Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 091047
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
547 AM EST Sat Dec 9 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A cold rain will end today with bright sunshine returning Sunday
and Monday and dry weather expected for all of next week. Sunshine
will bring a modest temperature rise, but still just below normal,
even on the warmest day of next week, Tuesday. Another strong cold
front will move across the area Tuesday night with Arctic air
returning Wednesday. Temperatures will gradually moderate late next
week with another cold front possibly moving across the area with
the start of next weekend.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Brotak Wind Profile

Fog potential for tonight...Low.

NCZ105>110-100300-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
547 AM EST Sat Dec 9 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          Cloudy       PCldy        Clear
Precip chc (%)        90           0            0
Precip type           Rain         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          45           28           47
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  9         W  9         NW  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  8        NW  8        W  7
Precip amount         0.23         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       5
Inversion             None         2300         36/0900
Dispersion                         Good
Max/Min RH (%)        77           97           40
DSI                   1                         2
Haines Index          2            2            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   1580                      2690
Transport wnd (mph)   N 12                      NW 14
Ventilation rate      18960                     37660
ADI early             22 Fair      14 Gen poor  36 Fair
ADI late              19 Gen poor  7 poor       39 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            5            4
Max LVORI late        5            5            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 30. Maximum RH 86 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 43 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 88 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
50 percent. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the upper 20s.
Maximum RH 67 percent. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny, colder. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH
33 percent. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH
74 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Not as cool. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
42 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
89 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-100300-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
547 AM EST Sat Dec 9 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          Cloudy       PCldy        Clear
Precip chc (%)        70           0            0
Precip type           Rain         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          42           27           46
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  8         W  7         W  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  7        W  7         W  7
Precip amount         0.13         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       3
Inversion             None         2300         33/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        76           100          40
DSI                   1                         2
Haines Index          2            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   1640                      2620
Transport wnd (mph)   N  9                      NW 13
Ventilation rate      14760                     34060
ADI early             20 Gen poor  10 poor      33 Fair
ADI late              17 Gen poor  7 poor       36 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            7            4
Max LVORI late        5            5            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH 89 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
49 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the upper 20s.
Maximum RH 66 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny, colder. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH
31 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH
72 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Not as cool. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
41 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
94 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
50 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-100300-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
547 AM EST Sat Dec 9 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          MCldy        MClear       Clear
Precip chc (%)        70           0            0
Precip type           Rain         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          45           28           47
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  8         W  9         NW  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  8        W  9         W  7
Precip amount         0.14         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       2
Inversion             None         2300         36/0900
Dispersion                         Good
Max/Min RH (%)        72           86           39
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          2            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   1700                      2860
Transport wnd (mph)   N 14                      NW 12
Ventilation rate      23800                     34320
ADI early             26 Fair      15 Gen poor  36 Fair
ADI late              24 Fair      9 poor       38 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            4            4
Max LVORI late        4            4            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 30. Maximum RH 85 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 45 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 88 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the upper 20s.
Maximum RH 68 percent. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny, colder. Highs in the mid 40s. Minimum RH
34 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Maximum RH
76 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
89 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-100300-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
547 AM EST Sat Dec 9 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          MCldy        MClear       Clear
Precip chc (%)        40           0            0
Precip type           Rain         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          43           27           47
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  7         W  7         W  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  7        W  8         W  6
Precip amount         0.06         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       2
Inversion             None         2300         33/0900
Dispersion                         Good
Max/Min RH (%)        72           94           38
DSI                   1                         2
Haines Index          2            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   1770                      2640
Transport wnd (mph)   N 10                      W 10
Ventilation rate      17700                     26400
ADI early             19 Gen poor  8 poor       30 Fair
ADI late              15 Gen poor  7 poor       32 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            6            4
Max LVORI late        4            4            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH 90 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
48 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum
RH 64 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny, colder. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH
29 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH
76 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
92 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
49 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-100300-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
547 AM EST Sat Dec 9 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          MCldy        MClear       Clear
Precip chc (%)        50           0            0
Precip type           Rain         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          45           28           47
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  8         W  8         NW  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  8        W  8         W  6
Precip amount         0.07         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       2
Inversion             None         2300         34/0900
Dispersion                         Good
Max/Min RH (%)        72           88           39
DSI                   1                         2
Haines Index          2            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   1770                      2800
Transport wnd (mph)   N 14                      NW 10
Ventilation rate      24780                     28000
ADI early             24 Fair      15 Gen poor  32 Fair
ADI late              21 Fair      8 poor       33 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            4            4
Max LVORI late        4            4            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH 88 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 91 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
46 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH
66 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny, colder. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH
31 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH
76 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
92 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

27



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