Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 171930
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
230 PM EST Fri Feb 17 2017

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will move offshore of the SE coast bringing milder
weather and a gradual increase in moisture through Saturday. An
upper level disturbance will interact with this moisture and produce
isolated showers Saturday night to early Sunday. Mild to warm weather
will prevail into next week.

Fog potential for tonight...Low.

NCZ105>110-181130-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
230 PM EST Fri Feb 17 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          Clear        PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            20           0
Precip type           NONE         NONE         showers      NONE
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          41           73           49           71
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  4        SW  5        SW  5        NW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  4        SW  8        W  3         NW  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.00
Precip duration                                 1
Inversion             1800         62/1100      1800         61/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        88           31           96           41
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5070                      6650
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 21                     NW 20
Ventilation rate                   106470                    133000
ADI early             3 Very poor  28 Fair      7 poor       58 Gen good
ADI late              2 Very poor  86 Good      3 Very poor  88 Good
Max LVORI early       4            6            5            7
Max LVORI late        5            1            7            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
43 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
89 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
42 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
92 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 53 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 70. Minimum RH 54 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent. East winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 70. Minimum RH 63 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-181130-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
230 PM EST Fri Feb 17 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          Clear        PCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            20           20           0
Precip type           NONE         showers      showers      NONE
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          41           73           48           73
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  4        SW  4        SW  5        NW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  3        SW  8        W  3         NW  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.00
Precip duration                    1            1
Inversion             1800         61/1100      1800         59/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        86           30           94           39
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          4            4            2            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5240                      6800
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 22                     NW 20
Ventilation rate                   115280                    136000
ADI early             3 Very poor  20 Gen poor  14 Gen poor  45 Gen good
ADI late              2 Very poor  75 Good      2 Very poor  91 Good
Max LVORI early       3            5            5            6
Max LVORI late        5            1            7            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
41 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
90 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 39 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 50. Maximum RH 94 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 70s. Minimum RH 60 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-181130-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
230 PM EST Fri Feb 17 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          Clear        PCldy        MCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            20           30           0
Precip type           NONE         showers      showers      NONE
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          42           75           50           72
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  5        SW  4        SW  5        NW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  3        SW  8        W  3         NW  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.00
Precip duration                    1            1
Inversion             1800         63/1000      1800         61/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        85           31           96           43
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          5            4            2            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5390                      6410
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 23                     NW 17
Ventilation rate                   123970                    108970
ADI early             4 Very poor  47 Gen good  12 poor      46 Gen good
ADI late              2 Very poor  75 Good      3 Very poor  78 Good
Max LVORI early       3            5            5            7
Max LVORI late        5            1            7            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
91 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
43 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 70. Minimum RH 53 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 70. Minimum RH 55 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent. East winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 70s. Minimum RH 65 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-181130-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
230 PM EST Fri Feb 17 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          Clear        PCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            20           20           0
Precip type           NONE         showers      showers      NONE
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          41           73           47           73
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  4        SW  4        SW  5        NW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  4        SW  9        W  3         NW  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.01         0.00
Precip duration                    1            1
Inversion             1800         61/1100      1800         60/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        84           31           96           40
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          4            4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5520                      6730
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 24                     NW 16
Ventilation rate                   132480                    107680
ADI early             4 Very poor  19 Gen poor  13 Gen poor  40 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  82 Good      4 Very poor  77 Good
Max LVORI early       3            5            4            7
Max LVORI late        5            1            7            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
40 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
92 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
41 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 50. Maximum RH 89 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 70s. Minimum RH 61 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-181130-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
230 PM EST Fri Feb 17 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          Clear        PCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            20           20           0
Precip type           NONE         showers      showers      NONE
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          42           74           49           73
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  5        SW  4        SW  5        NW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  3        SW  9        W  3         NW  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.01         0.00
Precip duration                    1            1
Inversion             1800         63/1100      1800         60/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        82           31           95           39
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          4            4            2            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5450                      6700
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 25                     NW 16
Ventilation rate                   136250                    107200
ADI early             4 Very poor  23 Fair      13 Gen poor  34 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  81 Good      2 Very poor  76 Good
Max LVORI early       3            5            5            7
Max LVORI late        4            1            7            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
41 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
94 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
40 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
92 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 93 percent. East winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 70s. Minimum RH 60 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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