Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 250926
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
526 AM EDT TUE AUG 25 2015

.DISCUSSION...
AN APPROACHING FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA TODAY AND THEN
STALL...OSCILLATING BACK AND FORTH ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH MID WEEK.
THE FRONT MAY REMAIN IN CLOSE PROXIMITY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE
RISK FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE AS LONG AS THE
FRONT REMAINS NEARBY.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...MODERATE.

NCZ105>110-260130-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
526 AM EDT TUE AUG 25 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        70           60           30
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   4            3            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          89           71           88
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S  6         LGT/VAR      SE  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.28         0.15         0.07
PRECIP DURATION       4            3            2
INVERSION             78/0900      2000         76/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        56           100          56
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4910                      4620
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  7                      SW  9
VENTILATION RATE      34370                     41580
ADI EARLY             26 FAIR      25 FAIR      12 POOR
ADI LATE              36 FAIR      1 VERY POOR  33 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       10           6            10
MAX LVORI LATE        2            10           2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT. EAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT. EAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-260130-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
526 AM EDT TUE AUG 25 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        60           60           40
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   4            4            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          89           71           89
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S  5         LGT/VAR      SE  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.16         0.08
PRECIP DURATION       4            3            2
INVERSION             77/0900      2000         79/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        57           98           55
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5150                      5090
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  5                      SW  7
VENTILATION RATE      25750                     35630
ADI EARLY             19 GEN POOR  23 FAIR      10 POOR
ADI LATE              29 FAIR      2 VERY POOR  24 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       10           6            8
MAX LVORI LATE        3            9            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT. EAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-260130-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
526 AM EDT TUE AUG 25 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        70           60           30
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   4            4            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          89           69           87
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR      S  3         NE  3
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S  3         LGT/VAR      E  4
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         0.17         0.06
PRECIP DURATION       4            4            2
INVERSION             76/0900      2000         75/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        54           100          50
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4910                      5180
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  6                      W  3
VENTILATION RATE      29460                     15540
ADI EARLY             19 GEN POOR  17 GEN POOR  9 POOR
ADI LATE              23 FAIR      1 VERY POOR  14 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       10           6            8
MAX LVORI LATE        3            10           2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-260130-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
526 AM EDT TUE AUG 25 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        60           60           50
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   4            4            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          91           69           89
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR      SE  3        NE  4
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  4
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.28         0.16         0.04
PRECIP DURATION       4            3            2
INVERSION             76/0900      2000         77/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        52           96           50
DSI                   3                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5380                      5790
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  3                     W  3
VENTILATION RATE      16140                     17370
ADI EARLY             15 GEN POOR  13 GEN POOR  17 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              16 GEN POOR  1 VERY POOR  18 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       10           6            7
MAX LVORI LATE        3            8            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

27



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