Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 170804
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
404 AM EDT MON JUN 17 2013

.DISCUSSION...
WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL EARLY THIS WEEK AHEAD OF
AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT...WHICH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATE
WEDNESDAY. SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE MUCH
OF THE UPCOMING WEEK...BEFORE A DRYING TREND DEVELOPS INTO NEXT
WEEKEND.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW.

NCZ105>110-180015-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
404 AM EDT MON JUN 17 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           40           60
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   2            2            4
MAX/MIN TEMP          84           71           87
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  6        SW  7        W  4
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW 10        SW  6        SW  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.13         0.12
PRECIP DURATION       3            4            8
INVERSION             77/1000      2100         78/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        58           93           59
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4460                      4210
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     SW  9
VENTILATION RATE      62440                     37890
ADI EARLY             44 GEN GOOD  28 FAIR      19 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              42 GEN GOOD  7 POOR       27 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            4            5
MAX LVORI LATE        3            5            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-180015-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
404 AM EDT MON JUN 17 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           50           60
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   2            2            4
MAX/MIN TEMP          86           70           87
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  5        SW  7        SW  4
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW  8        SW  4        SW  3
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.19         0.13
PRECIP DURATION       3            5            8
INVERSION             78/1000      2100         79/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        60           99           58
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3600                      4790
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     SW  7
VENTILATION RATE      46800                     33530
ADI EARLY             26 FAIR      23 FAIR      19 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              34 FAIR      6 VERY POOR  26 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            5            9
MAX LVORI LATE        3            9            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-180015-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
404 AM EDT MON JUN 17 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           40           60
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   2            2            4
MAX/MIN TEMP          86           70           87
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  5        S  7         SW  4
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S  9         SW  5        SW  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.16         0.12
PRECIP DURATION       3            5            8
INVERSION             78/1000      2100         79/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        60           100          61
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4090                      4960
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     SW  9
VENTILATION RATE      53170                     44640
ADI EARLY             37 FAIR      27 FAIR      20 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              39 FAIR      6 VERY POOR  29 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            4            9
MAX LVORI LATE        3            9            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM
RH 67 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
67 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN
THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-180015-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
404 AM EDT MON JUN 17 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        60           50           60
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   2            2            4
MAX/MIN TEMP          86           70           88
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  5        S  6         SW  4
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW  8        SW  5        SW  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.22         0.13
PRECIP DURATION       3            5            8
INVERSION             79/1100      2100         79/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        58           100          58
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4210                      5650
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     SW  9
VENTILATION RATE      54730                     50850
ADI EARLY             26 FAIR      29 FAIR      21 FAIR
ADI LATE              36 FAIR      6 VERY POOR  29 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            6            9
MAX LVORI LATE        3            9            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
60 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

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