Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 220819
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
419 AM EDT Sun Oct 22 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Warm and dry weather is expected today, as high pressure moves
off to the northeast ahead of an approaching cold front. The
front will bring showers and a few storms late Monday through
Tuesday morning, and some storms could be strong. Cooler air
will spread across the region through mid-week, as the front
moves off the coast.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable

Fog potential for tonight...Moderate

NCZ105>110-230030-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
419 AM EDT Sun Oct 22 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            40
Precip type           None         None         Showers
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          80           60           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      E  5         SE  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  6         SE  5        SE 10
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.08
Precip duration                                 2
Inversion             68/1000      1800         70/1000
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        50           100          60
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5690                      5540
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 10                     SE 21
Ventilation rate      56900                     116340
ADI early             44 Gen good  37 Fair      64 Good
ADI late              50 Gen good  3 Very poor  67 Good
Max LVORI early       10           6            9
Max LVORI late        1            8            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers with isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely with isolated
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance
of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 87 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
46 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
82 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
88 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-230030-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
419 AM EDT Sun Oct 22 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            50
Precip type           None         None         Showers
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          81           61           78
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      SE  5        SE  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE  6        E  4         SE 10
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.14
Precip duration                                 2
Inversion             66/1000      1800         67/1000
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        49           100          66
DSI                   3                         2
Haines Index          5            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5590                      4800
Transport wnd (mph)   SE  9                     SE 24
Ventilation rate      50310                     115200
ADI early             41 Gen good  36 Fair      43 Gen good
ADI late              49 Gen good  3 Very poor  69 Good
Max LVORI early       10           6            9
Max LVORI late        1            8            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers with isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Chance
of precipitation 50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
87 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
44 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
85 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-230030-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
419 AM EDT Sun Oct 22 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            20           60
Precip type           None         Showers      Showers
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          80           64           79
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  3         E  7         SE  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  9         SE  6        SE 14 G21
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.25
Precip duration                    1            2
Inversion             70/1000      1800         71/1000
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        56           98           69
DSI                   3                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5700                      4480
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 13                     SE 25
Ventilation rate      74100                     112000
ADI early             56 Gen good  42 Gen good  67 Good
ADI late              58 Gen good  6 Very poor  73 Good
Max LVORI early       10           6            9
Max LVORI late        1            7            4

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers with isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the mid
60s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Chance
of precipitation 50 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the lower 50s.
Maximum RH 85 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
45 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
83 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-230030-
Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
419 AM EDT Sun Oct 22 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            20           60
Precip type           None         Showers      Showers
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          81           63           79
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      SE  6        SE  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  8         E  5         SE 12
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.35
Precip duration                    1            6
Inversion             67/1000      1800         70/1000
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        51           99           69
DSI                   3                         2
Haines Index          3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5730                      4170
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 12                     SE 26
Ventilation rate      68760                     108420
ADI early             48 Gen good  43 Gen good  48 Gen good
ADI late              59 Gen good  4 Very poor  72 Good
Max LVORI early       10           6            9
Max LVORI late        1            7            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers with isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the mid
60s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
South winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Chance
of precipitation 50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the upper 40s.
Maximum RH 85 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
42 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
85 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-230030-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
419 AM EDT Sun Oct 22 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            20           60
Precip type           None         Showers      Showers
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          81           61           76
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      SE  6        SE  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE  7        E  6         SE 12
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.37
Precip duration                    1            5
Inversion             65/1000      1800         67/1000
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        49           99           71
DSI                   3                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5770                      3990
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 10                     SE 24
Ventilation rate      57700                     95760
ADI early             38 Fair      41 Gen good  28 Fair
ADI late              56 Gen good  4 Very poor  66 Good
Max LVORI early       10           5            7
Max LVORI late        1            6            4

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers with isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the mid
60s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Chance
of precipitation 30 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the upper 40s.
Maximum RH 84 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
41 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
87 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 42 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 99 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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