Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
954
FNUS52 KILM 031949
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
249 PM EST SAT DEC 3 2016

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFFSHORE SUNDAY NIGHT. A COMPLEX STORM
SYSTEM WILL BRING PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL LATE SUNDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY. COOL AND DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL FOLLOW THIS SYSTEM FOR
MID-WEEK. A TRUE ARCTIC FRONT WILL CROSS EARLY FRIDAY, USHERING
IN THE COLDEST AIR SINCE LAST WINTER.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...NONE.

NCZ105>110-041200-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BURGAW, SURF CITY, WILMINGTON, MASONBORO,
MYRTLE GROVE, OGDEN, CAROLINA BEACH, SEAGATE, BOILING SPRING LAKES,
LELAND, SHALLOTTE, OAK ISLAND, LONG BEACH, SOUTHPORT,
AND SUNSET BEACH
249 PM EST SAT DEC 3 2016

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            40           90           80
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          37           55           45           58
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    LGT/VAR      NE  5        NE  7        NW  7
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  7        SE  6        N  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.66         0.30
PRECIP DURATION                    1            10           5
INVERSION             1800         46/0900      1800         54/1200
MAX/MIN RH (%)        84           49           98           80
DSI                                1                         1
HAINES INDEX          4            3            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                2130                      1860
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  8                     N 10
VENTILATION RATE                   17040                     18600
ADI EARLY             2 VERY POOR  18 GEN POOR  9 POOR       13 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              3 VERY POOR  24 FAIR      5 VERY POOR  18 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            5            6            6
MAX LVORI LATE        5            3            6            5

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF RAIN 90 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 84 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF RAIN NEAR 100 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
59 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
54 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 88 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY, COOLER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH
36 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH
64 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-041200-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LUMBERTON, ELIZABETHTOWN, BLADENBORO,
WHITEVILLE, TABOR CITY, CHADBOURN, AND LAKE WACCAMAW
249 PM EST SAT DEC 3 2016

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            60           100          60
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          38           53           44           56
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    LGT/VAR      NE  4        NE  6        N  6
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  7        NE  5        N  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.71         0.15
PRECIP DURATION                    2            10           2
INVERSION             1800         44/0900      1800         52/1200
MAX/MIN RH (%)        84           52           97           78
DSI                                1                         1
HAINES INDEX          4            3            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                2180                      1900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  8                     NE  8
VENTILATION RATE                   17440                     15200
ADI EARLY             2 VERY POOR  16 GEN POOR  9 POOR       11 POOR
ADI LATE              1 VERY POOR  24 FAIR      6 VERY POOR  15 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            5            6            7
MAX LVORI LATE        5            3            6            5

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF RAIN 90 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 82 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF RAIN 90 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
59 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
52 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 84 PERCENT. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY, COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH
34 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH
66 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-041200-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF CONWAY, RED HILL, MYRTLE BEACH, SOCASTEE,
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH, GARDEN CITY, LITTLE RIVER, ANDREWS, GEORGETOWN,
AND MURRELLS INLET
249 PM EST SAT DEC 3 2016

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            50           100          80
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          38           56           46           59
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    LGT/VAR      NE  6        E  7         NW  7
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     NE  3        NE  9        S  6         N  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.09         0.61         0.28
PRECIP DURATION                    1            10           5
INVERSION             1800         47/0900      1800         56/1200
MAX/MIN RH (%)        85           52           100          79
DSI                                1                         1
HAINES INDEX          4            3            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                2070                      1620
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 14                     N  8
VENTILATION RATE                   28980                     12960
ADI EARLY             3 VERY POOR  27 FAIR      9 POOR       10 POOR
ADI LATE              2 VERY POOR  26 FAIR      7 POOR       13 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            5            6            7
MAX LVORI LATE        5            3            6            5

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF RAIN 90 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 79 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF RAIN 90 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
61 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
96 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
53 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 86 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY, COOLER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH
36 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH
67 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-041200-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNETTSVILLE, MCCOLL, HARTSVILLE,
DARLINGTON, NORTH HARTSVILLE, DILLON, FLORENCE, MARION, MULLINS,
AND KINGSTREE
249 PM EST SAT DEC 3 2016

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        20           60           100          70
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          39           53           43           56
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    LGT/VAR      NE  5        NE  6        N  6
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  8        N  5         N  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.13         0.72         0.15
PRECIP DURATION       0            2            11           2
INVERSION             1800         44/0900      1800         53/1200
MAX/MIN RH (%)        82           52           97           77
DSI                                1                         1
HAINES INDEX          4            3            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                2230                      1820
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 13                     N  7
VENTILATION RATE                   28990                     12740
ADI EARLY             2 VERY POOR  27 FAIR      8 POOR       9 POOR
ADI LATE              1 VERY POOR  26 FAIR      6 VERY POOR  12 POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            5            6            7
MAX LVORI LATE        5            3            5            5

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS AROUND 50. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF RAIN 90 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 77 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
RAIN 90 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
58 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
96 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
50 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 82 PERCENT. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY, COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH
34 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH
67 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

40



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.