Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 211935
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
335 PM EDT Mon Aug 21 2017

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will expand across the area from the western
Atlantic through Wednesday, allowing the heat and high humidity
to continue. A cold front will track across the Eastern
Carolinas from the northwest late Wednesday night thru
Thursday. Canadian high pressure will build in behind the front
bringing drier and breezier weather with slightly below normal temps
for the weekend.

Fog potential for tonight...Moderate to High.

NCZ105>110-221145-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
335 PM EDT Mon Aug 21 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            30           30           50
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            3            3            3
Min/Max Temp          73           90           75           90
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  3         LGT/VAR      SW  6        SW  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        SW  5        SW  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.05         0.04         0.04
Precip duration                    1            1            2
Inversion             1900         80/0900      1900         80/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        98           57           96           60
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5200                      5710
Transport wnd (mph)                SW  8                     SW 14
Ventilation rate                   41600                     79940
ADI early             25 Fair      23 Fair      38 Fair      35 Fair
ADI late              1 Very poor  44 Gen good  4 Very poor  53 Gen good
Max LVORI early       7            9            5            7
Max LVORI late        9            2            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 78 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 85 percent.
Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-221145-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
335 PM EDT Mon Aug 21 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            30           30           50
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            3            3            3
Min/Max Temp          73           91           74           90
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  4         LGT/VAR      SW  6        SW  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        SW  5        SW  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.04         0.03         0.06
Precip duration                    1            1            2
Inversion             1900         79/0900      1900         79/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        100          54           99           57
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5790                      6080
Transport wnd (mph)                SW  9                     SW 12
Ventilation rate                   52110                     72960
ADI early             27 Fair      26 Fair      43 Gen good  22 Fair
ADI late              1 Very poor  36 Fair      4 Very poor  54 Gen good
Max LVORI early       7            10           5            9
Max LVORI late        10           2            8            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 75 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 96 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-221145-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
335 PM EDT Mon Aug 21 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            30           20           50
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            3            2            3
Min/Max Temp          73           92           74           92
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  5         W  3         S  7         SW  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  3        SW  5        SW  6        SW  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.03         0.01         0.06
Precip duration                    1            1            2
Inversion             1900         79/0900      1900         79/0900
Dispersion            Poor                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        100          52           98           52
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6060                      6850
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 10                     SW  9
Ventilation rate                   60600                     61650
ADI early             28 Fair      41 Gen good  40 Fair      21 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  51 Gen good  5 Very poor  44 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            10           5            8
Max LVORI late        10           2            8            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-221145-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
335 PM EDT Mon Aug 21 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           30           30           50
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            3            3            3
Min/Max Temp          73           90           74           90
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  4         LGT/VAR      S  7         SW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        SW  5        SW  7
Precip amount         0.01         0.05         0.06         0.07
Precip duration       0            2            2            2
Inversion             1900         80/0900      1900         80/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        99           59           98           59
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5360                      6030
Transport wnd (mph)                S  7                      SW 13
Ventilation rate                   37520                     78390
ADI early             25 Fair      15 Gen poor  33 Fair      23 Fair
ADI late              1 Very poor  34 Fair      4 Very poor  45 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            9            5            8
Max LVORI late        8            2            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 77 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 85 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 84 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-221145-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
335 PM EDT Mon Aug 21 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           30           30           40
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            3            3            3
Min/Max Temp          73           91           74           92
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  4         LGT/VAR      S  6         SW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  3        SW  4        SW  4        SW  6
Precip amount         0.01         0.05         0.04         0.06
Precip duration       0            1            1            2
Inversion             1900         79/0900      1900         79/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        98           55           99           52
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5760                      6610
Transport wnd (mph)                SW  8                     SW  9
Ventilation rate                   46080                     59490
ADI early             24 Fair      17 Gen poor  27 Fair      22 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  29 Fair      3 Very poor  40 Fair
Max LVORI early       7            10           5            9
Max LVORI late        9            2            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-221145-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
335 PM EDT Mon Aug 21 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            30           20           50
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            3            2            3
Min/Max Temp          73           93           74           93
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  5         LGT/VAR      S  7         SW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  3        SW  5        SW  5        SW  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.03         0.01         0.05
Precip duration                    1            1            2
Inversion             1900         79/0900      1900         79/0900
Dispersion            Poor                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        98           51           96           47
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6210                      7420
Transport wnd (mph)                SW  9                     W  8
Ventilation rate                   55890                     59360
ADI early             25 Fair      39 Fair      30 Fair      22 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  33 Fair      4 Very poor  28 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            9            4            6
Max LVORI late        8            2            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 95 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

rgz


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