Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 220838
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
338 AM EST MON DEC 22 2014

.DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD ALONG A STALLED FRONT ABOUT
40 MILES OFFSHORE THIS MORNING. A COLD HUMID AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS THE CAROLINAS TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE FRONT WILL MOVE ONSHORE
TUESDAY. LOW PRESSURE MOVING THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY WEDNESDAY WILL
PUSH A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST CHRISTMAS DAY THROUGH FRIDAY...AND
OFFSHORE NEXT WEEKEND.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...MODERATE.

NCZ105>110-230045-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
338 AM EST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        80           30           70
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          49           43           65
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)N  7         N  4         E  4
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) N  5         N  4         SE  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.00         0.06
PRECIP DURATION       4            1            4
INVERSION             CONTINUED    CONTINUED    CONTINUED
MIN/MAX RH (%)        86           100          92
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   680                       450
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  8                      S 12
VENTILATION RATE      5440                      5400
ADI EARLY             10 POOR      6 VERY POOR  13 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              10 POOR      4 VERY POOR  15 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       8            8            8
MAX LVORI LATE        6            7            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS NEAR 100 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 75 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF SHOWERS NEAR 100 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. MAXIMUM RH 83 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 70 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.CHRISTMAS DAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. COOLER. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH
51 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
MAXIMUM RH 85 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
99 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ096-099-230045-
BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
338 AM EST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        80           30           80
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          47           42           65
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)N  8         NE  5        E  4
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) N  6         NE  4        SE  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.01         0.06
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            5
INVERSION             CONTINUED    CONTINUED    CONTINUED
MIN/MAX RH (%)        84           100          97
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   700                       450
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  9                      S 10
VENTILATION RATE      6300                      4500
ADI EARLY             12 POOR      6 VERY POOR  11 POOR
ADI LATE              10 POOR      6 VERY POOR  14 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            6            9
MAX LVORI LATE        5            6            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS NEAR 100 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF SHOWERS 90 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
79 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 80 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.CHRISTMAS DAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. COOLER. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH
48 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM
RH 89 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
99 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH
42 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-230045-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
338 AM EST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        70           40           70
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          50           43           68
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)N  7         NE  5        E  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) N  6         NE  4        SE  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.01         0.09
PRECIP DURATION       3            2            5
INVERSION             CONTINUED    CONTINUED    CONTINUED
MIN/MAX RH (%)        83           100          95
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   670                       450
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  8                      S 12
VENTILATION RATE      5360                      5400
ADI EARLY             10 POOR      7 POOR       15 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              9 POOR       7 POOR       23 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       7            8            7
MAX LVORI LATE        5            7            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF SHOWERS NEAR 100 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF SHOWERS 90 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. MAXIMUM RH 80 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 70 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.CHRISTMAS DAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. COOLER. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH
49 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM
RH 91 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
99 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH
43 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-SCZ017-023-024-230045-
ROBESON-MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...
DILLON
338 AM EST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        70           40           90
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          45           41           60
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  9        NE  6        E  3
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  7        NE  4        E  3
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.04         0.17
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            6
INVERSION             CONTINUED    CONTINUED    CONTINUED
MIN/MAX RH (%)        82           100          97
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            4            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   900                       450
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 10                     NE  6
VENTILATION RATE      9000                      2700
ADI EARLY             15 GEN POOR  8 POOR       9 POOR
ADI LATE              13 GEN POOR  8 POOR       5 VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            6            8
MAX LVORI LATE        5            6            5

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS NEAR 100 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 69 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF SHOWERS 90 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
77 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 80 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.CHRISTMAS DAY...SUNNY...COOLER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH
46 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM
RH 85 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
98 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-230045-
FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
338 AM EST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        60           50           90
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          47           43           68
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)N  7         NE  5        E  4
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  6        NE  4        SE  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.04         0.10
PRECIP DURATION       3            2            6
INVERSION             CONTINUED    CONTINUED    CONTINUED
MIN/MAX RH (%)        81           100          97
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            3            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   870                       450
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  8                      SE  9
VENTILATION RATE      6960                      4050
ADI EARLY             11 POOR      7 POOR       13 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              10 POOR      8 POOR       21 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            6            8
MAX LVORI LATE        5            7            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS NEAR 100 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 69 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF SHOWERS 90 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 50.
MAXIMUM RH 80 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 70 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.CHRISTMAS DAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM
RH 90 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH
39 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

TRA



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