Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 210828
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
428 AM EDT Mon Aug 21 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A weak and stalled front will slowly dissipate to just a trof
of low pressure today. Moisture from an upper trof to our
south will make its way onshore and inland during today.
High pressure will expand across the area from the western
Atlantic late today thru early Wednesday, allowing the heat
and high humidity to continue. A modest cold front pushing
southeast will track across the Eastern Carolinas late
Wednesday night thru Thursday. Models indicate this front to
continue south and east of the area before stalling on Fri.
This will enable Canadian high pressure to build in behind
the front bringing drier weather and slightly below normal
temps for the weekend.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...Moderate to High.

NCZ105>110-220030-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
428 AM EDT Mon Aug 21 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           20           30
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            2            3
Min/Max Temp          89           73           90
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  4         LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE  5        LGT/VAR      S  7
Precip amount         0.10         0.01         0.07
Precip duration       1            0            2
Inversion             80/1000      1900         80/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        63           98           60
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4690                      4810
Transport wnd (mph)   SE  9                     SW 14
Ventilation rate      42210                     67340
ADI early             18 Gen poor  25 Fair      11 poor
ADI late              27 Fair      1 Very poor  45 Gen good
Max LVORI early       10           7            9
Max LVORI late        3            9            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in
the lower 80s. Minimum RH 79 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 85 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-220030-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
428 AM EDT Mon Aug 21 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           20           30
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            2            3
Min/Max Temp          92           73           91
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  4         LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE  5        LGT/VAR      S  6
Precip amount         0.05         0.01         0.06
Precip duration       1            0            1
Inversion             80/1000      1900         79/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        57           100          58
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5220                      5350
Transport wnd (mph)   SE  9                     SW 13
Ventilation rate      46980                     69550
ADI early             18 Gen poor  27 Fair      12 poor
ADI late              36 Fair      1 Very poor  42 Gen good
Max LVORI early       10           7            10
Max LVORI late        3            10           3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in
the lower 80s. Minimum RH 77 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 96 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-220030-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
428 AM EDT Mon Aug 21 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           0            30
Precip type           Tstms        None         Tstms
LAL                   2            1            3
Min/Max Temp          93           73           92
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE  5        LGT/VAR      S  6
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.04
Precip duration       1                         1
Inversion             80/1000      1900         79/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        52           100          56
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5640                      5560
Transport wnd (mph)   SE  9                     SW 12
Ventilation rate      50760                     66720
ADI early             22 Fair      28 Fair      21 Fair
ADI late              40 Fair      2 Very poor  51 Gen good
Max LVORI early       10           6            10
Max LVORI late        2            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 94 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-220030-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
428 AM EDT Mon Aug 21 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           20           30
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            2            3
Min/Max Temp          90           73           90
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE  6        LGT/VAR      S  7
Precip amount         0.29         0.02         0.07
Precip duration       2            0            2
Inversion             81/1000      1900         81/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        62           99           61
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4940                      4920
Transport wnd (mph)   SE  8                     S 14
Ventilation rate      39520                     68880
ADI early             10 poor      25 Fair      7 poor
ADI late              25 Fair      2 Very poor  44 Gen good
Max LVORI early       10           6            9
Max LVORI late        3            9            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 76 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 85 percent. Northeast
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-220030-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
428 AM EDT Mon Aug 21 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           20           30
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            2            3
Min/Max Temp          93           73           91
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      SE  5        LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE  5        LGT/VAR      S  6
Precip amount         0.19         0.04         0.07
Precip duration       1            0            1
Inversion             81/1000      1900         80/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        56           98           57
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5650                      5460
Transport wnd (mph)   SE  7                     SW 13
Ventilation rate      39550                     70980
ADI early             18 Gen poor  24 Fair      11 poor
ADI late              26 Fair      2 Very poor  41 Gen good
Max LVORI early       10           7            10
Max LVORI late        3            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-220030-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
428 AM EDT Mon Aug 21 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           20           30
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            2            3
Min/Max Temp          93           73           93
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      SE  5        LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  6         LGT/VAR      S  6
Precip amount         0.02         0.01         0.04
Precip duration       1            0            1
Inversion             80/1000      1900         79/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        51           99           53
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5760                      5980
Transport wnd (mph)   SE  8                     SW 12
Ventilation rate      46080                     71760
ADI early             22 Fair      25 Fair      22 Fair
ADI late              36 Fair      2 Very poor  41 Gen good
Max LVORI early       10           6            9
Max LVORI late        2            8            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 91 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 94 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

dch



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