Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 270757
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
257 AM EST Mon Feb 27 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Chilly temperatures this morning will quickly rebound this week
as a warm front lifts north, leading to near record high
temperatures by mid-week. A cold front will bring a chance for
showers and thunderstorms Thursday morning, followed by a return
to seasonable temperatures late week. Even cooler temperatures
are expected by the weekend.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable

Fog potential for tonight...Moderate

NCZ105>110-280000-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
257 AM EST Mon Feb 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          MClear       MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            20           30
Precip type           None         Rain         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          70           54           78
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  5         SE  4        S  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE  7        SE  4        S 11
Precip amount         0.00         0.03         0.21
Precip duration                    1            2
Inversion             51/0900      1900         63/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        35           95           56
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5340                      4120
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 14                     S 28
Ventilation rate      74760                     115360
ADI early             53 Gen good  5 Very poor  66 Good
ADI late              57 Gen good  4 Very poor  72 Good
Max LVORI early       6            5            7
Max LVORI late        2            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southwest winds 15 to
20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Southwest winds
15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Cooler. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
72 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 29 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
63 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 28 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
79 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
41 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-280000-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
257 AM EST Mon Feb 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          MClear       MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            20           30
Precip type           None         Rain         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          70           54           77
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  4         SE  5        S  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE  7        SE  3        S 10
Precip amount         0.00         0.02         0.10
Precip duration                    1            2
Inversion             48/0900      1900         63/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        31           96           57
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5960                      4560
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 13                     S 23
Ventilation rate      77480                     104880
ADI early             41 Gen good  5 Very poor  59 Gen good
ADI late              56 Gen good  3 Very poor  69 Good
Max LVORI early       6            5            8
Max LVORI late        2            7            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest winds 15 to
20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely with isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 85 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Cooler. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the upper 30s.
Maximum RH 72 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 25 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
62 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 23 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
77 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
35 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-280000-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
257 AM EST Mon Feb 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          MClear       MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            20           30
Precip type           None         Rain         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          72           56           78
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  6         SE  6        S  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE 10        SE  5        S 12 G20
Precip amount         0.00         0.04         0.09
Precip duration                    1            1
Inversion             53/0900      1900         65/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        38           94           60
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5120                      4630
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 15                     SW 24
Ventilation rate      76800                     111120
ADI early             51 Gen good  11 poor      46 Gen good
ADI late              52 Gen good  5 Very poor  66 Good
Max LVORI early       7            4            6
Max LVORI late        1            6            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Breezy. Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest
winds 20 to 25 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Southwest winds
15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Cooler. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s.
Maximum RH 71 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 28 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
62 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 28 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
81 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
41 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-280000-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
257 AM EST Mon Feb 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            20           30
Precip type           None         Rain         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          70           54           78
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  5         SE  7        S  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE  8        SE  4        SW 10
Precip amount         0.00         0.04         0.06
Precip duration                    1            1
Inversion             47/0900      1900         62/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        30           93           53
DSI                   2                         3
Haines Index          4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5890                      4870
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 12                     SW 20
Ventilation rate      70680                     97400
ADI early             37 Fair      12 poor      50 Gen good
ADI late              52 Gen good  4 Very poor  59 Gen good
Max LVORI early       7            4            6
Max LVORI late        2            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Southwest winds 15 to
20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely with isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 82 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Cooler. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
33 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the upper 30s.
Maximum RH 72 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 25 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
63 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 23 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
77 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
35 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-280000-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
257 AM EST Mon Feb 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          MClear       MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            20           30
Precip type           None         Rain         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          72           56           79
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  5         SE  6        S  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE  9        SE  5        S 11
Precip amount         0.00         0.04         0.07
Precip duration                    1            1
Inversion             50/0900      1900         64/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        33           93           53
DSI                   2                         3
Haines Index          4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5910                      5100
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 13                     SW 22
Ventilation rate      76830                     112200
ADI early             41 Gen good  12 poor      48 Gen good
ADI late              50 Gen good  4 Very poor  65 Good
Max LVORI early       7            4            6
Max LVORI late        1            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Southwest winds 15 to
20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 89 percent.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Cooler. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
72 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 25 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
61 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 24 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
81 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

III



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