Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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941
FNUS52 KILM 211825
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
225 PM EDT SAT MAY 21 2016

.DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT
THROUGH THIS EVENING. AN UPPER LOW WILL KEEP CONDITIONS COOL WITH
A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS THROUGH MONDAY. MORE SUMMER LIKE
WEATHER DEVELOPS BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WITH ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AND DRIER CONDITIONS.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...MODERATE TO HIGH.

NCZ105>110-221030-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...WILMINGTON...
MASONBORO...MYRTLE GROVE...OGDEN...CAROLINA BEACH...SEAGATE...
BOILING SPRING LAKES...LELAND...SHALLOTTE...OAK ISLAND...
LONG BEACH...SOUTHPORT...SUNSET BEACH
225 PM EDT SAT MAY 21 2016

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           40           30           20
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            3            3            2
MIN/MAX TEMP          62           75           55           74
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  4        N  5         N  5         NW  6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR      N  8         NW  5        NW  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.04         0.04         0.03
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            1
INVERSION             2000         70/1000      2000         NONE
MAX/MIN RH (%)        100          54           92           48
DSI                                2                         3
HAINES INDEX          4            3            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                4390                      5910
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  7                      NW 10
VENTILATION RATE                   30730                     59100
ADI EARLY             29 FAIR      12 POOR      13 GEN POOR  27 FAIR
ADI LATE              3 VERY POOR  26 FAIR      3 VERY POOR  34 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       7            9            5            6
MAX LVORI LATE        9            2            6            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
94 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
85 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
85 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
59 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-221030-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...BLADENBORO...
WHITEVILLE...TABOR CITY...CHADBOURN...LAKE WACCAMAW
225 PM EDT SAT MAY 21 2016

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           30           30           20
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            3            3            2
MIN/MAX TEMP          61           75           55           75
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)W  3         N  5         N  5         N  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR      N  8         NW  3        N  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.03         0.02         0.01
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            1
INVERSION             2000         68/1000      2000         NONE
MAX/MIN RH (%)        100          47           92           45
DSI                                2                         3
HAINES INDEX          4            3            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                5570                      6110
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     NW  9
VENTILATION RATE                   66840                     54990
ADI EARLY             35 FAIR      21 FAIR      34 FAIR      30 FAIR
ADI LATE              2 VERY POOR  40 FAIR      2 VERY POOR  38 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       7            9            5            6
MAX LVORI LATE        10           2            7            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
90 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH
47 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
92 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH
50 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-221030-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...RED HILL...MYRTLE BEACH...
SOCASTEE...NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...LITTLE RIVER...
ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...MURRELLS INLET
225 PM EDT SAT MAY 21 2016

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           20           0            0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE
LAL                   3            2            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          62           77           56           76
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  4        NW  6        NW  6        N  6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) W  3         NW 10        N  4         NW  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.01         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       1            1
INVERSION             2000         71/1000      2000         NONE
MAX/MIN RH (%)        98           46           89           45
DSI                                2                         3
HAINES INDEX          4            4            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                5460                      6010
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     W  9
VENTILATION RATE                   81900                     54090
ADI EARLY             26 FAIR      22 FAIR      48 GEN GOOD  40 FAIR
ADI LATE              3 VERY POOR  52 GEN GOOD  2 VERY POOR  43 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            8            4            6
MAX LVORI LATE        8            2            6            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
93 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
86 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
86 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 87 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
89 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
59 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-221030-
DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DILLON...FLORENCE...MARION...MULLINS...
KINGSTREE
225 PM EDT SAT MAY 21 2016

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           20           0            0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE
LAL                   3            2            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          62           78           56           77
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)W  4         NW  6        N  6         N  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) W  3         NW 11        N  3         NW  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       2            1
INVERSION             2000         70/1000      2000         NONE
MAX/MIN RH (%)        98           42           89           42
DSI                                2                         3
HAINES INDEX          4            4            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                6000                      6060
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     W  9
VENTILATION RATE                   96000                     54540
ADI EARLY             29 FAIR      27 FAIR      51 GEN GOOD  32 FAIR
ADI LATE              4 VERY POOR  54 GEN GOOD  2 VERY POOR  42 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            8            3            6
MAX LVORI LATE        9            1            6            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
93 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
86 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 89 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH
46 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
91 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH
50 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-221030-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...MCCOLL...HARTSVILLE...
DARLINGTON...NORTH HARTSVILLE
225 PM EDT SAT MAY 21 2016

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           20           0            0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE
LAL                   3            2            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          60           77           55           76
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)W  3         N  7         N  6         N  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NW  3        NW 11        N  3         N  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       2            1
INVERSION             2000         68/1000      2000         NONE
MAX/MIN RH (%)        97           41           88           42
DSI                                2                         3
HAINES INDEX          4            4            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                6250                      6200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     NW  9
VENTILATION RATE                   100000                    55800
ADI EARLY             31 FAIR      24 FAIR      55 GEN GOOD  26 FAIR
ADI LATE              3 VERY POOR  56 GEN GOOD  2 VERY POOR  40 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            7            3            6
MAX LVORI LATE        7            2            5            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
91 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
86 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
85 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 89 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH
45 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
91 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH
47 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

RGZ



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