Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 160840
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
340 AM EST Tue Jan 16 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Weak high pressure will dissipate across the Carolinas today. A
cold front will move across the area Wednesday bringing a mix of
rain and snow with small accumulations possible inland. Cold and
dry arctic air will build into area Wednesday night and
Thursday. Temperatures should moderate over the weekend as high
pressure moves off the Southeast coast. Rain chances could
return Monday with the next cold front.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...none.

NCZ105>110-170045-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
340 AM EST Tue Jan 16 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            60
Precip type           None         None         Rain
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          53           30           47
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  3         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.05
Precip duration                                 2
Inversion             37/1000      1700         43/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        36           92           57
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2830                      3110
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  8                     N 14
Ventilation rate      22640                     43540
ADI early             19 Gen poor  2 Very poor  19 Gen poor
ADI late              27 Fair      1 Very poor  32 Fair
Max LVORI early       9            5            7
Max LVORI late        2            7            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of snow and a slight
chance of freezing rain. Lows in the lower 20s. Maximum RH
78 percent. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Northwest winds
15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH
75 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 67 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ099-170045-
Columbus-
Including the cities of Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn,
and Lake Waccamaw
340 AM EST Tue Jan 16 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            60
Precip type           None         None         Rain/Snow
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          52           32           44
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.05
Precip duration                                 2
Inversion             37/1000      1700         39/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        35           89           60
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2770                      2930
Transport wnd (mph)   W  9                      N 12
Ventilation rate      24930                     35160
ADI early             18 Gen poor  2 Very poor  21 Fair
ADI late              29 Fair      1 Very poor  31 Fair
Max LVORI early       8            5            6
Max LVORI late        2            6            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a 20 percent chance of snow.
Lows in the lower 20s. Maximum RH 74 percent. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH 32 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH 74 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
87 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 64 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-170045-
Robeson-Bladen-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, and Bladenboro
340 AM EST Tue Jan 16 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            20           70
Precip type           None         Rain         Snow/Rain
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          51           31           41
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  9
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.09
Precip duration                    0            5
Inversion             37/1000      1700         38/0700
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        34           90           60
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2800                      2980
Transport wnd (mph)   W  7                      N 17
Ventilation rate      19600                     50660
ADI early             14 Gen poor  2 Very poor  11 poor
ADI late              25 Fair      1 Very poor  38 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            5            6
Max LVORI late        2            6            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a 20 percent chance of snow.
Lows around 20. Maximum RH 71 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH 32 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH 75 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 32 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Maximum RH 84 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 63 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-170045-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
340 AM EST Tue Jan 16 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            50
Precip type           None         None         Rain
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          53           32           46
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.02
Precip duration                                 2
Inversion             39/1000      1700         39/0800
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        33           89           60
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2740                      3780
Transport wnd (mph)   W  9                      NW 13
Ventilation rate      24660                     49140
ADI early             22 Fair      2 Very poor  25 Fair
ADI late              28 Fair      1 Very poor  38 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            4            6
Max LVORI late        2            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 20s. Maximum RH
67 percent. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH 32 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH
72 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
78 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 50. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 66 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-170045-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
340 AM EST Tue Jan 16 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            60
Precip type           None         None         Rain/Snow
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          53           33           43
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.04
Precip duration                                 2
Inversion             40/1000      1700         36/0800
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        31           89           59
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3000                      3790
Transport wnd (mph)   W  8                      NW 13
Ventilation rate      24000                     49270
ADI early             19 Gen poor  2 Very poor  24 Fair
ADI late              29 Fair      1 Very poor  38 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            4            6
Max LVORI late        2            6            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 20s. Maximum RH
65 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. Minimum RH 30 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH 72 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 30 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 42 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
49 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 64 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ024-170045-
Dillon-
Including the city of Dillon
340 AM EST Tue Jan 16 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            20           60
Precip type           None         Rain         Snow/Rain
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          51           32           40
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  9
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.09
Precip duration                    0            3
Inversion             39/1000      1700         36/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        33           87           58
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2940                      3030
Transport wnd (mph)   W  7                      N 17
Ventilation rate      20580                     51510
ADI early             16 Gen poor  2 Very poor  11 poor
ADI late              25 Fair      2 Very poor  41 Gen good
Max LVORI early       5            4            6
Max LVORI late        2            6            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 20. Maximum RH
69 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH 31 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH 74 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 30 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Maximum RH 83 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 63 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-170045-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
340 AM EST Tue Jan 16 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          MClear       MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            30           70
Precip type           None         Rain/Snow    Snow/Rain
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          51           32           38
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  3        NW  9
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.08
Precip duration                    1            5
Inversion             39/1000      1700         33/0700
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        32           88           53
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3160                      3240
Transport wnd (mph)   W  6                      N 17
Ventilation rate      18960                     55080
ADI early             11 poor      2 Very poor  10 poor
ADI late              22 Fair      2 Very poor  41 Gen good
Max LVORI early       3            4            6
Max LVORI late        2            5            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear with a 20 percent chance of freezing rain.
Lows around 20. Maximum RH 63 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. Minimum RH 30 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH 72 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 29 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Maximum RH 82 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 64 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

TRA



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