Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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952
FNUS52 KILM 220945
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
545 AM EDT THU SEP 22 2016

.DISCUSSION...
WEAKENING LOW PRESSURE WILL DRIFT OFFSHORE OF THE CAROLINAS THROUGH
SATURDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE
TO OUR NORTH WILL BUILD SOUTH NEXT WEEK. THE RISK FOR SHOWERS WILL BEGIN
TO DIMINISH AFTER TODAY AND MUCH OF THE WEEKEND MAY BE PRECIPITATION FREE.
HOWEVER, MUCH DRIER AIR WILL STRUGGLE TO REACH THE AREA INTO NEXT WEEK.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...MODERATE.

NCZ105>110-230145-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...WILMINGTON...
MASONBORO...MYRTLE GROVE...OGDEN...CAROLINA BEACH...SEAGATE...
BOILING SPRING LAKES...LELAND...SHALLOTTE...OAK ISLAND...
LONG BEACH...SOUTHPORT...SUNSET BEACH
545 AM EDT THU SEP 22 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        70           60           60
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   2            2            2
MIN/MAX TEMP          81           70           83
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE  6        E  4         NE  3
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     E  6         NE  3        NE  4
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.37         0.25         0.22
PRECIP DURATION       6            5            5
INVERSION             75/1000      1900         76/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        76           100          69
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4100                      4830
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 10                     SE  7
VENTILATION RATE      41000                     33810
ADI EARLY             23 FAIR      19 GEN POOR  15 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              32 FAIR      2 VERY POOR  21 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            7            10
MAX LVORI LATE        3            8            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
60 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
96 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-230145-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...BLADENBORO...
WHITEVILLE...TABOR CITY...CHADBOURN...LAKE WACCAMAW
545 AM EDT THU SEP 22 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        70           60           60
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   2            2            2
MIN/MAX TEMP          80           69           83
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE  6        NE  5        NE  5
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     NE  7        NE  4        NE  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.27         0.15
PRECIP DURATION       6            4            2
INVERSION             73/1000      1900         74/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        74           100          68
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3940                      4580
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 12                      E  9
VENTILATION RATE      47280                     41220
ADI EARLY             20 GEN POOR  18 GEN POOR  17 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              31 FAIR      3 VERY POOR  29 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            7            9
MAX LVORI LATE        4            9            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
54 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
94 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-230145-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...RED HILL...MYRTLE BEACH...
SOCASTEE...NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...LITTLE RIVER...
ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...MURRELLS INLET
545 AM EDT THU SEP 22 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        70           60           60
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   2            2            2
MIN/MAX TEMP          81           70           83
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE  6        NE  4        NE  4
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     NE  6        NE  3        NE  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.08         0.18
PRECIP DURATION       6            4            5
INVERSION             74/1000      1900         75/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        75           99           68
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3920                      4680
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 13                      NE  6
VENTILATION RATE      50960                     28080
ADI EARLY             24 FAIR      18 GEN POOR  11 POOR
ADI LATE              33 FAIR      3 VERY POOR  19 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       8            6            9
MAX LVORI LATE        3            8            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-230145-
DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DILLON...FLORENCE...MARION...MULLINS...
KINGSTREE
545 AM EDT THU SEP 22 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        60           50           60
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   2            2            2
MIN/MAX TEMP          81           70           84
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE  6        NE  5        N  5
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     NE  7        NE  4        NE  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.07         0.12
PRECIP DURATION       5            3            2
INVERSION             73/1000      1900         74/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        74           99           67
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4050                      4670
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 14                     NE  9
VENTILATION RATE      56700                     42030
ADI EARLY             24 FAIR      24 FAIR      13 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              40 FAIR      3 VERY POOR  33 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            7            9
MAX LVORI LATE        3            8            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
56 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
98 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
94 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-230145-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...MCCOLL...HARTSVILLE...
DARLINGTON...NORTH HARTSVILLE
545 AM EDT THU SEP 22 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           50           40
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   2            2            2
MIN/MAX TEMP          80           69           83
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE  7        NE  6        NE  6
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     NE  9        NE  5        NE  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.15         0.07
PRECIP DURATION       4            4            2
INVERSION             72/1000      1900         73/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        73           96           64
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4040                      4480
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 14                     NE 13
VENTILATION RATE      56560                     58240
ADI EARLY             23 FAIR      24 FAIR      23 FAIR
ADI LATE              39 FAIR      4 VERY POOR  37 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       8            6            7
MAX LVORI LATE        4            6            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
96 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
94 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

27



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