Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 181959
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
259 PM EST Thu Jan 18 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Cold and dry arctic air will modify tonight and Friday.
Temperatures will continue to moderate over the weekend as high
pressure moves off the Southeast coast. Rain chances could
return late Monday or Tuesday with the next cold front.

Fog potential for tonight...none

NCZ105>110-191200-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
259 PM EST Thu Jan 18 2018

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          20           54           28           61
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  5         W  3         SW  4        W  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  3         SW  6        W  5         SW  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1700         34/0900      1700         42/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        88           28           86           30
DSI                                1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2260                      2260
Transport wnd (mph)                W 15                      W 18
Ventilation rate                   33900                     40680
ADI early             4 Very poor  26 Fair      3 Very poor  32 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  39 Fair      2 Very poor  48 Gen good
Max LVORI early       3            4            3            5
Max LVORI late        3            2            4            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
84 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Warmer. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 51 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the upper 30s.
Maximum RH 91 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
47 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-191200-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
259 PM EST Thu Jan 18 2018

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          20           54           26           60
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  4         SW  3        SW  4        SW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        SW  5        SW  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1700         33/0900      1700         39/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        89           28           88           31
DSI                                1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2140                      2140
Transport wnd (mph)                W 15                      W 18
Ventilation rate                   32100                     38520
ADI early             4 Very poor  24 Fair      3 Very poor  32 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  37 Fair      3 Very poor  47 Gen good
Max LVORI early       3            5            3            5
Max LVORI late        4            2            5            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
86 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of rain showers.
Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Not as cool. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 42 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum
RH 92 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
43 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
42 percent. North winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-191200-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
259 PM EST Thu Jan 18 2018

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          22           57           29           62
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  5         W  3         SW  5        W  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        SW  5        SW  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1700         35/0900      1700         42/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        85           27           80           27
DSI                                1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2290                      2290
Transport wnd (mph)                W 16                      W 16
Ventilation rate                   36640                     36640
ADI early             4 Very poor  27 Fair      3 Very poor  28 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  42 Gen good  3 Very poor  41 Gen good
Max LVORI early       3            3            3            4
Max LVORI late        3            2            3            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 50. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the upper 30s.
Maximum RH 91 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-191200-
Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
259 PM EST Thu Jan 18 2018

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          22           56           26           62
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  4         SW  3        SW  5        W  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        SW  5        SW  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1700         33/0900      1700         40/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        84           26           82           26
DSI                                1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2210                      2210
Transport wnd (mph)                W 16                      W 17
Ventilation rate                   35360                     37570
ADI early             3 Very poor  27 Fair      3 Very poor  30 Fair
ADI late              1 Very poor  41 Gen good  3 Very poor  44 Gen good
Max LVORI early       3            3            3            4
Max LVORI late        3            2            4            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Not as cool. Lows
in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
60 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum
RH 91 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
42 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-191200-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
259 PM EST Thu Jan 18 2018

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          22           53           25           60
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  4         LGT/VAR      SW  4        W  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        SW  5        SW  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1700         33/0900      1700         37/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        82           28           86           30
DSI                                1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2180                      2180
Transport wnd (mph)                W 13                      W 16
Ventilation rate                   28340                     34880
ADI early             3 Very poor  22 Fair      3 Very poor  29 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  32 Fair      3 Very poor  42 Gen good
Max LVORI early       3            4            3            5
Max LVORI late        3            2            5            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
93 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of rain showers.
Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Not as cool. Lows
in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of showers
60 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 42 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum
RH 91 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
43 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

15



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