Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 300728
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
328 AM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will extend across the area from offshore through
early Monday with warm and humid conditions continuing. A cold
front will bring a likelihood of showers and thunderstorms late
Monday into early Tuesday. High pressure will follow for the
mid-week period. A Low pressure system will impact the region
Thursday into Friday amd may bring widespread showers and
thunderstorms and heavy rain.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...Low.

NCZ105-106-302330-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-
Including the cities of Burgaw and Surf City
328 AM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          87           67           83
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  6         S  7         S 11
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S 11 G21     S  6         S 16 G22
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             70/0700      0 100        71/0700
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        50           90           53
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4330                      4930
Transport wnd (mph)   S 17                      SW 28
Ventilation rate      73610                     138040
ADI early             43 Gen good  34 Fair      69 Good
ADI late              62 Good      12 poor      83 Good
Max LVORI early       9            4            4
Max LVORI late        1            5            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 39 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 89 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ107>110-302330-
Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-
Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden,
Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte,
Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach
328 AM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            20
Precip type           None         None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          84           68           82
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  8         S  9 G20     S 13 G21
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S 12 G22     S  8 G22     S 18 G24
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.01
Precip duration                                 0
Inversion             72/0700      0 100        72/0700
Dispersion                         Good
Max/Min RH (%)        61           89           61
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3580                      4500
Transport wnd (mph)   S 17                      SW 29
Ventilation rate      60860                     130500
ADI early             40 Fair      31 Fair      70 Good
ADI late              44 Gen good  21 Fair      80 Good
Max LVORI early       6            5            4
Max LVORI late        2            5            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 91 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 87 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-302330-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
328 AM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            20
Precip type           None         None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          86           67           83
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  7         S  9 G20     S 12 G20
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S 11 G21     S  8         S 19 G24
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.02
Precip duration                                 1
Inversion             71/0700      0 100        71/0700
Dispersion                         Good
Max/Min RH (%)        53           90           55
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4280                      4620
Transport wnd (mph)   S 18                      S 28
Ventilation rate      77040                     129360
ADI early             44 Gen good  38 Fair      72 Good
ADI late              54 Gen good  21 Fair      85 Good
Max LVORI early       7            4            4
Max LVORI late        1            5            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 37 percent. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 87 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-302330-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
328 AM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            40
Precip type           None         None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            3
Min/Max Temp          86           66           83
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  7         S 10 G20     S 13 G21
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S 11 G21     S  9         S 19 G24
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.04
Precip duration                                 1
Inversion             70/0700      0 100        70/0700
Dispersion                         Good
Max/Min RH (%)        53           90           56
DSI                   3                         2
Haines Index          3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5080                      4980
Transport wnd (mph)   S 17                      S 28
Ventilation rate      86360                     139440
ADI early             48 Gen good  44 Gen good  77 Good
ADI late              56 Gen good  21 Fair      84 Good
Max LVORI early       8            4            4
Max LVORI late        1            4            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 35 percent. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 91 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
around 60. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 84 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-302330-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
328 AM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            20
Precip type           None         None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          85           68           83
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  8         S 10 G21     S 13 G21
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S 13 G23     S  9 G23     S 20 G25
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.02
Precip duration                                 1
Inversion             71/0700      0 100        72/0700
Dispersion                         Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        56           88           58
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4130                      4870
Transport wnd (mph)   S 18                      SW 28
Ventilation rate      74340                     136360
ADI early             47 Gen good  37 Fair      76 Good
ADI late              50 Gen good  21 Fair      82 Good
Max LVORI early       7            4            4
Max LVORI late        1            4            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 88 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-302330-
Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
328 AM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            40
Precip type           None         None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            3
Min/Max Temp          86           67           83
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  7         S 10 G20     S 12 G20
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S 12 G22     S  8         S 18 G23
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.05
Precip duration                                 1
Inversion             70/0700      0 100        71/0700
Dispersion                         Good
Max/Min RH (%)        52           88           56
DSI                   3                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4980                      4750
Transport wnd (mph)   S 17                      S 26
Ventilation rate      84660                     123500
ADI early             48 Gen good  41 Gen good  76 Good
ADI late              54 Gen good  20 Gen poor  80 Good
Max LVORI early       8            4            4
Max LVORI late        1            4            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows around 60. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 35 percent. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs around 80. Minimum RH 57 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
around 60. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 90 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-302330-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
328 AM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            60
Precip type           None         None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            4
Min/Max Temp          87           66           83
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  7         S 10 G20     S 13 G21
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S 11 G21     S  9         S 19 G24
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.08
Precip duration                                 2
Inversion             70/0700      0 100        70/0700
Dispersion                         Good
Max/Min RH (%)        50           89           57
DSI                   3                         2
Haines Index          3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5330                      4720
Transport wnd (mph)   S 18                      S 30
Ventilation rate      95940                     141600
ADI early             46 Gen good  47 Gen good  74 Good
ADI late              57 Gen good  18 Gen poor  87 Good
Max LVORI early       8            4            4
Max LVORI late        1            4            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 33 percent. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 91 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 84 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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