Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 210820
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
420 AM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014

.DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE EAST OF CAPE FEAR WILL ACCELERATE OUT TO THE NORTHEAST
TODAY. A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA MONDAY MORNING
WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING TO THE COAST LINE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP JUST OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY...WITH BREEZY AND UNSETTLED CONDITIONS EXPECTED  THIS LOW
PRESSURE WILL REMAIN JUST FAR ENOUGH OFFSHORE SUCH THAT IMPACTS WILL BE
LIMITED...BUT SHOWERS AND SOME INCREASED WIND IS LIKELY...ESPECIALLY
ALONG THE COAST. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA MONDAY...WITH COOL
HIGH PRESSURE FOLLOWING BEHIND IT THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW INLAND...NONE NEAR THE COAST.

NCZ105>110-220030-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
420 AM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           0            30
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         TSTMS
LAL                   1            1            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          86           67           84
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NW 11 G21    SW  7        NW  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) W  9         SW  7        NW  4
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.02
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1
INVERSION             72/1000      1900         74/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        40           82           44
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            4            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4620                      4630
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 15                     N  6
VENTILATION RATE      69300                     27780
ADI EARLY             37 FAIR      43 GEN GOOD  23 FAIR
ADI LATE              62 GOOD      9 POOR       27 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            3            4
MAX LVORI LATE        1            4            2

REMARKS...ANY LINGERING RAIN SHOULD END NO LATER THAN 9-10 AM.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH 86 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS
15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH
89 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS
15 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO
20 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO
20 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO
20 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO
20 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-220030-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
420 AM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            30
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS
LAL                   1            1            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          87           66           84
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NW  7        SW  6        NW  4
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) W  8         SW  5        N  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03
PRECIP DURATION                                 1
INVERSION             71/1000      1900         73/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        38           84           43
DSI                   3                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            4            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5230                      4620
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 15                     N  8
VENTILATION RATE      78450                     36960
ADI EARLY             42 GEN GOOD  47 GEN GOOD  28 FAIR
ADI LATE              63 GOOD      6 VERY POOR  34 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            3            4
MAX LVORI LATE        1            4            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 87 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
92 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
51 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT. NORTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-220030-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
420 AM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            30
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS
LAL                   1            1            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          87           67           85
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NW  8        SW  6        W  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) W  8         SW  7        NW  4
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03
PRECIP DURATION                                 1
INVERSION             72/1000      1900         74/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        39           82           45
DSI                   3                         2
HAINES INDEX          5            5            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4950                      4790
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 14                     NW  6
VENTILATION RATE      69300                     28740
ADI EARLY             50 GEN GOOD  40 FAIR      25 FAIR
ADI LATE              61 GOOD      8 POOR       31 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            3            4
MAX LVORI LATE        1            4            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH 89 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
92 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO
20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS
15 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-220030-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
420 AM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            30
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS
LAL                   1            1            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          89           65           84
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NW  7        SW  6        NW  4
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) W  8         SW  5        N  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03
PRECIP DURATION                                 1
INVERSION             71/1000      1900         73/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        36           85           44
DSI                   3                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            4            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5800                      4660
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 14                     N  9
VENTILATION RATE      81200                     41940
ADI EARLY             45 GEN GOOD  48 GEN GOOD  28 FAIR
ADI LATE              61 GOOD      7 POOR       36 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            3            5
MAX LVORI LATE        1            5            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
93 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
51 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. NORTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

TRA




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