Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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972
FNUS52 KILM 212009
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
309 PM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Unseasonably warm and humid conditions will persist through the
weekend as Bermuda high pressure dominates the weather across
the eastern Carolinas. Temperatures will remain well above
normal with highs near record levels through Sunday. A cold
front will bring a chance of showers Sunday night or Monday,
with temperatures cooling back toward normal by Tuesday.

Fog potential for tonight...high.

NCZ105>110-221215-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
309 PM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          58           80           56           79
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  5         S  4         S  4         SW  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  3         S  7         S  3         SW  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1900         66/0900      1900         66/0900
Dispersion            Poor                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        99           53           100          54
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4120                      3450
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 13                     SW 13
Ventilation rate                   53560                     44850
ADI early             3 Very poor  29 Fair      2 Very poor  26 Fair
ADI late              1 Very poor  43 Gen good  1 Very poor  43 Gen good
Max LVORI early       7            10           9            10
Max LVORI late        10           3            10           3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows in the upper 50s.
Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
60 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 70s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 60. Maximum RH 87 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Cooler.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 61 percent. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Northeast
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
40 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-221215-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
309 PM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          59           81           57           81
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  4         S  4         S  5         SW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  3         S  7         S  4         SW  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1900         68/0900      1900         66/0900
Dispersion            Poor                      Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        99           52           100          50
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4440                      3720
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 13                     SW 14
Ventilation rate                   57720                     52080
ADI early             3 Very poor  30 Fair      2 Very poor  30 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  52 Gen good  1 Very poor  51 Gen good
Max LVORI early       7            9            8            10
Max LVORI late        10           2            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows in the upper 50s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 80. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 60. Maximum RH 82 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Cooler.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 56 percent. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 90 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
43 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
92 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
37 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-221215-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
309 PM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          58           81           56           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  6         S  4         S  5         S  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  3         S  8         S  3         S  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1900         66/0900      1900         67/0900
Dispersion            Poor                      Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        99           53           100          55
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4310                      3610
Transport wnd (mph)                S 12                      S 13
Ventilation rate                   51720                     46930
ADI early             4 Very poor  27 Fair      2 Very poor  27 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  42 Gen good  1 Very poor  43 Gen good
Max LVORI early       8            9            10           10
Max LVORI late        10           3            10           3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows in the upper 50s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
60 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 70s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 87 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Cooler.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 63 percent. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
96 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-221215-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
309 PM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          59           82           57           81
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  5         S  5         S  5         S  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  4         S  7         S  4         SW  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1900         68/0900      1900         67/0900
Dispersion            Poor                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        98           49           100          49
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          3            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4590                      3840
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 12                     SW 14
Ventilation rate                   55080                     53760
ADI early             4 Very poor  25 Fair      2 Very poor  30 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  47 Gen good  1 Very poor  49 Gen good
Max LVORI early       7            9            8            10
Max LVORI late        10           2            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows in the upper 50s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 60. Maximum RH 82 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Cooler.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 57 percent. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 91 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
91 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 38 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

15



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