Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
000
FNUS52 KILM 190820
FWFILM
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
420 AM EDT SUN MAY 19 2013
.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL BRING ENHANCED CHANCES OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TOMORROW. BERMUDA HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD TOWARD THE EAST COAST THE SECOND HALF OF
THE WEEK...BRINGING A DRYING AND WARMING TREND.
WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW.
NCZ105>110-200030-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
420 AM EDT SUN MAY 19 2013
TODAY TONIGHT MON
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 40 30 60
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
LAL 3 3 3
MAX/MIN TEMP 81 66 80
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S 5 S 9 S 8
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 10 S 7 S 11
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.04 0.06 0.31
PRECIP DURATION 2 2 4
INVERSION 74/1000 2000 74/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%) 61 99 65
DSI 2 2
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 3860 3660
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 17 S 21
VENTILATION RATE 65620 76860
ADI EARLY 28 FAIR 40 FAIR 39 FAIR
ADI LATE 49 GEN GOOD 13 GEN POOR 55 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 8 4 6
MAX LVORI LATE 2 7 3
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
60 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-200030-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
420 AM EDT SUN MAY 19 2013
TODAY TONIGHT MON
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 60 50 70
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
LAL 3 3 3
MAX/MIN TEMP 82 66 80
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S 5 S 8 S 7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 9 S 6 S 8
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.18 0.15 0.36
PRECIP DURATION 4 3 6
INVERSION 72/0900 2000 72/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%) 59 99 63
DSI 3 2
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4360 3900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 20 S 17
VENTILATION RATE 87200 66300
ADI EARLY 32 FAIR 47 GEN GOOD 32 FAIR
ADI LATE 56 GEN GOOD 12 POOR 47 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 4 7
MAX LVORI LATE 1 7 3
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
SCZ053>056-200030-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
420 AM EDT SUN MAY 19 2013
TODAY TONIGHT MON
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 40 30 60
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
LAL 3 3 3
MAX/MIN TEMP 82 67 81
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S 5 S 10 S 8
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 11 S 6 S 9
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.06 0.05 0.33
PRECIP DURATION 2 2 5
INVERSION 74/1000 2000 73/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%) 64 98 64
DSI 2 2
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 3700 3730
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 18 S 16
VENTILATION RATE 66600 59680
ADI EARLY 29 FAIR 40 FAIR 33 FAIR
ADI LATE 47 GEN GOOD 12 POOR 42 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 4 6
MAX LVORI LATE 3 7 3
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
60 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS
IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-200030-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON
420 AM EDT SUN MAY 19 2013
TODAY TONIGHT MON
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 70 50 70
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
LAL 3 3 3
MAX/MIN TEMP 82 66 81
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S 5 S 8 S 5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 9 S 6 SW 6
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.26 0.21 0.37
PRECIP DURATION 5 4 6
INVERSION 72/1000 2000 71/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%) 61 98 62
DSI 3 2
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4600 3890
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 17 S 12
VENTILATION RATE 78200 46680
ADI EARLY 31 FAIR 46 GEN GOOD 26 FAIR
ADI LATE 52 GEN GOOD 10 POOR 32 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 5 7
MAX LVORI LATE 2 8 3
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-200030-
FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
420 AM EDT SUN MAY 19 2013
TODAY TONIGHT MON
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 60 50 70
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
LAL 3 3 3
MAX/MIN TEMP 82 67 81
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S 5 S 8 S 6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 10 S 6 SW 7
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.17 0.14 0.35
PRECIP DURATION 4 2 5
INVERSION 73/1000 2000 72/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%) 61 98 62
DSI 2 2
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4390 3910
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 17 S 12
VENTILATION RATE 74630 46920
ADI EARLY 28 FAIR 42 GEN GOOD 28 FAIR
ADI LATE 48 GEN GOOD 10 POOR 34 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 5 8
MAX LVORI LATE 3 8 3
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN
THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL. PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
$$
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