Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 060834
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
434 AM EDT MON JUL 6 2015

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL BRING ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY WITH THE BEST COVERAGE EXPECTED AT
THE COAST. DRIER AIR ON TUESDAY SHOULD REDUCE THE NUMBER OF
THUNDERSTORMS. THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK WILL FEATURE AN INCREASE
IN SUMMERTIME HEAT AND HUMIDITY ALONG WITH DIURNALLY DRIVEN
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW.

NCZ105>110-070045-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
434 AM EDT MON JUL 6 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        60           50           20
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   4            3            2
MAX/MIN TEMP          89           72           90
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  6        S 11 G20     SW  7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 10         S  7         S 10
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.04         0.03
PRECIP DURATION       5            2            1
INVERSION             79/0900      2100         80/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        54           98           50
DSI                   2                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            4            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4810                      5100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     SW 12
VENTILATION RATE      81770                     61200
ADI EARLY             32 FAIR      57 GEN GOOD  40 FAIR
ADI LATE              59 GEN GOOD  6 VERY POOR  59 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       7            4            9
MAX LVORI LATE        1            8            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-070045-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON
434 AM EDT MON JUL 6 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        30           30           20
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            3            2
MAX/MIN TEMP          91           71           93
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  6        S  9         SW  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S  8         S  6         S  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.01
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1
INVERSION             76/0900      2100         78/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        45           97           45
DSI                   3                         3
HAINES INDEX          4            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   6140                      6660
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     S 13
VENTILATION RATE      73680                     86580
ADI EARLY             28 FAIR      34 FAIR      32 FAIR
ADI LATE              50 GEN GOOD  7 POOR       76 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            4            7
MAX LVORI LATE        1            6            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH
94 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH
93 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-070045-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
434 AM EDT MON JUL 6 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           40           20
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            3            2
MAX/MIN TEMP          90           71           92
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  6        S 11 G20     S  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 10 G20     S  6         S  9
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.01         0.03
PRECIP DURATION       4            1            1
INVERSION             77/0900      2100         78/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        48           100          49
DSI                   3                         3
HAINES INDEX          4            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5620                      5920
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 14                      S 15
VENTILATION RATE      78680                     88800
ADI EARLY             32 FAIR      49 GEN GOOD  40 FAIR
ADI LATE              48 GEN GOOD  6 VERY POOR  84 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       8            4            9
MAX LVORI LATE        1            8            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH
96 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH
96 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-070045-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
434 AM EDT MON JUL 6 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           30           30
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            3            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          90           72           91
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  5        S 11 G20     S  6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 10 G20     S  6         S  9
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.02         0.04
PRECIP DURATION       4            2            1
INVERSION             79/0900      2100         79/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        51           99           51
DSI                   3                         3
HAINES INDEX          4            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5540                      5450
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 14                      S 15
VENTILATION RATE      77560                     81750
ADI EARLY             28 FAIR      49 GEN GOOD  32 FAIR
ADI LATE              48 GEN GOOD  6 VERY POOR  62 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       7            4            9
MAX LVORI LATE        1            7            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH
96 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH
94 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH
96 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-070045-
DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DILLON...FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
434 AM EDT MON JUL 6 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           30           30
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            3            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          91           72           92
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  6        S  9         S  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S  8         S  5         S  8
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.01         0.02
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1
INVERSION             78/0900      2100         79/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        46           99           49
DSI                   3                         3
HAINES INDEX          4            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   6100                      6060
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 12                      S 13
VENTILATION RATE      73200                     78780
ADI EARLY             29 FAIR      38 FAIR      36 FAIR
ADI LATE              38 FAIR      5 VERY POOR  65 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       8            4            9
MAX LVORI LATE        1            9            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH
98 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH
96 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

27



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