Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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143
FNUS52 KILM 181009
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
510 AM EST Sat Nov 18 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A breezy warmup today will be followed by a strong cold front
late tonight and Sunday morning. The front may be accompanied
by some gusty late night showers. The front will usher in much
colder and drier air with Monday seeing the lowest daytime highs
with the possibility for a freeze or frost late Sunday night
and Monday night. Temperatures will moderate Tuesday and
Wednesday. Forecast uncertainty increases mid to late next week
as another cold front moves into the area. The weather could
turn unsettled and will hinge on the track of developing low
pressure in the Gulf of Mexico.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Brotak Wind Profile today.

Fog potential for tonight...None.

NCZ105>110-190130-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
424 AM EST Sat Nov 18 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            40           30
Precip type           None         Showers      Showers
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          70           56           65
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  3         SW 13 G26    W 16 G29
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 12 G23    SW 16 G27    NW 15 G27
Precip amount         0.00         0.04         0.02
Precip duration                    1            1
Inversion             59/1000      None         None
Dispersion                         Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        49           93           39
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4680                      3830
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 20                     NW 20
Ventilation rate      93600                     76600
ADI early             37 Fair      28 Fair      55 Gen good
ADI late              73 Good      22 Fair      53 Gen good
Max LVORI early       10           4            3
Max LVORI late        2            3            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 76 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 36 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
48 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Not as cool. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 98 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
55 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
83 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the lower 60s. Minimum RH 60 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-190130-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
424 AM EST Sat Nov 18 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            50           30
Precip type           None         Showers      Showers
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          72           55           63
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  3         S 12 G23     W 14 G26
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S 12 G22     SW 14 G23    NW 14 G26
Precip amount         0.00         0.04         0.01
Precip duration                    1            1
Inversion             56/1000      None         None
Dispersion                         Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        50           89           38
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4770                      3820
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 23                     NW 17
Ventilation rate      109710                    64940
ADI early             42 Gen good  26 Fair      50 Gen good
ADI late              76 Good      18 Gen poor  49 Gen good
Max LVORI early       10           4            3
Max LVORI late        1            3            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 78 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Light and variable wind.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
46 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Not as cool. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 98 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
53 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
83 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows around 40. Maximum RH 89 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 50s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-190130-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
424 AM EST Sat Nov 18 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            50           30
Precip type           None         Showers      Showers
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          71           55           62
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  3         S 13 G23     NW 14 G26
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 12 G23    SW 16 G25    NW 15 G26
Precip amount         0.00         0.04         0.01
Precip duration                    1            1
Inversion             54/1000      None         None
Dispersion                         Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        50           78           36
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4550                      3950
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 26                     NW 17
Ventilation rate      118300                    67150
ADI early             47 Gen good  19 Gen poor  48 Gen good
ADI late              78 Good      20 Gen poor  49 Gen good
Max LVORI early       10           4            3
Max LVORI late        1            3            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 82 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 32 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
43 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Not as cool. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 98 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
50 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
83 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 86 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 50s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-190130-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
424 AM EST Sat Nov 18 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            40           30
Precip type           None         Showers      Showers
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          72           56           65
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      SW 13 G25    W 15 G26
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S 12 G23     SW 15 G25    NW 15 G26
Precip amount         0.00         0.02         0.00
Precip duration                    1            1
Inversion             60/1000      None         None
Dispersion                         Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        50           89           37
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4870                      3410
Transport wnd (mph)   S 21                      NW 18
Ventilation rate      102270                    61380
ADI early             43 Gen good  27 Fair      51 Gen good
ADI late              70 Good      21 Fair      48 Gen good
Max LVORI early       10           4            4
Max LVORI late        1            3            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 79 percent.
North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
91 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
50 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Not as cool. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 57 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Highs around 60. Minimum RH 51 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 87 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the lower 60s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-190130-
Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
424 AM EST Sat Nov 18 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            40           30
Precip type           None         Showers      Showers
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          72           55           64
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S 12 G22     W 14 G26
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S 12 G22     SW 14 G23    NW 14 G25
Precip amount         0.00         0.02         0.00
Precip duration                    1            1
Inversion             56/1000      None         None
Dispersion                         Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        49           84           36
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4770                      3680
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 24                     NW 17
Ventilation rate      114480                    62560
ADI early             51 Gen good  24 Fair      47 Gen good
ADI late              73 Good      19 Gen poor  45 Gen good
Max LVORI early       10           3            3
Max LVORI late        1            3            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 81 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 32 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Light and variable wind.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
46 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Not as cool. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
53 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 85 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 50s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-190130-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
424 AM EST Sat Nov 18 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            40           0
Precip type           None         Showers      None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          72           54           62
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  3         S 12 G22     NW 14 G26
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 12 G23    SW 16 G24    NW 15 G25
Precip amount         0.00         0.04         0.00
Precip duration                    1
Inversion             52/1000      None         None
Dispersion                         Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        48           76           35
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4370                      3830
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 28                     NW 17
Ventilation rate      122360                    65110
ADI early             43 Gen good  16 Gen poor  45 Gen good
ADI late              79 Good      18 Gen poor  46 Gen good
Max LVORI early       10           3            3
Max LVORI late        1            3            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 83 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 32 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Light and variable wind.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
45 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Not as cool. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
52 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
82 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 83 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 50s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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