Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 270912
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
512 AM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure offshore will bring a warming and drying trend
into and thru the weekend. A weakening and lingering cold front
may bring widely scattered showers or a thunderstorm Thursday
night into early Friday. Daily highs and lows today thru Sun
will run 10 to 15 degrees above normal. Isolated sea breeze
convection will be possible Friday and Sunday, however a better
shot of convection will occur late Mon into early Tue due to a
cold frontal passage. Weak high pressure will take hold during
the middle of next week.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...Low.

NCZ105>110-280115-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
512 AM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            20           20
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            2            2
Min/Max Temp          85           68           89
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  8        S 10         SW  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S 12         S 10         SW 11
Precip amount         0.00         0.02         0.02
Precip duration                    1            1
Inversion             73/1000      2000         75/0900
Dispersion                         Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        46           98           52
DSI                   3                         2
Haines Index          4            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5850                      4770
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 24                     SW 22
Ventilation rate      140400                    104940
ADI early             50 Gen good  53 Gen good  41 Gen good
ADI late              76 Good      11 poor      58 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            4            6
Max LVORI late        1            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
61 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. South
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-280115-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
512 AM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            20           20
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            2            2
Min/Max Temp          85           68           89
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  7         S 10         SW  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S 11         S  9         SW  9
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.01
Precip duration                    1            1
Inversion             71/1000      2000         74/0900
Dispersion                         Good
Max/Min RH (%)        46           97           47
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          4            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5590                      5710
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 23                     SW 20
Ventilation rate      128570                    114200
ADI early             61 Good      54 Gen good  44 Gen good
ADI late              73 Good      10 poor      87 Good
Max LVORI early       6            5            7
Max LVORI late        1            7            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 53 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. South
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 92 percent. Southwest
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
42 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-280115-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
512 AM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            30           0
Precip type           None         Tstms        None
LAL                   1            3            1
Min/Max Temp          85           66           90
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  7         S 10         SW  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S 12         S  8         SW  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration                    1
Inversion             70/1000      2000         73/0900
Dispersion                         Good
Max/Min RH (%)        44           98           43
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5500                      5690
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 22                     SW 21
Ventilation rate      121000                    119490
ADI early             56 Gen good  50 Gen good  39 Fair
ADI late              68 Good      9 poor       90 Good
Max LVORI early       6            4            7
Max LVORI late        1            8            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
48 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. South
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-280115-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
512 AM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            20           20
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            2            2
Min/Max Temp          85           69           89
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  8         S 11         SW  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S 12         S 10         S 10
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.01
Precip duration                    1            1
Inversion             73/1000      2000         75/0900
Dispersion                         Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        47           97           50
DSI                   3                         2
Haines Index          3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5960                      5100
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 25                     SW 18
Ventilation rate      149000                    91800
ADI early             62 Good      59 Gen good  36 Fair
ADI late              80 Good      11 poor      50 Gen good
Max LVORI early       5            4            6
Max LVORI late        1            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
60 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Breezy. Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
South winds 20 to 25 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
43 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-280115-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
512 AM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            20           0
Precip type           None         Tstms        None
LAL                   1            2            1
Min/Max Temp          86           67           90
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  7         S 10         SW  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S 11         S  9         S  9
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration                    1
Inversion             71/1000      2000         74/0900
Dispersion                         Good
Max/Min RH (%)        46           98           44
DSI                   3                         2
Haines Index          3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5710                      5670
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 23                     SW 18
Ventilation rate      131330                    102060
ADI early             65 Good      53 Gen good  36 Fair
ADI late              74 Good      10 poor      79 Good
Max LVORI early       6            4            8
Max LVORI late        1            7            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 50 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. South
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
39 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-280115-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
512 AM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            40           0
Precip type           None         Tstms        None
LAL                   1            3            1
Min/Max Temp          86           65           90
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  8         S 10         SW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S 12         S  7         SW  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.00
Precip duration                    1
Inversion             70/1000      2000         72/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        46           97           40
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5680                      5610
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 23                     SW 21
Ventilation rate      130640                    117810
ADI early             44 Gen good  52 Gen good  31 Fair
ADI late              75 Good      8 poor       89 Good
Max LVORI early       6            4            7
Max LVORI late        1            7            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 46 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. South
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

dch



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