Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 200742
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
342 AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014

.DISCUSSION...
DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE OFF FLORIDA WILL LIFT NORTH THROUGH THE
WEEKEND...PASSING JUST OFF THE CAROLINA COASTS. THIS LOW PRESSURE
WILL REMAIN JUST FAR ENOUGH OFFSHORE SUCH THAT IMPACTS WILL BE
LIMITED...BUT SHOWERS AND SOME INCREASED WIND IS
LIKELY...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE
AREA MONDAY...WITH COOL HIGH PRESSURE FOLLOWING BEHIND IT THROUGH
THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW.

NCZ105>110-202345-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
342 AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           60           30
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        RAIN         RAIN
LAL                   2            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          82           65           83
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  8        NE  6        N  8
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  9        N  7         NW  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.09         0.02
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1
INVERSION             73/1000      1900         69/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        58           96           50
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4840                      4450
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 17                     N 16
VENTILATION RATE      82280                     71200
ADI EARLY             38 FAIR      39 FAIR      57 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              52 GEN GOOD  8 POOR       65 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            5            6
MAX LVORI LATE        1            6            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
90 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
53 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
90 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
55 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-202345-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
342 AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           40           20
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        RAIN         RAIN
LAL                   2            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          82           64           84
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  7        NE  4        N  6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  8        N  5         NW  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.03         0.01
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1
INVERSION             72/1000      1900         69/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        52           96           49
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4830                      4750
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 17                     N 13
VENTILATION RATE      82110                     61750
ADI EARLY             40 FAIR      40 FAIR      51 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              54 GEN GOOD  8 POOR       56 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            6            6
MAX LVORI LATE        1            6            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
89 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
92 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
90 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
50 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
90 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-202345-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
342 AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        70           60           20
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        RAIN         RAIN
LAL                   2            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          81           65           85
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE 10        NE  7        NW  7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE 11        N  7         NW  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.07         0.01
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1
INVERSION             73/1000      1900         70/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        58           95           49
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4560                      4760
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 16                     N 14
VENTILATION RATE      72960                     66640
ADI EARLY             36 FAIR      36 FAIR      54 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              49 GEN GOOD  8 POOR       61 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            5            6
MAX LVORI LATE        1            6            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
55 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
90 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
55 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-202345-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
342 AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           30           0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        RAIN         NONE
LAL                   2            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          82           63           86
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  9        NE  6        NW  6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE 11        N  6         W  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.02         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       1            1
INVERSION             71/1000      1900         68/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        52           94           47
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            3            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4730                      4800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 17                     NW 12
VENTILATION RATE      80410                     57600
ADI EARLY             37 FAIR      42 GEN GOOD  49 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              54 GEN GOOD  7 POOR       54 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            5            6
MAX LVORI LATE        1            6            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
49 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
90 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
50 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH
91 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

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