Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 202031
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
331 PM EST Mon Feb 20 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Temperatures will remain well above normal through the week. A trough
of low pressure will bring isolated showers Wednesday and Thursday.
Near record highs are possible Friday. A cold front will bring a chance
for showers Friday into Saturday. Much cooler and drier air will build
into the area late next weekend.

Fog potential for tonight...None.

NCZ105>110-211245-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
331 PM EST Mon Feb 20 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            20
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         showers
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          42           68           49           73
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  3         NE  5        E  5         SE  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  4        E  6         E  3         SE  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02
Precip duration                                              1
Inversion             1900         56/1000      1900         64/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        88           42           100          52
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3850                      4750
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 13                     S 15
Ventilation rate                   50050                     71250
ADI early             2 Very poor  29 Fair      5 Very poor  33 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  47 Gen good  3 Very poor  47 Gen good
Max LVORI early       5            5            6            9
Max LVORI late        5            2            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 60. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum
RH 68 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
31 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
93 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-211245-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
331 PM EST Mon Feb 20 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            20
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         showers
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          44           69           51           73
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  3         E  4         E  4         SE  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  3         E  5         E  3         SE  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02
Precip duration                                              1
Inversion             1900         54/1000      1900         63/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        89           35           100          52
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            2            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3920                      4970
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 10                     S 12
Ventilation rate                   39200                     59640
ADI early             2 Very poor  26 Fair      3 Very poor  39 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  40 Fair      3 Very poor  38 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            5            5            9
Max LVORI late        5            2            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum
RH 62 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
29 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
87 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 70. Minimum RH 47 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-211245-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
331 PM EST Mon Feb 20 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            20
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         showers
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          45           70           53           74
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  3         NE  6        E  6         SE  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  4        E  7         E  4         SE  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.04
Precip duration                                              1
Inversion             1900         58/1000      1900         65/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        94           46           100          54
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3910                      4680
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 15                     S 14
Ventilation rate                   58650                     65520
ADI early             2 Very poor  38 Fair      6 Very poor  34 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  53 Gen good  4 Very poor  40 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            6            6            9
Max LVORI late        6            2            9            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 60. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the upper 40s.
Maximum RH 63 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
31 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-211245-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
331 PM EST Mon Feb 20 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            30
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         showers
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          44           70           52           74
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  3         E  5         E  5         SE  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  3         E  6         E  3         SE  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.03
Precip duration                                              2
Inversion             1900         54/1000      1900         62/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        91           36           100          52
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            2            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3970                      4950
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 12                     SE 12
Ventilation rate                   47640                     59400
ADI early             2 Very poor  30 Fair      4 Very poor  42 Gen good
ADI late              2 Very poor  42 Gen good  4 Very poor  40 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            6            5            10
Max LVORI late        6            2            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows
in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 60. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum
RH 63 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
29 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
84 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-211245-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
331 PM EST Mon Feb 20 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            30
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         showers
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          46           71           52           74
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  3        E  5         E  5         SE  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  3         E  7         E  4         SE  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.04
Precip duration                                              1
Inversion             1900         57/1000      1900         65/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        94           39           100          53
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3950                      4910
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 14                     S 13
Ventilation rate                   55300                     63830
ADI early             2 Very poor  37 Fair      5 Very poor  38 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  50 Gen good  4 Very poor  38 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            6            5            9
Max LVORI late        6            2            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 80. Minimum RH 49 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 60. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum
RH 62 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
29 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
92 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

17



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