Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 250726
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
326 AM EDT Thu May 25 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front will move offshore this morning. High pressure
will then build in from late today into Friday and persist into
the weekend, bringing dry weather and increasing heat. A cold
front will reach into the Carolinas early next week, finally
moving off shore by mid week.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...None.

NCZ105>110-252330-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
326 AM EDT Thu May 25 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       Clear
Precip chc (%)        40           0            0
Precip type           Tstms        None         None
LAL                   3            1            1
Min/Max Temp          80           59           83
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW 12 G27    SW 12 G27    W 10 G22
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 15 G29    W 11 G22     W 10
Precip amount         0.07         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Inversion             None         2300         68/0900
Dispersion                         Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        41           80           37
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6080                      6090
Transport wnd (mph)   W 26                      W 20
Ventilation rate      158080                    121800
ADI early             86 Good      93 Good      46 Gen good
ADI late              98 Good      13 Gen poor  64 Good
Max LVORI early       4            3            4
Max LVORI late        1            4            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 93 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-252330-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
326 AM EDT Thu May 25 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       Clear
Precip chc (%)        50           0            0
Precip type           Tstms        None         None
LAL                   3            1            1
Min/Max Temp          78           57           83
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW 11 G24    SW 11 G24    W  9
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 15 G26    SW  9        W 10
Precip amount         0.09         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Inversion             None         2300         66/0900
Dispersion                         Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        44           85           36
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          4            3            5
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5850                      5850
Transport wnd (mph)   W 26                      W 18
Ventilation rate      152100                    105300
ADI early             71 Good      79 Good      42 Gen good
ADI late              93 Good      9 poor       62 Good
Max LVORI early       5            3            4
Max LVORI late        1            4            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 43 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 91 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 43 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-252330-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
326 AM EDT Thu May 25 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       Clear
Precip chc (%)        40           0            0
Precip type           Tstms        None         None
LAL                   3            1            1
Min/Max Temp          79           58           83
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW 12 G25    W 12 G25     W  9 G20
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 16 G27    W 10         W 10
Precip amount         0.05         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Inversion             None         2300         68/0900
Dispersion                         Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        41           83           39
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          4            4            5
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6080                      5090
Transport wnd (mph)   W 29                      W 16
Ventilation rate      176320                    81440
ADI early             87 Good      83 Good      44 Gen good
ADI late              93 Good      9 poor       49 Gen good
Max LVORI early       4            3            4
Max LVORI late        1            4            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-252330-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
326 AM EDT Thu May 25 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       Clear
Precip chc (%)        40           0            0
Precip type           Tstms        None         None
LAL                   3            1            1
Min/Max Temp          78           57           84
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW 11 G24    SW 11 G24    W  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 16 G27    SW  8        W 10
Precip amount         0.09         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Inversion             None         2300         66/0900
Dispersion                         Good
Max/Min RH (%)        44           86           36
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          4            4            5
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5360                      5390
Transport wnd (mph)   W 28                      W 16
Ventilation rate      150080                    86240
ADI early             72 Good      78 Good      43 Gen good
ADI late              89 Good      7 poor       53 Gen good
Max LVORI early       5            3            4
Max LVORI late        1            4            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 89 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 42 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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