Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
300 PM EST Tue Jan 16 2018

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front will move across the area Wednesday bringing a mix of
rain and snow with small accumulations possible inland. Cold and
dry arctic air will build into area Wednesday night and
Thursday. Temperatures should moderate over the weekend as high
pressure moves off the Southeast coast. Rain chances could
return Monday with the next cold front.

Fog potential for tonight...low.

NCZ105>110-171200-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
300 PM EST Tue Jan 16 2018

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        PCldy        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            70           40           0
Precip type           None         Rain         Frz Rain     None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          33           47           20           43
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      N  3         NW 10 G21    NW  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      NW  8        NW  7        W  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.07         0.02         0.00
Precip duration                    3            1
Inversion             1700         41/0900      1900         27/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Good
Max/Min RH (%)        83           59           75           31
DSI                                1                         1
Haines Index          4            3            2            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                1380                      2180
Transport wnd (mph)                NW  9                     NW 21
Ventilation rate                   12420                     45780
ADI early             2 Very poor  16 Gen poor  10 poor      34 Fair
ADI late              1 Very poor  21 Fair      7 poor       47 Gen good
Max LVORI early       5            7            4            3
Max LVORI late        7            3            3            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH
75 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
93 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 66 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ099-171200-
Columbus-
Including the cities of Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn,
and Lake Waccamaw
300 PM EST Tue Jan 16 2018

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        MClear       Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            70           40           0
Precip type           None         Snow/rain    Frz Rain     None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          33           44           21           44
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      NW  4        NW  9        NW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      NW  8        NW  6        W  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.10         0.02         0.00
Precip duration                    4            0
Inversion             1700         39/0900      1900         27/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        81           64           76           30
DSI                                1                         1
Haines Index          4            3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                1360                      2110
Transport wnd (mph)                W 12                      NW 21
Ventilation rate                   16320                     44310
ADI early             2 Very poor  20 Gen poor  9 poor       35 Fair
ADI late              1 Very poor  24 Fair      5 Very poor  49 Gen good
Max LVORI early       5            6            3            3
Max LVORI late        6            3            3            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH 74 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 32 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Maximum RH 83 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 62 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 100 percent. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
44 percent. North winds around 5 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-171200-
Robeson-Bladen-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, and Bladenboro
300 PM EST Tue Jan 16 2018

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        MClear       Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            70           30           0
Precip type           None         Snow/fz Ra   Frz Rain     None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          32           41           20           44
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      NW  5        NW  9        NW  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      NW  9        NW  6        W  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.16         0.02         0.00
Precip duration                    6            0
Inversion             1700         36/0900      1900         27/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        82           64           78           29
DSI                                1                         2
Haines Index          4            2            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                1190                      1700
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 13                     NW 21
Ventilation rate                   15470                     35700
ADI early             2 Very poor  22 Fair      10 poor      30 Fair
ADI late              1 Very poor  26 Fair      6 Very poor  42 Gen good
Max LVORI early       5            6            3            3
Max LVORI late        6            3            3            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH 75 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 31 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 61 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 100 percent. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
42 percent. North winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-171200-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
300 PM EST Tue Jan 16 2018

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        MClear       Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            70           0            0
Precip type           None         Rain         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          34           46           22           44
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      NW  5        NW 10 G20    NW  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      NW  9        NW  7        W  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.06         0.00         0.00
Precip duration                    3
Inversion             1700         41/0900      1900         29/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Good
Max/Min RH (%)        80           59           71           30
DSI                                1                         1
Haines Index          4            3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                1680                      2440
Transport wnd (mph)                W 12                      NW 20
Ventilation rate                   20160                     48800
ADI early             2 Very poor  23 Fair      10 poor      52 Gen good
ADI late              1 Very poor  29 Fair      7 poor       55 Gen good
Max LVORI early       4            6            3            2
Max LVORI late        6            3            3            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH
73 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
91 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 52 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 64 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 40. Maximum RH 100 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
46 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-171200-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
300 PM EST Tue Jan 16 2018

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        MClear       Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            70           0            0
Precip type           None         Snow/rain    None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          34           42           21           45
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      NW  5        NW  9        NW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  3         NW  9        NW  5        W  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.10         0.00         0.00
Precip duration                    5
Inversion             1700         38/0900      1900         29/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        82           59           74           29
DSI                                1                         2
Haines Index          4            2            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                1660                      2380
Transport wnd (mph)                W 13                      NW 20
Ventilation rate                   21580                     47600
ADI early             2 Very poor  25 Fair      9 poor       47 Gen good
ADI late              1 Very poor  30 Fair      5 Very poor  51 Gen good
Max LVORI early       4            6            3            3
Max LVORI late        6            3            3            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH 72 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 30 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Maximum RH 82 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 62 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 99 percent. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
42 percent. North winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ024-171200-
Dillon-
Including the city of Dillon
300 PM EST Tue Jan 16 2018

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        MClear       Clear
Precip chc (%)        30           70           0            0
Precip type           Rain         Snow/fz Ra   None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          33           38           21           44
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      NW  5        NW  9        W  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  3         N 10         NW  6        W  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.16         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       0            5
Inversion             1700         36/0900      1900         28/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        82           64           76           29
DSI                                1                         2
Haines Index          4            2            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                1250                      1810
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 14                     NW 20
Ventilation rate                   17500                     36200
ADI early             2 Very poor  24 Fair      11 poor      28 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  28 Fair      6 Very poor  41 Gen good
Max LVORI early       4            6            3            3
Max LVORI late        6            3            3            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH 74 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 30 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 61 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 100 percent. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
42 percent. North winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-171200-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
300 PM EST Tue Jan 16 2018

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        MClear       Clear
Precip chc (%)        30           70           0            0
Precip type           Rain         Snow/fz Ra   None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          33           37           20           45
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  3         NW  6        NW  9        W  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  4        N 10         NW  5        W  6
Precip amount         0.02         0.17         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1            7
Inversion             1700         35/0600      1900         28/0900
Dispersion            Poor                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        87           60           74           28
DSI                                1                         2
Haines Index          4            2            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                1170                      1770
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 14                     NW 18
Ventilation rate                   16380                     31860
ADI early             2 Very poor  24 Fair      8 poor       28 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  28 Fair      5 Very poor  39 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            6            3            3
Max LVORI late        5            3            3            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH 72 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 29 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 62 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 98 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
41 percent. North winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

15



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