Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 280904
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
504 AM EDT WED SEP 28 2016

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER CUTOFF LOW DROPPING TO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS TODAY THRU
FRIDAY, WILL PRIMARILY AFFECT THE REGION FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS WITH
SCATTERED TO AREAS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ISOLATED STRONG
TO POSSIBLY A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE AREA AND OFF THE
CAROLINA COASTS BY LATE FRIDAY. DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL TRY TO
BUILD INTO THE AREA LATE FRIDAY THRU THE WEEKEND.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW.

NCZ105>110-290115-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...WILMINGTON...
MASONBORO...MYRTLE GROVE...OGDEN...CAROLINA BEACH...SEAGATE...
BOILING SPRING LAKES...LELAND...SHALLOTTE...OAK ISLAND...
LONG BEACH...SOUTHPORT...SUNSET BEACH
504 AM EDT WED SEP 28 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        30           50           50
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            3            3
MIN/MAX TEMP          85           69           83
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    LGT/VAR      S  6         S  4
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     S  8         S  4         S  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.32         0.26
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            2
INVERSION             78/1000      1800         74/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        64           97           64
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            4            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3840                      4250
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 15                      S 14
VENTILATION RATE      57600                     59500
ADI EARLY             19 GEN POOR  36 FAIR      31 FAIR
ADI LATE              47 GEN GOOD  4 VERY POOR  45 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            7            8
MAX LVORI LATE        3            8            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
58 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
85 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
51 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
89 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
91 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-290115-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...BLADENBORO...
WHITEVILLE...TABOR CITY...CHADBOURN...LAKE WACCAMAW
504 AM EDT WED SEP 28 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           40           40
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            3            3
MIN/MAX TEMP          85           68           84
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    S  3         S  6         S  3
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     S  8         S  3         S  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         0.37         0.20
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            2
INVERSION             77/1000      1800         72/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        63           100          60
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3980                      4630
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 17                      S 13
VENTILATION RATE      67660                     60190
ADI EARLY             16 GEN POOR  46 GEN GOOD  27 FAIR
ADI LATE              62 GOOD      3 VERY POOR  50 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       10           8            10
MAX LVORI LATE        3            10           3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
53 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH 87 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
93 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
61 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-290115-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...RED HILL...MYRTLE BEACH...
SOCASTEE...NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...LITTLE RIVER...
ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...MURRELLS INLET
504 AM EDT WED SEP 28 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        30           40           40
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            3            3
MIN/MAX TEMP          86           69           84
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    S  3         S  7         SW  4
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     S  8         S  5         S  8
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.28         0.17
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            2
INVERSION             78/1000      1800         73/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        60           97           60
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4150                      4470
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 17                      S 16
VENTILATION RATE      70550                     71520
ADI EARLY             27 FAIR      45 GEN GOOD  25 FAIR
ADI LATE              59 GEN GOOD  4 VERY POOR  56 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            6            7
MAX LVORI LATE        3            7            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
52 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
82 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
90 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
91 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-290115-
FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLORENCE...MARION...MULLINS...KINGSTREE
504 AM EDT WED SEP 28 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           40           30
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            3            3
MIN/MAX TEMP          87           68           84
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    S  3         S  6         S  3
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     S  8         S  3         S  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.25         0.14
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1
INVERSION             78/1000      1800         72/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        58           98           55
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4370                      4760
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 14                      S 12
VENTILATION RATE      61180                     57120
ADI EARLY             26 FAIR      36 FAIR      25 FAIR
ADI LATE              51 GEN GOOD  4 VERY POOR  41 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       10           6            9
MAX LVORI LATE        2            9            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 89 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
46 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH 84 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
52 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
92 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-290115-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...MCCOLL...HARTSVILLE...
DARLINGTON...NORTH HARTSVILLE...DILLON
504 AM EDT WED SEP 28 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           50           30
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            3            3
MIN/MAX TEMP          85           67           84
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    S  3         S  6         S  3
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     S  8         S  3         S  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.36         0.27         0.14
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1
INVERSION             77/1000      1800         71/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        61           99           53
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4550                      4620
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 16                      S 13
VENTILATION RATE      72800                     60060
ADI EARLY             18 GEN POOR  39 FAIR      25 FAIR
ADI LATE              56 GEN GOOD  4 VERY POOR  47 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       10           7            10
MAX LVORI LATE        3            10           3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 88 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
85 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
50 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
93 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
52 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
59 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

DOUGH



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