Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook) Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
000
FNUS52 KILM 261249
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
849 AM EDT Tue Mar 26 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Cool and dry high pressure will build in through early this
week with a return to more seasonable temperatures today. Rain
chances will return with the next cold front Wednesday into
Thursday. Dry high pressure will build in behind the cold front
into Friday with a warming trend through the weekend.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-270500-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
849 AM EDT Tue Mar 26 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 50
Precip Type None None Tstms
LAL 1 1 2
Max/Min Temp 70 50 73
Min/Max RH (%) 49 98 67
Wind20ft/Early (mph) NE 4 SE 5 SE 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 4 SE 5 SE 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.22
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 7 AM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 45/0900 2000 62/1000
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 4 3 2
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2700 2100
Transport Wind (mph) SE 9 S 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 24300 35700
ADI Early 16 Gen Poor 20 Gen Poor 31 Fair
ADI Late 27 Fair 10 Poor 32 Fair
Max LVORI Early 4 5 6
Max LVORI Late 2 6 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability B D D
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
mid 60s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Colder.
Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 81 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
77 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-270500-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
849 AM EDT Tue Mar 26 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 70
Precip Type None None Tstms
LAL 1 1 3
Max/Min Temp 70 52 72
Min/Max RH (%) 40 98 71
Wind20ft/Early (mph) E 4 SE 5 SE 6
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SE 4 SE 6 S 8 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.35
Precip Duration 5
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 45/0900 2000 63/1000
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 4 3 3
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3400 1800
Transport Wind (mph) SE 14 S 20
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 47600 36000
ADI Early 19 Gen Poor 37 Fair 29 Fair
ADI Late 48 Gen Good 12 Poor 34 Fair
Max LVORI Early 4 4 6
Max LVORI Late 2 5 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 7 2 Rain
Turner Stability B D D
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
mid 60s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. North winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 77 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
78 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-270500-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
849 AM EDT Tue Mar 26 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 60
Precip Type None None Tstms
LAL 1 1 2
Max/Min Temp 69 55 73
Min/Max RH (%) 57 98 75
Wind20ft/Early (mph) E 6 G18 SE 6 SE 6
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SE 7 SE 6 S 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.28
Precip Duration 5
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 51/0900 2000 64/0900
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 4 3 3
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2600 1900
Transport Wind (mph) SE 17 S 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 44200 34200
ADI Early 31 Fair 30 Fair 28 Fair
ADI Late 36 Fair 12 Poor 33 Fair
Max LVORI Early 4 5 6
Max LVORI Late 3 5 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 3 Rain
Turner Stability C D D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 79 percent.
Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
79 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-270500-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
849 AM EDT Tue Mar 26 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 30 80
Precip Type None Showers Tstms
LAL 1 1 3
Max/Min Temp 69 55 73
Min/Max RH (%) 51 100 76
Wind20ft/Early (mph) E 5 SE 6 SE 6
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SE 7 SE 6 S 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.02 0.35
Precip Duration 1 9
Precip Begin 10 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 49/0900 2000 65/1000
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 3 3 3
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3400 1900
Transport Wind (mph) SE 18 S 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 61200 28500
ADI Early 23 Fair 42 Gen Good 27 Fair
ADI Late 46 Gen Good 14 Gen Poor 28 Fair
Max LVORI Early 3 4 6
Max LVORI Late 2 6 4
Min VSBY Early 7 7 4 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 3 Rain
Turner Stability C D D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. North
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 76 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
81 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...LEW