Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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655
FNUS52 KILM 220707
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
307 AM EDT Mon May 22 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A weak front stalled near the coast will return northward this
morning ahead of a strong frontal system approaching from the
west. A series of storm systems moving across the Southeastern
United States will bring an increasing potential for showers and
thunderstorms this week. Conditions may be somewhat dryer toward
the end of the week.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...Low.

NCZ105>110-222315-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
307 AM EDT Mon May 22 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        60           70           80
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   4            4            5
Min/Max Temp          84           69           79
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  7         S  7         S  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  9        S  7         SW 12
Precip amount         0.07         0.26         0.57
Precip duration       2            4            12
Inversion             73/0800      2200         74/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        59           91           70
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5370                      3650
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 10                     SW 36
Ventilation rate      53700                     131400
ADI early             47 Gen good  37 Fair      56 Gen good
ADI late              44 Gen good  7 poor       93 Good
Max LVORI early       8            5            5
Max LVORI late        3            6            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers and scattered thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs around 80. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 44 percent. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ099-222315-
Columbus-
Including the cities of Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn,
and Lake Waccamaw
307 AM EDT Mon May 22 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        60           70           90
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   4            4            5
Min/Max Temp          84           69           79
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  8         S  6         S  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  8        S  5         SW 11
Precip amount         0.14         0.25         0.53
Precip duration       3            4            12
Inversion             72/0800      2200         73/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        58           96           71
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5470                      3840
Transport wnd (mph)   SW  8                     SW 32
Ventilation rate      43760                     122880
ADI early             44 Gen good  35 Fair      53 Gen good
ADI late              39 Fair      5 Very poor  92 Good
Max LVORI early       8            7            6
Max LVORI late        2            7            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely and scattered
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 42 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 98 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-222315-
Robeson-Bladen-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, and Bladenboro
307 AM EDT Mon May 22 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        Cloudy
Precip chc (%)        50           70           90
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            4            5
Min/Max Temp          84           68           78
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  8         S  6         S  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  8        S  5         SW 10
Precip amount         0.14         0.28         0.62
Precip duration       2            5            12
Inversion             70/0800      2200         72/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        56           95           70
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5570                      4010
Transport wnd (mph)   SW  7                     SW 29
Ventilation rate      38990                     116290
ADI early             42 Gen good  32 Fair      49 Gen good
ADI late              38 Fair      4 Very poor  75 Good
Max LVORI early       8            6            6
Max LVORI late        3            7            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely and scattered
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 42 percent. West winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 96 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-222315-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
307 AM EDT Mon May 22 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        60           70           80
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   4            4            5
Min/Max Temp          85           69           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  8        S  7         S  9
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  7        S  7         SW 12
Precip amount         0.14         0.25         0.45
Precip duration       3            4            12
Inversion             73/0800      2200         75/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        59           93           69
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5570                      4330
Transport wnd (mph)   SW  8                     SW 32
Ventilation rate      44560                     138560
ADI early             39 Fair      32 Fair      58 Gen good
ADI late              37 Fair      9 poor       91 Good
Max LVORI early       8            6            5
Max LVORI late        3            6            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers and scattered thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-222315-
Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
307 AM EDT Mon May 22 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        60           70           90
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   4            4            5
Min/Max Temp          85           68           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  7        S  5         S  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  6        S  6         SW 11
Precip amount         0.20         0.25         0.47
Precip duration       3            5            12
Inversion             72/0800      2200         73/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        57           95           67
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5770                      4470
Transport wnd (mph)   W  8                      SW 30
Ventilation rate      46160                     134100
ADI early             37 Fair      26 Fair      52 Gen good
ADI late              36 Fair      6 Very poor  87 Good
Max LVORI early       8            6            6
Max LVORI late        2            6            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers and scattered thunderstorms. Lows in the
mid 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 41 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-222315-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
307 AM EDT Mon May 22 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        Cloudy
Precip chc (%)        50           70           90
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            4            5
Min/Max Temp          85           68           78
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  7        S  5         S  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  6        S  6         SW 10
Precip amount         0.23         0.33         0.61
Precip duration       2            6            12
Inversion             70/0800      2200         70/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        57           95           70
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5860                      4230
Transport wnd (mph)   SW  7                     SW 24
Ventilation rate      41020                     101520
ADI early             25 Fair      17 Gen poor  38 Fair
ADI late              28 Fair      5 Very poor  72 Good
Max LVORI early       8            6            6
Max LVORI late        3            6            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely and scattered
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs around 80. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 42 percent. West winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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