Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 191946
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
346 PM EDT Sat Aug 19 2017

.DISCUSSION...
High heat and humidity will continue Sunday with
temporary relief from scattered afternoon and early evening
showers and thunderstorms due to a slowly approaching cool
front and it`s interaction with an inland progressing sea
breeze. This front will stall in close proximity to the coast
during the weekend before dissipating Monday. High pressure will
build across the area from the western Atlantic Tuesday and
Wednesday, followed by another cool front approaching from the
northwest late Wednesday thru Thursday.

Fog potential for tonight...Moderate/High.

NCZ105>110-201200-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
346 PM EDT Sat Aug 19 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        40           30           30           40
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            3            3
Min/Max Temp          73           91           73           89
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  4        LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  3        S  5         LGT/VAR      SE  5
Precip amount         0.18         0.08         0.03         0.14
Precip duration       2            2            1            2
Inversion             2000         81/0900      2000         79/0900
Dispersion            Poor                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        98           58           100          60
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5980                      5290
Transport wnd (mph)                SE  3                     S  8
Ventilation rate                   17940                     42320
ADI early             25 Fair      7 poor       17 Gen poor  13 Gen poor
ADI late              3 Very poor  19 Gen poor  2 Very poor  31 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            10           5            10
Max LVORI late        9            3            10           3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 88 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 76 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 80 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-201200-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
346 PM EDT Sat Aug 19 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        40           20           20           40
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            2            2            3
Min/Max Temp          73           92           73           90
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  3         LGT/VAR      S  4         LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  3        SE  4        LGT/VAR      SE  4
Precip amount         0.09         0.04         0.02         0.15
Precip duration       1            1            1            2
Inversion             2000         80/0900      2000         79/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        99           52           100          57
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6850                      5680
Transport wnd (mph)                SE  5                     S  9
Ventilation rate                   34250                     51120
ADI early             28 Fair      10 poor      19 Gen poor  13 Gen poor
ADI late              2 Very poor  20 Gen poor  2 Very poor  41 Gen good
Max LVORI early       7            10           6            10
Max LVORI late        10           2            10           3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 91 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 61 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 75 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 82 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-201200-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
346 PM EDT Sat Aug 19 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           0            0            30
Precip type           Tstms        None         None         Tstms
LAL                   2            1            1            3
Min/Max Temp          72           94           72           91
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      E  5         LGT/VAR      SE  4
Precip amount         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.10
Precip duration       0                                      1
Inversion             2000         79/0900      2000         79/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        99           47           100          56
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          4            4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                7160                      6170
Transport wnd (mph)                SE  5                     S  9
Ventilation rate                   35800                     55530
ADI early             23 Fair      29 Fair      23 Fair      20 Gen poor
ADI late              2 Very poor  32 Fair      2 Very poor  42 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            10           5            10
Max LVORI late        10           2            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 57 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 91 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Not as warm. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
73 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 82 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-201200-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
346 PM EDT Sat Aug 19 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        40           30           30           40
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            3            3
Min/Max Temp          74           92           74           90
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  5        LGT/VAR      S  6         LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  4        SE  6        LGT/VAR      SE  6
Precip amount         0.08         0.08         0.04         0.17
Precip duration       1            2            1            2
Inversion             2000         82/0900      2000         80/0900
Dispersion            Poor                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        97           56           99           60
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6120                      5690
Transport wnd (mph)                SE  5                     SE  7
Ventilation rate                   30600                     39830
ADI early             19 Gen poor  9 poor       18 Gen poor  21 Fair
ADI late              3 Very poor  19 Gen poor  2 Very poor  34 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            9            5            9
Max LVORI late        8            3            9            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 90 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 84 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-201200-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
346 PM EDT Sat Aug 19 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           20           20           40
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            2            2            3
Min/Max Temp          73           94           74           91
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  3        SE  5        LGT/VAR      SE  5
Precip amount         0.02         0.04         0.03         0.19
Precip duration       0            1            1            2
Inversion             2000         80/0900      2000         80/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        98           51           100          57
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          4            3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6960                      6230
Transport wnd (mph)                SE  5                     SE  9
Ventilation rate                   34800                     56070
ADI early             15 Gen poor  15 Gen poor  19 Gen poor  26 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  20 Gen poor  2 Very poor  31 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            10           5            10
Max LVORI late        9            2            10           3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 91 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 85 percent. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-201200-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
346 PM EDT Sat Aug 19 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           0            0            30
Precip type           Tstms        None         None         Tstms
LAL                   2            1            1            3
Min/Max Temp          73           94           73           91
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  4        LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      E  5         LGT/VAR      SE  5
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.10
Precip duration       0                                      2
Inversion             2000         80/0900      2000         79/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        98           45           98           53
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          4            4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                7210                      6470
Transport wnd (mph)                SE  5                     SE  8
Ventilation rate                   36050                     51760
ADI early             17 Gen poor  36 Fair      23 Fair      22 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  38 Fair      2 Very poor  34 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            9            4            9
Max LVORI late        9            2            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 89 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Not as warm. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
69 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 82 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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