Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
000 FNUS52 KILM 161905 FWFILM FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 305 PM EDT SUN JUN 16 2013 .DISCUSSION... WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP EARLY THIS WEEK AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT...WHICH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA MID TO LATE IN THE WEEK. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR DRIER WEATHER FRIDAY INTO NEXT WEEKEND. FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW NCZ105>110-171115- INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER- INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH... WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND... BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND... SOUTHPORT 305 PM EDT SUN JUN 16 2013 TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE CLOUD AMOUNT PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PRECIP CHC (%) 0 40 30 60 PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS LAL 1 3 3 4 MIN/MAX TEMP 67 86 70 86 WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S 10 SW 7 SW 8 SW 4 WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW 6 SW 9 SW 4 SW 6 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.04 0.06 0.15 PRECIP DURATION 1 2 6 INVERSION 2100 76/1000 2100 77/0900 MAX/MIN RH (%) 92 61 99 60 DSI 2 2 HAINES INDEX 4 3 3 3 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4710 4270 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 18 SW 13 VENTILATION RATE 84780 55510 ADI EARLY 51 GEN GOOD 31 FAIR 43 GEN GOOD 27 FAIR ADI LATE 11 POOR 55 GEN GOOD 10 POOR 37 FAIR MAX LVORI EARLY 4 5 4 9 MAX LVORI LATE 5 2 7 3 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. $$ NCZ087-096-099-171115- ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE 305 PM EDT SUN JUN 16 2013 TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE CLOUD AMOUNT PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PRECIP CHC (%) 0 40 40 60 PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS LAL 1 3 3 4 MIN/MAX TEMP 66 87 70 87 WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S 8 SW 6 S 5 SW 3 WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW 6 SW 6 S 3 SW 5 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.04 0.06 0.19 PRECIP DURATION 1 2 6 INVERSION 2100 77/1000 2100 78/1000 MAX/MIN RH (%) 92 60 99 59 DSI 2 2 HAINES INDEX 3 3 3 3 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5440 5180 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 18 S 12 VENTILATION RATE 97920 62160 ADI EARLY 48 GEN GOOD 33 FAIR 45 GEN GOOD 17 GEN POOR ADI LATE 9 POOR 58 GEN GOOD 5 VERY POOR 36 FAIR MAX LVORI EARLY 4 5 5 9 MAX LVORI LATE 5 1 7 3 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ SCZ053>056-171115- INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH... NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN... MURRELLS INLET 305 PM EDT SUN JUN 16 2013 TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE CLOUD AMOUNT MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PRECIP CHC (%) 0 40 30 60 PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS LAL 1 3 3 4 MIN/MAX TEMP 67 87 70 87 WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S 10 SW 6 S 7 SW 4 WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW 6 S 7 SW 3 SW 6 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.04 0.06 0.16 PRECIP DURATION 1 2 6 INVERSION 2100 77/1000 2100 78/1000 MAX/MIN RH (%) 92 61 100 63 DSI 2 2 HAINES INDEX 4 3 3 3 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4740 4570 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 16 SW 14 VENTILATION RATE 75840 63980 ADI EARLY 51 GEN GOOD 28 FAIR 29 FAIR 15 GEN POOR ADI LATE 9 POOR 46 GEN GOOD 8 POOR 39 FAIR MAX LVORI EARLY 3 5 4 9 MAX LVORI LATE 4 3 8 3 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 69 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. $$ SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-171115- MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON... FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE 305 PM EDT SUN JUN 16 2013 TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE CLOUD AMOUNT PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PRECIP CHC (%) 0 40 40 60 PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS LAL 1 3 3 4 MIN/MAX TEMP 67 88 70 87 WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S 8 SW 6 S 5 SW 3 WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 6 SW 6 S 3 SW 5 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.05 0.06 0.20 PRECIP DURATION 1 2 6 INVERSION 2100 78/1000 2100 78/1000 MAX/MIN RH (%) 95 56 100 60 DSI 2 2 HAINES INDEX 4 3 3 3 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5440 5150 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 16 SW 12 VENTILATION RATE 87040 61800 ADI EARLY 60 GEN GOOD 34 FAIR 36 FAIR 10 POOR ADI LATE 11 POOR 53 GEN GOOD 8 POOR 36 FAIR MAX LVORI EARLY 4 5 5 9 MAX LVORI LATE 5 2 8 3 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== 0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS. LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX. $$ 31
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