Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 161915
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
315 PM EDT Wed Aug 16 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Summertime heat and humidity will build and Heat Advisories
will likely be required for at least portions of the area
through Friday. Showers and thunderstorms will be on the
increase during the weekend as a cold front approaches from the
north. This front may stall in close proximity early next week.

Fog potential for tonight...Low

NCZ105>110-171115-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
315 PM EDT Wed Aug 16 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           30           30           40
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            3            3
Min/Max Temp          74           92           75           91
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  4         SW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        S  3         SW  7
Precip amount         0.01         0.02         0.01         0.23
Precip duration       1            1            1            2
Inversion             2000         82/1000      2000         84/1000
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        100          60           96           65
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5220                      4060
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 14                     SW 16
Ventilation rate                   73080                     64960
ADI early             10 poor      28 Fair      19 Gen poor  53 Gen good
ADI late              1 Very poor  33 Fair      3 Very poor  46 Gen good
Max LVORI early       7            10           6            8
Max LVORI late        10           3            8            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-171115-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
315 PM EDT Wed Aug 16 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           30           30           40
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            3            3            3
Min/Max Temp          74           93           75           92
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  4         SW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  4         S  3         SW  7
Precip amount         0.01         0.03         0.02         0.24
Precip duration       1            2            1            2
Inversion             2000         82/1000      2000         84/1000
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        100          58           97           57
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5180                      5950
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 12                     SW 16
Ventilation rate                   62160                     95200
ADI early             16 Gen poor  20 Gen poor  23 Fair      35 Fair
ADI late              1 Very poor  21 Fair      3 Very poor  50 Gen good
Max LVORI early       5            10           6            9
Max LVORI late        10           3            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 61 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-171115-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
315 PM EDT Wed Aug 16 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           30           30           40
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            3            3
Min/Max Temp          75           93           76           92
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  3        E  3         S  5         SW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  5         S  4         SW  8
Precip amount         0.01         0.08         0.02         0.32
Precip duration       1            2            1            2
Inversion             2000         83/1000      2000         85/1000
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        100          60           95           64
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5350                      4550
Transport wnd (mph)                S 14                      SW 20
Ventilation rate                   74900                     91000
ADI early             9 poor       9 poor       33 Fair      40 Fair
ADI late              1 Very poor  34 Fair      3 Very poor  53 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            10           6            7
Max LVORI late        10           3            7            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-171115-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
315 PM EDT Wed Aug 16 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           30           30           40
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            3            3            3
Min/Max Temp          75           94           75           94
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  4         SW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  3         S  3         SW  7
Precip amount         0.01         0.08         0.02         0.16
Precip duration       1            2            1            2
Inversion             2000         83/1000      2000         85/1000
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        100          56           96           54
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5510                      6630
Transport wnd (mph)                S 12                      SW 16
Ventilation rate                   66120                     106080
ADI early             11 poor      6 Very poor  36 Fair      18 Gen poor
ADI late              2 Very poor  33 Fair      3 Very poor  53 Gen good
Max LVORI early       5            10           6            8
Max LVORI late        10           3            8            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 62 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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