Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 210854
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
454 AM EDT MON JUL 21 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A LINGERING FRONT WILL SLOWLY DISSIPATE THROUGH TUESDAY. NUMEROUS TO
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE HEAVY DOWNPOURS TODAY.
BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA MID WEEK. A COLD FRONT
WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST LATE IN THE WEEK AND STALL NORTH OF
THE AREA FOR THE WEEKEND.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW.

NCZ105>110-220100-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
454 AM EDT MON JUL 21 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        60           50           40
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   4            3            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          86           73           89
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SE  3        SE  5        E  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SE  5        E  3         SE  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.30         0.38         0.22
PRECIP DURATION       4            5            2
INVERSION             79/0900      2100         79/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        65           100          56
DSI                   2                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3410                      3560
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 10                     SE 10
VENTILATION RATE      34100                     35600
ADI EARLY             16 GEN POOR  26 FAIR      17 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              29 FAIR      2 VERY POOR  32 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            5            9
MAX LVORI LATE        3            10           2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-220100-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
454 AM EDT MON JUL 21 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        70           60           40
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   4            4            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          86           73           90
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SE  4        SE  5        E  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SE  5        E  3         SE  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.63         0.46         0.30
PRECIP DURATION       6            5            2
INVERSION             79/0900      2100         79/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        64           99           59
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3570                      3770
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 14                      SE 15
VENTILATION RATE      49980                     56550
ADI EARLY             28 FAIR      27 FAIR      31 FAIR
ADI LATE              38 FAIR      2 VERY POOR  42 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            5            9
MAX LVORI LATE        3            8            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-220100-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
454 AM EDT MON JUL 21 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        70           60           40
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   4            4            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          86           71           90
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SE  3        E  4         E  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) E  4         E  3         SE  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.48         0.36         0.21
PRECIP DURATION       6            5            2
INVERSION             78/0900      2100         78/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        66           99           55
DSI                   2                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3400                      3980
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 13                     SE 14
VENTILATION RATE      44200                     55720
ADI EARLY             21 FAIR      26 FAIR      27 FAIR
ADI LATE              31 FAIR      2 VERY POOR  42 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            5            9
MAX LVORI LATE        3            10           1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-220100-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
454 AM EDT MON JUL 21 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        70           60           50
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   4            4            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          87           72           90
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SE  3        E  4         E  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) E  4         E  3         E  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.68         0.42         0.26
PRECIP DURATION       6            5            2
INVERSION             78/0900      2100         78/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        63           99           56
DSI                   2                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3340                      4160
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 10                     E 15
VENTILATION RATE      33400                     62400
ADI EARLY             19 GEN POOR  24 FAIR      30 FAIR
ADI LATE              28 FAIR      3 VERY POOR  43 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       8            6            8
MAX LVORI LATE        3            9            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

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