Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 220837
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
337 AM EST Wed Feb 22 2017

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure moving off the Mid Atlantic coast will keep unseasonable
warmth in the forecast for some time to come. An upper level disturbance
will bring isolated showers today and Thursday. Near record
highs are possible Friday. A cold front will bring a chance for
showers Friday into Saturday. Much cooler and drier air will build
into the area Saturday night into early next week.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...low.

NCZ105>110-230045-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
337 AM EST Wed Feb 22 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            20
Precip type           NONE         NONE         showers
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          73           54           74
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  4         E  3         E  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE  7        LGT/VAR      SE  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration                                 1
Inversion             62/0900      1900         63/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        50           100          53
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          5            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6170                      6370
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 12                     SE 12
Ventilation rate      74040                     76440
ADI early             41 Gen good  4 Very poor  29 Fair
ADI late              40 Fair      1 Very poor  41 Gen good
Max LVORI early       9            7            10
Max LVORI late        2            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows in the mid 50s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s.
Maximum RH 66 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 28 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
78 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
88 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-230045-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
337 AM EST Wed Feb 22 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            20
Precip type           NONE         NONE         showers
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          74           54           76
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  5        SE  3        LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE  7        LGT/VAR      SE  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration                                 1
Inversion             61/0900      1900         63/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        48           100          47
DSI                   2                         3
Haines Index          3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5930                      5910
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 12                     SE 10
Ventilation rate      71160                     59100
ADI early             27 Fair      4 Very poor  25 Fair
ADI late              37 Fair      1 Very poor  46 Gen good
Max LVORI early       9            6            10
Max LVORI late        2            10           1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows in the mid 50s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
49 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s.
Maximum RH 61 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
26 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 76 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
30 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
85 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-230045-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
337 AM EST Wed Feb 22 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            20
Precip type           NONE         NONE         showers
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          73           55           75
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  6         E  4         E  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE  9        LGT/VAR      E  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration                                 1
Inversion             63/0900      1900         64/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        53           100          53
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5480                      5640
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 15                     SE 14
Ventilation rate      82200                     78960
ADI early             33 Fair      6 Very poor  40 Fair
ADI late              44 Gen good  1 Very poor  58 Gen good
Max LVORI early       9            7            10
Max LVORI late        3            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
55 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows in the mid 50s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s.
Maximum RH 62 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
28 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
75 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
33 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
89 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-230045-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
337 AM EST Wed Feb 22 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            20
Precip type           NONE         NONE         showers
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          74           53           77
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  5        SE  3        E  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE  7        LGT/VAR      SE  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration                                 1
Inversion             59/0900      1900         61/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        49           100          47
DSI                   2                         3
Haines Index          3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5300                      5310
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 13                     SE 10
Ventilation rate      68900                     53100
ADI early             19 Gen poor  5 Very poor  19 Gen poor
ADI late              42 Gen good  1 Very poor  49 Gen good
Max LVORI early       9            7            10
Max LVORI late        2            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows in the mid 50s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s.
Maximum RH 62 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
26 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
76 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
30 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
83 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-230045-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
337 AM EST Wed Feb 22 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            20
Precip type           NONE         NONE         showers
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          74           54           76
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  6         E  3         E  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE  9        LGT/VAR      E  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration                                 1
Inversion             62/0900      1900         63/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        50           100          48
DSI                   2                         3
Haines Index          3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5520                      5770
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 16                     SE 13
Ventilation rate      88320                     75010
ADI early             30 Fair      5 Very poor  38 Fair
ADI late              50 Gen good  1 Very poor  57 Gen good
Max LVORI early       9            7            10
Max LVORI late        2            10           1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
49 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows in the mid 50s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s.
Maximum RH 61 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
26 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 76 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
29 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
88 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
43 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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