Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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087
FNUS52 KILM 200644
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
244 AM EDT Fri Oct 20 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Dry and warm conditions are expected through the weekend,
as an upper ridge over the Gulf states moves east, and off
the Carolina coasts. An approaching storm system will bring
increasing rain and thunderstorm chances late Monday through
next Tuesday, followed by much cooler air through mid week.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is marginally
Favorable

Fog potential for tonight...Low

NCZ105>110-202245-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
244 AM EDT Fri Oct 20 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          81           50           81
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  3         LGT/VAR      E  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             65/1100      1900         66/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        34           100          41
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            5            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4190                      4770
Transport wnd (mph)   N  3                      E  6
Ventilation rate      12570                     28620
ADI early             26 Fair      9 poor       21 Fair
ADI late              27 Fair      1 Very poor  22 Fair
Max LVORI early       10           6            10
Max LVORI late        2            8            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 55 percent. East winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of
precipitation 40 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 71 percent. South
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Northwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 87 percent. Northwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
53 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-202245-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
244 AM EDT Fri Oct 20 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          80           50           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  4
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             62/1100      1900         64/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        32           100          37
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            5            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4510                      4930
Transport wnd (mph)   N  3                      E  5
Ventilation rate      13530                     24650
ADI early             3 Very poor  11 poor      14 Gen poor
ADI late              20 Gen poor  1 Very poor  20 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       10           6            10
Max LVORI late        2            8            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Patchy fog. Lows in the mid 50s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 54 percent. East winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of
precipitation 40 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 89 percent. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
49 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-202245-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
244 AM EDT Fri Oct 20 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          80           51           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  3         LGT/VAR      NE  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  3        LGT/VAR      SE  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             65/1100      1900         67/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        36           100          41
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4050                      4500
Transport wnd (mph)   NE  5                     E  6
Ventilation rate      20250                     27000
ADI early             26 Fair      9 poor       16 Gen poor
ADI late              26 Fair      1 Very poor  23 Fair
Max LVORI early       10           6            10
Max LVORI late        2            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers. Highs around 80.
Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. East winds
10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows in the
upper 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. East
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 74 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 71 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 97 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Northwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 86 percent. Northwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
53 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-202245-
Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
244 AM EDT Fri Oct 20 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          81           50           81
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  3        LGT/VAR      E  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             63/1100      1900         65/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        32           100          38
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            5            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4200                      4820
Transport wnd (mph)   NE  3                     E  7
Ventilation rate      12600                     33740
ADI early             6 Very poor  10 poor      14 Gen poor
ADI late              18 Gen poor  1 Very poor  26 Fair
Max LVORI early       10           6            10
Max LVORI late        2            8            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers. Highs around 80.
Minimum RH 57 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. East winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows in the mid
60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. East winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
47 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-202245-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
244 AM EDT Fri Oct 20 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          82           49           81
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             61/1100      1900         64/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        30           100          35
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            5            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4650                      4890
Transport wnd (mph)   NE  2                     E  6
Ventilation rate      9300                      29340
ADI early             4 Very poor  6 Very poor  10 poor
ADI late              19 Gen poor  1 Very poor  26 Fair
Max LVORI early       9            6            9
Max LVORI late        2            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 52 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows in the mid
60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance
of precipitation 50 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
44 percent. North winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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