Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 210750
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
350 AM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Warm and dry weather is expected through the weekend, as high
pressure moves off to the northeast. A coastal front will bring
showers and a few thunderstorms late Monday and Tuesday. Cooler
temperatures will overspread the region through mid-week, as a
cold front sweeps off the coast.


Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable

Fog potential for tonight...Moderate

NCZ105>110-220000-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
350 AM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          Clear        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          80           56           81
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  4         LGT/VAR      E  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             68/1100      1800         68/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        37           99           50
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4640                      4820
Transport wnd (mph)   SE  6                     E  7
Ventilation rate      27840                     33740
ADI early             26 Fair      14 Gen poor  33 Fair
ADI late              27 Fair      1 Very poor  35 Fair
Max LVORI early       10           6            10
Max LVORI late        2            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a slight chance of thunderstorms with
isolated showers. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Chance of precipitation 20 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds
15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance
of precipitation 60 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
82 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-220000-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
350 AM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          Clear        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          80           54           82
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  3         LGT/VAR      E  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             65/1100      1800         66/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        36           100          50
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4970                      4680
Transport wnd (mph)   SE  5                     E  6
Ventilation rate      24850                     28080
ADI early             5 Very poor  17 Gen poor  37 Fair
ADI late              28 Fair      1 Very poor  34 Fair
Max LVORI early       10           6            10
Max LVORI late        2            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
98 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with scattered showers and a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of
precipitation 40 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely and a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance
of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny, warmer. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
41 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-220000-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
350 AM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          Clear        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          79           57           81
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      E  3         NE  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  5         NE  3        SE 10
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             66/1100      1800         70/1000
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        42           100          57
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4570                      4730
Transport wnd (mph)   SE  7                     E 12
Ventilation rate      31990                     56760
ADI early             21 Fair      18 Gen poor  50 Gen good
ADI late              26 Fair      2 Very poor  45 Gen good
Max LVORI early       10           8            10
Max LVORI late        2            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows in the
lower 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. East
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and a slight chance
of thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 77 percent. Chance of
precipitation 40 percent. East winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely and a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
67 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Southwest winds
15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
80 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-220000-
Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
350 AM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          Clear        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          80           55           83
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  4         LGT/VAR      E  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             65/1100      1800         68/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        38           100          54
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4780                      4860
Transport wnd (mph)   E  7                      E 10
Ventilation rate      33460                     48600
ADI early             7 poor       19 Gen poor  50 Gen good
ADI late              26 Fair      2 Very poor  51 Gen good
Max LVORI early       10           8            10
Max LVORI late        2            10           1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows in the
lower 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and a slight chance
of thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 76 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and a slight chance
of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-220000-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
350 AM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          80           53           82
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  3         LGT/VAR      E  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             65/1100      1800         65/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        35           100          50
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          5            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4980                      4820
Transport wnd (mph)   E  6                      SE 12
Ventilation rate      29880                     57840
ADI early             12 poor      17 Gen poor  37 Fair
ADI late              24 Fair      1 Very poor  46 Gen good
Max LVORI early       9            5            10
Max LVORI late        2            10           1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows around 60.
Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. East winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and a slight chance
of thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and a slight chance
of thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny, warmer. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
39 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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