Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 190917
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
517 AM EDT SAT APR 19 2014

.DISCUSSION...
THE STEADY RAIN WILL BECOME MORE PATCHY FROM SOUTH TO NORTH THROUGH
THE MORNING. HOWEVER...THE RISK FOR RAINFALL WILL REMAIN INTO SUNDAY.
LOW PRESSURE ACROSS NORTH FLORIDA TODAY WILL MOVE VERY SLOWLY EAST-
NORTHEAST AND PASS SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CAROLINAS THROUGH MONDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD BACK ACROSS THE AREA EARLY IN THE
WORK WEEK. A WEAK FRONT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE AREA DURING TUESDAY...
BRINGING A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED
TO BE ABOVE NORMAL FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK WITH MUCH MORE IN THE WAY
OF SUNSHINE RETURNING.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS UNFAVORABLE...
TYPE 1-B. MAXIMUM WIND NEAR 1800 FT AGL...DIRECTION NE...SPEED 40 TO
45 MPH.
BROTAK WIND PROFILE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...NONE.

NCZ105>110-200130-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
517 AM EDT SAT APR 19 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        100          80           60
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          61           51           67
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE 19 G32    NE 19 G30    NE 21 G34
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE 19 G32    NE 22 G34    NE 17 G26
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.73         0.47         0.08
PRECIP DURATION       11           9            3
INVERSION             60/1300      NONE         NONE
MIN/MAX RH (%)        76           98           55
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1340                      3010
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 28                     NE 35
VENTILATION RATE      37520                     105350
ADI EARLY             25 FAIR      35 FAIR      48 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              41 GEN GOOD  25 FAIR      85 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            4            5
MAX LVORI LATE        4            5            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS
15 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-200130-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
517 AM EDT SAT APR 19 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        100          70           50
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          59           48           67
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE 18 G27    NE 18 G25    NE 19 G27
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE 18 G25    NE 20 G27    NE 16 G23
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.73         0.41         0.05
PRECIP DURATION       10           7            2
INVERSION             56/1300      NONE         NONE
MIN/MAX RH (%)        76           98           52
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1490                      3190
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 33                     NE 32
VENTILATION RATE      49170                     102080
ADI EARLY             33 FAIR      43 GEN GOOD  75 GOOD
ADI LATE              55 GEN GOOD  27 FAIR      88 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       8            4            4
MAX LVORI LATE        4            4            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-200130-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
517 AM EDT SAT APR 19 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        100          70           60
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          64           50           67
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE 18 G26    NE 18 G26    NE 20 G31
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE 18 G26    NE 21 G31    NE 17 G26
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.53         0.35         0.07
PRECIP DURATION       6            9            2
INVERSION             61/1300      NONE         NONE
MIN/MAX RH (%)        76           98           56
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1280                      3060
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 21                     NE 33
VENTILATION RATE      26880                     100980
ADI EARLY             28 FAIR      29 FAIR      75 GOOD
ADI LATE              31 FAIR      18 GEN POOR  84 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            5            5
MAX LVORI LATE        4            5            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-200130-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
517 AM EDT SAT APR 19 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        90           70           50
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          60           48           67
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE 19 G27    NE 19 G26    NE 19 G27
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE 18 G26    NE 20 G27    NE 16 G23
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.63         0.44         0.05
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            2
INVERSION             57/1300      NONE         NONE
MIN/MAX RH (%)        78           96           50
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1540                      3270
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 25                     NE 32
VENTILATION RATE      38500                     104640
ADI EARLY             30 FAIR      39 FAIR      79 GOOD
ADI LATE              40 FAIR      25 FAIR      89 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       7            4            4
MAX LVORI LATE        4            4            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

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