Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 210835
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
435 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR BERMUDA WILL MAINTAIN GENTLE SOUTH
WINDS...HIGH HUMIDITY AND SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
OVER THE CAROLINAS TODAY. RAIN CHANCES WILL DIMINISH WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA EARLY FRIDAY...WITH
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING SOUTH FOR THE WEEKEND WITH MUCH
DRIER CONDITIONS.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...MODERATE.

NCZ105>110-212200-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
435 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           0            20
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS
LAL                   3            3            2
MAX/MIN TEMP          82           66           85
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S  5         S  8         S  7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S  9         S  6         S 11
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.00         0.01
PRECIP DURATION       2                         1
INVERSION             72/0900      2000         72/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        60           100          55
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3670                      4010
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     S 17
VENTILATION RATE      55050                     68170
ADI EARLY             23 FAIR      34 FAIR      31 FAIR
ADI LATE              39 FAIR      8 POOR       52 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       7            5            8
MAX LVORI LATE        3            9            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-212200-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
435 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           30           20
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            3            2
MAX/MIN TEMP          82           65           85
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  5        S  6         S  7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S  7         S  5         S 10
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.02         0.03
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1
INVERSION             73/1000      2000         73/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        63           100          54
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4010                      5180
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     S 17
VENTILATION RATE      48120                     88060
ADI EARLY             21 FAIR      31 FAIR      32 FAIR
ADI LATE              32 FAIR      6 VERY POOR  53 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            6            9
MAX LVORI LATE        3            9            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM
RH 54 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S.
HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND
80. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-212200-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
435 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           0            20
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS
LAL                   3            3            2
MAX/MIN TEMP          83           64           85
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S  4         S  7         S  7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S  7         S  5         S 10
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.00         0.03
PRECIP DURATION       2                         1
INVERSION             73/1000      2000         73/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        66           100          55
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3720                      4680
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     S 16
VENTILATION RATE      37200                     74880
ADI EARLY             19 GEN POOR  26 FAIR      28 FAIR
ADI LATE              27 FAIR      5 VERY POOR  52 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            6            9
MAX LVORI LATE        3            9            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
60 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS
AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-212200-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON
435 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           30           20
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            3            2
MAX/MIN TEMP          83           65           86
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  5        S  6         S  6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW  6        S  5         S  9
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.01         0.03
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1
INVERSION             73/1000      2000         73/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        62           100          52
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4010                      6030
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     S 16
VENTILATION RATE      36090                     96480
ADI EARLY             18 GEN POOR  29 FAIR      29 FAIR
ADI LATE              28 FAIR      5 VERY POOR  54 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            6            9
MAX LVORI LATE        3            9            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80.
MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-212200-
FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
435 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           30           20
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            3            2
MAX/MIN TEMP          83           64           86
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  4        S  6         S  6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S  6         S  5         S  9
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.01         0.03
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1
INVERSION             73/1000      2000         73/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        64           100          53
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4260                      5870
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     S 16
VENTILATION RATE      38340                     93920
ADI EARLY             17 GEN POOR  27 FAIR      28 FAIR
ADI LATE              27 FAIR      5 VERY POOR  55 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            6            9
MAX LVORI LATE        3            9            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

TRA




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