Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 212042
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
342 PM EST Tue Nov 21 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A coastal trough will move northward overnight, bringing a chance
of showers while a cold front moves through Wednesday. A few coastal
showers are possible Thanksgiving Day, as a low pressure passes offshore.
Seasonably cool and dry conditions will prevail into the weekend and early
next week, as a series cold fronts sweep off the coast, and low pressure
areas remain offshore.

Fog potential for tonight...Low.

NCZ105>110-221245-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
342 PM EST Tue Nov 21 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thanksgiving Day

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        70           0            0            30
Precip type           Showers      None         None         Rain
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          53           68           39           54
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  3         NW  5        N  7         NE  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      N  8         NE  8        NE  5
Precip amount         0.16         0.00         0.00         0.03
Precip duration       3                                      1
Inversion             1700         60/0900      1700         48/1000
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        100          50           82           49
DSI                                2                         1
Haines Index          3            3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2940                      2670
Transport wnd (mph)                N 18                      N  3
Ventilation rate                   52920                     8010
ADI early             5 Very poor  40 Fair      7 poor       19 Gen poor
ADI late              2 Very poor  60 Gen good  12 poor      17 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       8            10           4            3
Max LVORI late        10           1            4            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
79 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
49 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
75 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
65 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 75 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-221245-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
342 PM EST Tue Nov 21 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thanksgiving Day

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        60           0            0            20
Precip type           Showers      None         None         Rain
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          51           68           38           53
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  3         N  5         N  6         NE  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      N  9         NE  7        NE  5
Precip amount         0.10         0.00         0.00         0.01
Precip duration       2                                      1
Inversion             1700         57/0900      1700         45/1000
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        100          44           79           51
DSI                                2                         1
Haines Index          3            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3320                      2530
Transport wnd (mph)                N 17                      NE  2
Ventilation rate                   56440                     5060
ADI early             4 Very poor  39 Fair      6 Very poor  19 Gen poor
ADI late              1 Very poor  53 Gen good  13 Gen poor  15 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       8            10           4            4
Max LVORI late        10           1            4            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
79 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
47 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
76 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
64 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 30. Maximum RH 73 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.

$$

NCZ087-221245-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
342 PM EST Tue Nov 21 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thanksgiving Day

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        50           0            0            20
Precip type           Showers      None         None         Rain
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          49           68           38           53
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  4         N  6         NE  7        NE  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      N 10         NE  8        NE  5
Precip amount         0.07         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       2                                      0
Inversion             1700         57/0900      1700         45/1000
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Good
Max/Min RH (%)        100          42           81           46
DSI                                2                         1
Haines Index          3            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3450                      2550
Transport wnd (mph)                N 17                      NE  2
Ventilation rate                   58650                     5100
ADI early             4 Very poor  37 Fair      7 poor       19 Gen poor
ADI late              2 Very poor  47 Gen good  8 poor       16 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       7            9            4            4
Max LVORI late        10           1            4            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
80 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
44 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
77 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
65 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH 73 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-221245-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
342 PM EST Tue Nov 21 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thanksgiving Day

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        70           0            0            40
Precip type           Showers      None         None         Rain
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          52           68           42           54
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  3         N  6         NE  7        NE  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      N  8         NE  8        NE  6
Precip amount         0.12         0.00         0.00         0.04
Precip duration       3                                      1
Inversion             1700         58/0900      1700         48/1000
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Good
Max/Min RH (%)        100          50           89           52
DSI                                2                         1
Haines Index          3            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2970                      2190
Transport wnd (mph)                N 15                      NE  5
Ventilation rate                   44550                     10950
ADI early             5 Very poor  28 Fair      8 poor       17 Gen poor
ADI late              2 Very poor  45 Gen good  8 poor       14 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       9            9            4            4
Max LVORI late        10           2            4            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
76 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
48 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
77 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
66 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 74 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-221245-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
342 PM EST Tue Nov 21 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thanksgiving Day

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        50           0            0            30
Precip type           Showers      None         None         Rain
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          50           69           41           55
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  3         N  6         NE  6        NE  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      N  8         NE  7        NE  5
Precip amount         0.08         0.00         0.00         0.02
Precip duration       2                                      1
Inversion             1700         57/0900      1700         48/1000
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        100          45           87           50
DSI                                2                         1
Haines Index          3            3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3330                      2290
Transport wnd (mph)                N 17                      NE  3
Ventilation rate                   56610                     6870
ADI early             4 Very poor  25 Fair      7 poor       17 Gen poor
ADI late              2 Very poor  56 Gen good  8 poor       14 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       10           9            3            4
Max LVORI late        10           1            4            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
39 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
80 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
44 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
80 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
65 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 74 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-221245-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
342 PM EST Tue Nov 21 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thanksgiving Day

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        40           0            0            20
Precip type           Showers      None         None         Rain
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          48           68           38           55
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  3         N  6         NE  6        NE  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      N  9         NE  8        NE  5
Precip amount         0.05         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       2                                      0
Inversion             1700         56/0900      1700         47/1000
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        100          41           81           47
DSI                                2                         1
Haines Index          3            3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3610                      2470
Transport wnd (mph)                N 15                      NE  6
Ventilation rate                   54150                     14820
ADI early             4 Very poor  30 Fair      7 poor       19 Gen poor
ADI late              2 Very poor  52 Gen good  8 poor       16 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       7            9            4            4
Max LVORI late        10           1            4            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
82 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
44 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
79 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
64 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH 73 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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