Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 222105 CCA
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
327 PM EDT Fri Sep 22 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Building high pressure aloft from the north will bring dry but
warm air across the Carolinas this weekend. Strong rip currents
and large surf along the beaches, as well as hazardous marine
conditions offshore will continue as Hurricane Maria moves
northward through the Atlantic waters. The latest forecast puts
Maria just over 400 miles east of the tip of Cape Fear by mid week
next week.

Fog potential for tonight...Moderate to High.

NCZ105>110-231130-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
327 PM EDT Fri Sep 22 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          65           87           66           85
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  4         NE  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      E  5         NE  4        NE  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1900         73/0900      1900         72/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        100          49           98           50
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5900                      5580
Transport wnd (mph)                NE  5                     NE 14
Ventilation rate                   29500                     78120
ADI early             17 Gen poor  23 Fair      12 poor      57 Gen good
ADI late              1 Very poor  23 Fair      2 Very poor  62 Good
Max LVORI early       7            10           6            8
Max LVORI late        9            2            8            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. North
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
North winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. North
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
86 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-231130-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
327 PM EDT Fri Sep 22 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          65           87           66           86
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  4         NE  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      NE  5        NE  3        NE  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1900         72/0900      1900         71/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        99           45           95           45
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          4            3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5790                      5780
Transport wnd (mph)                NE  6                     NE 12
Ventilation rate                   34740                     69360
ADI early             23 Fair      26 Fair      24 Fair      52 Gen good
ADI late              1 Very poor  30 Fair      2 Very poor  56 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            10           5            7
Max LVORI late        10           2            7            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 46 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
83 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-231130-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
327 PM EDT Fri Sep 22 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          66           87           66           86
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  4        NE  4        E  4         NE  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      E  7         NE  4        NE  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1900         73/0900      1900         72/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        98           48           97           49
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6120                      5810
Transport wnd (mph)                NE  5                     NE 14
Ventilation rate                   30600                     81340
ADI early             21 Fair      36 Fair      15 Gen poor  61 Good
ADI late              1 Very poor  35 Fair      3 Very poor  66 Good
Max LVORI early       6            8            5            7
Max LVORI late        8            2            7            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
60 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
84 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-231130-
Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
327 PM EDT Fri Sep 22 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          66           88           66           88
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  3        N  3         E  3         NE  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      NE  6        NE  3        NE  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1900         73/0900      1900         71/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        97           46           98           45
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6150                      6280
Transport wnd (mph)                NE  5                     NE 10
Ventilation rate                   30750                     62800
ADI early             22 Fair      31 Fair      16 Gen poor  52 Gen good
ADI late              1 Very poor  32 Fair      2 Very poor  58 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            9            5            9
Max LVORI late        8            2            9            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 46 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
82 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-231130-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
327 PM EDT Fri Sep 22 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          65           89           65           88
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  3        N  3         E  3         NE  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      NE  6        NE  3        NE  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1900         72/0900      1900         71/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        97           42           93           44
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          4            3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6310                      6390
Transport wnd (mph)                NE  6                     NE  9
Ventilation rate                   37860                     57510
ADI early             22 Fair      28 Fair      22 Fair      43 Gen good
ADI late              1 Very poor  29 Fair      2 Very poor  50 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            10           4            7
Max LVORI late        9            2            7            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
89 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 43 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
80 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

RGZ



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