Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 230844
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
444 AM EDT Sun Jul 23 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A Heat Advisory remains in effect today. A cold front will
approach from the north and may slip into the area mid week
before stalling and then dissipating during Thursday. Showers
and thunderstorms with heavy rain will increase in coverage
Monday through Wednesday and this will serve to knock down the
heat although the high humidity will remain. Drier air may
briefly work into the area Thursday, but the arrival of a
stronger cold front will bring more thunderstorms by the
weekend.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Unfavorable
along the coast...Type 1-F...Direction SSW...Maximum Wind 25 mph
at 1000 ft.
Elsewhere, wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...Low.

NCZ105>110-240045-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
444 AM EDT Sun Jul 23 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           30           60
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            4
Min/Max Temp          95           77           90
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  8        SW 10 G21    SW  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 11 G22    SW  7        SW 10 G21
Precip amount         0.00         0.03         0.29
Precip duration       1            1            2
Inversion             83/0900      2000         81/0900
Dispersion                         Good
Max/Min RH (%)        50           90           62
DSI                   3                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5390                      5200
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 14                     SW 21
Ventilation rate      75460                     109200
ADI early             44 Gen good  53 Gen good  48 Gen good
ADI late              70 Good      8 poor       64 Good
Max LVORI early       6            4            5
Max LVORI late        1            5            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-240045-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
444 AM EDT Sun Jul 23 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           30           60
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            4
Min/Max Temp          96           77           91
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  8        SW  8        SW  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 10        SW  6        SW  7
Precip amount         0.01         0.02         0.39
Precip duration       1            1            2
Inversion             83/0900      2000         80/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        48           89           59
DSI                   3                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5780                      5470
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 13                     SW 15
Ventilation rate      75140                     82050
ADI early             35 Fair      39 Fair      34 Fair
ADI late              51 Gen good  7 poor       50 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            4            5
Max LVORI late        1            5            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 61 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 58 percent. West winds
5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-240045-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
444 AM EDT Sun Jul 23 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           20           60
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            2            4
Min/Max Temp          96           77           91
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  7        SW  9 G20    SW  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 11 G21    SW  7        SW  9
Precip amount         0.01         0.01         0.39
Precip duration       1            1            7
Inversion             83/0900      2000         81/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        50           90           58
DSI                   3                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5200                      5540
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 13                     SW 16
Ventilation rate      67600                     88640
ADI early             44 Gen good  52 Gen good  36 Fair
ADI late              71 Good      7 poor       63 Good
Max LVORI early       6            4            5
Max LVORI late        1            5            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs
in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-240045-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
444 AM EDT Sun Jul 23 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           30           60
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            4
Min/Max Temp          95           76           92
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  7        SW  7        SW  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 10        SW  6        SW  8
Precip amount         0.01         0.01         0.41
Precip duration       1            1            7
Inversion             82/0900      2000         80/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        49           89           57
DSI                   3                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5560                      5680
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 14                     SW 15
Ventilation rate      77840                     85200
ADI early             44 Gen good  44 Gen good  36 Fair
ADI late              65 Good      7 poor       59 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            4            5
Max LVORI late        1            5            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 62 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-240045-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
444 AM EDT Sun Jul 23 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           30           60
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            4
Min/Max Temp          97           76           92
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  7        SW  7        SW  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 10        SW  6        SW  7
Precip amount         0.02         0.02         0.46
Precip duration       1            1            7
Inversion             82/0900      2000         80/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        46           89           55
DSI                   3                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5870                      5880
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 13                     SW  9
Ventilation rate      76310                     52920
ADI early             36 Fair      40 Fair      28 Fair
ADI late              52 Gen good  7 poor       32 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            4            5
Max LVORI late        1            5            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs
in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 59 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS               -                NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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