Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 121009
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
509 AM EST Tue Dec 12 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Today will be breezy and the warmest day of the week. The passage
of a strong cold front later today will usher in Arctic air
tonight and through Wednesday night. Temperatures will quickly
moderate Thursday and Friday. A cold front may bring some light
rain Friday and a brief cool down Saturday before seasonable
temperatures return Sunday followed by the risk for showers on
Monday.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Brotak Wind Profile today and tonight.

Fog potential for tonight...None.

NCZ105>110-130215-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
509 AM EST Tue Dec 12 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          63           27           43
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  9        NW 12 G20    NW 11 G22
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W 12         NW 11 G20    W 10 G22
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             56/1000      None         None
Dispersion                         Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        39           63           25
DSI                   2                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4250                      2940
Transport wnd (mph)   W 20                      W 17
Ventilation rate      85000                     49980
ADI early             29 Fair      41 Gen good  67 Good
ADI late              61 Good      28 Fair      40 Fair
Max LVORI early       3            1            1
Max LVORI late        1            2            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
92 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 50s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain
showers. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 86 percent. Northwest
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 60s. Minimum RH 64 percent. West winds 15 to 20 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-130215-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
509 AM EST Tue Dec 12 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          61           26           42
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  8        NW 12        W 10 G20
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W 12         NW  9        W 10 G20
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             52/1000      None         None
Dispersion                         Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        40           61           26
DSI                   2                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4420                      2930
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 22                     W 15
Ventilation rate      97240                     43950
ADI early             23 Fair      39 Fair      65 Good
ADI late              63 Good      38 Fair      43 Gen good
Max LVORI early       5            1            1
Max LVORI late        1            2            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of rain showers.
Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain
showers. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 85 percent. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 45 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 60s. Minimum RH 59 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-130215-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
509 AM EST Tue Dec 12 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          64           28           44
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  9        NW 12        NW  9
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W 12         NW 10        W  9
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             55/1000      None         None
Dispersion                         Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        38           64           30
DSI                   2                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4490                      2920
Transport wnd (mph)   W 20                      W 14
Ventilation rate      89800                     40880
ADI early             25 Fair      42 Gen good  70 Good
ADI late              63 Good      41 Gen good  35 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            1            1
Max LVORI late        1            2            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 50s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain
showers. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 89 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 60s. Minimum RH 64 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-130215-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
509 AM EST Tue Dec 12 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          59           26           44
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  9        NW 12        W  9
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW 12        NW  7        W 10
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             51/1000      None         None
Dispersion                         Good
Max/Min RH (%)        38           64           26
DSI                   2                         1
Haines Index          4            5            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4810                      2930
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 21                     W 12
Ventilation rate      101010                    35160
ADI early             21 Fair      38 Fair      57 Gen good
ADI late              70 Good      19 Gen poor  45 Gen good
Max LVORI early       4            2            2
Max LVORI late        1            2            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Maximum RH 88 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 60s. Minimum RH 56 percent. West winds around 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-130215-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
509 AM EST Tue Dec 12 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          62           27           45
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  9        NW 11        W  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W 13         NW  7        W  9
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             54/1000      None         None
Dispersion                         Good
Max/Min RH (%)        38           65           27
DSI                   2                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4660                      2930
Transport wnd (mph)   W 20                      W 12
Ventilation rate      93200                     35160
ADI early             24 Fair      39 Fair      66 Good
ADI late              71 Good      20 Gen poor  41 Gen good
Max LVORI early       5            2            2
Max LVORI late        1            2            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 30. Maximum RH 88 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 50s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain
showers. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 90 percent. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 95 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 60s. Minimum RH 60 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

27



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