Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 190819
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
419 AM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE CAROLINAS FROM THE NORTH AS LOW
PRESSURE DEVELOPS OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST AND MOVES NORTHWARD INTO
THE WEEKEND. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT
FOLLOWED BY COOL AND DRY HIGH PRESSURE DURING THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...NONE.

NCZ105>110-200030-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
419 AM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        20           30           40
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS
LAL                   2            3            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          82           61           81
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  8        NE  9        NE  9
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) E 12         NE  7        NE 11
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.04
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2
INVERSION             74/1000      1900         73/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        48           93           63
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5100                      4750
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 20                      E 18
VENTILATION RATE      102000                    85500
ADI EARLY             39 FAIR      50 GEN GOOD  41 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              69 GOOD      7 POOR       58 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            4            5
MAX LVORI LATE        1            5            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
86 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
91 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
56 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
85 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-200030-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
419 AM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            20           20
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS
LAL                   1            2            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          82           60           81
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  6        E  6         NE  7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) E  9         NE  6        NE  8
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1
INVERSION             73/1000      1900         70/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        45           92           59
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5130                      4890
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 14                      NE 15
VENTILATION RATE      71820                     73350
ADI EARLY             45 GEN GOOD  33 FAIR      25 FAIR
ADI LATE              50 GEN GOOD  5 VERY POOR  51 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            5            6
MAX LVORI LATE        1            5            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
53 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
90 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
52 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
85 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
57 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-200030-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
419 AM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        30           30           30
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS
LAL                   3            3            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          82           63           80
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  8        E  9         NE 10
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) E 12         NE  8        NE 10
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.02         0.05
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            2
INVERSION             74/1000      1900         72/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        52           93           66
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5160                      4300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 18                      E 17
VENTILATION RATE      92880                     73100
ADI EARLY             39 FAIR      52 GEN GOOD  39 FAIR
ADI LATE              67 GOOD      9 POOR       50 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            4            5
MAX LVORI LATE        1            5            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT. NORTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
59 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
85 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO
20 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-200030-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
419 AM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        20           30           20
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS
LAL                   2            3            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          83           61           81
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  6        E  7         NE  9
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) E 10         NE  7        NE  9
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.01         0.01
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1
INVERSION             73/1000      1900         70/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        47           93           57
DSI                   3                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5310                      4710
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 15                      NE 16
VENTILATION RATE      79650                     75360
ADI EARLY             35 FAIR      35 FAIR      25 FAIR
ADI LATE              45 GEN GOOD  8 POOR       48 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            5            6
MAX LVORI LATE        1            5            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
52 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
51 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
86 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
57 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

40




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