Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 210910
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
410 AM EST Sun Jan 21 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Mild temperatures will prevail through Tuesday, before cooler air
filters in, during the mid-week period. Scattered rain showers can
be expected ahead of the front late Monday and Tuesday. As high
pressure moves offshore late in the week, and an upper ridge expands
from the Bahamas, weekend temperatures above normal will overspread
the area.


Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...Low

NCZ087-096-099-220115-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
410 AM EST Sun Jan 21 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            20
Precip type           None         None         Rain
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          65           39           70
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  3         SE  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  3         S  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.01
Precip duration                                 1
Inversion             56/1200      1800         57/1100
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        46           100          53
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4890                      3830
Transport wnd (mph)   NE  1                     S 15
Ventilation rate      4890                      57450
ADI early             4 Very poor  2 Very poor  10 poor
ADI late              10 poor      2 Very poor  46 Gen good
Max LVORI early       9            6            9
Max LVORI late        2            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 90 percent. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers and a slight chance
of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum
RH 78 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
35 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
43 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Not as cool. Lows in the lower 40s.
Maximum RH 82 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ105>110-220115-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
410 AM EST Sun Jan 21 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            20
Precip type           None         None         Rain
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          67           39           70
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.01
Precip duration                                 1
Inversion             59/1200      1800         60/1100
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        45           100          55
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4640                      3250
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  3                     S  9
Ventilation rate      13920                     29250
ADI early             5 Very poor  2 Very poor  8 poor
ADI late              19 Gen poor  1 Very poor  28 Fair
Max LVORI early       9            7            9
Max LVORI late        2            10           3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Patchy fog. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and a slight chance
of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the upper 30s.
Maximum RH 76 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
37 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
78 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
38 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Not as cool. Lows in the mid 40s.
Maximum RH 84 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-220115-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
410 AM EST Sun Jan 21 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            20
Precip type           None         None         Rain
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          67           40           71
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  4         SE  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE  4        LGT/VAR      SE  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.02
Precip duration                                 1
Inversion             60/1200      1800         60/1100
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        42           99           58
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4680                      3460
Transport wnd (mph)   E  2                      S 12
Ventilation rate      9360                      41520
ADI early             4 Very poor  3 Very poor  8 poor
ADI late              13 Gen poor  2 Very poor  26 Fair
Max LVORI early       9            7            9
Max LVORI late        2            9            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Patchy fog. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 92 percent. South winds
15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers and a slight chance
of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the upper 30s.
Maximum RH 79 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
37 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
38 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
49 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Not as cool. Lows in the upper 40s.
Maximum RH 83 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-220115-
Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
410 AM EST Sun Jan 21 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            20
Precip type           None         None         Rain
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          67           40           71
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  4         SE  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE  3        S  3         S  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.01
Precip duration                                 1
Inversion             59/1200      1800         58/1100
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        41           99           51
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4860                      3890
Transport wnd (mph)   E  2                      S 15
Ventilation rate      9720                      58350
ADI early             4 Very poor  3 Very poor  10 poor
ADI late              14 Gen poor  2 Very poor  40 Fair
Max LVORI early       10           6            9
Max LVORI late        2            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 50s. Maximum RH 90 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers and a slight chance
of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Much colder. Lows in the mid 30s.
Maximum RH 81 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
33 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
33 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
43 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Not as cool. Lows in the mid 40s.
Maximum RH 82 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-220115-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
410 AM EST Sun Jan 21 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            20
Precip type           None         None         Rain
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          67           39           69
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  3         SE  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  3         S  3         S  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration                                 0
Inversion             56/1200      1800         55/1100
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        43           100          52
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5090                      4000
Transport wnd (mph)   S  2                      S 17
Ventilation rate      10180                     68000
ADI early             3 Very poor  2 Very poor  11 poor
ADI late              13 Gen poor  2 Very poor  48 Gen good
Max LVORI early       9            6            9
Max LVORI late        2            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 89 percent. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers and a slight chance
of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Much colder. Lows in the lower 30s.
Maximum RH 80 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
35 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
43 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Not as cool. Lows in the lower 40s.
Maximum RH 81 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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