Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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847
FNUS52 KILM 200647
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
247 AM EDT Wed Sep 20 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Disturbances aloft will bring isolated showers today through
Friday. High pressure will build in from the north for the
remainder of the week while Jose spins nearly stationary off the
Mid-Atlantic coast. Dangerous hurricane Maria will bring
increasing southeast swell and strengthening rip currents to the
Carolinas beginning late week. Maria is expected to move north
and offshore of the Carolinas early next week.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...Low.

NCZ105>110-202300-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
247 AM EDT Wed Sep 20 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            20           40
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            2            3
Min/Max Temp          89           69           88
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  4         SW  4        NW  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  5         W  4         LGT/VAR
Precip amount         0.00         0.02         0.10
Precip duration                    1            2
Inversion             73/0900      2000         79/1000
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        46           99           53
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          5            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5860                      5640
Transport wnd (mph)   W  7                      NW  2
Ventilation rate      41020                     11280
ADI early             35 Fair      27 Fair      11 poor
ADI late              37 Fair      3 Very poor  13 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       8            5            9
Max LVORI late        2            8            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-202300-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
247 AM EDT Wed Sep 20 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            20           40
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            2            3
Min/Max Temp          89           69           88
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  3         SW  4        LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  5         W  4         LGT/VAR
Precip amount         0.00         0.04         0.11
Precip duration                    1            2
Inversion             73/0900      2000         78/1000
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        47           99           50
DSI                   3                         2
Haines Index          4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5860                      5790
Transport wnd (mph)   W  8                      N  6
Ventilation rate      46880                     34740
ADI early             30 Fair      29 Fair      6 Very poor
ADI late              40 Fair      4 Very poor  22 Fair
Max LVORI early       10           6            9
Max LVORI late        1            9            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-202300-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
247 AM EDT Wed Sep 20 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            20           30
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            2            3
Min/Max Temp          89           68           89
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  4         SW  4        NW  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  5         SW  5        LGT/VAR
Precip amount         0.00         0.04         0.08
Precip duration                    1            2
Inversion             73/0900      2000         79/1000
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        48           98           49
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5860                      5790
Transport wnd (mph)   W  9                      NE  7
Ventilation rate      52740                     40530
ADI early             37 Fair      23 Fair      14 Gen poor
ADI late              43 Gen good  5 Very poor  39 Fair
Max LVORI early       10           6            9
Max LVORI late        1            8            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-202300-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
247 AM EDT Wed Sep 20 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            20           40
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            2            3
Min/Max Temp          90           70           88
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  3         SW  5        LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  3         W  4         LGT/VAR
Precip amount         0.00         0.04         0.11
Precip duration                    1            2
Inversion             74/0900      2000         80/1000
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        46           98           53
DSI                   3                         2
Haines Index          4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5860                      5640
Transport wnd (mph)   W  6                      NW  2
Ventilation rate      35160                     11280
ADI early             34 Fair      18 Gen poor  8 poor
ADI late              37 Fair      4 Very poor  10 poor
Max LVORI early       8            5            8
Max LVORI late        2            8            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. East winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-202300-
Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
247 AM EDT Wed Sep 20 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            30           40
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            3            3
Min/Max Temp          90           69           89
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  3         S  4         LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  5         SW  3        LGT/VAR
Precip amount         0.00         0.05         0.10
Precip duration                    1            2
Inversion             73/0900      2000         79/1000
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        47           99           51
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5860                      5790
Transport wnd (mph)   W  8                      N  3
Ventilation rate      46880                     17370
ADI early             26 Fair      23 Fair      5 Very poor
ADI late              34 Fair      3 Very poor  16 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       9            5            10
Max LVORI late        2            9            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-202300-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
247 AM EDT Wed Sep 20 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            20           20
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            2            2
Min/Max Temp          90           68           89
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  3         SW  4        LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  4         SW  4        LGT/VAR
Precip amount         0.00         0.04         0.07
Precip duration                    1            1
Inversion             72/0900      2000         78/1000
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        47           99           49
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5860                      5790
Transport wnd (mph)   W  8                      NE  5
Ventilation rate      46880                     28950
ADI early             28 Fair      22 Fair      13 Gen poor
ADI late              41 Gen good  4 Very poor  32 Fair
Max LVORI early       10           5            10
Max LVORI late        2            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
46 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

40



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