Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 210812
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
312 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Temperatures will remain well above normal through the week. A trough
of low pressure will bring isolated showers Wednesday and Thursday.
Near record highs are possible Friday. A cold front will bring a chance
for showers Friday into Saturday. Much cooler and drier air will build
into the area Saturday night into early next week.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...Low.

NCZ105>110-220015-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
312 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            20
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          71           50           73
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  5        E  4         SE  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  7         E  3         SE  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration                                 1
Inversion             61/1000      1900         57/0800
Max/Min RH (%)        39           100          50
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3780                      5250
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 13                     SE  9
Ventilation rate      49140                     47250
ADI early             34 Fair      6 Very poor  34 Fair
ADI late              49 Gen good  2 Very poor  35 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            5            9
Max LVORI late        1            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows in the mid 50s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum
RH 61 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
27 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 87 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-220015-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
312 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            20
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          70           51           74
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  5         E  4         SE  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  6         E  3         SE  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration                                 1
Inversion             58/1000      1900         57/0800
Max/Min RH (%)        35           99           49
DSI                   2                         3
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3770                      5180
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 12                     SE  6
Ventilation rate      45240                     31080
ADI early             14 Gen poor  9 poor       23 Fair
ADI late              44 Gen good  2 Very poor  24 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            5            9
Max LVORI late        2            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Patchy fog. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s.
Maximum RH 59 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
26 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-220015-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
312 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          72           53           74
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  7         E  6         SE  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  8         E  3         SE  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             64/1000      1900         58/0800
Max/Min RH (%)        42           100          53
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3800                      4900
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 15                     SE 10
Ventilation rate      57000                     49000
ADI early             43 Gen good  10 poor      37 Fair
ADI late              56 Gen good  3 Very poor  38 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            6            9
Max LVORI late        2            9            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum
RH 61 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
28 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 84 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
36 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-220015-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
312 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            20
Precip type           NONE         NONE         showers
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          71           52           74
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  6         E  5         E  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  7         E  3         SE  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.02
Precip duration                                 1
Inversion             58/1000      1900         56/0800
Max/Min RH (%)        36           98           51
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          5            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4020                      4890
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 13                     SE  8
Ventilation rate      52260                     39120
ADI early             17 Gen poor  5 Very poor  15 Gen poor
ADI late              49 Gen good  3 Very poor  27 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            5            9
Max LVORI late        1            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
38 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s.
Maximum RH 60 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
26 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
34 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-220015-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
312 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            20
Precip type           NONE         NONE         showers
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          72           53           74
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  6         E  6         SE  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE  8        E  3         SE  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.01
Precip duration                                 1
Inversion             62/1000      1900         58/0800
Max/Min RH (%)        40           100          52
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          5            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4280                      4900
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 14                     SE  9
Ventilation rate      59920                     44100
ADI early             37 Fair      11 poor      31 Fair
ADI late              58 Gen good  3 Very poor  35 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            6            9
Max LVORI late        1            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
42 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s.
Maximum RH 61 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
26 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
33 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

RGZ


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