Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
794
FNUS52 KILM 230859
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
459 AM EDT FRI SEP 23 2016

.DISCUSSION...
THERE WILL STILL BE A POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL TODAY. WEAK
LOW PRESSURE WILL DRIFT OFFSHORE THROUGH SATURDAY AND THIS
SHOULD ALLOW SOME DRIER AIR TO FINALLY BUILD INTO THE EASTERN
CAROLINAS. A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA ON
SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN STRUGGLE TO BUILD SOUTH AS A
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE MIGRATES NORTHEAST EARLY IN THE WEEK.
ANOTHER COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATE NEXT
WEEK.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...MODERATE.

NCZ105>110-240100-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...WILMINGTON...
MASONBORO...MYRTLE GROVE...OGDEN...CAROLINA BEACH...SEAGATE...
BOILING SPRING LAKES...LELAND...SHALLOTTE...OAK ISLAND...
LONG BEACH...SOUTHPORT...SUNSET BEACH
459 AM EDT FRI SEP 23 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        70           50           0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE
LAL                   2            2            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          83           69           87
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE  4        LGT/VAR      N  5
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     NE  4        LGT/VAR      NE  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.73         0.15         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       6            2
INVERSION             76/1000      1900         77/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        70           99           57
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4930                      5020
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  6                      NE  6
VENTILATION RATE      29580                     30120
ADI EARLY             20 GEN POOR  17 GEN POOR  32 FAIR
ADI LATE              22 FAIR      2 VERY POOR  34 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            7            9
MAX LVORI LATE        3            8            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 70. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. EAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. NORTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-240100-
ROBESON-BLADEN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...BLADENBORO
459 AM EDT FRI SEP 23 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        60           40           0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE
LAL                   2            2            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          83           68           87
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE  5        NE  3        N  4
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     NE  6        NE  3        NE  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.43         0.09         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       5            1
INVERSION             74/1000      1900         76/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        68           100          50
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4690                      4880
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  8                     NE  6
VENTILATION RATE      37520                     29280
ADI EARLY             13 GEN POOR  20 GEN POOR  26 FAIR
ADI LATE              25 FAIR      2 VERY POOR  29 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            7            10
MAX LVORI LATE        4            8            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
98 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

NCZ099-240100-
COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WHITEVILLE...TABOR CITY...CHADBOURN...
LAKE WACCAMAW
459 AM EDT FRI SEP 23 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        60           40           0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE
LAL                   2            2            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          83           69           86
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE  5        LGT/VAR      N  4
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     NE  5        LGT/VAR      NE  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.61         0.12         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       5            1
INVERSION             75/1000      1900         77/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        71           99           58
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4780                      4980
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  7                     NE  7
VENTILATION RATE      33460                     34860
ADI EARLY             18 GEN POOR  19 GEN POOR  32 FAIR
ADI LATE              22 FAIR      2 VERY POOR  35 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            7            10
MAX LVORI LATE        3            8            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-240100-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...RED HILL...MYRTLE BEACH...
SOCASTEE...NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...LITTLE RIVER...
ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...MURRELLS INLET
459 AM EDT FRI SEP 23 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        60           40           0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE
LAL                   2            2            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          83           70           86
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE  3        NE  3        N  4
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     NE  4        LGT/VAR      NE  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.48         0.09         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       5            1
INVERSION             76/1000      1900         77/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        71           99           60
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4570                      4710
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  7                     NE  7
VENTILATION RATE      31990                     32970
ADI EARLY             15 GEN POOR  13 GEN POOR  33 FAIR
ADI LATE              22 FAIR      2 VERY POOR  36 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            7            9
MAX LVORI LATE        3            8            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 70. MAXIMUM RH
96 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. NORTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-240100-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...MCCOLL...HARTSVILLE...
DARLINGTON...NORTH HARTSVILLE...DILLON...FLORENCE...MARION...
MULLINS...KINGSTREE
459 AM EDT FRI SEP 23 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           30           0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE
LAL                   2            2            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          83           68           87
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE  4        NE  3        N  4
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     N  6         N  3         NE  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.04         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       5            1
INVERSION             74/1000      1900         76/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        69           99           52
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4530                      4900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  9                     NE  7
VENTILATION RATE      40770                     34300
ADI EARLY             14 GEN POOR  21 FAIR      28 FAIR
ADI LATE              27 FAIR      2 VERY POOR  31 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            7            10
MAX LVORI LATE        3            8            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
98 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

27



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.