Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 182002
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
302 PM EST Sat Feb 18 2017

.DISCUSSION...
An upper level disturbance may produce a few showers tonight. Weak
high pressure will bring dry weather through the first portion of
the new week. High pressure will move off the coast and a trough
will develop near the Carolina coast as low pressure traverses the
Gulf of Mexico and this may bring a small risk for showers beginning
Wednesday. A cold front will approach from the west Saturday.
Temperatures will remain above normal through the period.

Fog potential for tonight...Low.

NCZ105>110-191215-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
302 PM EST Sat Feb 18 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Washingtons Birthday

Cloud amount          MCldy        MClear       Clear        MClear
Precip chc (%)        20           0            0            0
Precip type           showers      NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          50           71           47           71
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  5        NW  5        NW  3        N  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  4         NW  6        NW  3        NE  4
Precip amount         0.12         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Inversion             1900         63/1100      1900         65/1100
Max/Min RH (%)        91           43           93           35
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4110                      3640
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 12                     NE  7
Ventilation rate                   49320                     25480
ADI early             10 poor      10 poor      3 Very poor  13 Gen poor
ADI late              3 Very poor  47 Gen good  2 Very poor  23 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            6            5            6
Max LVORI late        6            2            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
87 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
96 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 70s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-191215-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
302 PM EST Sat Feb 18 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Washingtons Birthday

Cloud amount          MCldy        MClear       Clear        MClear
Precip chc (%)        20           0            0            0
Precip type           showers      NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          49           70           46           72
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  5        NW  5        NW  3        NE  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  3         NW  7        N  3         NE  4
Precip amount         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Inversion             1900         62/1100      1900         65/1100
Max/Min RH (%)        92           43           92           34
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4540                      3850
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 13                     NE  7
Ventilation rate                   59020                     26950
ADI early             12 poor      11 poor      3 Very poor  14 Gen poor
ADI late              3 Very poor  52 Gen good  2 Very poor  26 Fair
Max LVORI early       3            6            5            6
Max LVORI late        6            2            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
85 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
41 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
96 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
45 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-191215-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
302 PM EST Sat Feb 18 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Washingtons Birthday

Cloud amount          MCldy        MClear       Clear        MClear
Precip chc (%)        20           0            0            0
Precip type           showers      NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          50           70           47           73
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  5        NW  5        NW  3        NE  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  4         NW  7        NW  3        E  5
Precip amount         0.17         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Inversion             1900         63/1100      1900         66/1100
Max/Min RH (%)        91           44           93           38
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4570                      3980
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 13                     E  6
Ventilation rate                   59410                     23880
ADI early             10 poor      13 Gen poor  3 Very poor  13 Gen poor
ADI late              3 Very poor  52 Gen good  2 Very poor  22 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            5            5            6
Max LVORI late        6            2            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
92 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
46 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 70s. Minimum RH 59 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
51 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-191215-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
302 PM EST Sat Feb 18 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Washingtons Birthday

Cloud amount          MCldy        MClear       Clear        MClear
Precip chc (%)        20           0            0            0
Precip type           showers      NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          48           70           46           73
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  5        NW  5        NW  3        NE  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  4         NW  8        N  3         E  4
Precip amount         0.10         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Inversion             1900         62/1100      1900         65/1100
Max/Min RH (%)        92           43           93           36
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          2            3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4780                      3910
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 14                     NE  6
Ventilation rate                   66920                     23460
ADI early             12 poor      13 Gen poor  3 Very poor  14 Gen poor
ADI late              4 Very poor  57 Gen good  2 Very poor  21 Fair
Max LVORI early       3            6            5            6
Max LVORI late        6            2            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
89 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
41 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
93 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-191215-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
302 PM EST Sat Feb 18 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Washingtons Birthday

Cloud amount          MCldy        MClear       Clear        MClear
Precip chc (%)        20           0            0            0
Precip type           showers      NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          49           71           47           74
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  5        NW  5        NW  3        NE  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  4         NW  8        N  3         E  4
Precip amount         0.15         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Inversion             1900         63/1100      1900         66/1100
Max/Min RH (%)        92           43           93           36
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4720                      3990
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 13                     E  5
Ventilation rate                   61360                     19950
ADI early             9 poor       13 Gen poor  3 Very poor  13 Gen poor
ADI late              3 Very poor  54 Gen good  2 Very poor  18 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       3            6            5            6
Max LVORI late        6            2            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
92 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 43 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
44 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

27


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