Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 221938
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
338 PM EDT Thu Jun 22 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Tropical moisture will lessen across the area which will result
in less coverage of showers and thunderstorms this afternoon thru
Friday. The remnants of Tropical Storm Cindy will hook up with a slow
moving cold front Friday, and will push off the DELMARVA Coast Saturday.
The trailing cold front and remnant tropical moisture will increase the
showers and thunderstorms coverage Saturday into Sunday. The cold front
will finally push off the Carolina coasts and offshore by early next
week, bringing seasonable and much drier air into the area thru the
middle of next week.

Fog potential for tonight...Low to Moderate.

NCZ105>110-231145-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
338 PM EDT Thu Jun 22 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           20           20           50
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            2            2            3
Min/Max Temp          74           90           75           92
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  5        SW  8        SW 12 G21    SW 12 G24
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  6        SW 11        SW 12 G20    SW 15 G26
Precip amount         0.05         0.05         0.01         0.11
Precip duration       1            1            0            1
Inversion             2100         77/0700      2100         79/0600
Dispersion            Fair                      Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        97           60           87           56
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5070                      5370
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 22                     SW 22
Ventilation rate                   111540                    118140
ADI early             12 poor      33 Fair      47 Gen good  52 Gen good
ADI late              6 Very poor  59 Gen good  12 poor      64 Good
Max LVORI early       6            7            4            4
Max LVORI late        9            2            4            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 90 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-231145-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
338 PM EDT Thu Jun 22 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           20           20           40
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            2            2            3
Min/Max Temp          73           91           75           92
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  5         SW  7        S 11         SW 11
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  5        SW 10        SW 10        SW 12 G20
Precip amount         0.07         0.05         0.01         0.14
Precip duration       1            1            0            2
Inversion             2100         75/0600      2100         78/0600
Dispersion            Fair                      Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        99           56           85           53
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5570                      5530
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 18                     SW 15
Ventilation rate                   100260                    82950
ADI early             15 Gen poor  33 Fair      45 Gen good  51 Gen good
ADI late              5 Very poor  57 Gen good  9 poor       53 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            8            4            4
Max LVORI late        9            2            4            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 89 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 90 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.

$$

NCZ087-231145-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
338 PM EDT Thu Jun 22 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           20           20           40
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            2            2            3
Min/Max Temp          73           92           74           93
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  4         SW  8        S 11         SW 12
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  6         SW 11        SW 11        SW 12 G20
Precip amount         0.05         0.05         0.01         0.14
Precip duration       1            1            0            2
Inversion             2100         75/0700      2100         78/0700
Dispersion            Fair                      Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        99           53           85           52
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5580                      5740
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 18                     W 14
Ventilation rate                   100440                    80360
ADI early             29 Fair      33 Fair      47 Gen good  51 Gen good
ADI late              7 poor       59 Gen good  12 poor      57 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            8            4            4
Max LVORI late        9            2            4            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 91 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 88 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 85 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 43 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 40 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-231145-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
338 PM EDT Thu Jun 22 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        50           20           20           40
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            2            2            3
Min/Max Temp          74           91           75           92
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  6         SW  8        S 12 G21     SW 11 G22
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  6         SW 11        SW 11 G20    SW 13 G24
Precip amount         0.10         0.05         0.01         0.10
Precip duration       1            1            0            1
Inversion             2100         76/0700      2100         79/0600
Dispersion            Fair                      Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        99           58           84           54
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5240                      5800
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 18                     SW 18
Ventilation rate                   94320                     104400
ADI early             16 Gen poor  29 Fair      42 Gen good  47 Gen good
ADI late              5 Very poor  52 Gen good  12 poor      55 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            7            4            4
Max LVORI late        8            2            4            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-231145-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
338 PM EDT Thu Jun 22 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        40           20           20           40
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            2            2            3
Min/Max Temp          73           92           75           93
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  5         SW  7        S 11         SW 11
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  5         SW 10        SW 10        SW 12 G20
Precip amount         0.08         0.06         0.01         0.14
Precip duration       1            1            0            2
Inversion             2100         75/0700      2100         78/0600
Dispersion            Fair                      Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        99           53           85           52
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5600                      5780
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 16                     SW 17
Ventilation rate                   89600                     98260
ADI early             12 poor      31 Fair      42 Gen good  49 Gen good
ADI late              5 Very poor  51 Gen good  9 poor       55 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            8            4            4
Max LVORI late        9            2            4            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 91 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-231145-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
338 PM EDT Thu Jun 22 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           20           20           40
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            2            2            3
Min/Max Temp          72           93           74           92
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  4         SW  8        S 11         SW 12
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  6         SW 11        SW 12        SW 12 G20
Precip amount         0.05         0.05         0.01         0.14
Precip duration       1            1            0            2
Inversion             2100         74/0600      2100         78/0700
Dispersion            Fair                      Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        99           51           84           51
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5580                      5850
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 18                     W 14
Ventilation rate                   100440                    81900
ADI early             16 Gen poor  30 Fair      45 Gen good  56 Gen good
ADI late              6 Very poor  59 Gen good  12 poor      58 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            8            3            4
Max LVORI late        9            2            4            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 90 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 88 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 86 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 42 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

dch



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