Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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450
FNUS52 KILM 132021
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
317 PM EST FRI JAN 13 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL DROP THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT WITH COOLER
CONDITIONS PREVAILING THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A WARMING TREND WILL
GEAR UP TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY AS SOUTH WINDS PREVAIL AHEAD
OF A ANOTHER COLD FRONT. RAIN CHANCES WILL RAMP UP LATE NEXT
WEEK AS THE FRONT STALLS, FOLLOWED BY A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FROM
THE GULF STATES.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW/MODERATE.

NCZ105>110-141230-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BURGAW, SURF CITY, WILMINGTON, MASONBORO,
MYRTLE GROVE, OGDEN, CAROLINA BEACH, SEAGATE, BOILING SPRING LAKES,
LELAND, SHALLOTTE, OAK ISLAND, LONG BEACH, SOUTHPORT,
AND SUNSET BEACH
321 PM EST FRI JAN 13 2017

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        20           20           0            0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          45           56           42           58
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE  4        N  5         NW  3        LGT/VAR
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     NE  8        N  4         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       0            0
INVERSION             1800         52/1100      1800         54/1100
MAX/MIN RH (%)        81           67           97           67
DSI                                1                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            2            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                1130                      2380
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  6                      NE  5
VENTILATION RATE                   6780                      11900
ADI EARLY             7 POOR       9 POOR       3 VERY POOR  3 VERY POOR
ADI LATE              8 POOR       7 POOR       1 VERY POOR  11 POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            4            6            8
MAX LVORI LATE        3            4            7            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
86 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MARTIN LUTHER KING JR DAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM
RH 62 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
98 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 71 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 71 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-141230-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LUMBERTON, ELIZABETHTOWN, BLADENBORO,
WHITEVILLE, TABOR CITY, CHADBOURN, AND LAKE WACCAMAW
321 PM EST FRI JAN 13 2017

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        20           20           0            0
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          44           54           42           60
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE  3        NE  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     NE  7        N  4         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       1            0
INVERSION             1800         50/1100      1800         54/1100
MAX/MIN RH (%)        79           63           100          67
DSI                                1                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            2            3            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                1560                      2280
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  6                      NE  6
VENTILATION RATE                   9360                      13680
ADI EARLY             6 VERY POOR  10 POOR      2 VERY POOR  3 VERY POOR
ADI LATE              9 POOR       11 POOR      1 VERY POOR  13 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            4            8            10
MAX LVORI LATE        3            4            10           4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MARTIN LUTHER KING JR DAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM
RH 60 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS
AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH
63 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-141230-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF CONWAY, RED HILL, MYRTLE BEACH, SOCASTEE,
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH, GARDEN CITY, LITTLE RIVER, ANDREWS, GEORGETOWN,
AND MURRELLS INLET
321 PM EST FRI JAN 13 2017

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          48           60           44           65
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    SE  3        NE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     NE  7        N  4         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
INVERSION             1800         55/1100      1800         58/1100
MAX/MIN RH (%)        94           66           100          65
DSI                                1                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            2            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                1750                      2490
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  6                      NW  3
VENTILATION RATE                   10500                     7470
ADI EARLY             5 VERY POOR  9 POOR       2 VERY POOR  4 VERY POOR
ADI LATE              7 POOR       10 POOR      1 VERY POOR  13 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            4            7            9
MAX LVORI LATE        6            4            9            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
90 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MARTIN LUTHER KING JR DAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
94 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH
69 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-141230-
DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF DILLON, FLORENCE, MARION, MULLINS,
AND KINGSTREE
321 PM EST FRI JAN 13 2017

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        20           20           0            0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          47           60           44           66
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    SE  3        NE  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     NE  7        NE  4        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       0            0
INVERSION             1800         54/1100      1800         58/1100
MAX/MIN RH (%)        97           59           100          57
DSI                                1                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            2            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                1720                      2570
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  5                      NW  3
VENTILATION RATE                   8600                      7710
ADI EARLY             4 VERY POOR  13 GEN POOR  2 VERY POOR  3 VERY POOR
ADI LATE              8 POOR       11 POOR      1 VERY POOR  13 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            4            7            10
MAX LVORI LATE        6            3            9            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
90 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MARTIN LUTHER KING JR DAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 50. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
94 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH
61 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-141230-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNETTSVILLE, MCCOLL, HARTSVILLE,
DARLINGTON, AND NORTH HARTSVILLE
321 PM EST FRI JAN 13 2017

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        20           20           0            0
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          47           54           43           64
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    E  4         NE  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     NE  8        NE  4        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       1            0
INVERSION             1800         51/0700      1800         57/1100
MAX/MIN RH (%)        82           62           100          66
DSI                                1                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            2            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                1730                      2330
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 12                     NE  5
VENTILATION RATE                   20760                     11650
ADI EARLY             8 POOR       19 GEN POOR  1 VERY POOR  4 VERY POOR
ADI LATE              9 POOR       14 GEN POOR  2 VERY POOR  13 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            4            8            10
MAX LVORI LATE        4            3            10           4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
91 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MARTIN LUTHER KING JR DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
94 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS
AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS AROUND 50. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH
56 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

99



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