Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 251901
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
301 PM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A slow moving storm system will continue to lift northeast
farther away from the area through mid week as weak high
pressure eases in from the Atlantic. Look for slowly improving
conditions, with a warming and drying trend. A weak cold front
will nearly dissipate as it moves across the area Thursday night.
Bermuda high pressure will dominate the weather Friday through the
weekend with early summer-like conditions. A few locations away from
the coast, may break the 90 degree mark this weekend. Another cold
front will move through Monday with high pressure returning on
Tuesday.

Fog potential for tonight...Moderate.

NCZ105>110-261115-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
301 PM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        30           0            0            0
Precip type           Showers      None         None         None
LAL                   2            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          57           81           62           85
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  6         W  4         S  5         SW  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  4         SW  6        SW  4        S 10
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Inversion             2200         65/0900      2100         72/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        95           49           98           47
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          2            3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5300                      5970
Transport wnd (mph)                SW  9                     SW 17
Ventilation rate                   47700                     101490
ADI early             24 Fair      42 Gen good  33 Fair      68 Good
ADI late              8 poor       48 Gen good  2 Very poor  71 Good
Max LVORI early       4            7            5            8
Max LVORI late        6            1            8            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
59 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. South
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southwest
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-261115-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
301 PM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        20           0            0            0
Precip type           Showers      None         None         None
LAL                   2            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          56           81           61           85
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  4         LGT/VAR      S  4         S  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        S  4         S  9
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       0
Inversion             2200         63/0900      2100         70/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        97           49           98           45
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          2            3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5230                      6030
Transport wnd (mph)                SW  9                     SW 14
Ventilation rate                   47070                     84420
ADI early             21 Fair      33 Fair      41 Gen good  52 Gen good
ADI late              5 Very poor  39 Fair      2 Very poor  62 Good
Max LVORI early       5            9            5            9
Max LVORI late        8            1            9            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. South
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
41 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-261115-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
301 PM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          55           81           61           86
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW  5        LGT/VAR      S  5         S  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  3         SW  6        S  5         S 10
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             2200         62/0900      2100         68/0900
Dispersion            Poor                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        97           49           98           44
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          2            3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5130                      5840
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 10                     SW 14
Ventilation rate                   51300                     81760
ADI early             21 Fair      20 Gen poor  32 Fair      41 Gen good
ADI late              5 Very poor  42 Gen good  3 Very poor  61 Good
Max LVORI early       5            9            5            9
Max LVORI late        8            2            8            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
South winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. South
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
38 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-261115-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
301 PM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          56           82           62           85
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  6         W  3         S  7         S  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  7         S  5         S 10
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             2200         66/0900      2100         72/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        95           49           98           45
DSI                                3                         4
Haines Index          2            3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5440                      5740
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 10                     SW 14
Ventilation rate                   54400                     80360
ADI early             31 Fair      21 Fair      35 Fair      49 Gen good
ADI late              3 Very poor  37 Fair      3 Very poor  53 Gen good
Max LVORI early       5            7            5            8
Max LVORI late        7            2            7            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
59 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Breezy. Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
South winds 20 to 25 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southwest
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-261115-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
301 PM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          56           83           61           86
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW  5        LGT/VAR      S  5         S  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        S  4         S  9
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             2200         65/0900      2100         69/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        95           44           97           43
DSI                                3                         4
Haines Index          2            3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5710                      5690
Transport wnd (mph)                SW  9                     SW 14
Ventilation rate                   51390                     79660
ADI early             32 Fair      18 Gen poor  33 Fair      48 Gen good
ADI late              2 Very poor  40 Fair      3 Very poor  57 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            8            4            9
Max LVORI late        8            2            8            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. South
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-261115-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
301 PM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          54           83           61           86
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW  5        LGT/VAR      S  4         S  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        S  5         S 10
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             2200         62/0900      2100         68/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        100          45           96           43
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          2            3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5370                      5590
Transport wnd (mph)                SW  9                     S 14
Ventilation rate                   48330                     78260
ADI early             27 Fair      15 Gen poor  32 Fair      42 Gen good
ADI late              2 Very poor  43 Gen good  3 Very poor  56 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            10           4            7
Max LVORI late        9            2            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. South
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 90 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
37 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

RGZ


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