Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 161035
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
535 AM EST Thu Nov 16 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Seasonable temperatures today with cooler temperatures on Friday
in the wake of a dry cold front. Canadian high pressure will
move offshore Friday night and temperatures will warm above
normal on Saturday, the first time that has happened in about a
week. A few showers may accompany the passage of a strong cold
front Saturday night. Much colder and drier air will be ushered
in for Sunday and into early next week and we have a reasonable
chance of a widespread freeze. Temperatures will moderate beginning
Tuesday with dry weather expected next week.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...Low.

NCZ105>110-170245-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
535 AM EST Thu Nov 16 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          68           38           60
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW  4        NW  4        N  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  6        N  7         NE  4
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             57/1000      1800         52/1000
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        39           81           33
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2850                      2200
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 14                     N  9
Ventilation rate      39900                     19800
ADI early             33 Fair      2 Very poor  27 Fair
ADI late              44 Gen good  5 Very poor  27 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            3            4
Max LVORI late        2            4            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
51 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southwest winds 15 to
20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Cooler.
Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent. Northwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum
RH 72 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
77 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-170245-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
535 AM EST Thu Nov 16 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          67           35           60
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  3         NW  3        NE  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  6        N  5         NE  3
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             52/1000      1800         49/1000
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        41           88           32
DSI                   2                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2760                      2130
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 13                     NE  8
Ventilation rate      35880                     17040
ADI early             26 Fair      3 Very poor  24 Fair
ADI late              36 Fair      4 Very poor  23 Fair
Max LVORI early       8            3            5
Max LVORI late        2            5            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
49 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Warmer. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 93 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Cooler.
Highs around 60. Minimum RH 42 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum
RH 74 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
75 percent. Light and variable wind.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
42 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
88 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-170245-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
535 AM EST Thu Nov 16 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          68           39           61
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW  3        NW  4        NE  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  5        N  6         NE  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             54/1000      1800         53/1000
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        42           84           36
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2780                      2030
Transport wnd (mph)   N 14                      NE  7
Ventilation rate      38920                     14210
ADI early             33 Fair      2 Very poor  24 Fair
ADI late              43 Gen good  4 Very poor  21 Fair
Max LVORI early       8            4            4
Max LVORI late        2            4            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
52 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Warmer. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southwest
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Cooler.
Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent. Northwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum
RH 73 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
71 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
43 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
88 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
52 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-170245-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
535 AM EST Thu Nov 16 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          67           37           61
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  3         NW  3        NE  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  6        N  5         E  3
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             51/1000      1800         50/1000
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        40           84           33
DSI                   2                         1
Haines Index          3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2660                      2160
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 10                     NE  6
Ventilation rate      26600                     12960
ADI early             20 Gen poor  3 Very poor  21 Fair
ADI late              32 Fair      3 Very poor  20 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       9            3            4
Max LVORI late        2            4            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
49 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 89 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
41 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear, colder. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
74 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
75 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
40 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
88 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
48 percent. North winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-170245-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
535 AM EST Thu Nov 16 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          68           38           61
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      NW  3        NE  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  5        N  5         NE  4
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             52/1000      1800         52/1000
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        42           84           33
DSI                   2                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2750                      2060
Transport wnd (mph)   N 12                      NE  7
Ventilation rate      33000                     14420
ADI early             26 Fair      2 Very poor  22 Fair
ADI late              35 Fair      3 Very poor  21 Fair
Max LVORI early       9            4            5
Max LVORI late        2            5            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
49 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Warmer. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Cooler.
Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 43 percent. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum
RH 75 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
75 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
41 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
89 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
48 percent. North winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

27



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