Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 010821
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
421 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA WILL MOVE OFFSHORE
THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE AREA LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. DRY AND COOL HIGH
PRESSURE WILL FOLLOW FOR THE WEEKEND AND PERSIST INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...MODERATE.

NCZ105>110-020030-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
421 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            20
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          85           59           83
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  4        LGT/VAR      E  3
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01
PRECIP DURATION                                 0
INVERSION             71/1000      1900         70/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        45           100          51
DSI                   3                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            4            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4320                      4640
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  9                      NE  5
VENTILATION RATE      38880                     23200
ADI EARLY             13 GEN POOR  29 FAIR      9 POOR
ADI LATE              37 FAIR      1 VERY POOR  22 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       10           7            9
MAX LVORI LATE        2            9            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
94 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
54 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM
RH 68 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
72 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH
83 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-020030-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
421 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          84           58           84
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
INVERSION             71/1000      1900         71/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        47           100          49
DSI                   3                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4850                      5660
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  7                     SE  2
VENTILATION RATE      33950                     11320
ADI EARLY             10 POOR      26 FAIR      5 VERY POOR
ADI LATE              38 FAIR      1 VERY POOR  22 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       10           7            10
MAX LVORI LATE        2            10           3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
96 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH
50 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
MAXIMUM RH 68 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
77 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
84 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-020030-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
421 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          84           60           85
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR      SE  3        LGT/VAR
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  4        LGT/VAR      E  3
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
INVERSION             72/1000      1900         72/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        47           100          51
DSI                   3                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            4            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4380                      4920
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  7                     E  5
VENTILATION RATE      30660                     24600
ADI EARLY             11 POOR      22 FAIR      10 POOR
ADI LATE              35 FAIR      1 VERY POOR  25 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       10           6            10
MAX LVORI LATE        2            10           2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
96 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
60 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM
RH 70 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
76 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
84 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-020030-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
421 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          86           59           86
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
INVERSION             72/1000      1900         72/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        44           100          48
DSI                   3                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4970                      5640
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  6                     SE  3
VENTILATION RATE      29820                     16920
ADI EARLY             8 POOR       24 FAIR      8 POOR
ADI LATE              33 FAIR      1 VERY POOR  25 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       10           6            10
MAX LVORI LATE        2            10           2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
96 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY...COOLER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH
48 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
MAXIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
78 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
84 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

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