Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 251903
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
303 PM EDT Tue Jul 25 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front will approach from the north and should slip into the
area late tonight and on Wednesday before stalling and then dissipating
by Thursday. This will bring a chance for showers and thunderstorms
through Wednesday. Dry and hot weather will return for Thursday
and Friday. The arrival of a stronger cold front this weekend
will bring numerous thunderstorms back into the eastern Carolinas.

Fog potential for tonight...Low.

NCZ105>110-261115-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
303 PM EDT Tue Jul 25 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           40           30           0
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        None
LAL                   3            3            3            1
Min/Max Temp          73           88           72           90
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  3         E  6         E  5         LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      E  6         E  3         SE  6
Precip amount         0.11         0.11         0.02         0.00
Precip duration       2            2            0
Inversion             2100         81/1000      2000         80/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        99           56           95           53
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4290                      4600
Transport wnd (mph)                E  8                      S 12
Ventilation rate                   34320                     55200
ADI early             16 Gen poor  24 Fair      23 Fair      18 Gen poor
ADI late              3 Very poor  31 Fair      3 Very poor  43 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            9            5            7
Max LVORI late        9            2            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 91 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-261115-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
303 PM EDT Tue Jul 25 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           30           30           0
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        None
LAL                   3            3            3            1
Min/Max Temp          73           89           71           92
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      E  6         SE  4        LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      E  5         LGT/VAR      S  5
Precip amount         0.10         0.08         0.01         0.00
Precip duration       1            2            0
Inversion             2000         80/1000      2000         78/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        100          51           97           50
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4490                      5400
Transport wnd (mph)                E  7                      S  9
Ventilation rate                   31430                     48600
ADI early             7 poor       29 Fair      19 Gen poor  19 Gen poor
ADI late              4 Very poor  31 Fair      2 Very poor  43 Gen good
Max LVORI early       7            9            5            8
Max LVORI late        10           2            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 93 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 95 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-261115-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
303 PM EDT Tue Jul 25 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           50           50           0
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        None
LAL                   3            3            3            1
Min/Max Temp          73           88           72           90
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  4         E  3         SE  5        LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      E  6         LGT/VAR      SE  6
Precip amount         0.08         0.18         0.05         0.00
Precip duration       2            2            2
Inversion             2000         82/1000      2000         79/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        99           59           94           56
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4170                      4700
Transport wnd (mph)                SE  7                     S  9
Ventilation rate                   29190                     42300
ADI early             14 Gen poor  8 poor       21 Fair      12 poor
ADI late              2 Very poor  24 Fair      2 Very poor  33 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            10           5            7
Max LVORI late        10           3            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 90 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-261115-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
303 PM EDT Tue Jul 25 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           60           50           0
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        None
LAL                   3            4            3            1
Min/Max Temp          73           89           72           91
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      E  3         SE  5        LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      E  5         LGT/VAR      SE  4
Precip amount         0.08         0.20         0.05         0.00
Precip duration       1            2            1
Inversion             2000         81/1000      2000         78/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        100          58           94           52
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4560                      5280
Transport wnd (mph)                E  7                      S  7
Ventilation rate                   31920                     36960
ADI early             13 Gen poor  15 Gen poor  19 Gen poor  10 poor
ADI late              2 Very poor  22 Fair      2 Very poor  27 Fair
Max LVORI early       7            10           5            7
Max LVORI late        10           3            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 91 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 92 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 95 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-261115-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
303 PM EDT Tue Jul 25 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           50           40           0
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        None
LAL                   3            3            3            1
Min/Max Temp          73           89           71           92
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      E  6         SE  4        LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      E  6         LGT/VAR      S  5
Precip amount         0.10         0.14         0.03         0.00
Precip duration       1            2            1
Inversion             2000         79/1000      2000         77/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        100          53           97           50
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4860                      5550
Transport wnd (mph)                E  7                      SW  9
Ventilation rate                   34020                     49950
ADI early             11 poor      27 Fair      19 Gen poor  19 Gen poor
ADI late              2 Very poor  27 Fair      2 Very poor  39 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            9            5            8
Max LVORI late        10           3            8            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 90 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 90 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 89 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 94 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

17



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