Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 221851
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
151 PM EST THU JAN 22 2015

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PREVAIL FOR ONLY A SHORT TIME AHEAD OF A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPING IN THE GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT. THE LOW
WILL DEEPEN AND MOVE ALONG THE CAROLINA COAST FRIDAY NIGHT...
BRINGING HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS
THE AREA IN THE WAKE OF THE LOW DURING SUNDAY...BEFORE AN ARCTIC
COLD FRONT CROSSES THE COAST LATE MONDAY.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...NONE.

NCZ105>110-231100-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
151 PM EST THU JAN 22 2015

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            90           100          80
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         TSTMS        RAIN
LAL                   1            2            2            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          38           55           42           54
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE  3        NE  8        E 10 G22     NW 11 G21
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     NE  7        NE  8        SW 12 G25    W 13 G22
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.31         1.00         0.24
PRECIP DURATION                    4            12           5
INVERSION             1900         50/1200      2000         52/1300
MAX/MIN RH (%)        78           59           100          67
DSI                                1                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            2            3            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                1750                      3260
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 21                      W 23
VENTILATION RATE                   36750                     74980
ADI EARLY             5 VERY POOR  19 GEN POOR  34 FAIR      40 FAIR
ADI LATE              7 POOR       37 FAIR      14 GEN POOR  58 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       3            3            5            8
MAX LVORI LATE        3            3            8            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
83 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 82 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO
20 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 30. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT. NORTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
77 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
77 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 50. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-231100-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
151 PM EST THU JAN 22 2015

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            90           100          80
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          39           49           39           51
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE  3        NE  7        NE 11        NW 10
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     NE  6        NE  9        NW  8        W 11 G20
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.29         0.87         0.25
PRECIP DURATION                    4            12           3
INVERSION             1900         45/1200      2000         49/1300
MAX/MIN RH (%)        74           65           100          72
DSI                                1                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            2            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                1450                      3130
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 18                      W 22
VENTILATION RATE                   26100                     68860
ADI EARLY             5 VERY POOR  15 GEN POOR  28 FAIR      42 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              6 VERY POOR  29 FAIR      11 POOR      54 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       3            3            5            8
MAX LVORI LATE        3            3            8            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
90 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 86 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 89 PERCENT. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
73 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. MAXIMUM RH
76 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 50. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-231100-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
151 PM EST THU JAN 22 2015

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            100          100          70
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN
LAL                   1            2            2            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          41           54           43           54
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE  5        NE 10        SE 10 G20    NW 12 G25
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     NE  8        E 11         W 10 G21     W 14 G27
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.54         1.03         0.20
PRECIP DURATION                    8            12           3
INVERSION             1900         50/1200      2000         53/1300
MAX/MIN RH (%)        79           66           100          66
DSI                                1                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            2            3            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                1480                      3210
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 23                      W 25
VENTILATION RATE                   34040                     80250
ADI EARLY             7 POOR       21 FAIR      34 FAIR      46 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              9 POOR       37 FAIR      11 POOR      61 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       3            4            6            8
MAX LVORI LATE        3            3            8            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
80 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT. NORTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. MAXIMUM RH
78 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 50. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
81 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 50. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-231100-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
151 PM EST THU JAN 22 2015

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            100          100          70
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          41           49           40           51
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE  3        E  8         NE 11        NW 10 G22
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     NE  7        NE 11        NW  8        W 12 G24
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.45         0.85         0.20
PRECIP DURATION                    8            12           3
INVERSION             1900         45/0600      2000         49/1300
MAX/MIN RH (%)        75           65           100          71
DSI                                1                         1
HAINES INDEX          4            2            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                1390                      3030
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 22                      W 23
VENTILATION RATE                   30580                     69690
ADI EARLY             6 VERY POOR  20 GEN POOR  29 FAIR      43 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              7 POOR       33 FAIR      10 POOR      56 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       3            4            6            8
MAX LVORI LATE        3            4            8            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
92 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 40. MAXIMUM RH 83 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
89 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
75 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
79 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
43 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

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