Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 202018
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
318 PM EST SAT DEC 20 2014

.DISCUSSION...
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE ALONG WITH A FRONT JUST OFFSHORE WILL KEEP CLOUDY AND
COOL CONDITIONS IN PLACE THROUGH SUNDAY. ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN IS EXPECTED
EARLY MONDAY WHEN A STORM MOVES UP THE COAST. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
RETURN TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY WITH A COLD FRONT. CLEAR WEATHER IS
EXPECTED FOR CHRISTMAS DAY INTO NEXT WEEKEND.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...MODERATE.

NCZ105>110-211230-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
318 PM EST SAT DEC 20 2014

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        30           0            80           80
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         RAIN         RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          34           52           42           56
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  5        NE  9        NE 10        NE 11
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) N  5         NE  9        NE 11 G20    NE  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.12         0.14
PRECIP DURATION       1                         5            9
INVERSION             1800         40/0900      1700         47/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        100          60           95           75
DSI                                1                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            2            2            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                1760                      1430
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 10                     NE 10
VENTILATION RATE                   17600                     14300
ADI EARLY             6 VERY POOR  15 GEN POOR  10 POOR      17 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              7 POOR       26 FAIR      11 POOR      21 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       7            6            5            5
MAX LVORI LATE        9            3            5            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM
RH 85 PERCENT. CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. WARMER. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
80 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 71 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH.
.CHRISTMAS DAY...SUNNY...COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH
46 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 84 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-211230-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
318 PM EST SAT DEC 20 2014

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        30           0            80           70
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         RAIN         RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          33           53           41           52
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  3        NE  7        NE  8        NE 10
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) N  3         NE  7        NE 10        N  8
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.13         0.13
PRECIP DURATION       0                         5            9
INVERSION             1800         39/0900      1700         44/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        98           52           94           81
DSI                                1                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            2            2            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                1840                      1330
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  9                     NE  9
VENTILATION RATE                   16560                     11970
ADI EARLY             5 VERY POOR  14 GEN POOR  8 POOR       14 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              4 VERY POOR  21 FAIR      9 POOR       19 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            6            5            5
MAX LVORI LATE        7            2            5            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM
RH 86 PERCENT. CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. WARMER. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
90 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 80 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 40. MAXIMUM RH 68 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.CHRISTMAS DAY...SUNNY...COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH
44 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 82 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-211230-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
318 PM EST SAT DEC 20 2014

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        30           0            80           60
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         RAIN         RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          36           53           42           55
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  6        NE  9        NE  9        N  8
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) N  6         NE  9        NE  8        N  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.14         0.10
PRECIP DURATION       1                         5            3
INVERSION             1800         42/0900      1700         46/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        97           62           98           80
DSI                                1                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            2            2            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                1710                      1430
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 12                     NE  9
VENTILATION RATE                   20520                     12870
ADI EARLY             6 VERY POOR  14 GEN POOR  9 POOR       14 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              7 POOR       27 FAIR      8 POOR       15 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            6            5            6
MAX LVORI LATE        6            3            5            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM
RH 87 PERCENT. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
80 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 80 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 40. MAXIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
15 TO 20 MPH.
.CHRISTMAS DAY...SUNNY...COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH
46 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 83 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.

$$

SCZ039-211230-
WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KINGSTREE
318 PM EST SAT DEC 20 2014

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        20           0            80           50
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         RAIN         RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          37           53           43           54
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  5        NE  6        NE  6        N  6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) N  5         NE  6        NE  7        N  4
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.14         0.10
PRECIP DURATION       0                         6            3
INVERSION             1800         42/0900      1700         46/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        92           62           95           82
DSI                                1                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            2            2            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                1700                      1400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 10                     NE  7
VENTILATION RATE                   17000                     9800
ADI EARLY             5 VERY POOR  11 POOR      6 VERY POOR  11 POOR
ADI LATE              5 VERY POOR  24 FAIR      7 POOR       11 POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            7            5            6
MAX LVORI LATE        6            3            6            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM
RH 88 PERCENT. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
90 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 80 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 68 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.CHRISTMAS DAY...SUNNY...COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH
45 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 86 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-211230-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION
318 PM EST SAT DEC 20 2014

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            80           50
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          33           55           41           52
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  4        NE  7        NE  7        NE  8
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  4        NE  7        NE  8        N  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.14         0.10
PRECIP DURATION                                 6            3
INVERSION             1800         40/0900      1700         45/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        96           52           93           82
DSI                                1                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            2            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                1830                      1310
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  9                     NE  8
VENTILATION RATE                   16470                     10480
ADI EARLY             5 VERY POOR  12 POOR      8 POOR       12 POOR
ADI LATE              5 VERY POOR  22 FAIR      8 POOR       15 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            6            5            5
MAX LVORI LATE        7            2            5            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM
RH 84 PERCENT. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. WARMER. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
90 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 80 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 67 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.CHRISTMAS DAY...SUNNY...COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH
42 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
86 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
98 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

15




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