Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 210832
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
332 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A WEDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP CLOUDS AND RAIN CHANCES IN THE
FORECAST TODAY. RAIN CHANCES INCREASE MONDAY AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES
ALONG THE COAST. THE WEATHER WILL REMAIN UNSETTLED TUESDAY BUT
GROW A BIT MORE SEASONABLE. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BRING SHOWERS
AND MAYBE THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SUNSHINE
FINALLY RETURNS ON CHRISTMAS DAY WHILE IT TURNS COOLER. DRY AND
FAIRLY SUNNY WEATHER SHOULD LAST INTO THE WEEKEND.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT....LOW.

NCZ105>110-220045-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
332 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           80           80
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          52           40           56
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  7        NE  9        NE  6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  8        NE  9        N  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.17         0.09
PRECIP DURATION       2            6            6
INVERSION             49/1200      1800         53/1300
MIN/MAX RH (%)        56           99           82
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            2            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1780                      1500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 14                     N  9
VENTILATION RATE      24920                     13500
ADI EARLY             17 GEN POOR  12 POOR      10 POOR
ADI LATE              25 FAIR      9 POOR       16 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            5            7
MAX LVORI LATE        3            7            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 94 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 76 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF SHOWERS 90 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 80 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.CHRISTMAS DAY...SUNNY...COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH
49 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
77 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
90 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-220045-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
332 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           80           70
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          51           39           53
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  6        NE  7        NE  7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  6        NE  7        N  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.15         0.08
PRECIP DURATION       2            5            6
INVERSION             48/1200      1800         50/1400
MIN/MAX RH (%)        50           94           80
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1980                      1510
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 12                     N 10
VENTILATION RATE      23760                     15100
ADI EARLY             13 GEN POOR  10 POOR      14 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              23 FAIR      8 POOR       18 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       3            3            6
MAX LVORI LATE        2            5            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. WARMER. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
90 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF SHOWERS 90 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 76 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.CHRISTMAS DAY...SUNNY...COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH
47 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 74 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. MAXIMUM RH 85 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-220045-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
332 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           90           80
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          51           40           55
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  9        NE  8        N  7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  8        NE  7        N  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.18         0.08
PRECIP DURATION       2            8            9
INVERSION             48/1200      1800         52/1300
MIN/MAX RH (%)        54           99           83
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1670                      1500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 14                     N 10
VENTILATION RATE      23380                     15000
ADI EARLY             18 GEN POOR  12 POOR      10 POOR
ADI LATE              24 FAIR      8 POOR       17 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            5            7
MAX LVORI LATE        3            6            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. WARMER. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
80 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 71 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF SHOWERS 90 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 77 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.CHRISTMAS DAY...SUNNY...COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH
49 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
75 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
84 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-220045-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
332 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           80           70
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          51           38           53
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  7        NE  8        NE  7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  7        NE  8        N  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.16         0.07
PRECIP DURATION       2            7            6
INVERSION             48/1200      1800         50/1500
MIN/MAX RH (%)        52           96           81
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1890                      1570
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 12                     N  9
VENTILATION RATE      22680                     14130
ADI EARLY             15 GEN POOR  11 POOR      11 POOR
ADI LATE              23 FAIR      8 POOR       16 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       3            4            6
MAX LVORI LATE        2            5            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 60.
MINIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. WARMER. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION NEAR
100 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF SHOWERS 80 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 72 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.CHRISTMAS DAY...SUNNY...COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH
46 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 76 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. MAXIMUM RH 85 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

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