Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 010908
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
508 AM EDT SAT AUG 1 2015

.DISCUSSION...
A FRONT WILL BECOME ILL-DEFINED AS IT BECOMES INTERTWINED WITH THE
TYPICAL SUMMERTIME AFTERNOON SEA BREEZE AND LATE NIGHT LAND BREEZE
THROUGH SUNDAY. THE RISK FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
HIGHEST AT THE COAST WITH A GREATER COVERAGE EXPECTED TODAY THAN ON
SUNDAY. BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE EASTERN CAROLINAS
NEXT WEEK AS THE PIEDMONT TROUGH BECOMES BETTER DEFINED EACH AFTERNOON.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS UNFAVORABLE
AT THE IMMEDIATE COAST...TYPE 1-F...MAXIMUM WIND NEAR 900 FT AGL...
DIRECTION SW...SPEED 12 MPH.
OTHERWISE...WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS
FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...MODERATE.

NCZ105>110-020115-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
508 AM EDT SAT AUG 1 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           30           30
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            3            2
MAX/MIN TEMP          93           70           92
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR      S  6         LGT/VAR
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SE  4        SW  3        SE  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.03
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1
INVERSION             80/0900      2000         78/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        48           100          44
DSI                   3                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4540                      5840
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     E  2
VENTILATION RATE      31780                     11680
ADI EARLY             27 FAIR      25 FAIR      16 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              30 FAIR      3 VERY POOR  36 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       10           5            10
MAX LVORI LATE        2            10           2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH
96 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH
99 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH
56 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-020115-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
508 AM EDT SAT AUG 1 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        30           30           20
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            3            2
MAX/MIN TEMP          95           68           94
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR      SW  3        LGT/VAR
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR      SW  3        E  3
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.01
PRECIP DURATION       1            0            0
INVERSION             78/0900      2000         76/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        33           100          36
DSI                   3                         3
HAINES INDEX          4            4            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   6690                      7750
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  3                      N  2
VENTILATION RATE      20070                     15500
ADI EARLY             11 POOR      22 FAIR      24 FAIR
ADI LATE              27 FAIR      2 VERY POOR  24 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       10           4            10
MAX LVORI LATE        2            10           2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH
96 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH
98 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH
99 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH
46 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-020115-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
508 AM EDT SAT AUG 1 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           50           30
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            3            2
MAX/MIN TEMP          95           70           92
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SE  4        SW  3        SE  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.04
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1
INVERSION             80/0900      2000         78/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        45           100          45
DSI                   3                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5160                      5650
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  2                      SE  3
VENTILATION RATE      10320                     16950
ADI EARLY             13 GEN POOR  14 GEN POOR  23 FAIR
ADI LATE              12 POOR      4 VERY POOR  42 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       8            4            10
MAX LVORI LATE        2            10           2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH
99 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH
57 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-020115-
DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DILLON...FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
508 AM EDT SAT AUG 1 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           40           20
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            3            2
MAX/MIN TEMP          96           70           94
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR      S  3         LGT/VAR
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR      S  3         E  3
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.01
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            0
INVERSION             79/0900      2000         77/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        36           100          37
DSI                   4                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   6810                      7250
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  1                     SE  3
VENTILATION RATE      6810                      21750
ADI EARLY             10 POOR      14 GEN POOR  24 FAIR
ADI LATE              11 POOR      2 VERY POOR  28 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            4            10
MAX LVORI LATE        2            10           2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH
98 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH
98 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH
99 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH
48 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-020115-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON
508 AM EDT SAT AUG 1 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          96           68           95
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  4
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  3
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
INVERSION             77/0900      2000         76/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        30           95           32
DSI                   4                         3
HAINES INDEX          4            5            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   7580                      8200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  5                      NE  1
VENTILATION RATE      37900                     8200
ADI EARLY             8 POOR       23 FAIR      26 FAIR
ADI LATE              32 FAIR      1 VERY POOR  23 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       8            3            7
MAX LVORI LATE        2            7            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH
94 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH
94 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH
41 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH
91 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

27


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