Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 192003
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
303 PM EST Sun Nov 19 2017

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will bring cool and dry weather through Monday night before
a warmup gets underway as the high moves a bit offshore. The path for
not only warming but moistening will be opening with rain chances
Tuesday and Tuesday night. The late week period looks seasonable and
rain chances will hinge upon the yet uncertain track of a developing
coastal low.

Fog potential for tonight...None.

NCZ105>110-201215-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
303 PM EST Sun Nov 19 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          34           58           35           68
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  7         N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1900         43/0900      1900         58/1000
Dispersion            Fair                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        83           27           99           54
DSI                                1                         2
Haines Index          5            4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2670                      3870
Transport wnd (mph)                N  6                      S 20
Ventilation rate                   16020                     77400
ADI early             7 poor       29 Fair      1 Very poor  38 Fair
ADI late              4 Very poor  23 Fair      1 Very poor  52 Gen good
Max LVORI early       3            4            5            8
Max LVORI late        4            2            8            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 61 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Colder. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 90 percent. North winds
10 to 15 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain.
Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 50s. Minimum RH 55 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
90 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
80 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
56 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-201215-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
303 PM EST Sun Nov 19 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          33           58           33           67
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  6         N  4         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  3         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  3
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1900         42/0900      1900         55/1000
Dispersion            Poor                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        80           27           98           54
DSI                                1                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2710                      2700
Transport wnd (mph)                NE  1                     SE 13
Ventilation rate                   2710                      35100
ADI early             7 poor       23 Fair      1 Very poor  22 Fair
ADI late              3 Very poor  21 Fair      1 Very poor  23 Fair
Max LVORI early       3            4            5            9
Max LVORI late        4            2            7            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain.
Lows around 50. Maximum RH 100 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 58 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Colder. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 86 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 50s. Minimum RH 50 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
91 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
79 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
53 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-201215-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
303 PM EST Sun Nov 19 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            20
Precip type           None         None         None         Rain
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          33           58           31           64
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  7         N  3         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  3         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  3
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
Precip duration                                              1
Inversion             1900         41/0900      1900         52/1000
Dispersion            Poor                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        79           27           97           52
DSI                                1                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3000                      1690
Transport wnd (mph)                N  3                      SE  8
Ventilation rate                   9000                      13520
ADI early             7 poor       20 Gen poor  2 Very poor  20 Gen poor
ADI late              3 Very poor  17 Gen poor  1 Very poor  19 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       3            4            5            8
Max LVORI late        4            2            7            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
55 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Cooler. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
91 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
45 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
78 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
51 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-201215-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
303 PM EST Sun Nov 19 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            30
Precip type           None         None         None         Rain
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          35           59           36           68
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  6         NE  5        E  3         LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  6        E  3         LGT/VAR      E  3
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
Precip duration                                              1
Inversion             1900         44/0900      1900         57/1000
Dispersion            Fair                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        83           30           96           57
DSI                                1                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2670                      2170
Transport wnd (mph)                NE  6                     SE 16
Ventilation rate                   16020                     34720
ADI early             7 poor       25 Fair      1 Very poor  29 Fair
ADI late              4 Very poor  22 Fair      1 Very poor  32 Fair
Max LVORI early       3            4            5            8
Max LVORI late        4            2            6            4

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 63 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 86 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain.
Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 50s. Minimum RH 53 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
90 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
82 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
56 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-201215-
Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
303 PM EST Sun Nov 19 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            20
Precip type           None         None         None         Rain
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          34           59           34           67
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  5         NE  4        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  4        E  3         LGT/VAR      E  3
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
Precip duration                                              1
Inversion             1900         42/0900      1900         54/1000
Dispersion            Fair                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        79           27           96           55
DSI                                1                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2850                      1520
Transport wnd (mph)                E  2                      SE  8
Ventilation rate                   5700                      12160
ADI early             6 Very poor  20 Gen poor  2 Very poor  23 Fair
ADI late              3 Very poor  16 Gen poor  1 Very poor  18 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       3            4            5            8
Max LVORI late        4            2            7            4

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
59 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of rain.
Cooler. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 50s. Minimum RH 47 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
92 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
81 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
53 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-201215-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
303 PM EST Sun Nov 19 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            20
Precip type           None         None         None         Rain
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          33           59           31           64
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  3        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  3
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
Precip duration                                              1
Inversion             1900         41/0900      1900         52/1000
Dispersion            Poor                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        80           28           92           52
DSI                                1                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3050                      1500
Transport wnd (mph)                NE  2                     SE  6
Ventilation rate                   6100                      9000
ADI early             7 poor       16 Gen poor  2 Very poor  20 Gen poor
ADI late              3 Very poor  11 poor      1 Very poor  15 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       3            4            5            7
Max LVORI late        4            2            6            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
57 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
93 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
44 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
79 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
52 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

5


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