Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 221958
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
258 PM EST Wed Feb 22 2017

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure moving off the Mid Atlantic coast will keep unseasonable
warmth in the forecast. Near record highs are possible Friday. A
cold front will bring a chance for small chance of showers Saturday.
Much cooler and drier air will build into the area Saturday night
into early next week.

Fog potential for tonight...Low/Moderate and mainly inland.

NCZ105>110-231200-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
258 PM EST Wed Feb 22 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           20           0            0
Precip type           NONE         showers      NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          54           75           54           79
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  4         E  5         E  4         NE  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  3         E  8         NE  4        E  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       0            1
Inversion             1900         64/0900      1900         59/0800
Max/Min RH (%)        99           53           99           48
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          4            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6060                      7340
Transport wnd (mph)                E 14                      E  9
Ventilation rate                   84840                     66060
ADI early             4 Very poor  31 Fair      5 Very poor  30 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  47 Gen good  2 Very poor  36 Fair
Max LVORI early       7            9            7            9
Max LVORI late        9            2            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum
RH 64 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 28 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
78 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 88 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-231200-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
258 PM EST Wed Feb 22 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            20           0            0
Precip type           NONE         showers      NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          53           76           53           78
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  4        E  4         E  4         E  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  3         SE  6        NE  3        SE  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration                    1
Inversion             1900         62/0900      1900         59/0800
Max/Min RH (%)        99           47           100          47
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6890                      7150
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 12                     E  3
Ventilation rate                   82680                     21450
ADI early             4 Very poor  31 Fair      4 Very poor  14 Gen poor
ADI late              2 Very poor  50 Gen good  2 Very poor  16 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       7            9            7            9
Max LVORI late        10           1            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s.
Maximum RH 59 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
25 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
78 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
31 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 87 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Southwest winds 15 to
20 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-231200-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
258 PM EST Wed Feb 22 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        20           20           0            0
Precip type           NONE         showers      NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          54           75           54           79
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  5         NE  7        E  5         NE  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  4        E 10         NE  4        E  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       0            1
Inversion             1900         64/0900      1900         60/0800
Max/Min RH (%)        97           51           97           49
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          4            5            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5910                      7040
Transport wnd (mph)                E 14                      E  6
Ventilation rate                   82740                     42240
ADI early             6 Very poor  34 Fair      6 Very poor  25 Fair
ADI late              3 Very poor  44 Gen good  2 Very poor  24 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            6            6            8
Max LVORI late        7            2            8            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum
RH 61 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
27 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
76 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 87 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-231200-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
258 PM EST Wed Feb 22 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            20           0            0
Precip type           NONE         showers      NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          53           77           53           79
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  5        E  4         SE  4        E  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  3         SE  7        E  3         SE  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration                    0
Inversion             1900         62/0900      1900         58/0800
Max/Min RH (%)        97           46           95           46
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          4            5            5            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                7000                      7140
Transport wnd (mph)                SE  9                     SE  1
Ventilation rate                   63000                     7140
ADI early             5 Very poor  34 Fair      3 Very poor  11 poor
ADI late              3 Very poor  45 Gen good  2 Very poor  14 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       6            9            5            7
Max LVORI late        8            1            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s.
Maximum RH 62 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
25 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
77 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
30 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 86 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-231200-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
258 PM EST Wed Feb 22 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        20           20           0            0
Precip type           NONE         showers      NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          55           77           54           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  5         NE  5        E  5         NE  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  4        E  9         NE  3        SE  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       0            1
Inversion             1900         64/0900      1900         60/0800
Max/Min RH (%)        95           46           96           45
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          4            4            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                7030                      7200
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 10                     E  3
Ventilation rate                   70300                     21600
ADI early             5 Very poor  40 Fair      5 Very poor  20 Gen poor
ADI late              3 Very poor  49 Gen good  2 Very poor  19 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       6            7            6            8
Max LVORI late        7            1            8            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s.
Maximum RH 61 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
24 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 78 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
30 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 88 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

5



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