Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 280934
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
434 AM EST SAT FEB 28 2015

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL WEDGE DOWN THE COAST THIS WEEKEND. DRY BUT CHILLY
WEATHER IS EXPECTED TODAY. RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE SUNDAY AS
TEMPERATURES MODERATE. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA MONDAY
ACCOMPANIED BY SHOWERS. SEASONABLE WEATHER IS EXPECTED TUESDAY
BEFORE THIS FRONT LIFTS NORTH AS A WARM FRONT WEDNESDAY...BRINGING
ONE DAY OF WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH WEDNESDAY NIGHT OR THURSDAY.
BROTAK PROFILE TODAY.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...5SM OR LESS: LOW

NCZ105>110-010145-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
434 AM EST SAT FEB 28 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            30
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          45           29           52
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE 10        NE 10        NE  7
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     NE 11        NE  9        E  4
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.12
PRECIP DURATION                                 1
INVERSION             35/0900      1800         CONTINUED
MIN/MAX RH (%)        43           91           64
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2380                      850
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 17                     E  8
VENTILATION RATE      40460                     6800
ADI EARLY             29 FAIR      16 GEN POOR  7 POOR
ADI LATE              36 FAIR      10 POOR      9 POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            3            5
MAX LVORI LATE        2            4            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 80 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
WARMER. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 73 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 72 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH.
.FRIDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS
20 TO 25 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-010145-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
434 AM EST SAT FEB 28 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            20           40
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          44           28           51
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE  9        NE  9        NE  7
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     NE 10        NE  9        NE  4
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.11
PRECIP DURATION                    0            2
INVERSION             35/0900      1800         CONTINUED
MIN/MAX RH (%)        42           91           65
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          4            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2410                      850
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 18                     NE  8
VENTILATION RATE      43380                     6800
ADI EARLY             36 FAIR      16 GEN POOR  8 POOR
ADI LATE              38 FAIR      9 POOR       9 POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            3            7
MAX LVORI LATE        2            4            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 79 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
WARMER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 60 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 73 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-010145-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
434 AM EST SAT FEB 28 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            30           40
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         FRZ RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          46           32           51
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE 11        NE 11        NE  8
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     NE 11        NE 10        NE  4
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.13
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2
INVERSION             36/0900      1800         CONTINUED
MIN/MAX RH (%)        43           93           60
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2630                      850
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 17                     NE  8
VENTILATION RATE      44710                     6800
ADI EARLY             27 FAIR      17 GEN POOR  8 POOR
ADI LATE              39 FAIR      10 POOR      9 POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            3            5
MAX LVORI LATE        2            4            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 83 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 87 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
WARMER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 71 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
COOLER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 75 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS
15 TO 20 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
HIGHS AROUND 50. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-010145-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
434 AM EST SAT FEB 28 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            30           50
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          46           30           45
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE 10        NE  9        NE  7
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     NE 11        NE  9        NE  4
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.16
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2
INVERSION             36/0900      1800         CONTINUED
MIN/MAX RH (%)        40           91           63
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          4            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2580                      850
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 17                     NE  8
VENTILATION RATE      43860                     6800
ADI EARLY             37 FAIR      17 GEN POOR  9 POOR
ADI LATE              40 FAIR      10 POOR      9 POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            3            7
MAX LVORI LATE        2            4            5

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 87 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 80 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
WARMER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 60 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 75 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
HIGHS AROUND 50. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

31






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