Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 281857
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
257 PM EDT Tue Mar 28 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Weak high surface pressure and a building upper level ridge
will be in control through Thursday. An upper trough
and cold front will move through on Friday and bring showers
and storms. The weekend looks rain-free and seasonable.

Fog potential for tonight...None.

NCZ105>110-291100-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
257 PM EDT Tue Mar 28 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        40           0            0            0
Precip type           Tstms        None         None         None
LAL                   3            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          57           76           49           69
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  6        N  6         E  6         NE  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  4         NE  6        E  6         E  8
Precip amount         0.10         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Inversion             2000         66/1000      2000         58/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        92           48           89           41
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6700                      4930
Transport wnd (mph)                NE  7                     SE 13
Ventilation rate                   46900                     64090
ADI early             40 Fair      29 Fair      18 Gen poor  39 Fair
ADI late              3 Very poor  35 Fair      3 Very poor  47 Gen good
Max LVORI early       5            6            5            5
Max LVORI late        6            2            5            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum
RH 70 percent. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. Southeast winds
15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s.
Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 70 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-291100-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
257 PM EDT Tue Mar 28 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        40           0            0            0
Precip type           Tstms        None         None         None
LAL                   3            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          57           77           50           70
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  5        N  5         E  4         E  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  4        NE  6        E  4         E  7
Precip amount         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Inversion             2000         66/1000      2000         57/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        89           44           87           39
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          4            4            3            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                7360                      5490
Transport wnd (mph)                N  3                      SE  9
Ventilation rate                   22080                     49410
ADI early             60 Gen good  37 Fair      13 Gen poor  36 Fair
ADI late              3 Very poor  43 Gen good  3 Very poor  52 Gen good
Max LVORI early       4            6            4            5
Max LVORI late        6            2            5            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum
RH 65 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. Southeast winds
15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s.
Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
South winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ087-291100-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
257 PM EDT Tue Mar 28 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        40           0            0            0
Precip type           Tstms        None         None         None
LAL                   2            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          57           78           52           71
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  5         N  6         E  5         E  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  5        NE  7        E  5         E  7
Precip amount         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       0
Inversion             2000         66/1000      2000         56/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        88           43           87           39
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          4            4            3            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                7320                      5390
Transport wnd (mph)                NE  5                     SE 10
Ventilation rate                   36600                     53900
ADI early             62 Good      45 Gen good  16 Gen poor  28 Fair
ADI late              3 Very poor  50 Gen good  5 Very poor  50 Gen good
Max LVORI early       4            6            4            5
Max LVORI late        6            2            5            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum
RH 64 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. Southeast winds
15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
South winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-291100-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
257 PM EDT Tue Mar 28 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           0            0            0
Precip type           Tstms        None         None         None
LAL                   3            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          58           80           52           72
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  7        N  5         E  6         E  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  4         NE  5        E  6         E 10
Precip amount         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       0
Inversion             2000         67/1000      2000         61/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        90           42           97           45
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                7680                      5590
Transport wnd (mph)                NE  5                     SE 15
Ventilation rate                   38400                     83850
ADI early             42 Gen good  26 Fair      15 Gen poor  39 Fair
ADI late              3 Very poor  29 Fair      5 Very poor  55 Gen good
Max LVORI early       4            6            5            6
Max LVORI late        6            2            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Southeast winds
10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum
RH 69 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. Southeast winds
15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-291100-
Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
257 PM EDT Tue Mar 28 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           0            0            0
Precip type           Tstms        None         None         None
LAL                   2            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          57           81           52           74
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  6         N  5         E  5         E  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  4        NE  5        E  5         E  9
Precip amount         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       0
Inversion             2000         67/1000      2000         60/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        89           38           98           42
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                7600                      5830
Transport wnd (mph)                N  3                      SE 13
Ventilation rate                   22800                     75790
ADI early             49 Gen good  33 Fair      14 Gen poor  32 Fair
ADI late              3 Very poor  37 Fair      5 Very poor  57 Gen good
Max LVORI early       3            6            4            6
Max LVORI late        6            2            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum
RH 61 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. Southeast winds
15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
43 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 97 percent. South
winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-291100-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
257 PM EDT Tue Mar 28 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           0            0            0
Precip type           Tstms        None         None         None
LAL                   2            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          56           80           53           73
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  5         N  6         E  5         E  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  5        NE  5        E  5         E  8
Precip amount         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       0
Inversion             2000         66/1000      2000         58/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        85           40           93           41
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                7460                      5690
Transport wnd (mph)                N  3                      SE 13
Ventilation rate                   22380                     73970
ADI early             54 Gen good  38 Fair      14 Gen poor  22 Fair
ADI late              3 Very poor  42 Gen good  5 Very poor  58 Gen good
Max LVORI early       3            5            3            6
Max LVORI late        5            2            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Southeast winds
around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum
RH 62 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. Southeast winds
10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
43 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
South winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

5


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