Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 230915
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
515 AM EDT WED APR 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA TODAY BRINGING NEAR
CRITICALLY LOW AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES...GUSTY
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 20 TO 25 MPH AND SUNNY SKIES. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BE POSITIONED OVERHEAD ON THURSDAY AND THEN MOVE OFFSHORE ON
FRIDAY. AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THERE WILL BE ANOTHER CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON FRIDAY. RETURN FLOW AROUND OFFSHORE
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING WARM TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE AREA LATE
IN THE WEEK. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL INCREASE SLIGHTLY
ON THURSDAY AND THEN SURGE HIGHER THEREAFTER. A WEAK COLD FRONT MAY
BRING COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY. UNSETTLED WEATHER
CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP FOR THE FIRST PART OF THE NEW WORK WEEK.


WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.
BROTAK WIND PROFILE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...NONE.

NCZ105>110-240115-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
515 AM EDT WED APR 23 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          75           43           71
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NW 12 G21    NW  6        NE  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NW 13 G21    N  6         E  4
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
INVERSION             60/0900      2000         54/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        23           76           27
DSI                   3                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            5            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3460                      4460
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 16                     NW  2
VENTILATION RATE      55360                     8920
ADI EARLY             29 FAIR      31 FAIR      23 FAIR
ADI LATE              49 GEN GOOD  1 VERY POOR  23 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            3            4
MAX LVORI LATE        1            4            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
40 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-240115-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
515 AM EDT WED APR 23 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          76           42           72
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)N 12 G22     N  4         NE  3
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NW 12 G21    N  4         LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
INVERSION             59/0900      2000         52/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        22           77           30
DSI                   3                         3
HAINES INDEX          4            5            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3720                      4890
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 16                     NW  3
VENTILATION RATE      59520                     14670
ADI EARLY             34 FAIR      39 FAIR      34 FAIR
ADI LATE              46 GEN GOOD  1 VERY POOR  32 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            3            4
MAX LVORI LATE        1            4            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-240115-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
515 AM EDT WED APR 23 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          76           45           73
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)N 11 G21     N  5         NE  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NW 12 G20    NE  6        SE  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
INVERSION             61/0900      2000         55/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        26           77           37
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            5            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2940                      4470
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 15                     S  2
VENTILATION RATE      44100                     8940
ADI EARLY             24 FAIR      31 FAIR      27 FAIR
ADI LATE              42 GEN GOOD  1 VERY POOR  26 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            3            4
MAX LVORI LATE        1            4            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
58 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-240115-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
515 AM EDT WED APR 23 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          76           44           74
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)N 11 G21     N  5         NE  4
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NW 11 G21    NE  4        SE  4
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
INVERSION             60/0900      2000         53/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        23           76           35
DSI                   2                         3
HAINES INDEX          4            5            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3280                      4790
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 15                     S  5
VENTILATION RATE      49200                     23950
ADI EARLY             29 FAIR      30 FAIR      29 FAIR
ADI LATE              42 GEN GOOD  1 VERY POOR  29 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            3            4
MAX LVORI LATE        1            4            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

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