Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 230750
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
350 AM EDT Mon Oct 23 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A strong cold front will approach from the west today and slow,
finally moving completely offshore Tuesday afternoon. Showers
and thunderstorms are expected along and ahead of the front with
the possibility for a line of strong to severe thunderstorms
late this afternoon and this evening. In the wake of the front,
dry and cool air will filter in mid week as Canadian high
pressure takes hold. Showers in association with developing low
pressure may return to the area this weekend.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Brotak Wind Profile today.

Fog potential for tonight...None.

NCZ105>110-240000-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
350 AM EDT Mon Oct 23 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        50           90           80
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            3            3
Min/Max Temp          80           66           78
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  7        S 12 G23     SW  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE 12 G23    S 10 G22     SW 10
Precip amount         0.06         0.59         0.23
Precip duration       2            8            3
Inversion             70/0900      1900         69/0900
Dispersion                         Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        58           100          57
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4840                      3170
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 28                     SW  9
Ventilation rate      135520                    28530
ADI early             63 Good      49 Gen good  22 Fair
ADI late              83 Good      12 poor      34 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            6            8
Max LVORI late        3            7            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
79 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
86 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 59 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent. East winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 70s. Minimum RH 59 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-240000-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
350 AM EDT Mon Oct 23 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        60           90           60
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            3            3
Min/Max Temp          79           62           78
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  7        S 12         SW  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE 12        S  8         SW  9
Precip amount         0.22         0.74         0.09
Precip duration       2            10           1
Inversion             67/0900      1900         65/0900
Dispersion                         Good
Max/Min RH (%)        62           99           47
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4460                      4240
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 31                     SW 12
Ventilation rate      138260                    50880
ADI early             61 Good      53 Gen good  25 Fair
ADI late              92 Good      11 poor      44 Gen good
Max LVORI early       7            5            9
Max LVORI late        2            7            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
84 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
83 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 41 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 90 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 70. Minimum RH 54 percent. North winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-240000-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
350 AM EDT Mon Oct 23 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        70           90           70
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            3            3
Min/Max Temp          79           62           78
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  8        S 13 G23     SW  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE 13 G23    SW  9 G20    SW  9
Precip amount         0.25         0.69         0.08
Precip duration       4            11           1
Inversion             72/0900      1900         65/0900
Dispersion                         Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        69           98           50
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3910                      3980
Transport wnd (mph)   S 33                      SW 10
Ventilation rate      129030                    39800
ADI early             67 Good      43 Gen good  29 Fair
ADI late              89 Good      12 poor      38 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            5            8
Max LVORI late        4            6            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
82 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
80 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 60 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 91 percent. East winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 70s. Minimum RH 57 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-240000-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
350 AM EDT Mon Oct 23 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        80           90           40
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            3            3
Min/Max Temp          79           58           77
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  8        S 11         SW  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE 13        SW  7        SW  9
Precip amount         0.39         0.78         0.02
Precip duration       5            11           1
Inversion             69/0900      1900         62/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        68           99           45
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3610                      4530
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 30                     SW 12
Ventilation rate      108300                    54360
ADI early             54 Gen good  43 Gen good  27 Fair
ADI late              72 Good      10 poor      47 Gen good
Max LVORI early       7            5            9
Max LVORI late        3            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
83 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
84 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 40 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 91 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 93 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent. East winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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