Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 301906
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
306 PM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will extend across the area from offshore through
early Monday with warm and humid conditions continuing. A cold
front will bring a likelihood of showers and thunderstorms late
Monday into early Tuesday. High pressure will follow for the
mid-week period. A Low pressure system will impact the region
Thursday into Friday amd may bring widespread showers and
thunderstorms and heavy rain.

Fog potential for tonight...low.

NCZ105-106-011115-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-
Including the cities of Burgaw and Surf City
306 PM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            30           80           0
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        None
LAL                   1            3            5            1
Min/Max Temp          68           86           62           81
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  9 G21     S 12 G24     S 14 G31     W  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S 10 G20     S 19 G33     SW 13 G22    W  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.14         0.00
Precip duration                    0            5
Inversion             0 100        76/0900      None         N/A
Dispersion            Excellent                 Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        99           53           100          35
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          4            4            3            5
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4930                      5750
Transport wnd (mph)                S 35                      W 15
Ventilation rate                   172550                    86250
ADI early             34 Fair      92 Good      50 Gen good  74 Good
ADI late              15 Gen poor  103 Very good15 Gen poor  75 Good
Max LVORI early       5            5            5            5
Max LVORI late        5            1            5            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
95 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southeast
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. South
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 75 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 37 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ107>110-011115-
Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-
Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden,
Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte,
Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach
306 PM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            30           80           0
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        None
LAL                   1            3            5            1
Min/Max Temp          70           85           63           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S 10 G22     S 13 G25     S 17 G33     W  9
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S 11 G23     S 19 G34     SW 17 G26    W  9
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.14         0.00
Precip duration                    0            5
Inversion             0 100        76/0900      None         N/A
Dispersion            Excellent                 Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        96           55           98           40
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            3            5
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4500                      5280
Transport wnd (mph)                S 36                      W 16
Ventilation rate                   162000                    84480
ADI early             31 Fair      95 Good      53 Gen good  75 Good
ADI late              21 Fair      104 Very good19 Gen poor  78 Good
Max LVORI early       5            5            4            5
Max LVORI late        5            1            5            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Breezy. Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. South winds 20 to 25 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 71 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
81 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-011115-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
306 PM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            30           80           0
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        None
LAL                   1            3            5            1
Min/Max Temp          68           85           61           81
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S 10 G21     S 12 G24     S 15 G30     W  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S 10 G20     S 18 G32     SW 11        W  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.03         0.14         0.00
Precip duration                    0            5
Inversion             0 100        75/0900      None         N/A
Dispersion            Excellent                 Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        96           53           99           33
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          4            4            3            5
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4620                      5390
Transport wnd (mph)                S 38                      W 14
Ventilation rate                   175560                    75460
ADI early             38 Fair      102 Very good60 Gen good  69 Good
ADI late              21 Fair      110 Very good13 Gen poor  70 Good
Max LVORI early       4            5            5            5
Max LVORI late        5            1            5            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 91 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. South
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 73 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 37 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
80 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-011115-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
306 PM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            50           70           0
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        None
LAL                   1            3            4            1
Min/Max Temp          68           85           60           81
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S 11 G21     S 13 G24     SW 14 G30    W  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S 10 G20     S 17 G31     SW  9        SW  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.07         0.15         0.00
Precip duration                    1            6
Inversion             0 100        74/0900      None         N/A
Dispersion            Excellent                 Good
Max/Min RH (%)        93           52           97           33
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          4            3            3            5
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4980                      5800
Transport wnd (mph)                S 36                      W 15
Ventilation rate                   179280                    87000
ADI early             44 Gen good  99 Good      56 Gen good  63 Good
ADI late              21 Fair      109 Very good10 poor      70 Good
Max LVORI early       3            4            5            6
Max LVORI late        4            1            7            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 75 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 36 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
82 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-011115-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
306 PM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            40           80           0
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        None
LAL                   1            3            5            1
Min/Max Temp          69           85           60           81
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S 11 G23     S 13 G25     S 15 G31     W  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S 11 G22     S 19 G33     SW 10        W  9
Precip amount         0.00         0.02         0.14         0.00
Precip duration                    1            6
Inversion             0 100        76/0900      None         N/A
Dispersion            Excellent                 Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        95           54           96           36
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          4            4            3            5
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4870                      5620
Transport wnd (mph)                S 37                      W 17
Ventilation rate                   180190                    95540
ADI early             37 Fair      101 Very good52 Gen good  82 Good
ADI late              21 Fair      109 Very good14 Gen poor  83 Good
Max LVORI early       4            5            5            5
Max LVORI late        5            1            5            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent. South
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. South
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 75 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
79 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-011115-
Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
306 PM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            50           80           0
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        None
LAL                   1            3            5            1
Min/Max Temp          68           85           59           81
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S 10 G21     S 12 G24     SW 13 G30    W  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S 10         S 18 G32     SW  8        W  9
Precip amount         0.00         0.06         0.15         0.00
Precip duration                    1            6
Inversion             0 100        75/0900      None         N/A
Dispersion            Excellent                 Good
Max/Min RH (%)        98           52           96           32
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          4            3            3            5
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4750                      5550
Transport wnd (mph)                S 35                      W 17
Ventilation rate                   166250                    94350
ADI early             41 Gen good  95 Good      51 Gen good  86 Good
ADI late              20 Gen poor  105 Very good12 poor      84 Good
Max LVORI early       4            5            5            5
Max LVORI late        5            1            5            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 32 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 74 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 37 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
80 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-011115-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
306 PM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            60           80           0
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        None
LAL                   1            4            5            1
Min/Max Temp          68           84           58           81
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S 10 G21     S 12 G23     SW 14 G27    W  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S 10 G20     S 17 G30     W  8         W  9
Precip amount         0.00         0.15         0.19         0.00
Precip duration                    1            6
Inversion             0 100        73/0900      None         N/A
Dispersion            Excellent                 Good
Max/Min RH (%)        92           51           97           31
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          4            3            4            5
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4720                      5520
Transport wnd (mph)                S 35                      W 15
Ventilation rate                   165200                    82800
ADI early             47 Gen good  80 Good      55 Gen good  72 Good
ADI late              18 Gen poor  102 Very good10 poor      74 Good
Max LVORI early       3            4            5            6
Max LVORI late        4            1            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 31 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s.
Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 73 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 35 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
80 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

15


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