Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 220919
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
519 AM EDT TUE JUL 22 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE COAST IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND
TODAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN NUMEROUS TO WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MORE HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED. BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXPAND ACROSS
THE AREA WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...BRINGING A RETURN TO SUMMERTIME HEAT.
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST LATE THURSDAY...STALLING
OVER THE CAROLINAS OVER THE WEEKEND. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM
THE NORTHWEST MONDAY INTO TUESDAY.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...MODERATE.

NCZ105>110-230130-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
519 AM EDT TUE JUL 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        80           50           40
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   5            3            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          84           73           90
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)E  4         S  7         SW  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SE  8        SW  5        SW  8
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.84         0.23         0.08
PRECIP DURATION       9            5            2
INVERSION             77/0900      2100         80/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        68           98           61
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2950                      4340
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 23                      SW  7
VENTILATION RATE      67850                     30380
ADI EARLY             27 FAIR      50 GEN GOOD  18 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              55 GEN GOOD  5 VERY POOR  31 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       10           5            7
MAX LVORI LATE        3            7            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-230130-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
519 AM EDT TUE JUL 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        80           60           30
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   5            3            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          86           72           90
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)E  4         S  7         SW  3
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SE  7        SW  4        S  8
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.74         0.20         0.06
PRECIP DURATION       8            5            2
INVERSION             78/0900      2100         79/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        65           100          64
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3110                      4540
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  6                      SW  3
VENTILATION RATE      18660                     13620
ADI EARLY             12 POOR      27 FAIR      4 VERY POOR
ADI LATE              21 FAIR      4 VERY POOR  21 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            5            10
MAX LVORI LATE        3            10           3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-230130-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
519 AM EDT TUE JUL 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        80           60           30
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   5            4            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          86           72           91
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)E  4         S  4         SW  3
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SE  5        SW  3        SW  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.64         0.21         0.08
PRECIP DURATION       9            4            2
INVERSION             76/0900      2100         78/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        66           100          57
DSI                   2                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3090                      4900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  9                     SW  5
VENTILATION RATE      27810                     24500
ADI EARLY             16 GEN POOR  23 FAIR      9 POOR
ADI LATE              21 FAIR      3 VERY POOR  18 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            7            10
MAX LVORI LATE        3            10           3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-230130-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
519 AM EDT TUE JUL 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        80           60           30
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   5            4            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          88           71           91
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  5        SE  3        LGT/VAR
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) E  5         LGT/VAR      SW  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.61         0.20         0.06
PRECIP DURATION       7            4            2
INVERSION             77/0900      2100         78/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        61           100          56
DSI                   2                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3310                      5020
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  3                     W  3
VENTILATION RATE      9930                      15060
ADI EARLY             12 POOR      17 GEN POOR  9 POOR
ADI LATE              11 POOR      2 VERY POOR  17 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            7            10
MAX LVORI LATE        3            10           3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

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