Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 172007
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
307 PM EST Wed Jan 17 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Cold and dry arctic air will build into area late tonight in the wake
of a departing storm system. Temperatures should
moderate over the weekend as high pressure moves off the Southeast
coast. Rain chances could return Monday with the next cold front.

Fog potential for tonight...high.

NCZ105>110-181215-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
307 PM EST Wed Jan 17 2018

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        80           0            0            0
Precip type           Snow/rain    None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          21           40           24           55
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  8 G22     NW  9 G20    W  5         W  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW 11 G23    W  8         W  5         SW  5
Precip amount         0.07         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       7
Inversion             None         26/0900      1900         38/0900
Dispersion            Good                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        95           36           86           31
DSI                                1                         1
Haines Index          2            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2590                      2590
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 20                     W 14
Ventilation rate                   51800                     36260
ADI early             41 Gen good  44 Gen good  3 Very poor  24 Fair
ADI late              44 Gen good  54 Gen good  2 Very poor  40 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            3            3            5
Max LVORI late        3            2            4            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 83 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
84 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 49 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
82 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
55 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ099-181215-
Columbus-
Including the cities of Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn,
and Lake Waccamaw
307 PM EST Wed Jan 17 2018

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        70           0            0            0
Precip type           Snow/rain    None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          20           41           24           55
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  8         NW  7        W  4         SW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  8        W  7         W  4         SW  5
Precip amount         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       5
Inversion             None         26/0900      1900         36/0900
Dispersion            Good                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        90           36           84           30
DSI                                1                         1
Haines Index          2            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2550                      2550
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 20                     W 14
Ventilation rate                   51000                     35700
ADI early             38 Fair      49 Gen good  3 Very poor  22 Fair
ADI late              29 Fair      54 Gen good  1 Very poor  38 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            3            4            5
Max LVORI late        3            2            4            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH 85 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
83 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
51 percent. West winds around 5 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-181215-
Robeson-Bladen-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, and Bladenboro
307 PM EST Wed Jan 17 2018

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        70           0            0            0
Precip type           Snow         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          17           40           23           54
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  9         NW  7        W  5         SW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  8        W  8         W  5         SW  5
Precip amount         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       5
Inversion             None         24/0900      1900         34/0900
Dispersion            Good                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        94           37           87           30
DSI                                1                         1
Haines Index          2            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2300                      2300
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 18                     W 13
Ventilation rate                   41400                     29900
ADI early             36 Fair      35 Fair      3 Very poor  19 Gen poor
ADI late              21 Fair      50 Gen good  1 Very poor  34 Fair
Max LVORI early       3            3            3            5
Max LVORI late        4            2            4            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH 89 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 57 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 43 percent. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
83 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
49 percent. West winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-181215-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
307 PM EST Wed Jan 17 2018

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        60           0            0            0
Precip type           Snow/rain    None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          21           42           25           55
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW 10 G22    NW  8        W  5         SW  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW 10 G22    NW  8        W  5         SW  6
Precip amount         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Inversion             None         27/0900      1900         38/0900
Dispersion            Excellent                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        90           33           81           29
DSI                                1                         1
Haines Index          2            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2770                      2770
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 18                     W 14
Ventilation rate                   49860                     38780
ADI early             40 Fair      44 Gen good  3 Very poor  25 Fair
ADI late              34 Fair      53 Gen good  1 Very poor  42 Gen good
Max LVORI early       4            3            3            4
Max LVORI late        3            2            4            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 82 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 46 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
81 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-181215-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
307 PM EST Wed Jan 17 2018

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        50           0            0            0
Precip type           Snow/rain    None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          20           43           24           56
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW 10        NW  7        W  5         SW  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  9        W  7         SW  5        SW  6
Precip amount         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Inversion             None         27/0900      1900         37/0900
Dispersion            Excellent                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        85           31           79           28
DSI                                1                         1
Haines Index          2            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2790                      2790
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 15                     W 15
Ventilation rate                   41850                     41850
ADI early             37 Fair      34 Fair      2 Very poor  25 Fair
ADI late              18 Gen poor  46 Gen good  1 Very poor  42 Gen good
Max LVORI early       3            3            3            4
Max LVORI late        3            2            4            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH 85 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 35 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
82 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
49 percent. West winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ024-181215-
Dillon-
Including the city of Dillon
307 PM EST Wed Jan 17 2018

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        50           0            0            0
Precip type           Snow         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          19           41           24           55
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N 10         NW  7        W  5         SW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  9        W  7         SW  5        SW  5
Precip amount         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Inversion             None         26/0900      1900         35/0900
Dispersion            Excellent                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        89           35           81           29
DSI                                1                         1
Haines Index          2            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2450                      2450
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 17                     W 13
Ventilation rate                   41650                     31850
ADI early             36 Fair      34 Fair      3 Very poor  21 Fair
ADI late              16 Gen poor  47 Gen good  1 Very poor  35 Fair
Max LVORI early       3            3            3            4
Max LVORI late        3            2            4            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH 89 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 42 percent. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
84 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 49 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-181215-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
307 PM EST Wed Jan 17 2018

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        50           0            0            0
Precip type           Snow         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          16           42           23           55
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N 10         NW  6        W  5         SW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  8        W  6         SW  4        SW  5
Precip amount         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Inversion             None         26/0900      1900         34/0900
Dispersion            Good                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        88           34           79           29
DSI                                1                         1
Haines Index          2            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2450                      2450
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 15                     W 10
Ventilation rate                   36750                     24500
ADI early             35 Fair      29 Fair      3 Very poor  18 Gen poor
ADI late              16 Gen poor  41 Gen good  1 Very poor  30 Fair
Max LVORI early       3            3            3            4
Max LVORI late        3            2            3            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH 89 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 59 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 43 percent. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
82 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
49 percent. West winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

15


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