Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook) Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
000
FNUS52 KILM 170804
FWFILM
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
404 AM EDT MON JUN 17 2013
.DISCUSSION...
WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL EARLY THIS WEEK AHEAD OF
AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT...WHICH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATE
WEDNESDAY. SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE MUCH
OF THE UPCOMING WEEK...BEFORE A DRYING TREND DEVELOPS INTO NEXT
WEEKEND.
WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW.
NCZ105>110-180015-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
404 AM EDT MON JUN 17 2013
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD AMOUNT PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 40 40 60
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
LAL 2 2 4
MAX/MIN TEMP 84 71 87
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW 6 SW 7 W 4
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW 10 SW 6 SW 5
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.10 0.13 0.12
PRECIP DURATION 3 4 8
INVERSION 77/1000 2100 78/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%) 58 93 59
DSI 2 2
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4460 4210
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 14 SW 9
VENTILATION RATE 62440 37890
ADI EARLY 44 GEN GOOD 28 FAIR 19 GEN POOR
ADI LATE 42 GEN GOOD 7 POOR 27 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 4 5
MAX LVORI LATE 3 5 3
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-180015-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
404 AM EDT MON JUN 17 2013
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD AMOUNT PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 50 50 60
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
LAL 2 2 4
MAX/MIN TEMP 86 70 87
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW 5 SW 7 SW 4
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW 8 SW 4 SW 3
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.21 0.19 0.13
PRECIP DURATION 3 5 8
INVERSION 78/1000 2100 79/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%) 60 99 58
DSI 2 2
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 3600 4790
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 13 SW 7
VENTILATION RATE 46800 33530
ADI EARLY 26 FAIR 23 FAIR 19 GEN POOR
ADI LATE 34 FAIR 6 VERY POOR 26 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 5 9
MAX LVORI LATE 3 9 3
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
SCZ053>056-180015-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
404 AM EDT MON JUN 17 2013
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD AMOUNT PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 40 40 60
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
LAL 2 2 4
MAX/MIN TEMP 86 70 87
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW 5 S 7 SW 4
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 9 SW 5 SW 5
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.15 0.16 0.12
PRECIP DURATION 3 5 8
INVERSION 78/1000 2100 79/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%) 60 100 61
DSI 2 2
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4090 4960
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 13 SW 9
VENTILATION RATE 53170 44640
ADI EARLY 37 FAIR 27 FAIR 20 GEN POOR
ADI LATE 39 FAIR 6 VERY POOR 29 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 4 9
MAX LVORI LATE 3 9 3
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM
RH 67 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
67 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN
THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-180015-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
404 AM EDT MON JUN 17 2013
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 60 50 60
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
LAL 2 2 4
MAX/MIN TEMP 86 70 88
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW 5 S 6 SW 4
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW 8 SW 5 SW 5
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.24 0.22 0.13
PRECIP DURATION 3 5 8
INVERSION 79/1100 2100 79/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%) 58 100 58
DSI 2 2
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4210 5650
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 13 SW 9
VENTILATION RATE 54730 50850
ADI EARLY 26 FAIR 29 FAIR 21 FAIR
ADI LATE 36 FAIR 6 VERY POOR 29 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 6 9
MAX LVORI LATE 3 9 2
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
60 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
$$
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