Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 210903
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
403 AM EST SAT JAN 21 2017

.DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE AREA LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. A
MORE COMPLEX AND POTENT STORM SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE CAROLINAS
ON SUNDAY WITH POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER. TOTAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS SHOULD AMOUNT TO ONE TO THREE INCHES. THIS STORM SYSTEM
WILL SLOWLY DEPART THROUGH MONDAY LEAVING HIGH PRESSURE FOR
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA ON
THURSDAY.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...HIGH

NCZ105>110-220115-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BURGAW, SURF CITY, WILMINGTON, MASONBORO,
MYRTLE GROVE, OGDEN, CAROLINA BEACH, SEAGATE, BOILING SPRING LAKES,
LELAND, SHALLOTTE, OAK ISLAND, LONG BEACH, SOUTHPORT,
AND SUNSET BEACH
403 AM EST SAT JAN 21 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        60           70           80
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS
LAL                   2            2            5
MIN/MAX TEMP          70           58           72
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    LGT/VAR      S  5         S  7
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     S  6         SW  5        S 12 G21
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.21         0.38
PRECIP DURATION       3            4            8
INVERSION             60/1000      1800         60/0600
MAX/MIN RH (%)        77           100          74
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1420                      2530
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  8                     S 17
VENTILATION RATE      11360                     43010
ADI EARLY             13 GEN POOR  4 VERY POOR  14 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              13 GEN POOR  4 VERY POOR  34 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       10           9            7
MAX LVORI LATE        4            9            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO
20 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
83 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
86 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
94 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 86 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
48 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-220115-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LUMBERTON, ELIZABETHTOWN, BLADENBORO,
WHITEVILLE, TABOR CITY, CHADBOURN, AND LAKE WACCAMAW
403 AM EST SAT JAN 21 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        70           70           80
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS
LAL                   2            2            5
MIN/MAX TEMP          70           58           72
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    LGT/VAR      S  5         S  6
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     S  5         S  4         S 12 G20
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.28         0.45
PRECIP DURATION       4            4            8
INVERSION             61/1000      1800         60/0700
MAX/MIN RH (%)        76           100          71
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1700                      2820
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  8                     S 18
VENTILATION RATE      13600                     50760
ADI EARLY             11 POOR      4 VERY POOR  18 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              13 GEN POOR  4 VERY POOR  43 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       10           9            8
MAX LVORI LATE        4            9            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
82 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
89 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 84 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
47 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-220115-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF CONWAY, RED HILL, MYRTLE BEACH, SOCASTEE,
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH, GARDEN CITY, LITTLE RIVER, ANDREWS, GEORGETOWN,
AND MURRELLS INLET
403 AM EST SAT JAN 21 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        70           70           80
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS
LAL                   2            2            5
MIN/MAX TEMP          71           59           74
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    LGT/VAR      S  7         S  8 G20
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     S  7         SW  5        S 15 G24
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.30         0.71
PRECIP DURATION       3            4            10
INVERSION             64/1000      1800         62/0700
MAX/MIN RH (%)        78           100          72
DSI                   2                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2330                      3210
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 12                      S 21
VENTILATION RATE      27960                     67410
ADI EARLY             12 POOR      8 POOR       19 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              23 FAIR      5 VERY POOR  46 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            9            6
MAX LVORI LATE        4            9            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
82 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
98 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 84 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
49 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-220115-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNETTSVILLE, MCCOLL, HARTSVILLE,
DARLINGTON, NORTH HARTSVILLE, DILLON, FLORENCE, MARION, MULLINS,
AND KINGSTREE
403 AM EST SAT JAN 21 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        70           70           90
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS
LAL                   2            2            5
MIN/MAX TEMP          71           59           73
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    LGT/VAR      S  6         S  8
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     S  7         S  5         S 13 G22
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.30         0.41         0.77
PRECIP DURATION       4            5            12
INVERSION             63/1000      1800         61/0700
MAX/MIN RH (%)        77           100          71
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2370                      3520
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 14                      SW 20
VENTILATION RATE      33180                     70400
ADI EARLY             9 POOR       7 POOR       24 FAIR
ADI LATE              29 FAIR      4 VERY POOR  55 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       10           9            6
MAX LVORI LATE        4            9            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
MAXIMUM RH 88 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
83 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
89 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS AROUND 40. MAXIMUM RH 84 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
45 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

III


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