Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 240849
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
449 AM EDT THU JUL 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST TODAY...BRINGING
AN INCREASING RISK FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THIS FRONT
WILL STALL ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY BEFORE DISSIPATING ON SATURDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS SUNDAY AND
MONDAY. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA EARLY TUESDAY...
BRINGING COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS FOR THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW TO MODERATE.

NCZ105>110-250100-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
449 AM EDT THU JUL 24 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        70           60           40
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   4            4            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          92           72           89
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  8        SW  8 G23    NW  3
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW 12 G24    W  4         S  3
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.37         0.07
PRECIP DURATION       3            6            2
INVERSION             81/0900      2300         79/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        53           100          57
DSI                   3                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4970                      4670
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     SW  8
VENTILATION RATE      84490                     37360
ADI EARLY             67 GOOD      41 GEN GOOD  5 VERY POOR
ADI LATE              63 GOOD      3 VERY POOR  32 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       7            6            9
MAX LVORI LATE        1            9            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH
96 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-250100-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
449 AM EDT THU JUL 24 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        60           70           40
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   4            4            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          94           72           89
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  7        SW  8 G23    W  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW 12 G24    W  4         SW  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.29         0.07
PRECIP DURATION       2            6            2
INVERSION             81/0900      2300         79/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        51           100          56
DSI                   3                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5200                      4850
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     SW 10
VENTILATION RATE      93600                     48500
ADI EARLY             70 GOOD      44 GEN GOOD  11 POOR
ADI LATE              60 GEN GOOD  3 VERY POOR  37 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            5            9
MAX LVORI LATE        1            8            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH
98 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
96 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-250100-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
449 AM EDT THU JUL 24 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        70           60           40
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   4            4            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          92           71           89
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  7        W  4         LGT/VAR
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) W 11         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.33         0.06
PRECIP DURATION       3            5            2
INVERSION             80/0900      2300         77/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        52           99           54
DSI                   3                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5360                      5210
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      S  7
VENTILATION RATE      80400                     36470
ADI EARLY             68 GOOD      35 FAIR      8 POOR
ADI LATE              57 GEN GOOD  1 VERY POOR  48 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       8            7            10
MAX LVORI LATE        1            10           2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
96 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-250100-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
449 AM EDT THU JUL 24 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        60           70           40
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   4            4            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          94           71           90
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  8        W  6         NW  3
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) W 12 G21     NW  3        SW  3
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.31         0.06
PRECIP DURATION       2            5            2
INVERSION             80/0900      2300         78/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        48           98           52
DSI                   3                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5970                      5440
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      SW 12
VENTILATION RATE      107460                    65280
ADI EARLY             55 GEN GOOD  44 GEN GOOD  18 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              63 GOOD      2 VERY POOR  62 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       8            6            9
MAX LVORI LATE        1            9            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH
98 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

27




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