Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6

000
FNUS52 KILM 270802
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
402 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2017

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure offshore will allow for southerly winds to
bring above normal temperatures this week. A low
pressure system inland will bring chances of rain Monday
and Tuesday ahead of an approaching cold front that will
move through the area midweek. Another system will move through
later in the week, bringing the potential for showers
and thunderstorms on Friday followed by dry high pressure for the
weekend.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...Low to Moderate.

NCZ105-106-280015-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-
Including the cities of Burgaw and Surf City
402 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            40
Precip type           None         None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            3
Min/Max Temp          79           56           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  5         SW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  6         S  3         SW  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.06
Precip duration                                 2
Inversion             58/0900      2000         66/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        43           98           48
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            2            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6580                      6310
Transport wnd (mph)   SW  8                     SW 14
Ventilation rate      52640                     88340
ADI early             34 Fair      40 Fair      42 Gen good
ADI late              37 Fair      2 Very poor  48 Gen good
Max LVORI early       10           5            10
Max LVORI late        2            9            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
50 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
92 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
45 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

NCZ107>110-280015-
Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-
Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden,
Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte,
Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach
402 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            40
Precip type           None         None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            3
Min/Max Temp          77           57           78
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  3         S  6         SW  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  7         S  3         SW  9
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.04
Precip duration                                 2
Inversion             60/0900      2000         66/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        47           100          51
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            2            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5060                      5330
Transport wnd (mph)   SW  9                     SW 16
Ventilation rate      45540                     85280
ADI early             29 Fair      35 Fair      32 Fair
ADI late              37 Fair      3 Very poor  47 Gen good
Max LVORI early       10           6            9
Max LVORI late        2            9            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
54 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
51 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-280015-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
402 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           20           40
Precip type           Showers      Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            2            3
Min/Max Temp          80           57           81
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  3         S  5         SW  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  7         S  3         SW  9
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.07
Precip duration       1            1            2
Inversion             61/0900      2000         65/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        44           99           45
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   7020                      7220
Transport wnd (mph)   SW  9                     SW 16
Ventilation rate      63180                     115520
ADI early             41 Gen good  40 Fair      36 Fair
ADI late              43 Gen good  3 Very poor  57 Gen good
Max LVORI early       7            4            9
Max LVORI late        1            7            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 43 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
42 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-280015-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
402 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            40
Precip type           None         None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            3
Min/Max Temp          80           58           81
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  6         SW  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  7         S  3         SW 10
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.04
Precip duration                                 2
Inversion             61/0900      2000         67/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        45           98           44
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6010                      7050
Transport wnd (mph)   S 10                      SW 14
Ventilation rate      60100                     98700
ADI early             40 Fair      35 Fair      37 Fair
ADI late              38 Fair      3 Very poor  46 Gen good
Max LVORI early       10           5            7
Max LVORI late        2            7            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
50 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-280015-
Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
402 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           20           40
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            2            3
Min/Max Temp          81           58           82
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  3         S  5         SW  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  7         S  3         SW 10
Precip amount         0.01         0.01         0.05
Precip duration       1            1            2
Inversion             62/0900      2000         67/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        44           94           41
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   7140                      7230
Transport wnd (mph)   SW  8                     W 15
Ventilation rate      57120                     108450
ADI early             40 Fair      33 Fair      38 Fair
ADI late              41 Gen good  3 Very poor  56 Gen good
Max LVORI early       7            4            6
Max LVORI late        2            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
44 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the
mid 70s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-280015-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
402 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           30           40
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            2            3
Min/Max Temp          81           58           82
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  4         S  5         SW  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  7        S  4         SW 10
Precip amount         0.01         0.02         0.06
Precip duration       1            2            2
Inversion             62/0900      2000         66/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        44           94           43
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   7180                      7150
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 10                     W 17
Ventilation rate      71800                     121550
ADI early             42 Gen good  35 Fair      34 Fair
ADI late              48 Gen good  4 Very poor  61 Good
Max LVORI early       7            4            6
Max LVORI late        1            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
43 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the
mid 70s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

RGZ



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.