Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 221958
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
358 PM EDT Sat Jul 22 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Hot and humid conditions will begin to moderate through early next
week with more typical summertime heat expected much of next week. The
risk for thunderstorms with heavy rain will return next week. A cold
front, approaching from the north, should push into the area by the
middle of next week and then remain in close proximity through late
next week.

Fog potential for tonight...None to Low.

NCZ105>110-231200-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
358 PM EDT Sat Jul 22 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            20           30           60
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            2            3            4
Min/Max Temp          77           95           76           92
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  9        SW  8        SW  9 G21    SW  8 G20
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  7        SW 11 G21    SW  8 G20    SW 11 G21
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.04         0.27
Precip duration                    1            1            2
Inversion             2100         83/0900      2100         81/0900
Dispersion            Good                      Good
Max/Min RH (%)        93           52           95           58
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5680                      5290
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 22                     SW 20
Ventilation rate                   124960                    105800
ADI early             48 Gen good  74 Good      63 Good      54 Gen good
ADI late              6 Very poor  76 Good      8 poor       65 Good
Max LVORI early       4            6            5            6
Max LVORI late        6            1            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-231200-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
358 PM EDT Sat Jul 22 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           30           30           60
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            3            3            4
Min/Max Temp          76           96           76           92
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  7         SW  7        SW  7        SW  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  6        SW  9        SW  7        SW  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.02         0.08         0.30
Precip duration       0            1            2            8
Inversion             2100         83/0900      2100         81/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        93           49           95           55
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          4            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6110                      5480
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 16                     SW 15
Ventilation rate                   97760                     82200
ADI early             58 Gen good  73 Good      69 Good      41 Gen good
ADI late              6 Very poor  87 Good      8 poor       52 Gen good
Max LVORI early       4            6            5            6
Max LVORI late        6            1            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 61 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 61 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 58 percent. West winds
5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-231200-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
358 PM EDT Sat Jul 22 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            30           30           60
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            3            3            4
Min/Max Temp          76           96           76           92
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  8        SW  7        SW  8        SW  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  7        SW 10        SW  7        SW 10
Precip amount         0.00         0.02         0.03         0.32
Precip duration                    1            1            3
Inversion             2100         83/0900      2100         81/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Good
Max/Min RH (%)        94           50           94           56
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6460                      5020
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 20                     SW 16
Ventilation rate                   129200                    80320
ADI early             39 Fair      74 Good      58 Gen good  44 Gen good
ADI late              6 Very poor  80 Good      7 poor       52 Gen good
Max LVORI early       4            6            4            6
Max LVORI late        6            1            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-231200-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
358 PM EDT Sat Jul 22 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            30           30           60
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            3            3            4
Min/Max Temp          76           96           75           92
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  6        SW  7        SW  7        SW  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  6        SW  9        SW  6        SW  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.02         0.03         0.21
Precip duration                    1            1            4
Inversion             2100         82/0900      2100         80/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        94           49           94           56
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6510                      5300
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 18                     SW 16
Ventilation rate                   117180                    84800
ADI early             48 Gen good  67 Good      82 Good      40 Fair
ADI late              6 Very poor  85 Good      8 poor       55 Gen good
Max LVORI early       4            7            4            6
Max LVORI late        6            1            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-231200-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
358 PM EDT Sat Jul 22 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           30           30           60
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            3            3            4
Min/Max Temp          76           97           75           93
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  6        SW  6        SW  7        SW  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  6        SW  9        SW  6        SW  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.02         0.05         0.22
Precip duration       0            1            2            5
Inversion             2100         82/0900      2100         81/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        92           47           93           53
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          5            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6370                      5650
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 14                     W 15
Ventilation rate                   89180                     84750
ADI early             55 Gen good  53 Gen good  64 Good      35 Fair
ADI late              6 Very poor  63 Good      7 poor       51 Gen good
Max LVORI early       3            6            4            6
Max LVORI late        6            1            5            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 59 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

RGZ


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