Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook) Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
000
FNUS52 KILM 210835
FWFILM
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
435 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013
.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR BERMUDA WILL MAINTAIN GENTLE SOUTH
WINDS...HIGH HUMIDITY AND SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
OVER THE CAROLINAS TODAY. RAIN CHANCES WILL DIMINISH WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA EARLY FRIDAY...WITH
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING SOUTH FOR THE WEEKEND WITH MUCH
DRIER CONDITIONS.
WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...MODERATE.
NCZ105>110-212200-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
435 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013
TODAY TONIGHT WED
CLOUD AMOUNT PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 40 0 20
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE TSTMS
LAL 3 3 2
MAX/MIN TEMP 82 66 85
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S 5 S 8 S 7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 9 S 6 S 11
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.08 0.00 0.01
PRECIP DURATION 2 1
INVERSION 72/0900 2000 72/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%) 60 100 55
DSI 2 2
HAINES INDEX 3 3 4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 3670 4010
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 15 S 17
VENTILATION RATE 55050 68170
ADI EARLY 23 FAIR 34 FAIR 31 FAIR
ADI LATE 39 FAIR 8 POOR 52 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 5 8
MAX LVORI LATE 3 9 2
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-212200-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
435 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013
TODAY TONIGHT WED
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 50 30 20
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
LAL 3 3 2
MAX/MIN TEMP 82 65 85
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW 5 S 6 S 7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 7 S 5 S 10
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.10 0.02 0.03
PRECIP DURATION 2 1 1
INVERSION 73/1000 2000 73/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%) 63 100 54
DSI 2 2
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4010 5180
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 12 S 17
VENTILATION RATE 48120 88060
ADI EARLY 21 FAIR 31 FAIR 32 FAIR
ADI LATE 32 FAIR 6 VERY POOR 53 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 6 9
MAX LVORI LATE 3 9 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM
RH 54 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S.
HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND
80. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
SCZ053>056-212200-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
435 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013
TODAY TONIGHT WED
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 40 0 20
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE TSTMS
LAL 3 3 2
MAX/MIN TEMP 83 64 85
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S 4 S 7 S 7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 7 S 5 S 10
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.06 0.00 0.03
PRECIP DURATION 2 1
INVERSION 73/1000 2000 73/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%) 66 100 55
DSI 2 2
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 3720 4680
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 10 S 16
VENTILATION RATE 37200 74880
ADI EARLY 19 GEN POOR 26 FAIR 28 FAIR
ADI LATE 27 FAIR 5 VERY POOR 52 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 6 9
MAX LVORI LATE 3 9 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
60 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS
AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-212200-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON
435 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013
TODAY TONIGHT WED
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY PCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 40 30 20
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
LAL 3 3 2
MAX/MIN TEMP 83 65 86
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW 5 S 6 S 6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW 6 S 5 S 9
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.07 0.01 0.03
PRECIP DURATION 2 1 1
INVERSION 73/1000 2000 73/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%) 62 100 52
DSI 2 2
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4010 6030
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 9 S 16
VENTILATION RATE 36090 96480
ADI EARLY 18 GEN POOR 29 FAIR 29 FAIR
ADI LATE 28 FAIR 5 VERY POOR 54 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 6 9
MAX LVORI LATE 3 9 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80.
MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-212200-
FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
435 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013
TODAY TONIGHT WED
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY PCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 50 30 20
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
LAL 3 3 2
MAX/MIN TEMP 83 64 86
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW 4 S 6 S 6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 6 S 5 S 9
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.07 0.01 0.03
PRECIP DURATION 2 1 1
INVERSION 73/1000 2000 73/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%) 64 100 53
DSI 2 2
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4260 5870
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 9 S 16
VENTILATION RATE 38340 93920
ADI EARLY 17 GEN POOR 27 FAIR 28 FAIR
ADI LATE 27 FAIR 5 VERY POOR 55 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 6 9
MAX LVORI LATE 3 9 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
$$
TRA