Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 170838
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
438 AM EDT FRI OCT 17 2014

.DISCUSSION...
DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER AT LEAST THE NEXT
FIVE DAYS. HIGH PRESSURE ALONG THE GULF COAST WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE EASTERN CAROLINAS THIS MORNING...MOVING OFFSHORE THIS AFTERNOON.
A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFFSHORE SATURDAY WITH NEW HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDING IN SUNDAY AND MONDAY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE THROUGH LATE TUESDAY...FOLLOWED BY COOLER TEMPERATURES
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW.

NCZ105>110-180045-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
438 AM EDT FRI OCT 17 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          77           53           79
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NW  3        SW  6        W  6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW  5        SW  6        W  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
INVERSION             65/1000      1900         71/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        39           95           41
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            4            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3560                      4610
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     W 10
VENTILATION RATE      35600                     46100
ADI EARLY             24 FAIR      32 FAIR      31 FAIR
ADI LATE              39 FAIR      5 VERY POOR  44 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       8            5            6
MAX LVORI LATE        2            6            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
68 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
79 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
47 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 85 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
91 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH
43 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-180045-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
438 AM EDT FRI OCT 17 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          77           52           79
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR      SW  5        W  4
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW  6        SW  4        W  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
INVERSION             64/1000      1900         71/1100
MIN/MAX RH (%)        39           96           41
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            4            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3680                      5050
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     W 10
VENTILATION RATE      47840                     50500
ADI EARLY             21 FAIR      36 FAIR      27 FAIR
ADI LATE              47 GEN GOOD  4 VERY POOR  45 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            4            6
MAX LVORI LATE        2            6            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. MAXIMUM RH
70 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
81 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
99 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
45 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 50. MAXIMUM RH 88 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH
46 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
91 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH
40 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-180045-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
438 AM EDT FRI OCT 17 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          78           53           80
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR      SW  6        W  6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW  6        SW  5        W  8
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
INVERSION             65/1000      1900         72/1100
MIN/MAX RH (%)        42           95           43
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            4            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3570                      4320
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     W 14
VENTILATION RATE      35700                     60480
ADI EARLY             21 FAIR      32 FAIR      32 FAIR
ADI LATE              39 FAIR      5 VERY POOR  49 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            5            6
MAX LVORI LATE        2            6            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
71 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
82 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
98 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
49 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 86 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
91 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH
42 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-180045-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON
438 AM EDT FRI OCT 17 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          77           52           79
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR      SW  5        W  4
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW  7        SW  5        W  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
INVERSION             63/1000      1900         71/1100
MIN/MAX RH (%)        37           96           41
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            5            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3620                      5320
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     NW 10
VENTILATION RATE      50680                     53200
ADI EARLY             17 GEN POOR  36 FAIR      24 FAIR
ADI LATE              49 GEN GOOD  4 VERY POOR  46 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            4            7
MAX LVORI LATE        2            6            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
69 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
78 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
42 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 87 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH
44 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH
37 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-180045-
DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DILLON...FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
438 AM EDT FRI OCT 17 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          78           53           80
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR      SW  5        W  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW  6        SW  5        W  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
INVERSION             64/1000      1900         71/1100
MIN/MAX RH (%)        38           97           42
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            4            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3630                      4660
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     W 13
VENTILATION RATE      47190                     60580
ADI EARLY             18 GEN POOR  36 FAIR      30 FAIR
ADI LATE              48 GEN GOOD  4 VERY POOR  50 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            4            7
MAX LVORI LATE        2            6            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. MAXIMUM RH
71 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
80 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
44 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 50. MAXIMUM RH 88 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH
45 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
90 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH
39 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

TRA




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