Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 040740
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
340 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY
WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. A COLD UPPER LOW
WILL DIP ACROSS THE CAROLINAS...BRINGING COOLER TEMPERATURES
AND SCATTERED GUSTY SHOWERS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. DRYING AND
WARMING WILL FOLLOW INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW TO MODERATE.

NCZ105>110-042345-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...WILMINGTON...
MASONBORO...MYRTLE GROVE...OGDEN...CAROLINA BEACH...SEAGATE...
BOILING SPRING LAKES...LELAND...SHALLOTTE...OAK ISLAND...
LONG BEACH...SOUTHPORT...SUNSET BEACH
340 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           20           40
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS
LAL                   2            2            2
MIN/MAX TEMP          79           55           73
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)W  5         W  5         W  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) W  7         W  3         W 10
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.01         0.05
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            4
INVERSION             70/1000      2200         65/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        48           86           53
DSI                   2                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            4            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3850                      5360
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     SW 10
VENTILATION RATE      46200                     53600
ADI EARLY             34 FAIR      29 FAIR      43 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              39 FAIR      2 VERY POOR  43 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            3            6
MAX LVORI LATE        3            5            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 86 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 30 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 30 PERCENT. NORTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
85 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
83 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
83 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
48 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
86 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
53 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ096-099-042345-
BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELIZABETHTOWN...BLADENBORO...WHITEVILLE...
TABOR CITY...CHADBOURN...LAKE WACCAMAW
340 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           20           40
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS
LAL                   2            2            2
MIN/MAX TEMP          79           55           71
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)W  4         W  3         W  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) W  6         W  3         W 10
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.01         0.06
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            4
INVERSION             69/1000      2200         63/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        48           87           55
DSI                   2                         3
HAINES INDEX          4            4            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4930                      5210
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      SW 13
VENTILATION RATE      59160                     67730
ADI EARLY             27 FAIR      32 FAIR      45 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              45 GEN GOOD  2 VERY POOR  61 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            3            6
MAX LVORI LATE        3            5            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. MAXIMUM RH 87 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 30 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 30 PERCENT. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
85 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
85 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
48 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-042345-
ROBESON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LUMBERTON
340 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        20           20           40
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS
LAL                   1            1            2
MIN/MAX TEMP          77           55           68
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NW  5        W  4         W  7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) W  7         W  3         W 12
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.06
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            4
INVERSION             68/1000      2200         63/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        43           84           53
DSI                   3                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            4            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5030                      5240
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      SW 15
VENTILATION RATE      60360                     78600
ADI EARLY             22 FAIR      36 FAIR      59 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              48 GEN GOOD  2 VERY POOR  59 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            3            5
MAX LVORI LATE        2            5            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 87 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 30 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 30 PERCENT. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
84 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
85 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH
83 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
45 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-042345-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...RED HILL...MYRTLE BEACH...
SOCASTEE...NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...LITTLE RIVER...
ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...MURRELLS INLET
340 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           0            30
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS
LAL                   2            1            2
MIN/MAX TEMP          79           53           72
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)W  6         W  6         W  8
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) W  8         W  5         W 12
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.03
PRECIP DURATION       3                         2
INVERSION             70/1000      2200         63/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        45           84           49
DSI                   2                         3
HAINES INDEX          4            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4500                      5300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      W 15
VENTILATION RATE      63000                     79500
ADI EARLY             35 FAIR      36 FAIR      59 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              53 GEN GOOD  3 VERY POOR  57 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            3            5
MAX LVORI LATE        2            4            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 83 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 20 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 20 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
82 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH
83 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
84 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
52 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-042345-
DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DILLON...FLORENCE...MARION...MULLINS...
KINGSTREE
340 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        20           20           30
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS
LAL                   1            1            2
MIN/MAX TEMP          78           53           70
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NW  5        W  5         W  8
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) W  8         W  5         W 12
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.03
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2
INVERSION             69/1000      2200         61/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        40           84           49
DSI                   3                         3
HAINES INDEX          4            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5020                      5070
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      W 16
VENTILATION RATE      70280                     81120
ADI EARLY             31 FAIR      39 FAIR      51 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              54 GEN GOOD  2 VERY POOR  68 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            3            5
MAX LVORI LATE        1            5            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. MAXIMUM RH 86 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 20 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 20 PERCENT. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
82 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
85 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
85 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
45 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-042345-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...MCCOLL...HARTSVILLE...
DARLINGTON...NORTH HARTSVILLE
340 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        20           20           30
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS
LAL                   1            1            2
MIN/MAX TEMP          77           54           69
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)N  5         W  4         NW  8
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) W  7         W  5         W 12
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.04
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2
INVERSION             68/1000      2200         61/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        44           85           48
DSI                   3                         3
HAINES INDEX          4            4            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5410                      5400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  8                     W 14
VENTILATION RATE      43280                     75600
ADI EARLY             34 FAIR      38 FAIR      41 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              51 GEN GOOD  2 VERY POOR  65 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            3            5
MAX LVORI LATE        1            5            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 85 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 30 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 30 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
81 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
84 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
83 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
86 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
43 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

4



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