Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 200821
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
321 AM EST SAT DEC 20 2014

.DISCUSSION...
RAIN WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AS A STORM SYSTEM CUTS BY
TO OUR SOUTH. ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN IS EXPECTED MONDAY WHEN A
STORM MOVES UP THE COAST. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS RETURN TUESDAY
NIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY WITH A COLD FRONT. CLEAR WEATHER IS
EXPECTED FOR CHRISTMAS DAY AND FRIDAY.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW.

NCZ105>110-210030-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
321 AM EST SAT DEC 20 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        100          50           0
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          50           32           52
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  6        NE  6        N  8
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  7        N  6         NE  8
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.03         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       10           1
INVERSION             46/1200      1800         49/1200
MIN/MAX RH (%)        61           99           63
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1920                      1890
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 10                     NE 10
VENTILATION RATE      19200                     18900
ADI EARLY             9 POOR       9 POOR       9 POOR
ADI LATE              19 GEN POOR  7 POOR       20 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            5            6
MAX LVORI LATE        3            6            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS
15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY...CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH
78 PERCENT. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
MINIMUM RH 85 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 60 PERCENT. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 71 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH.
.CHRISTMAS DAY...SUNNY...COOLER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
46 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
84 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-210030-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
321 AM EST SAT DEC 20 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        100          40           0
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          48           32           53
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  5        NE  4        NE  7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  6        N  4         NE  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.01         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       8            1
INVERSION             44/1200      1800         50/1200
MIN/MAX RH (%)        61           98           53
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1810                      2220
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 10                     NE  9
VENTILATION RATE      18100                     19980
ADI EARLY             9 POOR       8 POOR       9 POOR
ADI LATE              18 GEN POOR  4 VERY POOR  21 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            5            7
MAX LVORI LATE        3            5            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 81 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF RAIN 80 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
MINIMUM RH 86 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 60 PERCENT. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. WARMER. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
80 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 68 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.CHRISTMAS DAY...SUNNY...COOLER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
44 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
82 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-210030-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
321 AM EST SAT DEC 20 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        100          40           0
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          52           34           53
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  6        NE  7        N  7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  7        N  6         NE  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.01         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       9            1
INVERSION             48/1200      1800         49/1200
MIN/MAX RH (%)        60           98           63
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1730                      1760
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  9                     NE 12
VENTILATION RATE      15570                     21120
ADI EARLY             9 POOR       10 POOR      9 POOR
ADI LATE              18 GEN POOR  7 POOR       22 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            5            7
MAX LVORI LATE        3            5            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH
81 PERCENT. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM
RH 87 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 60 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.CHRISTMAS DAY...SUNNY...COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH
46 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 83 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ039-210030-
WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KINGSTREE
321 AM EST SAT DEC 20 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        100          0            0
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          50           35           53
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  5        NE  6        N  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  7        N  5         NE  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       7
INVERSION             47/1200      1800         49/1200
MIN/MAX RH (%)        66           100          65
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1530                      1900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  8                     NE 10
VENTILATION RATE      12240                     19000
ADI EARLY             7 POOR       9 POOR       8 POOR
ADI LATE              14 GEN POOR  5 VERY POOR  22 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            4            9
MAX LVORI LATE        4            4            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF RAIN 90 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH
82 PERCENT. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM
RH 87 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 60 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 80 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 68 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.CHRISTMAS DAY...SUNNY...COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH
45 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 86 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-210030-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION
321 AM EST SAT DEC 20 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        100          0            0
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          49           33           55
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  5        NE  5        NE  6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  7        NE  4        NE  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       8
INVERSION             45/1200      1800         51/1200
MIN/MAX RH (%)        64           99           54
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1900                      2250
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 10                     NE  9
VENTILATION RATE      19000                     20250
ADI EARLY             9 POOR       9 POOR       7 POOR
ADI LATE              18 GEN POOR  5 VERY POOR  27 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            6            9
MAX LVORI LATE        4            5            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF RAIN 90 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM
RH 80 PERCENT. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
MINIMUM RH 84 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 60 PERCENT. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 80 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.CHRISTMAS DAY...SUNNY...COOLER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
42 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
86 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

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