Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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603
FNUS52 KILM 250951
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
551 AM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A complex and slow moving storm system will finally pull away
from the area today with scattered showers still possible. Look
for a return to clear to partly cloudy skies and well above
normal temperatures beginning Wednesday and continuing thru the
upcoming weekend. Some locations away from the immediate coast,
may see temps break into the 90s this upcoming weekend. Other
then today, the only other chance for isolated showers will be
Thursday night as a weak frontal boundary dissipates as it pushes
across the area.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...Moderate to High.

NCZ105>110-260200-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
551 AM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        50           30           0
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        None
LAL                   2            2            1
Min/Max Temp          71           58           81
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  8         W  7         W  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 10        W  5         SW  6
Precip amount         0.17         0.01         0.00
Precip duration       5            0
Inversion             64/0900      2000         67/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        67           100          51
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            2            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3680                      5070
Transport wnd (mph)   W 12                      SW 12
Ventilation rate      44160                     60840
ADI early             25 Fair      24 Fair      53 Gen good
ADI late              29 Fair      8 poor       53 Gen good
Max LVORI early       9            4            9
Max LVORI late        3            9            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
53 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-260200-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
551 AM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        40           20           0
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        None
LAL                   2            2            1
Min/Max Temp          70           57           81
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  7         W  6         W  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  8        W  4         SW  5
Precip amount         0.16         0.01         0.00
Precip duration       4            0
Inversion             62/0900      2000         65/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        69           100          52
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          2            2            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3380                      5220
Transport wnd (mph)   W 12                      SW 13
Ventilation rate      40560                     67860
ADI early             21 Fair      21 Fair      49 Gen good
ADI late              29 Fair      7 poor       52 Gen good
Max LVORI early       9            5            10
Max LVORI late        3            9            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
Chance of precipitation 20 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ087-260200-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
551 AM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        40           0            0
Precip type           Tstms        None         None
LAL                   2            1            1
Min/Max Temp          69           57           81
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW  7        W  6         W  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  8         NW  4        SW  6
Precip amount         0.15         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       4
Inversion             60/0900      2000         65/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        70           100          51
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          2            2            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3230                      5110
Transport wnd (mph)   W 12                      SW 13
Ventilation rate      38760                     66430
ADI early             13 Gen poor  21 Fair      46 Gen good
ADI late              28 Fair      6 Very poor  54 Gen good
Max LVORI early       8            5            10
Max LVORI late        4            10           1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Chance of precipitation 20 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
47 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
South winds 15 to 20 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-260200-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
551 AM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        40           0            0
Precip type           Tstms        None         None
LAL                   2            1            1
Min/Max Temp          73           57           82
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  8         W  7         LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W 10         NW  4        SW  6
Precip amount         0.07         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       4
Inversion             61/0900      2000         67/0900
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        65           100          49
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          2            2            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3420                      5190
Transport wnd (mph)   W 16                      W  9
Ventilation rate      54720                     46710
ADI early             32 Fair      31 Fair      53 Gen good
ADI late              41 Gen good  8 poor       48 Gen good
Max LVORI early       7            4            10
Max LVORI late        3            10           1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-260200-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
551 AM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        40           0            0
Precip type           Tstms        None         None
LAL                   2            1            1
Min/Max Temp          73           57           83
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW  7        W  6         LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  8         NW  3        SW  6
Precip amount         0.07         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       3
Inversion             59/0900      2000         67/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        65           100          47
DSI                   2                         3
Haines Index          2            2            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3360                      5490
Transport wnd (mph)   W 16                      W  9
Ventilation rate      53760                     49410
ADI early             31 Fair      32 Fair      37 Fair
ADI late              42 Gen good  7 poor       49 Gen good
Max LVORI early       7            5            10
Max LVORI late        3            10           1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
Chance of precipitation 20 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
46 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-260200-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
551 AM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        40           0            0
Precip type           Tstms        None         None
LAL                   2            1            1
Min/Max Temp          69           56           82
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW  7        NW  6        LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  8         NW  3        SW  6
Precip amount         0.10         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       4
Inversion             58/0800      2000         65/0900
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        69           100          47
DSI                   1                         3
Haines Index          2            2            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3300                      5220
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 14                     SW 12
Ventilation rate      46200                     62640
ADI early             18 Gen poor  27 Fair      35 Fair
ADI late              35 Fair      6 Very poor  54 Gen good
Max LVORI early       7            5            10
Max LVORI late        4            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Chance of precipitation 20 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
45 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

dch



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