Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
316 PM EST Tue Feb 20 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Bermuda High pressure will bring temperatures well above normal
through the weekend with a few record high temperatures possible. A cold
front will drop towards the area Thursday night and Friday, but
likely stall just to our north before retreating. A cold front
will approach from the northwest late Sunday night and move across the
region early next week.

Fog potential for tonight...high.

NCZ105>110-211230-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
316 PM EST Tue Feb 20 2018

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            20           0            0
Precip type           None         Showers      None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          59           79           58           79
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  4         S  4         S  4         SW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  3         S  7         S  4         SW  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration                    0
Inversion             2100         67/0900      2100         66/0900
Dispersion            Poor                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        100          60           100          56
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3350                      3320
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 14                     S 10
Ventilation rate                   46900                     33200
ADI early             8 poor       24 Fair      2 Very poor  28 Fair
ADI late              1 Very poor  43 Gen good  1 Very poor  43 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            10           10           10
Max LVORI late        10           3            10           3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows in the upper 50s.
Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
58 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 80. Minimum RH 57 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 90 percent. West winds 15 to
20 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 98 percent. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-211230-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
316 PM EST Tue Feb 20 2018

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          59           80           58           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  5         S  5         S  5         SW  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  4         S  7         S  4         SW  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             2100         67/0900      2100         67/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        100          56           100          55
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3560                      3490
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 13                     SW 10
Ventilation rate                   46280                     34900
ADI early             11 poor      21 Fair      3 Very poor  28 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  45 Gen good  2 Very poor  48 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            10           8            10
Max LVORI late        10           3            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
54 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 87 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Northwest winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 93 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-211230-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
316 PM EST Tue Feb 20 2018

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          59           80           58           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  5        S  5         S  5         S  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE  4        S  8         S  4         S  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             2100         67/0900      2100         66/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        100          59           100          55
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3920                      3780
Transport wnd (mph)                S 13                      S  9
Ventilation rate                   50960                     34020
ADI early             11 poor      21 Fair      3 Very poor  26 Fair
ADI late              1 Very poor  44 Gen good  1 Very poor  39 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            10           10           10
Max LVORI late        10           3            10           3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
57 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Cooler.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent. West winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-211230-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
316 PM EST Tue Feb 20 2018

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          60           81           58           81
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  5        S  5         S  5         S  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE  4        S  7         S  4         SW  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             2100         68/0900      2100         67/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        100          54           100          50
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            4            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4040                      3890
Transport wnd (mph)                S 12                      S  8
Ventilation rate                   48480                     31120
ADI early             10 poor      24 Fair      2 Very poor  23 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  43 Gen good  1 Very poor  39 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            10           9            10
Max LVORI late        10           3            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 50 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 86 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Cooler.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent. West winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 50. Maximum RH 93 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-211230-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
316 PM EST Tue Feb 20 2018

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          60           81           61           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  6         S  5         S  6         SW  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  5         S  7         S  5         SW  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             2100         68/0900      2100         67/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        100          56           100          55
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            4            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3820                      3700
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 13                     SW 12
Ventilation rate                   49660                     44400
ADI early             11 poor      21 Fair      3 Very poor  27 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  37 Fair      2 Very poor  50 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            10           7            10
Max LVORI late        10           3            10           3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
50 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 82 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Cooler.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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