Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

159
FNUS52 KILM 230654
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
254 AM EDT Tue May 23 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Waves of low pressure will develop along stalled cold front
producing a good chance of showers and thunderstorms through
mid week. A cold front trailing from a deep low pressure system
over the Ohio Valley on Thursday will push through, bringing
the final round of storms to the area. High pressure will build
in on Friday maintaining quieter weather for much of the
weekend.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...Moderate.

NCZ105>110-232300-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
254 AM EDT Tue May 23 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          Cloudy       Cloudy       MCldy
Precip chc (%)        90           100          80
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   5            5            5
Min/Max Temp          81           66           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  7         W 10 G20     SW  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 12 G20    W  7         S 11
Precip amount         0.91         0.70         0.33
Precip duration       12           8            10
Inversion             73/0900      2000         69/0700
Dispersion                         Good
Max/Min RH (%)        65           95           66
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3930                      4010
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 22                     S 24
Ventilation rate      86460                     96240
ADI early             53 Gen good  41 Gen good  22 Fair
ADI late              61 Good      33 Fair      67 Good
Max LVORI early       8            4            6
Max LVORI late        2            6            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s.
Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. Southwest
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
85 percent. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 43 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-232300-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
254 AM EDT Tue May 23 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          Cloudy       Cloudy       MCldy
Precip chc (%)        90           90           80
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   5            5            5
Min/Max Temp          80           65           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  7         SW  8        SW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 10        W  5         S  9
Precip amount         0.99         0.69         0.32
Precip duration       12           7            10
Inversion             73/0900      2000         67/0700
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        68           100          66
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3830                      3960
Transport wnd (mph)   S 20                      S 25
Ventilation rate      76600                     99000
ADI early             40 Fair      41 Gen good  17 Gen poor
ADI late              48 Gen good  28 Fair      71 Good
Max LVORI early       8            4            9
Max LVORI late        3            9            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s.
Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 42 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

NCZ087-232300-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
254 AM EDT Tue May 23 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          Cloudy       MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        90           90           80
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   5            5            5
Min/Max Temp          79           63           79
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  8         W  7         S  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 10        NW  3        S 10
Precip amount         1.06         0.72         0.32
Precip duration       11           7            10
Inversion             72/0900      2000         66/0700
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        71           100          67
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            2            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3400                      3960
Transport wnd (mph)   S 13                      S 24
Ventilation rate      44200                     95040
ADI early             14 Gen poor  40 Fair      17 Gen poor
ADI late              43 Gen good  21 Fair      67 Good
Max LVORI early       8            4            9
Max LVORI late        4            9            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s.
Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. South
winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 42 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-232300-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
254 AM EDT Tue May 23 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        90           90           80
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   5            5            5
Min/Max Temp          82           66           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  8        SW  8        SW  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 11        SW  6        S 12 G20
Precip amount         0.83         0.70         0.35
Precip duration       11           8            10
Inversion             73/0900      2000         69/0700
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        66           98           68
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3730                      3970
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 16                     SW  8
Ventilation rate      59680                     31760
ADI early             42 Gen good  41 Gen good  22 Fair
ADI late              43 Gen good  17 Gen poor  75 Good
Max LVORI early       6            5            6
Max LVORI late        3            6            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s.
Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. Southwest
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
86 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 43 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-232300-
Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
254 AM EDT Tue May 23 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          Cloudy       MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        90           90           80
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   5            5            5
Min/Max Temp          80           65           79
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  7        SW  8        SW  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 10        SW  5        S 11
Precip amount         0.84         0.66         0.34
Precip duration       11           8            10
Inversion             72/0900      2000         67/0700
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        69           100          68
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3450                      3960
Transport wnd (mph)   S 16                      S 24
Ventilation rate      55200                     95040
ADI early             24 Fair      40 Fair      16 Gen poor
ADI late              42 Gen good  13 Gen poor  63 Good
Max LVORI early       7            5            9
Max LVORI late        3            9            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s.
Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 42 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 97 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-232300-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
254 AM EDT Tue May 23 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          Cloudy       MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        90           90           80
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   5            5            5
Min/Max Temp          78           64           78
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  7         SW  8        S  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 11        SW  3        S 10
Precip amount         0.97         0.77         0.35
Precip duration       10           7            10
Inversion             71/0900      2000         65/0600
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        72           100          68
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            2            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3390                      3960
Transport wnd (mph)   S 12                      SW 21
Ventilation rate      40680                     83160
ADI early             12 poor      38 Fair      14 Gen poor
ADI late              33 Fair      14 Gen poor  60 Gen good
Max LVORI early       9            5            9
Max LVORI late        4            9            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 43 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 99 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

40



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.