Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 151903
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
303 PM EDT Sun Oct 15 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A strong cold front will sweep through the Carolinas on Monday
accompanied by showers. Much cooler and drier air will build in
Monday night and Tuesday as Canadian high pressure builds over the
eastern United States. Dry weather with seasonable temperatures
should persist through Saturday.

Fog potential for tonight...High.

NCZ105>110-161115-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
303 PM EDT Sun Oct 15 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        PCldy        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            70           60           0
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        None
LAL                   1            2            2            1
Min/Max Temp          66           75           46           68
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  3         W  3         N 11 G23     N 10 G20
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  3        N 10 G22     N 11 G21     NE 10
Precip amount         0.00         0.08         0.03         0.00
Precip duration                    3            1
Inversion             1900         70/0900      1900         52/0900
Dispersion            Poor                      Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        97           75           93           40
DSI                                1                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3130                      4200
Transport wnd (mph)                N 21                      NE 17
Ventilation rate                   65730                     71400
ADI early             17 Gen poor  23 Fair      39 Fair      79 Good
ADI late              3 Very poor  57 Gen good  9 poor       72 Good
Max LVORI early       7            8            5            4
Max LVORI late        8            3            4            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-161115-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
303 PM EDT Sun Oct 15 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        PCldy        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            70           60           0
Precip type           None         Tstms        Showers      None
LAL                   1            2            2            1
Min/Max Temp          65           73           46           68
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  3         W  4         NE  8        NE  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  4        N 10 G20     NE  8        NE  9
Precip amount         0.00         0.09         0.03         0.00
Precip duration                    4            0
Inversion             1900         68/0900      1900         51/0900
Dispersion            Poor                      Good
Max/Min RH (%)        96           77           94           39
DSI                                1                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2920                      4170
Transport wnd (mph)                N 23                      NE 15
Ventilation rate                   67160                     62550
ADI early             20 Gen poor  26 Fair      36 Fair      84 Good
ADI late              3 Very poor  56 Gen good  6 Very poor  64 Good
Max LVORI early       6            8            5            4
Max LVORI late        8            3            4            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

NCZ087-161115-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
303 PM EDT Sun Oct 15 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          MClear       MCldy        MClear       Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            70           40           0
Precip type           None         Tstms        Showers      None
LAL                   1            2            1            1
Min/Max Temp          64           70           44           68
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  5         NW  5        NE  8        NE  9
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  5        N 12 G21     NE  8        NE 10
Precip amount         0.00         0.10         0.02         0.00
Precip duration                    5            0
Inversion             1900         67/0900      1900         49/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Good
Max/Min RH (%)        96           75           84           35
DSI                                1                         2
Haines Index          4            2            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3300                      4260
Transport wnd (mph)                N 21                      NE 15
Ventilation rate                   69300                     63900
ADI early             30 Fair      39 Fair      35 Fair      62 Good
ADI late              4 Very poor  54 Gen good  6 Very poor  64 Good
Max LVORI early       6            7            4            4
Max LVORI late        7            3            4            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
100 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-161115-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
303 PM EDT Sun Oct 15 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        PCldy        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            60           50           0
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        None
LAL                   1            2            2            1
Min/Max Temp          66           76           47           69
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  3         W  3         N 11 G23     NE 11
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  3        N 10 G21     NE 10        NE 10
Precip amount         0.00         0.15         0.04         0.00
Precip duration                    3            1
Inversion             1900         70/0900      1900         53/0900
Dispersion            Poor                      Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        97           74           90           39
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            2            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3120                      3870
Transport wnd (mph)                N 17                      NE 17
Ventilation rate                   53040                     65790
ADI early             15 Gen poor  8 poor       40 Fair      63 Good
ADI late              2 Very poor  55 Gen good  9 poor       62 Good
Max LVORI early       7            9            5            3
Max LVORI late        8            3            4            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
89 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-161115-
Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
303 PM EDT Sun Oct 15 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          MClear       MCldy        PCldy        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            60           50           0
Precip type           None         Tstms        Showers      None
LAL                   1            2            2            1
Min/Max Temp          65           73           46           70
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  3         W  3         NE  9        NE  9
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  4        N 11 G22     NE  8        NE 10
Precip amount         0.00         0.13         0.03         0.00
Precip duration                    6            0
Inversion             1900         69/0900      1900         52/0900
Dispersion            Poor                      Good
Max/Min RH (%)        97           76           85           36
DSI                                1                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2970                      4130
Transport wnd (mph)                N 24                      NE 16
Ventilation rate                   71280                     66080
ADI early             18 Gen poor  9 poor       38 Fair      63 Good
ADI late              3 Very poor  57 Gen good  6 Very poor  65 Good
Max LVORI early       6            9            4            4
Max LVORI late        9            4            4            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 88 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-161115-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
303 PM EDT Sun Oct 15 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          MClear       MCldy        MClear       Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            70           0            0
Precip type           None         Tstms        None         None
LAL                   1            2            1            1
Min/Max Temp          65           69           44           69
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  4         NW  5        NE  7        NE  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  5        N 12 G22     N  7         NE  9
Precip amount         0.00         0.11         0.00         0.00
Precip duration                    5
Inversion             1900         67/0900      1900         50/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        96           72           81           34
DSI                                1                         2
Haines Index          4            2            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3250                      4330
Transport wnd (mph)                N 20                      NE 14
Ventilation rate                   65000                     60620
ADI early             29 Fair      30 Fair      34 Fair      64 Good
ADI late              3 Very poor  52 Gen good  5 Very poor  61 Good
Max LVORI early       6            7            4            4
Max LVORI late        7            3            3            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
99 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
42 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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