Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

000
FNUS52 KILM 110758
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
358 AM EDT FRI JUL 11 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAKENING FRONT WILL STALL ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AND INTO
SATURDAY...CONTINUING THE CHANCE FOR SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WITH
PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL. DRIER AND MORE SEASONABLE WEATHER WILL
DEVELOP SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. A STRONGER COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH DURING THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK BRINGING A RENEWED CHANCE
FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...AND COOLER TEMPERATURES.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...MODERATE.

NCZ105>110-120000-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
358 AM EDT FRI JUL 11 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        60           60           40
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   4            4            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          87           70           89
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  5        S  4         LGT/VAR
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S  5         LGT/VAR      E  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.14         0.07
PRECIP DURATION       4            4            2
INVERSION             80/0800      2200         76/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        59           94           55
DSI                   2                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5460                      4520
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     E  9
VENTILATION RATE      38220                     40680
ADI EARLY             34 FAIR      26 FAIR      17 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              33 FAIR      1 VERY POOR  38 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            5            8
MAX LVORI LATE        2            7            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-120000-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
358 AM EDT FRI JUL 11 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        60           60           40
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   4            4            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          87           70           91
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR      SE  3        LGT/VAR
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SE  3        LGT/VAR      E  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.11         0.06
PRECIP DURATION       4            3            2
INVERSION             77/0800      2200         76/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        58           94           48
DSI                   3                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5960                      5880
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  5                      E  7
VENTILATION RATE      29800                     41160
ADI EARLY             26 FAIR      28 FAIR      29 FAIR
ADI LATE              26 FAIR      1 VERY POOR  36 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            5            8
MAX LVORI LATE        2            8            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH
99 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-120000-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
358 AM EDT FRI JUL 11 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        60           60           40
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   4            4            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          88           70           91
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  3        S  5         LGT/VAR
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S  6         LGT/VAR      SE  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.14         0.07
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            2
INVERSION             79/0700      2200         76/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        61           97           52
DSI                   3                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5620                      4980
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  5                      SE  7
VENTILATION RATE      28100                     34860
ADI EARLY             25 FAIR      29 FAIR      21 FAIR
ADI LATE              23 FAIR      1 VERY POOR  32 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            5            8
MAX LVORI LATE        2            8            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-120000-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
358 AM EDT FRI JUL 11 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        60           60           40
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   4            4            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          88           70           93
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR      SE  4        NE  3
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SE  4        LGT/VAR      E  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.10         0.06
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            2
INVERSION             77/0800      2200         76/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        60           98           47
DSI                   3                         4
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   6130                      6070
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  5                     E  7
VENTILATION RATE      30650                     42490
ADI EARLY             19 GEN POOR  27 FAIR      30 FAIR
ADI LATE              23 FAIR      1 VERY POOR  36 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            6            9
MAX LVORI LATE        3            8            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

40




USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.