Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

000
FNUS52 KILM 200743
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
343 AM EDT Thu Jul 20 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Showers and thunderstorms will be isolated in the days ahead,
as an upper ridge builds from the west. The ridge will bring hot
and humid conditions through the weekend. Rain chances will
increase early next week, as a surface trough deepens inland.


Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is favorable

Fog potential for tonight...Moderate


NCZ105>110-202345-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
343 AM EDT Thu Jul 20 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        20           0            0
Precip type           Tstms        None         None
LAL                   2            1            1
Min/Max Temp          91           74           96
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  7         SW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  5         SW  4        SW  9
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Inversion             80/1000      2100         81/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        53           98           47
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   7000                      7240
Transport wnd (mph)   SW  5                     SW 12
Ventilation rate      35000                     86880
ADI early             18 Gen poor  22 Fair      32 Fair
ADI late              21 Fair      2 Very poor  45 Gen good
Max LVORI early       10           6            8
Max LVORI late        2            8            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-202345-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
343 AM EDT Thu Jul 20 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          92           73           96
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  4         SW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  3        SW  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             79/1000      2100         81/0900
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        47           99           44
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6900                      7530
Transport wnd (mph)   W  2                      SW 12
Ventilation rate      13800                     90360
ADI early             15 Gen poor  16 Gen poor  26 Fair
ADI late              20 Gen poor  2 Very poor  53 Gen good
Max LVORI early       10           5            10
Max LVORI late        2            9            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 90 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 56 percent. West winds
around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-202345-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
343 AM EDT Thu Jul 20 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        20           0            0
Precip type           Tstms        None         None
LAL                   2            1            1
Min/Max Temp          93           74           95
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  6         SW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  4         SW  3        SW  8 G20
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Inversion             80/1000      2100         82/0900
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        50           96           46
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   7830                      8130
Transport wnd (mph)   W  5                      SW  8
Ventilation rate      39150                     65040
ADI early             19 Gen poor  23 Fair      31 Fair
ADI late              23 Fair      2 Very poor  38 Fair
Max LVORI early       10           5            8
Max LVORI late        2            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 59 percent. West winds
5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-202345-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
343 AM EDT Thu Jul 20 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        20           0            0
Precip type           Tstms        None         None
LAL                   2            1            1
Min/Max Temp          94           75           96
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  3         SW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  3        SW  6
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Inversion             79/0900      2100         81/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        46           94           44
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   7860                      8460
Transport wnd (mph)   W  3                      SW  8
Ventilation rate      23580                     67680
ADI early             19 Gen poor  19 Gen poor  25 Fair
ADI late              28 Fair      2 Very poor  43 Gen good
Max LVORI early       10           4            7
Max LVORI late        2            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 91 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 57 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-202345-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
343 AM EDT Thu Jul 20 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          94           74           97
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  3         SW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  4        SW  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             79/1000      2100         81/0900
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        43           93           41
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   7890                      8790
Transport wnd (mph)   W  2                      W 10
Ventilation rate      15780                     87900
ADI early             11 poor      18 Gen poor  25 Fair
ADI late              22 Fair      2 Very poor  52 Gen good
Max LVORI early       10           4            6
Max LVORI late        2            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 87 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 90 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

8



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.