Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 100737
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
337 AM EDT THU JUL 10 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL STALL NEAR THE AREA TONIGHT AND
FRIDAY...BRINGING GOOD CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
THIS FRONT WILL WASH OUT DURING THE WEEKEND...WITH A RETURN TO
TYPICAL SUMMERTIME CONDITIONS...CONTINUING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...NONE.

NCZ105>110-102345-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
337 AM EDT THU JUL 10 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        60           60           60
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   4            4            4
MAX/MIN TEMP          91           72           87
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  6        S  7         S  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S  9         S  5         S  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.41         0.39         0.44
PRECIP DURATION       2            6            6
INVERSION             83/0900      2200         77/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        56           93           60
DSI                   3                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5740                      5740
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 10                      SW 13
VENTILATION RATE      57400                     74620
ADI EARLY             36 FAIR      53 GEN GOOD  34 FAIR
ADI LATE              59 GEN GOOD  5 VERY POOR  43 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            5            6
MAX LVORI LATE        1            6            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-102345-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
337 AM EDT THU JUL 10 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        60           70           60
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   4            4            4
MAX/MIN TEMP          89           71           87
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S  4         S  5         S  3
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S  6         S  3         S  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.76         0.65         0.45
PRECIP DURATION       5            7            5
INVERSION             81/0900      2200         76/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        57           96           57
DSI                   3                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5590                      6440
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 16                      SW  7
VENTILATION RATE      89440                     45080
ADI EARLY             21 FAIR      58 GEN GOOD  24 FAIR
ADI LATE              66 GOOD      2 VERY POOR  28 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            6            8
MAX LVORI LATE        1            8            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-102345-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
337 AM EDT THU JUL 10 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        60           70           60
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   4            4            4
MAX/MIN TEMP          90           71           87
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  6        S 10         S  4
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 10         S  6         S  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.42         0.39         0.42
PRECIP DURATION       2            6            5
INVERSION             82/0900      2200         78/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        57           97           60
DSI                   3                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5600                      6070
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 21                      SW  7
VENTILATION RATE      117600                    42490
ADI EARLY             41 GEN GOOD  51 GEN GOOD  19 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              69 GOOD      7 POOR       24 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            5            7
MAX LVORI LATE        1            7            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-102345-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
337 AM EDT THU JUL 10 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        70           70           60
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   4            4            4
MAX/MIN TEMP          91           71           88
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S  5         S  6         S  3
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S  7         S  4         S  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.70         0.57         0.40
PRECIP DURATION       5            7            2
INVERSION             80/0900      2200         76/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        54           97           56
DSI                   3                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   6000                      6630
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 20                      SW  3
VENTILATION RATE      120000                    19890
ADI EARLY             29 FAIR      62 GOOD      13 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              72 GOOD      3 VERY POOR  15 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            6            8
MAX LVORI LATE        1            8            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

40





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