Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 230805
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
405 AM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Warm and humid conditions are expected today as Bermuda
high pressure offshore maintains southwesterly winds. An
approaching cold front from the west will increase the potential
for thunderstorms Saturday into Sunday. The front will eventually
move offshore Monday with drier weather expected to develop Tuesday
into next Thursday.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...none.

NCZ105>110-240015-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
405 AM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           0            50
Precip type           Tstms        None         Tstms
LAL                   2            1            3
Min/Max Temp          90           76           91
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  8 G23    SW 12 G20    SW 13 G26
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 12 G24    SW 11 G19    SW 15 G25
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.09
Precip duration       1                         1
Inversion             78/0700      None         None
Dispersion                         Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        60           89           56
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5250                      5560
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 16                     SW 20
Ventilation rate      84000                     111200
ADI early             48 Gen good  48 Gen good  65 Good
ADI late              52 Gen good  21 Fair      66 Good
Max LVORI early       6            4            4
Max LVORI late        2            4            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs
in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 97 percent. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-240015-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
405 AM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           0            50
Precip type           Tstms        None         Tstms
LAL                   2            1            3
Min/Max Temp          91           76           91
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  8 G21    S 11         SW 13 G21
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 11 G21    SW 10        SW 14 G21
Precip amount         0.02         0.00         0.13
Precip duration       1                         1
Inversion             77/0800      2300         78/0800
Dispersion                         Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        56           90           56
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5460                      5570
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 15                     SW 15
Ventilation rate      81900                     83550
ADI early             38 Fair      45 Gen good  59 Gen good
ADI late              48 Gen good  15 Gen poor  62 Good
Max LVORI early       8            3            5
Max LVORI late        1            5            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 90 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.

$$

NCZ087-240015-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
405 AM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           0            50
Precip type           Tstms        None         Tstms
LAL                   2            1            3
Min/Max Temp          92           75           91
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  8 G22    S 11         SW 14 G21
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 12 G22    SW 12        SW 13 G21
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.09
Precip duration       1                         1
Inversion             77/0800      2300         79/0800
Dispersion                         Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        53           89           55
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5560                      5490
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 17                     W 12
Ventilation rate      94520                     65880
ADI early             36 Fair      42 Gen good  56 Gen good
ADI late              54 Gen good  13 Gen poor  53 Gen good
Max LVORI early       7            4            4
Max LVORI late        1            4            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 88 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 85 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 43 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 40 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-240015-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
405 AM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           0            50
Precip type           Tstms        None         Tstms
LAL                   3            1            3
Min/Max Temp          91           76           92
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  8 G21    S 12 G20     SW 12 G23
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 11 G23    SW 11 G18    SW 14 G25
Precip amount         0.05         0.00         0.08
Precip duration       1                         1
Inversion             78/0800      None         None
Dispersion                         Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        58           89           53
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5500                      5510
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 14                     SW 18
Ventilation rate      77000                     99180
ADI early             42 Gen good  45 Gen good  49 Gen good
ADI late              45 Gen good  18 Gen poor  58 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            3            4
Max LVORI late        1            4            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs
in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-240015-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
405 AM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           0            40
Precip type           Tstms        None         Tstms
LAL                   2            1            3
Min/Max Temp          92           76           91
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  7 G21    S 11         SW 12 G21
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 10 G20    SW 10        SW 13 G21
Precip amount         0.02         0.00         0.10
Precip duration       1                         1
Inversion             77/0800      2300         78/0800
Dispersion                         Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        53           90           52
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5630                      5480
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 14                     SW 17
Ventilation rate      78820                     93160
ADI early             37 Fair      45 Gen good  51 Gen good
ADI late              45 Gen good  13 Gen poor  59 Gen good
Max LVORI early       7            3            5
Max LVORI late        1            5            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 93 percent. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-240015-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
405 AM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           0            50
Precip type           Tstms        None         Tstms
LAL                   2            1            3
Min/Max Temp          93           75           91
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  8 G21    S 11         SW 13 G21
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 11 G21    SW 12        SW 13 G21
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.11
Precip duration       1                         1
Inversion             77/0800      2300         79/0900
Dispersion                         Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        51           89           53
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5740                      5500
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 17                     W 12
Ventilation rate      97580                     66000
ADI early             37 Fair      44 Gen good  48 Gen good
ADI late              56 Gen good  13 Gen poor  47 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            4            4
Max LVORI late        2            4            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 86 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 86 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 42 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

TRA



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