Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 191946
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
346 PM EDT Thu Oct 19 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Mostly clear skies and a warming trend are expected into the
weekend, as a dry upper ridge builds across the region. An
approaching cold front will bring a few showers on Tuesday,
before moving offshore Wednesday, with cooler and drier air to
follow.

Fog potential for tonight...None.

NCZ105>110-201200-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
346 PM EDT Thu Oct 19 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          47           81           50           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1900         64/1000      1900         60/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        100          34           100          41
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3180                      3340
Transport wnd (mph)                NW  3                     E  5
Ventilation rate                   9540                      16700
ADI early             16 Gen poor  15 Gen poor  12 poor      23 Fair
ADI late              1 Very poor  19 Gen poor  1 Very poor  23 Fair
Max LVORI early       7            10           5            10
Max LVORI late        10           2            8            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Patchy fog. Lows around 60. Maximum
RH 97 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 60 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. East winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of
precipitation 40 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 71 percent. South
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Northwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 87 percent. Northwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
53 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-201200-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
346 PM EDT Thu Oct 19 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          45           80           50           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  3         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  4
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1900         61/1000      1900         57/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        100          32           99           39
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3130                      3350
Transport wnd (mph)                NW  3                     SE  3
Ventilation rate                   9390                      10050
ADI early             14 Gen poor  7 poor       13 Gen poor  10 poor
ADI late              1 Very poor  21 Fair      1 Very poor  21 Fair
Max LVORI early       7            10           4            10
Max LVORI late        10           2            8            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 54 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of
precipitation 40 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 89 percent. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
49 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-201200-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
346 PM EDT Thu Oct 19 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          48           80           50           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  3         N  3         LGT/VAR      NE  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      NE  3        LGT/VAR      E  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1900         65/1000      1900         60/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        100          34           100          43
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3190                      3340
Transport wnd (mph)                N  2                      E  6
Ventilation rate                   6380                      20040
ADI early             15 Gen poor  14 Gen poor  9 poor       20 Gen poor
ADI late              1 Very poor  14 Gen poor  1 Very poor  27 Fair
Max LVORI early       7            10           5            10
Max LVORI late        10           2            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Patchy fog. Lows around 60. Maximum
RH 96 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 70s. Minimum RH 64 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 74 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 71 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 97 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Northwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 86 percent. Northwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
53 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-201200-
Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
346 PM EDT Thu Oct 19 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          46           81           50           81
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  3         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      NE  3        LGT/VAR      E  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1900         62/1000      1900         57/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        100          32           99           39
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3140                      3340
Transport wnd (mph)                N  2                      E  5
Ventilation rate                   6280                      16700
ADI early             14 Gen poor  9 poor       10 poor      12 poor
ADI late              1 Very poor  13 Gen poor  1 Very poor  25 Fair
Max LVORI early       7            10           5            10
Max LVORI late        10           2            8            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 80. Minimum RH 57 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
47 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-201200-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
346 PM EDT Thu Oct 19 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          44           82           49           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  4
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1900         61/1000      1900         57/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        97           31           97           37
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3150                      3340
Transport wnd (mph)                N  2                      E  3
Ventilation rate                   6300                      10020
ADI early             12 poor      5 Very poor  10 poor      8 poor
ADI late              1 Very poor  15 Gen poor  1 Very poor  22 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            8            4            9
Max LVORI late        6            2            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
52 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance
of precipitation 50 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
44 percent. North winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

RGZ



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