Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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571
FNUS52 KILM 150918
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
418 AM EST Wed Nov 15 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Canadian high pressure to our north will bring near seasonable
temperatures and dry conditions through the week. A dry cold
front will pass early Thursday with a brief cool down to
follow. A stronger cold front is expected to cross the coast
this weekend with best chance of rain Saturday night into early
Sunday. Very cool and dry weather will follow into early next
week with another chance for freezing temperatures.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable

Fog potential for tonight...None

NCZ105>110-160130-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
418 AM EST Wed Nov 15 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          62           39           66
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  7         N  3         W  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  6         NW  3        W  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             50/1000      1900         51/0900
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        48           100          40
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2900                      3750
Transport wnd (mph)   NE  7                     NW 14
Ventilation rate      20300                     52500
ADI early             32 Fair      2 Very poor  31 Fair
ADI late              27 Fair      2 Very poor  49 Gen good
Max LVORI early       5            7            9
Max LVORI late        2            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Warmer. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 50. Maximum RH 91 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Cooler.
Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum
RH 71 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 32 percent. North
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-160130-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
418 AM EST Wed Nov 15 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          Clear        PCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          61           38           66
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  7         LGT/VAR      W  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  6         LGT/VAR      W  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             48/1000      1900         50/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        42           98           38
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3210                      3930
Transport wnd (mph)   N  7                      NW 13
Ventilation rate      22470                     51090
ADI early             49 Gen good  2 Very poor  29 Fair
ADI late              37 Fair      1 Very poor  44 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            7            8
Max LVORI late        2            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
87 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 91 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Warmer. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 87 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Cooler. Highs
in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 41 percent. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear, colder. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
70 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 29 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 81 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 39 percent. West winds
5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-160130-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
418 AM EST Wed Nov 15 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          Clear        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          62           39           66
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  8         N  3         NW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  6         NW  3        W  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             51/1000      1900         51/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        46           94           40
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3070                      3510
Transport wnd (mph)   NE  8                     NW 10
Ventilation rate      24560                     35100
ADI early             44 Gen good  2 Very poor  27 Fair
ADI late              33 Fair      1 Very poor  34 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            6            6
Max LVORI late        2            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Warmer. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 50. Maximum RH 90 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Cooler.
Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear, colder. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
71 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 30 percent.
North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 79 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-160130-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
418 AM EST Wed Nov 15 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          Clear        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          60           37           68
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  7        LGT/VAR      W  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  6        LGT/VAR      NW  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             48/1000      1900         50/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        39           95           38
DSI                   1                         2
Haines Index          4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3240                      3980
Transport wnd (mph)   NE  8                     NW 10
Ventilation rate      25920                     39800
ADI early             56 Gen good  2 Very poor  25 Fair
ADI late              40 Fair      1 Very poor  42 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            6            6
Max LVORI late        2            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
86 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 91 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 89 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear, colder. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
70 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 27 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 79 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 36 percent. West winds
5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-160130-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
418 AM EST Wed Nov 15 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          Clear        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          61           38           67
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  7        LGT/VAR      W  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  6         LGT/VAR      W  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             49/1000      1900         51/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        41           92           38
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3130                      3820
Transport wnd (mph)   NE  9                     NW  9
Ventilation rate      28170                     34380
ADI early             54 Gen good  2 Very poor  25 Fair
ADI late              40 Fair      1 Very poor  38 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            6            6
Max LVORI late        2            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
88 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Warmer. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 91 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
42 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear, colder. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
73 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 28 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 81 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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