Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 170837
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
337 AM EST Wed Jan 17 2018

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front will move across the area today bringing a mix of
rain and snow with up to two inches of snow possible well inland.
Cold and dry arctic air will build into area tonight and
Thursday. Temperatures should moderate over the weekend as high
pressure moves off the Southeast coast. Rain chances could
return Monday with the next cold front.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is favorable,
however will become unfavorable after 4 PM along and west of I-95
as a northerly low-level jet develops. Details: Type 1-D, North
wind 20 mph at 1200 feet AGL.

Fog potential for tonight...Low.

NCZ105>110-180045-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
337 AM EST Wed Jan 17 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        Clear
Precip chc (%)        60           70           0
Precip type           Rain         Snow/rain    None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          50           20           41
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      N  9 G20     NW  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  5         NW 10 G20    W  8
Precip amount         0.06         0.04         0.00
Precip duration       1            2
Inversion             42/1000      None         None
Dispersion                         Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        50           84           32
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          3            2            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2960                      2590
Transport wnd (mph)   NE  5                     NW 16
Ventilation rate      14800                     41440
ADI early             9 poor       41 Gen good  37 Fair
ADI late              17 Gen poor  44 Gen good  45 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            4            3
Max LVORI late        3            3            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH 83 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 83 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
93 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 66 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ099-180045-
Columbus-
Including the cities of Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn,
and Lake Waccamaw
337 AM EST Wed Jan 17 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        Clear
Precip chc (%)        60           50           0
Precip type           Rain/Snow    Snow         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          47           20           42
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      N 10         NW  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  7         NW  8        W  7
Precip amount         0.08         0.02         0.00
Precip duration       3            1
Inversion             40/0900      None         None
Dispersion                         Good
Max/Min RH (%)        55           84           32
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          2            2            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2450                      2550
Transport wnd (mph)   N 10                      NW 15
Ventilation rate      24500                     38250
ADI early             13 Gen poor  38 Fair      36 Fair
ADI late              21 Fair      29 Fair      45 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            4            3
Max LVORI late        3            3            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH 82 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 31 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH 85 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 62 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 100 percent. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
44 percent. North winds around 5 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-180045-
Robeson-Bladen-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, and Bladenboro
337 AM EST Wed Jan 17 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        Clear
Precip chc (%)        80           60           0
Precip type           Rain/snow    Snow         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          43           18           41
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      N 10         NW  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  8         NW  8        W  8
Precip amount         0.16         0.02         0.00
Precip duration       5            1
Inversion             37/0900      None         None
Dispersion                         Good
Max/Min RH (%)        58           84           32
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          2            2            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   1870                      2300
Transport wnd (mph)   N 13                      NW 15
Ventilation rate      24310                     34500
ADI early             12 poor      36 Fair      33 Fair
ADI late              26 Fair      21 Fair      38 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            3            3
Max LVORI late        3            4            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH 84 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 31 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH 88 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 61 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 100 percent. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
42 percent. North winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-180045-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
337 AM EST Wed Jan 17 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        Clear
Precip chc (%)        60           40           0
Precip type           Rain         Rain/Snow    None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          48           20           43
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      NW 11        NW  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  7        NW 10        W  7
Precip amount         0.05         0.01         0.00
Precip duration       2            1
Inversion             42/0900      None         None
Dispersion                         Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        57           84           30
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          3            2            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2510                      2770
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  8                     NW 17
Ventilation rate      20080                     47090
ADI early             11 poor      40 Fair      50 Gen good
ADI late              24 Fair      34 Fair      52 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            4            3
Max LVORI late        3            3            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH
78 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 31 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 82 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
91 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 52 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 64 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 40. Maximum RH 100 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
46 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-180045-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
337 AM EST Wed Jan 17 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        Clear
Precip chc (%)        70           40           0
Precip type           Rain/Snow    Snow         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          44           20           44
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      NW 11        NW  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  7        NW  8        W  6
Precip amount         0.10         0.01         0.00
Precip duration       4            1
Inversion             39/1000      None         None
Dispersion                         Good
Max/Min RH (%)        61           80           29
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          2            2            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   1990                      2790
Transport wnd (mph)   N 13                      NW 15
Ventilation rate      25870                     41850
ADI early             11 poor      37 Fair      48 Gen good
ADI late              27 Fair      18 Gen poor  47 Gen good
Max LVORI early       7            3            3
Max LVORI late        3            3            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH 78 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 29 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH 84 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 62 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 99 percent. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
42 percent. North winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ024-180045-
Dillon-
Including the city of Dillon
337 AM EST Wed Jan 17 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          Cloudy       PCldy        Clear
Precip chc (%)        80           40           0
Precip type           Rain/Snow    Snow         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          42           18           43
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      N 11         NW  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  8         NW  9        W  7
Precip amount         0.17         0.02         0.00
Precip duration       6            1
Inversion             37/0900      None         None
Dispersion                         Good
Max/Min RH (%)        63           81           31
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          2            2            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   1950                      2450
Transport wnd (mph)   N 14                      NW 16
Ventilation rate      27300                     39200
ADI early             11 poor      36 Fair      38 Fair
ADI late              28 Fair      16 Gen poor  44 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            3            3
Max LVORI late        3            3            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH 80 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 30 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH 87 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 61 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 100 percent. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
42 percent. North winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-180045-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
337 AM EST Wed Jan 17 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          Cloudy       PCldy        Clear
Precip chc (%)        80           40           0
Precip type           Snow/rain    Snow         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          41           18           45
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      N 11         NW  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  8         NW  8        W  6
Precip amount         0.22         0.01         0.00
Precip duration       7            0
Inversion             36/0900      None         None
Dispersion                         Good
Max/Min RH (%)        66           79           29
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          2            2            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   1990                      2450
Transport wnd (mph)   N 16                      NW 15
Ventilation rate      31840                     36750
ADI early             10 poor      35 Fair      35 Fair
ADI late              31 Fair      16 Gen poor  43 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            3            3
Max LVORI late        4            3            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH 78 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 30 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH 87 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 62 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 98 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
41 percent. North winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

TRA


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