Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 290907
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
507 AM EDT WED OCT 29 2014

.DISCUSSION...
ANOTHER VERY WARM DAY EXPECTED TODAY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING
COLD FRONT. SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL ACCOMPANY THE COLD FRONTAL
PASSAGE TONIGHT FOLLOWED BY WEAK HIGH PRESSURE AND COOLER
TEMPERATURES THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. VERY COLD AIR FOR THIS TIME
OF THE YEAR WILL INVADE THE REGION THIS WEEKEND...AS A
STRONG COLD FRONT PUSHES ACROSS THE REGION EARLY SATURDAY.
STRONG AND COLD CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE TO PREVAIL ACROSS THE
AREA THIS WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...NONE TO LOW.

NCZ105>110-300115-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
507 AM EDT WED OCT 29 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            40           30
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS
LAL                   1            2            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          82           56           70
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  7        SW  7        N  7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW  9        NW  8        N  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.13         0.04
PRECIP DURATION                    2            1
INVERSION             70/1100      2100         64/1100
MIN/MAX RH (%)        49           93           50
DSI                   3                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4740                      4240
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      N 10
VENTILATION RATE      85320                     42400
ADI EARLY             34 FAIR      35 FAIR      32 FAIR
ADI LATE              57 GEN GOOD  14 GEN POOR  54 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       10           6            6
MAX LVORI LATE        3            7            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
89 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH
43 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 82 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS
15 TO 20 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
MAXIMUM RH 82 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
85 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
94 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH
47 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ096-099-300115-
BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
507 AM EDT WED OCT 29 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            40           0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        NONE
LAL                   1            2            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          82           54           70
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  7        SW  5        N  7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW 10        N  6         N  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.14         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                    2
INVERSION             69/1100      2100         64/1100
MIN/MAX RH (%)        49           91           44
DSI                   3                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5790                      4680
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 22                      NE  9
VENTILATION RATE      127380                    42120
ADI EARLY             32 FAIR      36 FAIR      45 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              56 GEN GOOD  9 POOR       52 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       10           6            6
MAX LVORI LATE        3            6            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 83 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS
15 TO 20 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
82 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
89 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH
42 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-300115-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
507 AM EDT WED OCT 29 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            40           0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        NONE
LAL                   1            2            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          83           57           71
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  6        SW  7        N  8
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW  9        NW  7        N  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.12         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                    2
INVERSION             70/1100      2100         65/1100
MIN/MAX RH (%)        48           92           46
DSI                   3                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5240                      4440
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      NE 10
VENTILATION RATE      94320                     44400
ADI EARLY             32 FAIR      35 FAIR      47 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              56 GEN GOOD  14 GEN POOR  54 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       10           6            6
MAX LVORI LATE        3            7            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
86 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH
42 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
82 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH
51 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
79 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
98 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH
45 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-SCZ032-033-039-300115-
ROBESON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
507 AM EDT WED OCT 29 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        30           40           0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE
LAL                   2            2            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          83           54           72
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  6        W  5         N  7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW 10        N  7         N  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.12         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       0            2
INVERSION             69/1100      2100         64/1100
MIN/MAX RH (%)        46           91           40
DSI                   3                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   6200                      4810
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      NE 10
VENTILATION RATE      130200                    48100
ADI EARLY             41 GEN GOOD  42 GEN GOOD  51 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              63 GOOD      10 POOR      56 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       10           5            6
MAX LVORI LATE        2            6            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH
39 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 82 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH
46 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
79 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
85 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-300115-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON
507 AM EDT WED OCT 29 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           40           0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE
LAL                   2            2            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          83           52           70
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  6        NW  7        N  7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW 11        N  6         N  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.10         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       1            2
INVERSION             68/1100      2100         63/1100
MIN/MAX RH (%)        46           90           36
DSI                   3                         3
HAINES INDEX          4            2            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   6130                      5080
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     NE  9
VENTILATION RATE      110340                    45720
ADI EARLY             53 GEN GOOD  34 FAIR      48 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              59 GEN GOOD  10 POOR      55 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            6            6
MAX LVORI LATE        2            7            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH
39 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 86 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH
41 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
78 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
84 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT.
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WIND.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
94 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH
38 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

DCH





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