Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
335 PM EST Sun Feb 19 2017

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will build south from Canada tonight and persist
through the middle of the week. A few showers are possible Wednesday,
with better chances developing late week ahead of a cold front
on Saturday. Temperatures will remain above normal through the
week.

Fog potential for tonight...None.

NCZ105>110-201245-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
335 PM EST Sun Feb 19 2017

                      Tonight      Washingtons  Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          45           72           42           67
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW  4        N  5         E  3         NE  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  3        NE  5        NE  4        SE  4
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1900         61/1000      1900         58/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        100          33           88           38
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4340                      3760
Transport wnd (mph)                NE  6                     SE  5
Ventilation rate                   26040                     18800
ADI early             3 Very poor  30 Fair      3 Very poor  20 Gen poor
ADI late              2 Very poor  25 Fair      3 Very poor  18 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       5            9            5            6
Max LVORI late        9            2            5            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows in the upper 40s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
50 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a slight chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Chance
of precipitation 20 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 78 percent. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-201245-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
335 PM EST Sun Feb 19 2017

                      Tonight      Washingtons  Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          Clear        MClear       MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          45           73           43           68
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW  4        N  6         E  3         E  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  3        NE  6        E  3         SE  3
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1900         60/1000      1900         56/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        100          32           91           35
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4570                      4330
Transport wnd (mph)                NE  5                     S  3
Ventilation rate                   22850                     12990
ADI early             3 Very poor  31 Fair      2 Very poor  22 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  26 Fair      2 Very poor  17 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       5            9            4            6
Max LVORI late        9            2            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows around 50. Maximum
RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
46 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Chance
of precipitation 20 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance
of precipitation 30 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Chance of precipitation 20 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum
RH 72 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 31 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-201245-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
335 PM EST Sun Feb 19 2017

                      Tonight      Washingtons  Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          Clear        MClear       MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          46           73           45           69
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW  4        N  5         E  3         E  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  3        NE  5        NE  3        SE  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1900         62/1000      1900         60/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        98           38           96           41
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4440                      4210
Transport wnd (mph)                E  3                      SE  7
Ventilation rate                   13320                     29470
ADI early             4 Very poor  27 Fair      2 Very poor  30 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  23 Fair      2 Very poor  28 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            8            5            6
Max LVORI late        7            2            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Areas of fog. Lows in the lower 50s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Chance
of precipitation 20 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance
of precipitation 30 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Chance of precipitation 20 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the upper 40s.
Maximum RH 78 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-201245-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
335 PM EST Sun Feb 19 2017

                      Tonight      Washingtons  Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          Clear        MClear       MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          45           74           45           69
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW  5        NE  5        E  3         E  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  4        NE  5        E  3         SE  4
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1900         59/1000      1900         58/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        99           35           93           37
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4580                      4450
Transport wnd (mph)                E  2                      S  5
Ventilation rate                   9160                      22250
ADI early             3 Very poor  32 Fair      2 Very poor  22 Fair
ADI late              3 Very poor  23 Fair      2 Very poor  20 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       5            8            4            6
Max LVORI late        8            2            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows in the lower 50s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
46 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Chance
of precipitation 20 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance
of precipitation 30 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
42 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum
RH 70 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 30 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-201245-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
335 PM EST Sun Feb 19 2017

                      Tonight      Washingtons  Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          Clear        MClear       MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          45           74           46           70
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW  4        N  5         LGT/VAR      E  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  4        NE  5        E  3         SE  4
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1900         61/1000      1900         60/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        99           35           96           38
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            5            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4450                      4360
Transport wnd (mph)                E  2                      S  5
Ventilation rate                   8900                      21800
ADI early             3 Very poor  28 Fair      2 Very poor  26 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  23 Fair      2 Very poor  24 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            9            5            6
Max LVORI late        7            2            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Areas of fog. Lows in the lower 50s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Chance
of precipitation 20 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance
of precipitation 30 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Chance of precipitation 20 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum
RH 75 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 32 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

17



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