Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 180731
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
331 AM EDT Fri Aug 18 2017

.DISCUSSION...
High heat and humidity will continue across the area today.
Showers and thunderstorms will increase in coverage Saturday
ahead of a cold front. This front will stall in close proximity
during the weekend before dissipating Monday. High pressure
will build across the area Tuesday and Wednesday. Another cold
front will approach from the northwest Thursday.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...Low.

NCZ105>110-182345-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
331 AM EDT Fri Aug 18 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           30           80
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            5
Min/Max Temp          93           77           90
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  5        SW  8        SW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  7        SW  7        SW  7
Precip amount         0.05         0.07         0.42
Precip duration       1            1            8
Inversion             81/0900      2000         81/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        59           98           63
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5150                      4830
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 12                     SW 13
Ventilation rate      61800                     62790
ADI early             33 Fair      31 Fair      32 Fair
ADI late              43 Gen good  7 poor       45 Gen good
Max LVORI early       9            5            8
Max LVORI late        2            7            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-182345-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
331 AM EDT Fri Aug 18 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           30           80
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            5
Min/Max Temp          94           75           91
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  5        SW  7        W  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  8        SW  5        SW  4
Precip amount         0.05         0.07         0.56
Precip duration       1            1            7
Inversion             81/0900      2000         79/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        53           100          54
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5440                      6370
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 15                     SW  6
Ventilation rate      81600                     38220
ADI early             28 Fair      39 Fair      7 poor
ADI late              52 Gen good  7 poor       24 Fair
Max LVORI early       9            5            10
Max LVORI late        2            9            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 57 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. North winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-182345-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
331 AM EDT Fri Aug 18 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           30           80
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            4
Min/Max Temp          93           76           92
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  6        SW  8        SW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  7        SW  7        SW  7
Precip amount         0.06         0.07         0.44
Precip duration       1            1            7
Inversion             82/0900      2000         81/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        56           97           59
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5410                      5480
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 12                     SW  9
Ventilation rate      64920                     49320
ADI early             33 Fair      34 Fair      32 Fair
ADI late              41 Gen good  8 poor       28 Fair
Max LVORI early       9            5            7
Max LVORI late        2            7            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. West winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-182345-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
331 AM EDT Fri Aug 18 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           30           70
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            4
Min/Max Temp          94           76           92
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  5        SW  7        NW  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  8        SW  5        SW  5
Precip amount         0.05         0.07         0.54
Precip duration       1            2            2
Inversion             81/0900      2000         80/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        50           97           53
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5820                      6760
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 15                     W  7
Ventilation rate      87300                     47320
ADI early             45 Gen good  40 Fair      12 poor
ADI late              52 Gen good  6 Very poor  26 Fair
Max LVORI early       9            5            7
Max LVORI late        1            7            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 62 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 57 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. North winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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