Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 160938
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
438 AM EST Sat Dec 16 2017

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will build across the Carolinas today with it`s
center migrating across the local area and offshore late today
thru Sunday. Temperatures today will run a category below
normal and for tonight thru Sunday close to the climatological
norms. A cold front will drop and stall across the area Mon
thru Mon night. Hit or miss showers will occur from early Mon
thru Mon night with amounts generally less than one tenth of
an inch. Low pressure from the Gulf coast states will push
across the area Wed thru Thu with a chance for substantial
rainfall. High pressure will follow for the late week period.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...Low.

NCZ105>110-170145-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
438 AM EST Sat Dec 16 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          Clear        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          53           31           59
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  3
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             40/0900      1700         49/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        33           93           42
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2830                      2610
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  5                     SW 13
Ventilation rate      14150                     33930
ADI early             21 Fair      1 Very poor  15 Gen poor
ADI late              19 Gen poor  1 Very poor  42 Gen good
Max LVORI early       3            4            7
Max LVORI late        2            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the lower 60s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 79 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 50. Maximum RH 100 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the upper 30s.
Maximum RH 86 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
58 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 81 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-170145-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
438 AM EST Sat Dec 16 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          Clear        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          53           31           60
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  4        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  3
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             38/0900      1700         48/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        34           92           41
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2750                      2670
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  2                     SW 14
Ventilation rate      5500                      37380
ADI early             15 Gen poor  1 Very poor  20 Gen poor
ADI late              17 Gen poor  1 Very poor  40 Fair
Max LVORI early       3            4            7
Max LVORI late        2            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 87 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the lower 60s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 76 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 50. Maximum RH 99 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the upper 30s.
Maximum RH 87 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 79 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-170145-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
438 AM EST Sat Dec 16 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          Clear        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          53           31           59
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  3        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  4        LGT/VAR      S  4
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             38/0900      1700         47/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        34           92           39
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2750                      2630
Transport wnd (mph)   W  2                      SW 15
Ventilation rate      5500                      39450
ADI early             10 poor      2 Very poor  22 Fair
ADI late              21 Fair      1 Very poor  35 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            4            7
Max LVORI late        2            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 87 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the lower 60s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 97 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the upper 30s.
Maximum RH 87 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 54 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 76 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-170145-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, and Bucksport
438 AM EST Sat Dec 16 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          Clear        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          55           33           61
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  3
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             42/0900      1700         51/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        32           90           46
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2720                      2550
Transport wnd (mph)   N  3                      S 13
Ventilation rate      8160                      33150
ADI early             22 Fair      1 Very poor  23 Fair
ADI late              18 Gen poor  1 Very poor  35 Fair
Max LVORI early       3            5            6
Max LVORI late        2            6            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 77 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 80 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 60. Minimum RH 53 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s.
Maximum RH 91 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
60 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 82 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-059-170145-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, Kingstree, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
438 AM EST Sat Dec 16 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          Clear        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          55           32           61
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  4         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  3         LGT/VAR      S  3
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             40/0900      1700         49/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        33           92           42
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2750                      2620
Transport wnd (mph)   NE  1                     S 15
Ventilation rate      2750                      39300
ADI early             17 Gen poor  1 Very poor  24 Fair
ADI late              12 poor      1 Very poor  44 Gen good
Max LVORI early       4            4            7
Max LVORI late        2            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 89 percent. Light and variable wind.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 75 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Lows
around 50. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 76 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 60. Minimum RH 48 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the upper 30s.
Maximum RH 91 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
57 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 80 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-170145-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
438 AM EST Sat Dec 16 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          Clear        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          54           31           59
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  3         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  4        LGT/VAR      S  4
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             38/0900      1700         47/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        33           92           40
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2730                      2600
Transport wnd (mph)   SW  2                     SW 15
Ventilation rate      5460                      39000
ADI early             8 poor       2 Very poor  21 Fair
ADI late              18 Gen poor  1 Very poor  33 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            4            7
Max LVORI late        2            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 87 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the lower 60s. Minimum RH 75 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 74 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 96 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 46 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the upper 30s.
Maximum RH 89 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 56 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 79 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

dch



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