Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 140821
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
321 AM EST Thu Dec 14 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Temperatures will return to near or slightly above normal today thru
Friday due to weak high pressure affecting the forecast area.
A dry cold frontal passage Friday evening will bring at or slightly below
normal temperatures Saturday. Center of high pressure overhead on Sunday,
will slide off the coast and offshore early next week with temperatures
at or slightly above the norm. By the mid-week period, low pressure will
approach from the Gulf Coast region along with increasing rain chances.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight...Low.

NCZ105>110-150030-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
321 AM EST Thu Dec 14 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          Clear        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          59           34           58
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  9 G20     N  3         NW  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  6         NE  4        W  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             47/1000      1700         50/1000
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        36           100          48
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          5            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3910                      3230
Transport wnd (mph)   W 10                      W 17
Ventilation rate      39100                     54910
ADI early             35 Fair      2 Very poor  26 Fair
ADI late              47 Gen good  3 Very poor  45 Gen good
Max LVORI early       3            4            9
Max LVORI late        2            8            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
53 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain.
Warmer. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 90 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 92 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the lower 60s. Minimum RH 70 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 85 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-150030-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
321 AM EST Thu Dec 14 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          Clear        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          58           33           57
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  8         LGT/VAR      NE  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  5         NE  3        W  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             46/1000      1700         47/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        36           96           48
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          5            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4140                      3110
Transport wnd (mph)   W 10                      W 17
Ventilation rate      41400                     52870
ADI early             35 Fair      2 Very poor  22 Fair
ADI late              45 Gen good  3 Very poor  48 Gen good
Max LVORI early       3            4            7
Max LVORI late        2            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Light and variable wind.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 52 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Not
as cool. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 89 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 93 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the lower 60s. Minimum RH 67 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 87 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-150030-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
321 AM EST Thu Dec 14 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          Clear        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          58           33           54
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  8         LGT/VAR      N  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  5         NE  4        W  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             45/1000      1700         44/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        36           88           46
DSI                   2                         1
Haines Index          5            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4470                      3000
Transport wnd (mph)   W  9                      W 15
Ventilation rate      40230                     45000
ADI early             35 Fair      2 Very poor  13 Gen poor
ADI late              56 Gen good  4 Very poor  48 Gen good
Max LVORI early       3            4            5
Max LVORI late        2            5            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 30. Maximum RH
84 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Light and variable wind.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
51 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Not
as cool. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 90 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 93 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the lower 60s. Minimum RH 65 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 87 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-150030-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, and Bucksport
321 AM EST Thu Dec 14 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          Clear        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          59           36           59
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  9         W  3         W  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  7         LGT/VAR      W  9
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             47/1000      1700         51/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        41           100          46
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          5            5            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3030                      3040
Transport wnd (mph)   W 14                      W 17
Ventilation rate      42420                     51680
ADI early             29 Fair      3 Very poor  26 Fair
ADI late              43 Gen good  3 Very poor  42 Gen good
Max LVORI early       3            5            10
Max LVORI late        2            10           1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Light and variable wind.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain.
Warmer. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 90 percent. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 74 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 91 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the lower 60s. Minimum RH 71 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 85 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-059-150030-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, Kingstree, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
321 AM EST Thu Dec 14 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          Clear        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          60           35           57
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  8         LGT/VAR      W  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  6         LGT/VAR      W  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             46/1000      1700         47/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        35           100          45
DSI                   2                         1
Haines Index          4            5            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3820                      3120
Transport wnd (mph)   W 15                      W 17
Ventilation rate      57300                     53040
ADI early             31 Fair      3 Very poor  26 Fair
ADI late              52 Gen good  2 Very poor  44 Gen good
Max LVORI early       3            6            10
Max LVORI late        1            10           1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Light and variable wind.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Not
as cool. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 89 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 93 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the lower 60s. Minimum RH 68 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 88 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-150030-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
321 AM EST Thu Dec 14 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          Clear        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          60           34           55
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  7         LGT/VAR      N  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  5         NE  3        W  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             45/1000      1700         44/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        34           92           44
DSI                   2                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4620                      3040
Transport wnd (mph)   W 10                      W 15
Ventilation rate      46200                     45600
ADI early             32 Fair      2 Very poor  17 Gen poor
ADI late              47 Gen good  3 Very poor  46 Gen good
Max LVORI early       3            4            6
Max LVORI late        2            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 30. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Light and variable wind.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
52 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Not
as cool. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 90 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 92 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the lower 60s. Minimum RH 65 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 86 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

dch



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