Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 211918
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
318 PM EDT Fri Apr 21 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Bermuda High pressure will extend west across the region through
early Sunday. A backdoor cold front is expected to stall north of
the area during the weekend. Strong low pressure will move slowly
through the Carolinas Sunday and Sunday night and then offshore
Monday. Widespread rainfall is expected along with the possibility
of strong thunderstorms. This system will then move
slowly away from the area as high pressure and dry weather builds
in for the middle and later portions of next week.

Fog potential for tonight...None.

NCZ105>110-221130-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
318 PM EDT Fri Apr 21 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            30           30           50
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            3            3            3
Min/Max Temp          64           87           63           79
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW 10 G23    SW  8        SW 10 G22    SE  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  7        SW 12 G24    S  6         SE  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.18
Precip duration                    0            2            2
Inversion             2000         70/0800      2000         72/1000
Dispersion            Good                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        92           42           100          59
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          4            3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6910                      6210
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 20                     SW 17
Ventilation rate                   138200                    105570
ADI early             28 Fair      82 Good      48 Gen good  46 Gen good
ADI late              5 Very poor  68 Good      6 Very poor  62 Good
Max LVORI early       4            5            5            8
Max LVORI late        6            1            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Rain with isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the lower
60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Cloudy with showers likely with isolated thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 94 percent. North winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-221130-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
318 PM EDT Fri Apr 21 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            30           30           70
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            3            3            4
Min/Max Temp          63           88           62           79
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  8         SW  8        S  8         E  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  6        SW 11        S  4         SE  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.30
Precip duration                    1            2            2
Inversion             2000         67/0800      2000         69/1000
Dispersion            Fair                      Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        92           38           100          57
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                7370                      5800
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 17                     S 13
Ventilation rate                   125290                    75400
ADI early             30 Fair      71 Good      49 Gen good  22 Fair
ADI late              6 Very poor  70 Good      4 Very poor  53 Gen good
Max LVORI early       3            6            4            8
Max LVORI late        6            1            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Rain with isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the upper
50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Cloudy with showers likely with isolated thunderstorms.
Highs around 70. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
41 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 42 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-221130-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
318 PM EDT Fri Apr 21 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            20           30           40
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            2            3            3
Min/Max Temp          64           88           64           82
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S 10 G23     SW  8        S 10 G23     S  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  6        SW 12 G24    S  8         S 10
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.16
Precip duration                    0            1            2
Inversion             2000         69/0800      2000         75/1000
Dispersion            Fair                      Good
Max/Min RH (%)        95           42           98           51
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          4            3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6490                      6510
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 15                     S 16
Ventilation rate                   97350                     104160
ADI early             27 Fair      63 Good      43 Gen good  55 Gen good
ADI late              5 Very poor  55 Gen good  8 poor       60 Gen good
Max LVORI early       4            6            4            7
Max LVORI late        6            1            7            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Rain with isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the lower
60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Cloudy with showers likely with isolated thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-221130-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
318 PM EDT Fri Apr 21 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            20           30           50
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            2            3            3
Min/Max Temp          63           88           63           82
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  7         SW  8        S  8         SE  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  6        SW 11        S  7         S  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.27
Precip duration                    0            1            2
Inversion             2000         67/0800      2000         72/1000
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        94           36           96           48
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                7280                      7460
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 16                     S 17
Ventilation rate                   116480                    126820
ADI early             35 Fair      67 Good      50 Gen good  34 Fair
ADI late              5 Very poor  65 Good      6 Very poor  63 Good
Max LVORI early       3            6            4            7
Max LVORI late        6            1            7            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Rain with isolated thunderstorms. Lows around 60.
Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Cloudy with showers likely with isolated thunderstorms.
Highs around 70. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 42 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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