Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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327
FNUS52 KILM 161836
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
236 PM EDT Sat Sep 16 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Weak high pressure will continue to cover the eastern United
States through next week. Hurricane Jose is expected to move
north between the North Carolina coast and Bermuda Sunday and
Monday. An increased rip current risk will continue into early next
week. Temperatures should warm well above normal by next Wednesday.

Fog potential for tonight...low.

NCZ105>110-171045-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
236 PM EDT Sat Sep 16 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            40           30           20
Precip type           None         Showers      Showers      Showers
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          68           81           67           83
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  4        N  8 G20     N  6         N  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  5         NE 11 G20    N  6         N  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.15         0.10         0.03
Precip duration                    2            1            1
Inversion             2000         72/0900      2000         71/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        95           67           96           57
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4260                      4310
Transport wnd (mph)                NE 15                     N 13
Ventilation rate                   63900                     56030
ADI early             32 Fair      26 Fair      18 Gen poor  40 Fair
ADI late              4 Very poor  42 Gen good  6 Very poor  45 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            6            6            6
Max LVORI late        7            3            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-171045-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
236 PM EDT Sat Sep 16 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            30           20           0
Precip type           None         Showers      Showers      None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          67           83           66           84
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      N  7         NE  5        N  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  3         NE 10        NE  5        NE  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.05         0.03         0.00
Precip duration                    1            1
Inversion             2000         71/0900      2000         70/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        95           60           97           54
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4850                      5040
Transport wnd (mph)                NE 15                     NE 13
Ventilation rate                   72750                     65520
ADI early             45 Gen good  27 Fair      27 Fair      65 Good
ADI late              2 Very poor  49 Gen good  5 Very poor  63 Good
Max LVORI early       6            7            7            6
Max LVORI late        7            2            7            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Light
and variable wind.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-171045-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
236 PM EDT Sat Sep 16 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          66           84           66           85
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  3        N  7         NE  5        NE  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  3         NE 10        NE  5        NE  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             2000         71/0900      2000         71/0900
Dispersion            Poor                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        97           57           99           54
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          3            4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5620                      5720
Transport wnd (mph)                NE 16                     NE 12
Ventilation rate                   89920                     68640
ADI early             45 Gen good  31 Fair      36 Fair      70 Good
ADI late              3 Very poor  54 Gen good  8 poor       68 Good
Max LVORI early       6            8            7            7
Max LVORI late        7            1            8            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-171045-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
236 PM EDT Sat Sep 16 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            30           20           0
Precip type           None         Showers      Showers      None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          68           83           67           84
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  4        N  8         NE  5        N  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  4         NE 10        N  6         N  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.05         0.03         0.00
Precip duration                    1            1
Inversion             2000         72/0900      2000         72/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        94           61           96           57
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4940                      5130
Transport wnd (mph)                NE 16                     N 12
Ventilation rate                   79040                     61560
ADI early             38 Fair      32 Fair      28 Fair      59 Gen good
ADI late              3 Very poor  51 Gen good  7 poor       57 Gen good
Max LVORI early       5            6            6            6
Max LVORI late        7            2            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-171045-
Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
236 PM EDT Sat Sep 16 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          66           84           66           85
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  3         N  7         NE  5        N  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  3         NE 10        NE  5        N  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             2000         71/0900      2000         71/0900
Dispersion            Poor                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        95           54           97           54
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5570                      5700
Transport wnd (mph)                NE 17                     NE 12
Ventilation rate                   94690                     68400
ADI early             45 Gen good  32 Fair      34 Fair      67 Good
ADI late              3 Very poor  56 Gen good  6 Very poor  65 Good
Max LVORI early       5            6            6            6
Max LVORI late        7            1            7            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-171045-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
236 PM EDT Sat Sep 16 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          65           86           65           85
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  3        N  6         NE  5        N  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  3         NE  9        NE  5        NE  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             2000         71/0900      2000         70/0900
Dispersion            Poor                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        96           51           96           52
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          4            4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5950                      6080
Transport wnd (mph)                NE 15                     NE 10
Ventilation rate                   89250                     60800
ADI early             41 Gen good  30 Fair      31 Fair      69 Good
ADI late              2 Very poor  64 Good      5 Very poor  67 Good
Max LVORI early       5            7            6            6
Max LVORI late        7            1            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Light
and variable wind.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

15



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