Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 300741
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
341 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

.DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE OFF THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES COAST WILL MOVE FARTHER
OFFSHORE THROUGH TODAY. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE
CAROLINAS THROUGH THURSDAY. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE
AREA EARLY SATURDAY ACCOMPANIED BY THE NEXT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. MUCH COOLER FALL WEATHER IS EXPECTED EARLY NEXT WEEK.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...MODERATE

NCZ105>110-302345-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
341 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          80           59           82
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)N  6         NE  3        N  3
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  7        LGT/VAR      NE  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
INVERSION             75/1100      2000         77/1100
MIN/MAX RH (%)        50           100          49
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            4            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3710                      3790
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 12                     NE  7
VENTILATION RATE      44520                     26530
ADI EARLY             19 GEN POOR  30 FAIR      20 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              40 FAIR      1 VERY POOR  24 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       8            6            10
MAX LVORI LATE        2            10           2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
99 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. NORTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
99 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
66 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
65 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-302345-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
341 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          81           60           83
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)N  3         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  5        LGT/VAR      E  3
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
INVERSION             74/1100      2000         76/1100
MIN/MAX RH (%)        52           100          49
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3960                      4700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  9                     E  5
VENTILATION RATE      35640                     23500
ADI EARLY             16 GEN POOR  27 FAIR      13 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              34 FAIR      1 VERY POOR  25 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            6            10
MAX LVORI LATE        2            10           2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
MAXIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
68 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-302345-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
341 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          81           61           83
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  6        LGT/VAR      E  4
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
INVERSION             74/1100      2000         78/1100
MIN/MAX RH (%)        53           100          49
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            4            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3790                      4150
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 12                     E  7
VENTILATION RATE      45480                     29050
ADI EARLY             20 GEN POOR  30 FAIR      19 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              44 GEN GOOD  1 VERY POOR  26 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       7            5            10
MAX LVORI LATE        2            10           2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
99 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
99 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
65 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
64 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-302345-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
341 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          81           60           84
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)N  3         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  4        LGT/VAR      E  3
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
INVERSION             73/1100      2000         77/1100
MIN/MAX RH (%)        50           99           47
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            5            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3960                      4700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  9                     SE  6
VENTILATION RATE      35640                     28200
ADI EARLY             18 GEN POOR  25 FAIR      13 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              34 FAIR      1 VERY POOR  29 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            5            10
MAX LVORI LATE        2            9            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
MAXIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
63 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

29




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