Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 220723
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
323 AM EDT Fri Sep 22 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A weak upper level disturbance could produce scattered showers
and thunderstorms again today. High pressure over the southern
Great Lakes will bring drier but continued warm air across the
Carolinas for the weekend. Hurricane Maria will move northward
through the Atlantic several hundred miles off the Carolina
coast next week with generally dry weather continuing.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...Moderate.

NCZ105>110-222330-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
323 AM EDT Fri Sep 22 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        20           0            0
Precip type           Tstms        None         None
LAL                   2            1            1
Min/Max Temp          87           65           86
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  3        SE  3        N  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  4         LGT/VAR      E  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       0
Inversion             78/1000      1900         78/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        51           100          48
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6830                      6500
Transport wnd (mph)   N  6                      NE  7
Ventilation rate      40980                     45500
ADI early             21 Fair      17 Gen poor  29 Fair
ADI late              28 Fair      2 Very poor  32 Fair
Max LVORI early       9            7            9
Max LVORI late        2            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. North
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows in the
upper 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent.
North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with isolated showers. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. North winds
10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-222330-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
323 AM EDT Fri Sep 22 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        20           0            0
Precip type           Tstms        None         None
LAL                   2            1            1
Min/Max Temp          87           66           87
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  3        SE  3        N  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  4        LGT/VAR      NE  6
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Inversion             77/1000      1900         78/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        50           100          43
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6800                      6440
Transport wnd (mph)   NE  6                     NE  7
Ventilation rate      40800                     45080
ADI early             17 Gen poor  23 Fair      33 Fair
ADI late              33 Fair      2 Very poor  34 Fair
Max LVORI early       9            6            10
Max LVORI late        2            10           1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum RH 57 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum RH 55 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-222330-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
323 AM EDT Fri Sep 22 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        20           20           0
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        None
LAL                   2            2            1
Min/Max Temp          87           66           87
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  4        SE  4        NE  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  5         LGT/VAR      E  7
Precip amount         0.02         0.01         0.00
Precip duration       1            0
Inversion             78/1000      1900         78/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        52           100          48
DSI                   2                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6550                      6860
Transport wnd (mph)   NE  7                     NE  7
Ventilation rate      45850                     48020
ADI early             20 Gen poor  21 Fair      34 Fair
ADI late              28 Fair      2 Very poor  37 Fair
Max LVORI early       9            6            9
Max LVORI late        2            10           1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
63 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum RH 59 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
84 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-222330-
Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
323 AM EDT Fri Sep 22 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        20           20           0
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        None
LAL                   2            2            1
Min/Max Temp          88           66           88
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  3        SE  3        N  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  5         LGT/VAR      NE  6
Precip amount         0.03         0.01         0.00
Precip duration       1            0
Inversion             77/1000      1900         78/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        50           100          44
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   7030                      6900
Transport wnd (mph)   NE  7                     NE  8
Ventilation rate      49210                     55200
ADI early             19 Gen poor  22 Fair      34 Fair
ADI late              30 Fair      2 Very poor  38 Fair
Max LVORI early       9            6            10
Max LVORI late        2            10           1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum RH 53 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-222330-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
323 AM EDT Fri Sep 22 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        20           0            0
Precip type           Tstms        None         None
LAL                   2            1            1
Min/Max Temp          89           66           89
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  4        SE  3        N  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  5         LGT/VAR      NE  6
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Inversion             77/1000      1900         78/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        48           100          41
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   7450                      6950
Transport wnd (mph)   NE  7                     NE  8
Ventilation rate      52150                     55600
ADI early             18 Gen poor  22 Fair      32 Fair
ADI late              33 Fair      2 Very poor  38 Fair
Max LVORI early       9            5            10
Max LVORI late        2            9            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

TRA



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