Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 012013
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
313 PM EST SUN MAR 1 2015

.DISCUSSION...
A WEDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL COMPLETELY BREAK DOWN THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOLLOWED BY
ANOTHER WEDGE OF COOL HIGH PRESSURE FOR TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL ON WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD
FRONT THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A WAVE OF LOW
PRESSURE MAY DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT...KEEPING THE WEATHER UNSETTLED
THROUGH THURSDAY. CHILLY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA
FRIDAY AND PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...HIGH.

NCZ105>110-021215-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
313 PM EST SUN MAR 1 2015

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        80           20           30           40
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          39           59           37           54
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NW  3        W  5         NE  7        NE  9
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     W  4         N  7         NE  9        E  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.01         0.02         0.04
PRECIP DURATION       4            1            1            2
INVERSION             CONTINUED    52/1100      NONE         NONE
MAX/MIN RH (%)        100          58           89           71
DSI                                1                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            2            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                2140                      1280
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 12                      E 17
VENTILATION RATE                   25680                     21760
ADI EARLY             3 VERY POOR  18 GEN POOR  14 GEN POOR  26 FAIR
ADI LATE              4 VERY POOR  25 FAIR      15 GEN POOR  15 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       7            8            4            4
MAX LVORI LATE        9            3            4            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. PATCHY
FOG. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 88 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.
MINIMUM RH 80 PERCENT. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
COLDER. LOWS AROUND 30. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 15 TO
20 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
83 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
48 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 89 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-021215-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
313 PM EST SUN MAR 1 2015

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        80           20           30           50
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          37           59           36           49
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    LGT/VAR      W  5         NE  6        E  8
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     W  4         N  7         NE  7        E  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.01         0.03         0.04
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            2            2
INVERSION             CONTINUED    50/1100      NONE         NONE
MAX/MIN RH (%)        100          61           89           76
DSI                                1                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            2            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                2250                      1150
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 10                      E 16
VENTILATION RATE                   22500                     18400
ADI EARLY             3 VERY POOR  15 GEN POOR  15 GEN POOR  22 FAIR
ADI LATE              3 VERY POOR  25 FAIR      14 GEN POOR  13 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       8            9            4            5
MAX LVORI LATE        9            3            4            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. PATCHY
FOG. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 70 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. MUCH COOLER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S. MINIMUM RH 72 PERCENT. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH 85 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH
80 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
45 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 87 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-021215-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
313 PM EST SUN MAR 1 2015

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        80           20           50           50
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          39           63           40           53
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NW  3        W  4         NE  7        E 11
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     W  3         N  6         NE  9        E  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.05         0.04
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            2            2
INVERSION             CONTINUED    54/1100      NONE         NONE
MAX/MIN RH (%)        100          60           89           75
DSI                                1                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            2            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                2160                      1290
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  9                      E 18
VENTILATION RATE                   19440                     23220
ADI EARLY             4 VERY POOR  20 GEN POOR  17 GEN POOR  27 FAIR
ADI LATE              3 VERY POOR  20 GEN POOR  15 GEN POOR  17 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            9            4            5
MAX LVORI LATE        10           3            4            5

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. PATCHY
FOG. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
MINIMUM RH 76 PERCENT. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS
15 TO 20 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH
42 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
77 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
49 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 87 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-021215-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
313 PM EST SUN MAR 1 2015

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        60           20           50           50
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          37           63           40           51
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    LGT/VAR      W  4         NE  8        E  9
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     W  3         N  6         E  8         E  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.01         0.06         0.05
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            2
INVERSION             CONTINUED    53/1100      NONE         NONE
MAX/MIN RH (%)        100          60           95           77
DSI                                1                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            2            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                2250                      1170
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  8                      E 15
VENTILATION RATE                   18000                     17550
ADI EARLY             3 VERY POOR  16 GEN POOR  19 GEN POOR  22 FAIR
ADI LATE              3 VERY POOR  21 FAIR      14 GEN POOR  16 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       10           9            3            5
MAX LVORI LATE        10           3            4            5

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. PATCHY
FOG. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. MUCH COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
COLDER. LOWS AROUND 30. MAXIMUM RH 84 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH
38 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. MAXIMUM RH
74 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
44 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 85 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

27





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