Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 170803
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
303 AM EST Fri Feb 17 2017

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure moving offshore will bring milder weather and a
gradual increase in moisture through Saturday. An upper level
disturbance will interact with this moisture for some rain
Saturday night. Even milder weather returns Sunday and should
last through midweek. Rain chances may return late next week.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable

Fog potential for tonight...None.

NCZ105>110-180015-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
303 AM EST Fri Feb 17 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud amount          MClear       Clear        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          64           42           71
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      SW  3        SW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  7        SW  3        SW  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             51/1000      1800         63/1100
Max/Min RH (%)        29           80           36
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4170                      4530
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 12                     SW 17
Ventilation rate      50040                     77010
ADI early             15 Gen poor  3 Very poor  15 Gen poor
ADI late              46 Gen good  2 Very poor  49 Gen good
Max LVORI early       4            4            4
Max LVORI late        2            4            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 91 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
87 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
44 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
55 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-180015-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
303 AM EST Fri Feb 17 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud amount          MClear       Clear        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          65           40           70
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  3         SW  3        SW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      SW  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             50/1000      1800         62/1100
Max/Min RH (%)        29           80           35
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4100                      4660
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 13                     SW 20
Ventilation rate      53300                     93200
ADI early             17 Gen poor  3 Very poor  22 Fair
ADI late              48 Gen good  2 Very poor  57 Gen good
Max LVORI early       4            3            5
Max LVORI late        2            4            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
41 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
88 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 41 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
50 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 70. Minimum RH 52 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-180015-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
303 AM EST Fri Feb 17 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          67           43           71
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  3         SW  4        SW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  8        SW  3        SW  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             53/1000      1800         64/1100
Max/Min RH (%)        29           77           36
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4170                      4590
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 12                     SW 17
Ventilation rate      50040                     78030
ADI early             12 poor      4 Very poor  22 Fair
ADI late              42 Gen good  2 Very poor  56 Gen good
Max LVORI early       5            3            4
Max LVORI late        2            3            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 50. Maximum RH 92 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
90 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
44 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 70. Minimum RH 55 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 57 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-180015-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
303 AM EST Fri Feb 17 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud amount          MClear       Clear        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          67           40           71
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  3         SW  3        SW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      SW  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             50/1000      1800         62/1100
Max/Min RH (%)        28           79           35
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4130                      5070
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 13                     SW 22
Ventilation rate      53690                     111540
ADI early             15 Gen poor  4 Very poor  23 Fair
ADI late              47 Gen good  2 Very poor  67 Good
Max LVORI early       4            3            4
Max LVORI late        2            4            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 94 percent. West winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
40 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
91 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
42 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-180015-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
303 AM EST Fri Feb 17 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          68           42           72
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  3        SW  4        SW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  8        LGT/VAR      SW  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             52/1000      1800         64/1100
Max/Min RH (%)        28           76           35
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4250                      4800
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 14                     SW 21
Ventilation rate      59500                     100800
ADI early             13 Gen poor  4 Very poor  23 Fair
ADI late              50 Gen good  2 Very poor  63 Good
Max LVORI early       5            3            4
Max LVORI late        2            3            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 94 percent. West winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
42 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
93 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
41 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
94 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 70. Minimum RH 53 percent. East winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

99



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