Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 230858
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
358 AM EST TUE DEC 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
ONE LAST DAY OF COLD CLOUDY WEATHER IS EXPECTED AS A COASTAL FRONT
REMAINS STALLED OFFSHORE. THE FRONT WILL FINALLY MOVE ONSHORE
THIS EVENING...ALLOWING A MUCH WARMER AIRMASS INTO THE CAROLINAS FOR
CHRISTMAS EVE. LOW PRESSURE MOVING THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY
CHRISTMAS EVE WILL PUSH A STRONG COLD FRONT ACROSS THE AREA DURING
THE EVENING...AND HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST CHRISTMAS
DAY THROUGH FRIDAY. THE HIGH WILL MOVE OFFSHORE THIS WEEKEND.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...HIGH.

NCZ105>110-240100-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
358 AM EST TUE DEC 23 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        60           100          90
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS
LAL                   1            1            2
MAX/MIN TEMP          59           54           73
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)N  3         E  3         S 10
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR      SE  4        S 13
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.69         0.83
PRECIP DURATION       2            9            10
INVERSION             CONTINUED    CONTINUED    68/1100
MIN/MAX RH (%)        86           99           80
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   250                       1380
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  5                     S 24
VENTILATION RATE      1250                      33120
ADI EARLY             4 VERY POOR  4 VERY POOR  26 FAIR
ADI LATE              5 VERY POOR  8 POOR       41 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            9            5
MAX LVORI LATE        6            7            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
MAXIMUM RH 88 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 70 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.CHRISTMAS DAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH
45 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR...COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
79 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
84 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH
58 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 83 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 40. MAXIMUM RH 83 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

NCZ096-099-240100-
BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
358 AM EST TUE DEC 23 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        70           100          90
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS
LAL                   1            1            2
MAX/MIN TEMP          54           50           73
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  3        E  3         S 10
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  3        SE  5        S 13
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.84         0.77
PRECIP DURATION       3            10           12
INVERSION             CONTINUED    CONTINUED    68/1200
MIN/MAX RH (%)        89           99           79
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   250                       1530
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  6                     S 28
VENTILATION RATE      1500                      42840
ADI EARLY             5 VERY POOR  4 VERY POOR  29 FAIR
ADI LATE              6 VERY POOR  9 POOR       47 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            8            5
MAX LVORI LATE        6            6            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 89 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 70 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.CHRISTMAS DAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH
46 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR...COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
82 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
89 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH
51 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 82 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 85 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-240100-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
358 AM EST TUE DEC 23 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        70           100          100
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS
LAL                   1            1            2
MAX/MIN TEMP          57           53           72
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  3        E  3         S 11
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  3        SE  5        S 13
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.77         0.91
PRECIP DURATION       3            9            12
INVERSION             CONTINUED    CONTINUED    68/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        88           100          82
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   250                       1430
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  6                     S 23
VENTILATION RATE      1500                      32890
ADI EARLY             5 VERY POOR  4 VERY POOR  24 FAIR
ADI LATE              7 POOR       10 POOR      38 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       7            8            5
MAX LVORI LATE        6            7            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 70 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.CHRISTMAS DAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH
45 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR...COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
82 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
86 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 83 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 82 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-SCZ017-023-024-240100-
ROBESON-MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...
DILLON
358 AM EST TUE DEC 23 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        80           100          100
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS
LAL                   1            1            2
MAX/MIN TEMP          51           48           72
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  4        E  5         S  9
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  4        SE  5        S 14
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.82         0.52
PRECIP DURATION       4            10           12
INVERSION             CONTINUED    CONTINUED    66/1100
MIN/MAX RH (%)        91           99           78
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   250                       1560
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  7                     S 28
VENTILATION RATE      1750                      43680
ADI EARLY             8 POOR       5 VERY POOR  26 FAIR
ADI LATE              8 POOR       6 VERY POOR  47 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       8            8            5
MAX LVORI LATE        6            6            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. MAXIMUM RH 86 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 70 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.CHRISTMAS DAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH
45 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR...COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
84 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
90 PERCENT. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WIND.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH
49 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 83 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 84 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-240100-
FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
358 AM EST TUE DEC 23 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        80           100          100
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS
LAL                   1            1            2
MAX/MIN TEMP          54           50           73
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  3        E  4         S 10
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  4        SE  4        S 13
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.80         0.63
PRECIP DURATION       3            10           12
INVERSION             CONTINUED    CONTINUED    67/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        91           100          79
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   250                       1600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  6                     S 25
VENTILATION RATE      1500                      40000
ADI EARLY             6 VERY POOR  5 VERY POOR  24 FAIR
ADI LATE              8 POOR       8 POOR       43 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       8            9            5
MAX LVORI LATE        7            7            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. MAXIMUM RH 85 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 70 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.CHRISTMAS DAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH
43 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR...COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
83 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. MAXIMUM RH
90 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 84 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 85 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

TRA




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