fair      33 Fair
ADI late              42 Gen good  2 Very poor  35 Fair
Max LVORI early       9            6            8
Max LVORI late        1            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-192315-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
305 AM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            20
Precip type           None         None         Showers
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          87           66           89
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  3         W  3         SW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration                                 0
Inversion             70/0900      2000         72/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        47           100          46
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4990                      5710
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  8                     W  8
Ventilation rate      39920                     45680
ADI early             26 Fair      22 Fair      28 Fair
ADI late              37 Fair      2 Very poor  35 Fair
Max LVORI early       9            5            7
Max LVORI late        1            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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