Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 201929
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
329 PM EDT SUN JUL 20 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE...SHIFTING WESTWARD
TOWARD THE COAST MONDAY AND TUESDAY...INCREASING RAIN CHANCES.
THE FRONT WILL DISSIPATE WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO
THE AREA THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL STALL NORTH OF THE
AREA NEXT WEEKEND.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW

NCZ105>110-211130-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
329 PM EDT SUN JUL 20 2014

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           50           50           30
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            3            3            3
MIN/MAX TEMP          72           85           71           88
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SE  6        E  3         SE  3        NE  4
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SE  4        SE  6        NE  3        E  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.19         0.13         0.12
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            2            2
INVERSION             2100         79/1000      2100         79/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        93           61           97           56
DSI                                2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                4310                      5100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  9                     SE  9
VENTILATION RATE                   38790                     45900
ADI EARLY             33 FAIR      13 GEN POOR  27 FAIR      18 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              8 POOR       30 FAIR      4 VERY POOR  36 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            6            5            6
MAX LVORI LATE        6            3            6            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-211130-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
329 PM EDT SUN JUL 20 2014

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           60           60           30
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            4            4            3
MIN/MAX TEMP          72           85           71           89
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SE  6        E  3         SE  5        NE  4
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SE  4        SE  6        E  3         SE  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.24         0.14         0.13
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            2            2
INVERSION             2100         80/1000      2100         80/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        99           66           98           59
DSI                                2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                4610                      5400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 10                     SE 10
VENTILATION RATE                   46100                     54000
ADI EARLY             37 FAIR      18 GEN POOR  35 FAIR      19 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              11 POOR      38 FAIR      6 VERY POOR  36 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            7            5            6
MAX LVORI LATE        7            3            6            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-211130-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
329 PM EDT SUN JUL 20 2014

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           60           60           40
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            4            4            3
MIN/MAX TEMP          71           86           70           89
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SE  4        E  3         LGT/VAR      E  3
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SE  3        SE  4        LGT/VAR      E  4
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.22         0.14         0.13
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            2            2
INVERSION             2100         80/1000      2100         79/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        97           59           96           54
DSI                                2                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                4720                      5510
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 10                     SE  8
VENTILATION RATE                   47200                     44080
ADI EARLY             26 FAIR      16 GEN POOR  37 FAIR      18 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              9 POOR       35 FAIR      4 VERY POOR  36 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            7            5            7
MAX LVORI LATE        7            2            6            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-211130-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
329 PM EDT SUN JUL 20 2014

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        60           60           60           50
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   4            4            4            3
MIN/MAX TEMP          71           86           70           89
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SE  5        E  3         E  4         E  4
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SE  3        E  5         LGT/VAR      SE  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.26         0.15         0.13
PRECIP DURATION       4            7            5            2
INVERSION             2100         80/1000      2100         80/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        99           62           95           55
DSI                                2                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                4740                      5530
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 13                     SE  8
VENTILATION RATE                   61620                     44240
ADI EARLY             28 FAIR      20 GEN POOR  40 FAIR      15 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              11 POOR      41 GEN GOOD  5 VERY POOR  31 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            9            5            6
MAX LVORI LATE        9            3            6            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

31






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