Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 160738
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
338 AM EDT Wed Aug 16 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Summertime heat and humidity will build and Heat Advisories
will likely be required for at least portions of the area
through Friday. Showers and thunderstorms will be on the
increase during the weekend as a cold front approaches from the
north. This front may stall in close proximity early next week.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...Low to Moderate.

NCZ105>110-162345-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
338 AM EDT Wed Aug 16 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        40           30           30
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            3
Min/Max Temp          93           74           91
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  4         LGT/VAR      E  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  3        LGT/VAR      SE  5
Precip amount         0.06         0.06         0.03
Precip duration       1            1            2
Inversion             80/0900      2000         80/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        55           99           59
DSI                   3                         2
Haines Index          3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5540                      3970
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  5                     S  6
Ventilation rate      27700                     23820
ADI early             23 Fair      10 poor      16 Gen poor
ADI late              22 Fair      1 Very poor  26 Fair
Max LVORI early       7            7            10
Max LVORI late        2            10           3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-162345-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
338 AM EDT Wed Aug 16 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           20           40
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            2            3
Min/Max Temp          93           74           93
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  5         LGT/VAR      SE  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  4         SE  3        S  4
Precip amount         0.05         0.06         0.04
Precip duration       1            1            2
Inversion             79/0900      2000         79/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        52           100          55
DSI                   3                         2
Haines Index          3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5900                      5240
Transport wnd (mph)   N  6                      S  7
Ventilation rate      35400                     36680
ADI early             24 Fair      16 Gen poor  19 Gen poor
ADI late              20 Gen poor  2 Very poor  24 Fair
Max LVORI early       8            6            10
Max LVORI late        2            10           3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-162345-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
338 AM EDT Wed Aug 16 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           30           40
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            3
Min/Max Temp          94           75           92
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW  4        SE  3        E  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  3        LGT/VAR      SE  5
Precip amount         0.05         0.07         0.09
Precip duration       1            1            2
Inversion             81/0900      2000         81/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        52           99           60
DSI                   3                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5870                      4650
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  5                     SE  5
Ventilation rate      29350                     23250
ADI early             26 Fair      9 poor       14 Gen poor
ADI late              22 Fair      1 Very poor  20 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       6            6            9
Max LVORI late        2            9            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-162345-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
338 AM EDT Wed Aug 16 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           20           40
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            2            3
Min/Max Temp          94           74           94
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  4         LGT/VAR      SE  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  3         SE  3        S  3
Precip amount         0.03         0.06         0.09
Precip duration       1            1            2
Inversion             80/0900      2000         80/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        50           98           55
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6740                      5230
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  5                     S  5
Ventilation rate      33700                     26150
ADI early             15 Gen poor  11 poor      15 Gen poor
ADI late              21 Fair      2 Very poor  18 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       6            6            10
Max LVORI late        2            9            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 62 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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