Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 190920
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
420 AM EST Sun Nov 19 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A strong cold front will move offshore early this morning, ending
the risk for showers and bringing very dry and much cooler
temperatures on brisk northwest winds. There is the potential
for a rather widespread frost away from the immediate coast
Monday night with some freezing temperatures possible inland. A
coastal trough and approaching cold front may bring some showers
late Tuesday and Tuesday night. Low pressure is expected to develop
in the eastern Gulf of Mexico mid week and may bring unsettled
weather to the eastern Carolinas Thursday and Friday as it moves
northeast. High pressure early next weekend will be followed by
the passage of a cold front next Sunday.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Brotak Wind Profile today.

Fog potential for tonight...None.

NCZ105>110-200130-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
420 AM EST Sun Nov 19 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        40           0            0
Precip type           Showers      None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          65           33           57
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W 13 G27     NW  8        N  6 G20
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW 12 G22    N  7 G21     N  3
Precip amount         0.03         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Inversion             None         1900         43/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        40           83           29
DSI                   2                         1
Haines Index          2            5            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3710                      2380
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 18                     N  6
Ventilation rate      66780                     14280
ADI early             51 Gen good  7 poor       21 Fair
ADI late              50 Gen good  5 Very poor  19 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       3            3            4
Max LVORI late        1            4            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
96 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
56 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Warmer. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 61 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 78 percent. North winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 50s. Minimum RH 54 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
54 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-200130-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
420 AM EST Sun Nov 19 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          MClear       Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        40           0            0
Precip type           Showers      None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          64           33           57
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW 12 G23    NW  6        N  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW 11 G22    N  4         N  3
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       0
Inversion             None         1900         42/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        36           80           28
DSI                   2                         1
Haines Index          3            5            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3720                      2390
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 17                     N  5
Ventilation rate      63240                     11950
ADI early             50 Gen good  7 poor       18 Gen poor
ADI late              47 Gen good  3 Very poor  16 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       3            3            4
Max LVORI late        1            4            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
53 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Not as cool. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 58 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 78 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 50s. Minimum RH 51 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 52 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.

$$

NCZ087-200130-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
420 AM EST Sun Nov 19 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          MClear       Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          63           33           57
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW 12 G22    NW  7        N  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW 11 G22    N  3         N  3
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             None         1900         41/0900
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        36           79           28
DSI                   2                         1
Haines Index          3            5            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3700                      2430
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 16                     N  3
Ventilation rate      59200                     7290
ADI early             47 Gen good  7 poor       18 Gen poor
ADI late              45 Gen good  3 Very poor  14 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       3            3            4
Max LVORI late        1            4            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
50 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Not as cool. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 56 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows around 40. Maximum RH 80 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 45 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 50s. Minimum RH 48 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
96 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
49 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-200130-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
420 AM EST Sun Nov 19 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        40           0            0
Precip type           Showers      None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          65           35           58
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW 12 G24    NW  7        N  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW 10 G22    N  6 G20     NE  4
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Inversion             None         1900         44/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        38           83           32
DSI                   2                         1
Haines Index          3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3800                      2400
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 18                     N  7
Ventilation rate      68400                     16800
ADI early             53 Gen good  7 poor       20 Gen poor
ADI late              51 Gen good  4 Very poor  20 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       3            3            4
Max LVORI late        1            4            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
94 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
58 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Warmer. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 63 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 81 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 50s. Minimum RH 54 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
55 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-200130-
Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
420 AM EST Sun Nov 19 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          MClear       Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          64           34           58
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW 11 G22    NW  6        N  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW 10 G21    N  4         NE  3
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             None         1900         42/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        36           81           28
DSI                   2                         1
Haines Index          3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3780                      2430
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 16                     NE  6
Ventilation rate      60480                     14580
ADI early             49 Gen good  6 Very poor  18 Gen poor
ADI late              46 Gen good  2 Very poor  17 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       3            3            4
Max LVORI late        1            4            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
93 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
53 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Not as cool. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 58 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 81 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 50s. Minimum RH 49 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
95 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
50 percent. West winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-200130-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
420 AM EST Sun Nov 19 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          MClear       Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          63           33           58
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW 11 G21    NW  6        LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW 10 G21    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             None         1900         41/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        35           80           29
DSI                   2                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3750                      2510
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 15                     N  2
Ventilation rate      56250                     5020
ADI early             44 Gen good  7 poor       15 Gen poor
ADI late              43 Gen good  2 Very poor  12 poor
Max LVORI early       3            3            4
Max LVORI late        1            4            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
52 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Not as cool. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 58 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows around 40. Maximum RH 81 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 50s. Minimum RH 48 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
97 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
48 percent. West winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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