Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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835
FNUS52 KILM 231947
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
347 PM EDT Tue May 23 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Waves of moderate to occasionally heavy rainfall will affect the
region through early Wednesday. Another round of slightly lesser
rain should move through later Wednesday into early Thursday before
the rain grows much more intermittent. Much of the weekend will
be dry whereas rain chances will increase slightly early
next week.

Fog potential for tonight...None.

NCZ105>110-241200-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
347 PM EDT Tue May 23 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy       MCldy
Precip chc (%)        100          80           90           50
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   5            5            5            2
Min/Max Temp          66           80           65           79
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW 10 G24    SW  5        S 12 G27     SW 11 G24
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  9 G24    S  9 G22     SW 13 G30    SW 13 G22
Precip amount         0.85         0.28         0.44         0.10
Precip duration       10           6            11           2
Inversion             None         None         None         None
Dispersion            Good                      Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        100          68           100          45
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4500                      9960
Transport wnd (mph)                S 16                      W 23
Ventilation rate                   72000                     229080
ADI early             41 Gen good  28 Fair      64 Good      56 Gen good
ADI late              13 Gen poor  62 Good      12 poor      92 Good
Max LVORI early       8            8            5            8
Max LVORI late        8            3            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
85 percent. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 43 percent. West
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
89 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 51 percent. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-241200-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
347 PM EDT Tue May 23 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          Cloudy       Cloudy       MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        100          80           90           50
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   5            5            5            2
Min/Max Temp          65           79           64           78
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  7        SW  3        S 10         SW 10
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  5        S  8         SW  9        SW 13 G21
Precip amount         0.62         0.28         0.45         0.08
Precip duration       9            7            11           4
Inversion             None         None         None         None
Dispersion            Fair                      Good
Max/Min RH (%)        100          69           100          46
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4350                      9750
Transport wnd (mph)                S 10                      W 24
Ventilation rate                   43500                     234000
ADI early             41 Gen good  13 Gen poor  62 Good      47 Gen good
ADI late              9 poor       55 Gen good  9 poor       96 Good
Max LVORI early       7            9            6            8
Max LVORI late        9            3            8            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 42 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-241200-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
347 PM EDT Tue May 23 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          Cloudy       Cloudy       MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        100          90           90           50
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   5            5            5            2
Min/Max Temp          64           79           62           78
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  7        S  4         S 10         SW 11
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  5        S  8         SW 10        SW 14 G21
Precip amount         0.34         0.32         0.42         0.08
Precip duration       8            7            10           2
Inversion             None         None         None         None
Dispersion            Fair                      Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        100          67           100          46
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4450                      9610
Transport wnd (mph)                S 12                      W 25
Ventilation rate                   53400                     240250
ADI early             40 Fair      14 Gen poor  54 Gen good  57 Gen good
ADI late              8 poor       48 Gen good  10 poor      92 Good
Max LVORI early       8            9            7            7
Max LVORI late        9            3            7            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 42 percent. West
winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-241200-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
347 PM EDT Tue May 23 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          Cloudy       Cloudy       MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        100          90           90           40
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   5            5            5            2
Min/Max Temp          66           80           64           79
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  9 G22    SW  6        S 12 G24     SW 11 G20
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  7 G21    S 12 G25     SW 10 G23    SW 13 G21
Precip amount         0.76         0.34         0.41         0.07
Precip duration       9            8            9            2
Inversion             None         None         None         None
Dispersion            Good                      Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        100          68           100          44
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4560                      9770
Transport wnd (mph)                S 15                      W 25
Ventilation rate                   68400                     244250
ADI early             41 Gen good  29 Fair      78 Good      57 Gen good
ADI late              13 Gen poor  75 Good      9 poor       108 Very good
Max LVORI early       8            9            5            8
Max LVORI late        9            3            8            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
85 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 43 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-241200-
Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
347 PM EDT Tue May 23 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          Cloudy       Cloudy       MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        100          90           90           40
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   5            5            5            2
Min/Max Temp          65           79           63           78
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  7        S  4         S 10         SW 10
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  5        S 10         SW  8        SW 13 G21
Precip amount         0.51         0.39         0.37         0.07
Precip duration       8            7            10           2
Inversion             None         None         None         None
Dispersion            Fair                      Good
Max/Min RH (%)        100          67           100          45
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          2            3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4540                      9440
Transport wnd (mph)                S 12                      W 26
Ventilation rate                   54480                     245440
ADI early             40 Fair      21 Fair      68 Good      63 Good
ADI late              8 poor       68 Good      8 poor       102 Very good
Max LVORI early       8            10           6            8
Max LVORI late        9            3            8            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 41 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 43 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 49 percent. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-241200-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
347 PM EDT Tue May 23 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          Cloudy       Cloudy       MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        100          100          90           40
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   5            5            5            2
Min/Max Temp          63           78           62           77
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  6        S  4         S 10         SW 10
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  4        S  9         SW 10        SW 13 G21
Precip amount         0.28         0.42         0.30         0.08
Precip duration       7            7            8            2
Inversion             None         None         None         None
Dispersion            Fair                      Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        100          68           100          45
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          2            3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4050                      9160
Transport wnd (mph)                S 12                      W 23
Ventilation rate                   48600                     210680
ADI early             38 Fair      18 Gen poor  45 Gen good  68 Good
ADI late              6 Very poor  39 Fair      10 poor      87 Good
Max LVORI early       8            9            5            8
Max LVORI late        9            3            7            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 40 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

5



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