Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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970
FNUS52 KILM 282008
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
408 PM EDT WED SEP 28 2016

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST WILL SLOW DOWN ON FRIDAY AND
LINGER NEAR OR ALONG THE CAROLINA COAST THROUGH THIS WEEKEND. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND THE FRONT THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...MODERATE

NCZ105>110-291215-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...WILMINGTON...
MASONBORO...MYRTLE GROVE...OGDEN...CAROLINA BEACH...SEAGATE...
BOILING SPRING LAKES...LELAND...SHALLOTTE...OAK ISLAND...
LONG BEACH...SOUTHPORT...SUNSET BEACH
408 PM EDT WED SEP 28 2016

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           50           40           30
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS
LAL                   3            3            3            3
MIN/MAX TEMP          70           86           69           83
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    S  5         S  3         S  6         S  3
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     S  3         S  7         S  4         S  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.16         0.10         0.09
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            2            2
INVERSION             1900         76/1000      1900         75/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        99           59           97           61
DSI                                2                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                6130                      5100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 13                      S 18
VENTILATION RATE                   79690                     91800
ADI EARLY             36 FAIR      38 FAIR      42 GEN GOOD  35 FAIR
ADI LATE              2 VERY POOR  59 GEN GOOD  4 VERY POOR  76 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            8            6            8
MAX LVORI LATE        8            2            7            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 89 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO
20 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-291215-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...BLADENBORO...
WHITEVILLE...TABOR CITY...CHADBOURN...LAKE WACCAMAW
408 PM EDT WED SEP 28 2016

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           50           30           30
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS
LAL                   3            3            3            3
MIN/MAX TEMP          69           85           68           83
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    S  5         S  3         S  5         LGT/VAR
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     SE  3        S  7         S  3         S  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.15         0.08         0.06
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            2            1
INVERSION             1900         74/1000      1900         73/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        100          58           96           53
DSI                                2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                6130                      5590
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 14                      S 14
VENTILATION RATE                   85820                     78260
ADI EARLY             46 GEN GOOD  57 GEN GOOD  46 GEN GOOD  15 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              2 VERY POOR  64 GOOD      2 VERY POOR  74 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       7            10           6            8
MAX LVORI LATE        9            1            7            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
94 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
50 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
93 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-291215-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...RED HILL...MYRTLE BEACH...
SOCASTEE...NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...LITTLE RIVER...
ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...MURRELLS INLET
408 PM EDT WED SEP 28 2016

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           40           30           30
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS
LAL                   3            3            3            3
MIN/MAX TEMP          70           85           68           83
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    S  6         S  4         S  7         SW  4
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     S  4         S  8         SW  5        S  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.13         0.08         0.07
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1            1
INVERSION             1900         75/1000      1900         75/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        100          59           93           52
DSI                                2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                6090                      5430
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 13                      S 14
VENTILATION RATE                   79170                     76020
ADI EARLY             45 GEN GOOD  44 GEN GOOD  49 GEN GOOD  18 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              3 VERY POOR  67 GOOD      3 VERY POOR  50 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            9            5            7
MAX LVORI LATE        7            1            7            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
51 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO
20 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO
20 MPH.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-291215-
FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLORENCE...MARION...MULLINS...KINGSTREE
408 PM EDT WED SEP 28 2016

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           40           20           20
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS
LAL                   3            3            3            2
MIN/MAX TEMP          69           86           65           83
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    S  5         S  3         S  5         SW  3
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     S  3         S  7         SW  3        SW  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.12         0.07         0.04
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1            1
INVERSION             1900         74/1000      1900         72/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        99           53           92           48
DSI                                2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                6330                      5880
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 15                      SW 12
VENTILATION RATE                   94950                     70560
ADI EARLY             36 FAIR      41 GEN GOOD  45 GEN GOOD  19 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              2 VERY POOR  67 GOOD      2 VERY POOR  53 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            9            5            7
MAX LVORI LATE        7            1            7            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
94 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
92 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-291215-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...MCCOLL...HARTSVILLE...
DARLINGTON...NORTH HARTSVILLE...DILLON
408 PM EDT WED SEP 28 2016

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           40           20           20
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS
LAL                   3            3            3            2
MIN/MAX TEMP          68           85           64           82
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    S  6         S  3         S  5         SW  3
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     S  3         S  7         SW  3        SW  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.11         0.07         0.03
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1            1
INVERSION             1900         72/1000      1900         71/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        100          53           94           45
DSI                                2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                6300                      5710
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 16                      S 14
VENTILATION RATE                   100800                    79940
ADI EARLY             39 FAIR      31 FAIR      47 GEN GOOD  15 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              3 VERY POOR  72 GOOD      2 VERY POOR  63 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       8            10           6            7
MAX LVORI LATE        9            2            7            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
90 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
93 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
52 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

8



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