Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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003
FNUS52 KILM 190803
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
403 AM EDT Sat Aug 19 2017

.DISCUSSION...
High heat and humidity will continue today and Sunday with
temporary relief from scattered afternoon and early evening
showers and thunderstorms due to a slowly approaching cool
front and it`s interaction with an inland progressing sea
breeze. This front will stall in close proximity to the coast
during the weekend before dissipating Monday. High pressure will
build across the area from the western Atlantic Tuesday and
Wednesday, followed by another cool front approaching from the
northwest late Wednesday thru Thursday.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...Low to Moderate.

NCZ105>110-200015-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
403 AM EDT Sat Aug 19 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        50           40           30
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            3
Min/Max Temp          91           73           91
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  6        SW  4        LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  5        SW  3        S  5
Precip amount         0.09         0.07         0.06
Precip duration       2            2            2
Inversion             82/0900      2000         82/0900
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        61           100          58
DSI                   2                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5300                      6040
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 10                     SE  5
Ventilation rate      53000                     30200
ADI early             29 Fair      25 Fair      6 Very poor
ADI late              35 Fair      3 Very poor  17 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       7            6            10
Max LVORI late        3            10           3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-200015-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
403 AM EDT Sat Aug 19 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        40           30           20
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            2
Min/Max Temp          91           73           92
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  4        S  3         LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  3         SW  3        SE  4
Precip amount         0.07         0.02         0.03
Precip duration       2            1            1
Inversion             81/0900      2000         81/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        55           100          51
DSI                   2                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6020                      6390
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 10                     SE  3
Ventilation rate      60200                     19170
ADI early             25 Fair      28 Fair      9 poor
ADI late              40 Fair      2 Very poor  19 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       7            6            10
Max LVORI late        3            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 59 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-200015-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
403 AM EDT Sat Aug 19 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           20           0
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        None
LAL                   3            2            1
Min/Max Temp          92           72           93
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW  4        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  3         LGT/VAR      E  5
Precip amount         0.05         0.01         0.00
Precip duration       1            0
Inversion             80/0900      2000         81/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        50           100          46
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6380                      6360
Transport wnd (mph)   W  8                      SE  5
Ventilation rate      51040                     31800
ADI early             21 Fair      23 Fair      21 Fair
ADI late              43 Gen good  2 Very poor  23 Fair
Max LVORI early       8            6            10
Max LVORI late        2            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-200015-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
403 AM EDT Sat Aug 19 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        40           30           30
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            3
Min/Max Temp          93           74           92
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  5        SW  5        LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  5        SW  4        SE  6
Precip amount         0.08         0.05         0.07
Precip duration       2            1            2
Inversion             82/0900      2000         82/0900
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        58           100          56
DSI                   2                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5580                      6290
Transport wnd (mph)   SW  9                     SE  6
Ventilation rate      50220                     37740
ADI early             26 Fair      19 Gen poor  7 poor
ADI late              29 Fair      3 Very poor  22 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            6            10
Max LVORI late        3            10           3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-200015-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
403 AM EDT Sat Aug 19 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           20           20
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            2            2
Min/Max Temp          93           73           93
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  4         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  4         SW  3        SE  5
Precip amount         0.06         0.01         0.03
Precip duration       2            0            1
Inversion             81/0900      2000         81/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        50           100          50
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5960                      6550
Transport wnd (mph)   SW  8                     SE  5
Ventilation rate      47680                     32750
ADI early             22 Fair      15 Gen poor  18 Gen poor
ADI late              26 Fair      2 Very poor  24 Fair
Max LVORI early       7            6            10
Max LVORI late        2            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 60 percent. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-200015-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
403 AM EDT Sat Aug 19 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           0            0
Precip type           Tstms        None         None
LAL                   3            1            1
Min/Max Temp          93           72           94
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW  3        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  5
Precip amount         0.04         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Inversion             80/0900      2000         81/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        48           100          45
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6510                      6540
Transport wnd (mph)   W  6                      SE  5
Ventilation rate      39060                     32700
ADI early             19 Gen poor  17 Gen poor  24 Fair
ADI late              30 Fair      2 Very poor  30 Fair
Max LVORI early       7            5            10
Max LVORI late        2            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

dch



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