Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 190824
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
324 AM EST THU JAN 19 2017

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE OHIO VALLEY WILL BUILD OVERHEAD TODAY
AND MOVE OFFSHORE TONIGHT. AN APPROACHING WARM FRONT WILL
BRING INCREASING CLOUDS AND RAIN CHANCES BACK BY FRIDAY. STRONG
LOW PRESSURE MOVING THROUGH THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION SHOULD BRING
HEAVIER RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY INTO EARLY MONDAY.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW.

NCZ105>110-200030-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BURGAW, SURF CITY, WILMINGTON, MASONBORO,
MYRTLE GROVE, OGDEN, CAROLINA BEACH, SEAGATE, BOILING SPRING LAKES,
LELAND, SHALLOTTE, OAK ISLAND, LONG BEACH, SOUTHPORT,
AND SUNSET BEACH
324 AM EST THU JAN 19 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            40
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          63           45           70
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE  4        SE  3        SE  4
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     E  4         E  3         S  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.09
PRECIP DURATION                                 2
INVERSION             45/0800      1700         53/0800
MAX/MIN RH (%)        46           99           63
DSI                   1                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            4            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3250                      2460
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  7                      SW 14
VENTILATION RATE      22750                     34440
ADI EARLY             9 POOR       5 VERY POOR  20 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              27 FAIR      3 VERY POOR  28 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            4            9
MAX LVORI LATE        2            8            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 76 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 77 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
55 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-200030-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LUMBERTON, ELIZABETHTOWN, BLADENBORO,
WHITEVILLE, TABOR CITY, CHADBOURN, AND LAKE WACCAMAW
324 AM EST THU JAN 19 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            30           50
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          63           46           69
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE  3        SE  3        SE  5
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  3        SW  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.09
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2
INVERSION             44/0800      1700         52/0800
MAX/MIN RH (%)        46           99           63
DSI                   1                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            4            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3090                      2350
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  5                      SW 15
VENTILATION RATE      15450                     35250
ADI EARLY             6 VERY POOR  4 VERY POOR  21 FAIR
ADI LATE              22 FAIR      4 VERY POOR  27 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            4            9
MAX LVORI LATE        3            7            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 74 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 75 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
54 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-200030-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF CONWAY, RED HILL, MYRTLE BEACH, SOCASTEE,
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH, GARDEN CITY, LITTLE RIVER, ANDREWS, GEORGETOWN,
AND MURRELLS INLET
324 AM EST THU JAN 19 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLEAR       MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            20           40
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          65           49           73
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE  5        E  4         S  5
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     E  5         SE  4        SW  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.08
PRECIP DURATION                    0            2
INVERSION             48/0800      1700         56/0800
MAX/MIN RH (%)        46           98           62
DSI                   1                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            4            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2880                      2930
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 10                      SW 15
VENTILATION RATE      28800                     43950
ADI EARLY             12 POOR      6 VERY POOR  21 FAIR
ADI LATE              30 FAIR      3 VERY POOR  27 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            4            9
MAX LVORI LATE        2            8            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 79 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 76 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
90 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ023-032-039-200030-
DARLINGTON-FLORENCE-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF HARTSVILLE, DARLINGTON, NORTH HARTSVILLE,
FLORENCE, AND KINGSTREE
324 AM EST THU JAN 19 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            50           50
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          65           49           73
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE  4        SE  4        S  5
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     E  4         SE  4        SW  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.08
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2
INVERSION             47/0800      1700         54/0800
MAX/MIN RH (%)        45           100          59
DSI                   1                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2950                      2750
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  8                      SW 16
VENTILATION RATE      23600                     44000
ADI EARLY             12 POOR      5 VERY POOR  19 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              23 FAIR      4 VERY POOR  33 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            3            9
MAX LVORI LATE        2            7            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 74 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 73 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
91 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-024-033-200030-
MARLBORO-DILLON-MARION-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNETTSVILLE, MCCOLL, DILLON, MARION,
AND MULLINS
324 AM EST THU JAN 19 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            50           50
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          64           48           71
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE  4        SE  3        SE  5
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     E  3         SE  4        SW  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.09
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2
INVERSION             45/0800      1700         52/0800
MAX/MIN RH (%)        45           99           62
DSI                   1                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            4            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3020                      2420
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  6                      SW 15
VENTILATION RATE      18120                     36300
ADI EARLY             8 POOR       4 VERY POOR  19 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              21 FAIR      4 VERY POOR  31 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            3            8
MAX LVORI LATE        2            7            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 74 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 74 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

15



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