Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 211856
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
256 PM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Warm and dry weather is expected through the weekend, as high
pressure moves off to the northeast. A coastal front will bring
showers and a few thunderstorms late Monday and Tuesday. Cooler
temperatures will overspread the region through mid-week, as a
cold front sweeps off the coast.

Fog potential for tonight...low.

NCZ105>110-221100-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
256 PM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            30
Precip type           None         None         None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          54           80           58           83
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  3         E  3         SE  6        SE  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  7        SE  5        SE  9
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.05
Precip duration                                              1
Inversion             1800         64/0900      1800         66/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        100          49           100          52
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          4            4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4820                      3310
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 12                     S 26
Ventilation rate                   57840                     86060
ADI early             14 Gen poor  33 Fair      28 Fair
ADI late              1 Very poor  35 Fair      28 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            10           5
Max LVORI late        9            2            5

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely with isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely with isolated
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 87 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
46 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
82 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
88 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-221100-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
256 PM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            40
Precip type           None         None         None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          52           81           59           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      E  3         SE  5        SE  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        SE  4        SE  9
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.08
Precip duration                                              2
Inversion             1800         60/0900      1800         65/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        100          49           100          58
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          4            4            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4680                      3180
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 10                     S 29
Ventilation rate                   46800                     92220
ADI early             17 Gen poor  37 Fair      25 Fair
ADI late              1 Very poor  34 Fair      25 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            10           5
Max LVORI late        9            2            5

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely with isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance
of precipitation 50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 86 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
44 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
85 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-221100-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
256 PM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            20           40
Precip type           None         None         Showers      Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          56           80           60           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  4         E  5         SE  7        SE  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  3         E  9         SE  6        S 11
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.11
Precip duration                                 1            2
Inversion             1800         65/0900      1800         68/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        100          53           100          61
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          4            3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4730                      3230
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 14                     SE 33
Ventilation rate                   66220                     106590
ADI early             18 Gen poor  50 Gen good  38 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  45 Gen good  38 Fair
Max LVORI early       8            10           5
Max LVORI late        10           2            5

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers with isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the mid
60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Chance
of precipitation 50 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the lower 50s.
Maximum RH 84 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
45 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
83 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-221100-
Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
256 PM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            20           50
Precip type           None         None         Showers      Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          54           81           59           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  3         E  4         SE  6        SE  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      E  8         SE  5        S 10
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.12
Precip duration                                 1            2
Inversion             1800         62/0900      1800         66/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        100          53           100          62
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4860                      3360
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 13                     S 35
Ventilation rate                   63180                     117600
ADI early             19 Gen poor  50 Gen good  38 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  51 Gen good  38 Fair
Max LVORI early       8            10           5
Max LVORI late        10           1            5

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers with isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the mid
60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Chance
of precipitation 50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
83 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
42 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
85 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-221100-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
256 PM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            20           50
Precip type           None         None         Showers      Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          53           81           59           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      E  3         SE  6        SE  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  7        SE  6        S 11
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.11
Precip duration                                 0            2
Inversion             1800         60/0900      1800         65/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        100          49           99           59
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          4            4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4820                      3270
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 10                     S 36
Ventilation rate                   48200                     117720
ADI early             17 Gen poor  37 Fair      35 Fair
ADI late              1 Very poor  46 Gen good  35 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            10           5
Max LVORI late        10           1            5

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers with isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Chance
of precipitation 40 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the upper 40s.
Maximum RH 88 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
41 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
87 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 42 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 99 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

15


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