Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 221951
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
251 PM EST MON DEC 22 2014

.DISCUSSION...
MOISTURE WILL OVERRUN A COOL SURFACE AIR MASS THE REMAINDER OF THE
DAY LEADING TO PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN. THIS AIR MASS LIFTS OUT ON
TUESDAY CLEARING THE PATH FOR WARMER TEMPERATURES AND EVEN MORE
MOISTURE. A COLD FRONT MAY ADD SOME THUNDER WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. DRY AND SEASONABLE WEATHER RETURNS FOR CHRISTMAS AND THE
DAYS THAT FOLLOW.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...HIGH

NCZ105>110-231200-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
251 PM EST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        80           80           100          100
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS
LAL                   1            1            1            2
MIN/MAX TEMP          43           65           59           73
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)N  4         LGT/VAR      SE  4        S 11
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  3        SE  3        S  9         S 13 G20
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.08         0.43         0.53
PRECIP DURATION       4            5            12           12
INVERSION             CONTINUED    CONTINUED    CONTINUED    68/1100
MAX/MIN RH (%)        100          78           100          75
DSI                                1                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                450                       1620
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 10                      S 21
VENTILATION RATE                   4500                      34020
ADI EARLY             6 VERY POOR  4 VERY POOR  5 VERY POOR  18 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              4 VERY POOR  12 POOR      10 POOR      33 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            7            9            6
MAX LVORI LATE        7            5            7            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. MAXIMUM RH 82 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 70 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.CHRISTMAS DAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH
51 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
58 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ096-099-231200-
BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
251 PM EST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        80           80           100          100
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS
LAL                   1            1            1            2
MIN/MAX TEMP          41           63           52           72
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  5        NE  3        SE  3        S 10
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  3        E  3         SE  8        S 12
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.08         0.51         0.60
PRECIP DURATION       4            10           12           12
INVERSION             CONTINUED    CONTINUED    CONTINUED    68/1100
MAX/MIN RH (%)        100          80           100          74
DSI                                1                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                450                       1800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  3                      S 24
VENTILATION RATE                   1350                      43200
ADI EARLY             6 VERY POOR  4 VERY POOR  4 VERY POOR  19 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              5 VERY POOR  3 VERY POOR  9 POOR       46 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            9            10           6
MAX LVORI LATE        6            7            9            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
MAXIMUM RH 80 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 70 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.CHRISTMAS DAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH
48 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR...COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
94 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
98 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
54 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
91 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-231200-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
251 PM EST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        80           90           100          100
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS
LAL                   1            1            1            2
MIN/MAX TEMP          43           66           57           72
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  6        NE  3        SE  4        S 12 G20
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  4        SE  3        S  9         S 13 G21
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.12         0.59         0.55
PRECIP DURATION       3            6            12           12
INVERSION             CONTINUED    CONTINUED    CONTINUED    68/1100
MAX/MIN RH (%)        100          77           100          76
DSI                                1                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                450                       1650
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  7                      S 18
VENTILATION RATE                   3150                      29700
ADI EARLY             7 POOR       5 VERY POOR  5 VERY POOR  19 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              6 VERY POOR  7 POOR       11 POOR      34 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       8            8            9            5
MAX LVORI LATE        6            6            7            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. MAXIMUM RH 83 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 70 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.CHRISTMAS DAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH
49 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR...COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
98 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
60 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
96 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-SCZ017-023-024-231200-
ROBESON-MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...
DILLON
251 PM EST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        70           90           100          100
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS
LAL                   1            1            1            2
MIN/MAX TEMP          41           51           48           71
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  6        NE  5        E  3         S 10
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  4        NE  3        SE  7        S 12
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.16         0.77         0.62
PRECIP DURATION       2            10           12           12
INVERSION             CONTINUED    CONTINUED    CONTINUED    66/1200
MAX/MIN RH (%)        100          91           100          76
DSI                                1                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                450                       1790
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  3                      S 28
VENTILATION RATE                   1350                      50120
ADI EARLY             8 POOR       6 VERY POOR  4 VERY POOR  24 FAIR
ADI LATE              7 POOR       5 VERY POOR  13 GEN POOR  51 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            8            9            5
MAX LVORI LATE        6            9            9            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND
50. MAXIMUM RH 82 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 70 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.CHRISTMAS DAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH
46 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR...COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
92 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
94 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
52 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-231200-
FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
251 PM EST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        80           90           100          100
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS
LAL                   1            1            1            2
MIN/MAX TEMP          43           62           52           71
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  6        NE  4        E  4         S 11
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  4        E  3         SE  8        S 13
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.14         0.69         0.61
PRECIP DURATION       4            6            12           12
INVERSION             CONTINUED    CONTINUED    CONTINUED    67/1100
MAX/MIN RH (%)        100          81           100          79
DSI                                1                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                450                       1700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  2                     S 21
VENTILATION RATE                   900                       35700
ADI EARLY             7 POOR       6 VERY POOR  4 VERY POOR  19 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              7 POOR       5 VERY POOR  10 POOR      35 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       7            8            9            5
MAX LVORI LATE        6            8            9            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND
50. MAXIMUM RH 85 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 70 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.CHRISTMAS DAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH
46 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR...COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
55 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
92 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

III




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