Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 170732
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
332 AM EDT Sun Sep 17 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Weak high pressure will continue to cover the eastern United
States through next week. Hurricane Jose is expected to move
north between the North Carolina coast and Bermuda today and
Monday. Temperatures should warm well above normal by next Wednesday.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Unfavorable.
Profile Type 1-F, Direction 035, Max wind 30 mph at 1400 ft.

Fog potential for tonight...Low at the coast, Moderate inland.

NCZ105>110-172345-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
332 AM EDT Sun Sep 17 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        40           30           0
Precip type           Showers      Showers      None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          82           68           83
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  8         NE  6        N  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  9        N  7         N  8
Precip amount         0.09         0.02         0.00
Precip duration       2            1
Inversion             72/0900      2000         71/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        70           100          57
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4200                      4890
Transport wnd (mph)   NE 13                     N 17
Ventilation rate      54600                     83130
ADI early             26 Fair      28 Fair      47 Gen good
ADI late              35 Fair      7 poor       70 Good
Max LVORI early       6            6            6
Max LVORI late        3            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-172345-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
332 AM EDT Sun Sep 17 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           0            0
Precip type           Showers      None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          82           66           84
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  6         NE  5        N  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  8        N  5         N  8
Precip amount         0.02         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Inversion             71/0900      2000         71/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        63           100          54
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4940                      5130
Transport wnd (mph)   NE 15                     N 16
Ventilation rate      74100                     82080
ADI early             34 Fair      38 Fair      44 Gen good
ADI late              46 Gen good  6 Very poor  67 Good
Max LVORI early       7            6            7
Max LVORI late        2            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Light
and variable wind.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-172345-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
332 AM EDT Sun Sep 17 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          83           65           84
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  7         NE  5        N  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  9        N  5         N  9
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             71/0900      2000         71/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        58           98           54
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5280                      4990
Transport wnd (mph)   NE 18                     N 15
Ventilation rate      95040                     74850
ADI early             49 Gen good  58 Gen good  47 Gen good
ADI late              54 Gen good  6 Very poor  62 Good
Max LVORI early       9            6            8
Max LVORI late        1            8            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-172345-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
332 AM EDT Sun Sep 17 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           20           0
Precip type           Showers      Showers      None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          82           67           84
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  8         NE  6        N  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  9        N  6         N  8
Precip amount         0.02         0.01         0.00
Precip duration       1            0
Inversion             73/0900      2000         71/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        63           98           57
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5060                      4890
Transport wnd (mph)   NE 16                     N 14
Ventilation rate      80960                     68460
ADI early             38 Fair      35 Fair      42 Gen good
ADI late              47 Gen good  7 poor       56 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            6            6
Max LVORI late        2            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-172345-
Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
332 AM EDT Sun Sep 17 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          85           65           84
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  6         NE  5        N  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  9        N  5         N  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             72/0900      2000         71/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        54           97           54
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5430                      5010
Transport wnd (mph)   NE 18                     N 14
Ventilation rate      97740                     70140
ADI early             53 Gen good  63 Good      44 Gen good
ADI late              64 Good      4 Very poor  60 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            6            7
Max LVORI late        1            7            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-172345-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
332 AM EDT Sun Sep 17 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          86           65           85
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  6         NE  4        N  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  8        N  5         N  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             72/0900      2000         70/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        50           95           51
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5840                      5400
Transport wnd (mph)   NE 15                     N 15
Ventilation rate      87600                     81000
ADI early             46 Gen good  57 Gen good  46 Gen good
ADI late              66 Good      3 Very poor  61 Good
Max LVORI early       7            6            8
Max LVORI late        1            7            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Light
and variable wind.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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