Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6
000
FNUS52 KILM 151932
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
232 PM EST Fri Dec 15 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A dry cold front will move offshore ovenright. The center of high
pressure overhead late Saturday through early Sunday, will slip
off the coast Sunday night through early next week. Temperatures
will rebound Sunday into early next week with above normal readings.
Patchy light rain is possible Monday followed by a low chance for
showers into the mid-week period, as low pressure approaches from
the Gulf Coast.

Fog potential for tonight...None

NCZ105>110-161145-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
232 PM EST Fri Dec 15 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          MClear       Clear        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          32           53           31           60
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW  6 G20    NW  3        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  4
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1700         50/1300      1700         52/1100
Dispersion            Fair                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        75           33           89           47
DSI                                1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3260                      3000
Transport wnd (mph)                NW  5                     SW 16
Ventilation rate                   16300                     48000
ADI early             6 Very poor  36 Fair      2 Very poor  25 Fair
ADI late              3 Very poor  25 Fair      1 Very poor  47 Gen good
Max LVORI early       3            3            4            6
Max LVORI late        3            2            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 75 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 79 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
86 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
58 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 81 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-161145-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
232 PM EST Fri Dec 15 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          MClear       Clear        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          31           53           31           60
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  3        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1700         48/1200      1700         50/1100
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        77           34           88           43
DSI                                1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3270                      2880
Transport wnd (mph)                W  3                      SW 17
Ventilation rate                   9810                      48960
ADI early             7 poor       29 Fair      2 Very poor  30 Fair
ADI late              3 Very poor  25 Fair      1 Very poor  42 Gen good
Max LVORI early       3            4            4            6
Max LVORI late        4            2            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 74 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 75 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 98 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
87 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 55 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 78 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-161145-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, and Bucksport
232 PM EST Fri Dec 15 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          MClear       Clear        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          34           55           33           62
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  6         N  3         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  4         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  4
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1700         52/1300      1700         54/1100
Dispersion            Fair                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        75           32           87           49
DSI                                1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3210                      3120
Transport wnd (mph)                NW  3                     SW 14
Ventilation rate                   9630                      43680
ADI early             9 poor       25 Fair      2 Very poor  21 Fair
ADI late              3 Very poor  19 Gen poor  1 Very poor  38 Fair
Max LVORI early       3            3            4            6
Max LVORI late        3            2            6            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Maximum RH 89 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 79 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 80 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 60. Minimum RH 53 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
60 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 82 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-059-161145-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, Kingstree, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
232 PM EST Fri Dec 15 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          MClear       Clear        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          33           55           32           62
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  4
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1700         51/1200      1700         51/1100
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        77           33           88           43
DSI                                1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3330                      3000
Transport wnd (mph)                NW  2                     SW 16
Ventilation rate                   6660                      48000
ADI early             6 Very poor  25 Fair      2 Very poor  25 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  17 Gen poor  1 Very poor  43 Gen good
Max LVORI early       3            4            4            6
Max LVORI late        4            2            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Maximum RH 89 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 79 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 76 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 99 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 60. Minimum RH 48 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
91 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
57 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 80 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-161145-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
232 PM EST Fri Dec 15 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          MClear       Clear        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          31           54           31           60
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  3        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1700         48/1200      1700         49/1100
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        77           33           89           42
DSI                                1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3330                      2630
Transport wnd (mph)                W  3                      SW 15
Ventilation rate                   9990                      39450
ADI early             8 poor       22 Fair      2 Very poor  27 Fair
ADI late              3 Very poor  25 Fair      1 Very poor  37 Fair
Max LVORI early       3            4            3            6
Max LVORI late        4            2            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 80 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 74 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 96 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 46 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
89 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 56 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 79 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

8



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.