Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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073
FNUS52 KILM 171046
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
546 AM EST Fri Nov 17 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A cooler day today will be followed by a breezy warmup Saturday
ahead of a strong cold front. The front may be accompanied by
some gusty showers as it sweeps across the area and offshore
late Saturday night and early Sunday morning. Much colder and
drier air will be ushered in for Sunday and into early next week
and we have a reasonable chance of a widespread freeze. Temperatures
will moderate Tuesday and Wednesday. Uncertainty increases mid and
late next week as another cold front moves into the area and forecast
will hinge on the track of developing low pressure in the Gulf of Mexico.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...Low.

NCZ105>110-180300-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
546 AM EST Fri Nov 17 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          59           36           71
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  8         LGT/VAR      S  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  4        LGT/VAR      S 11
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             50/1000      1800         61/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        38           100          51
DSI                   1                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2270                      4630
Transport wnd (mph)   N 10                      S 22
Ventilation rate      22700                     101860
ADI early             33 Fair      1 Very poor  41 Gen good
ADI late              30 Fair      1 Very poor  68 Good
Max LVORI early       4            7            10
Max LVORI late        2            10           3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Breezy. Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Southwest winds
20 to 25 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear, colder. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
73 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 35 percent. North
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 53 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
86 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH
49 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-180300-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
546 AM EST Fri Nov 17 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          59           35           71
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  7        LGT/VAR      S  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  4        LGT/VAR      S 12 G20
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             48/1000      1800         57/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        34           98           50
DSI                   1                         2
Haines Index          4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2250                      4610
Transport wnd (mph)   NE  8                     S 24
Ventilation rate      18000                     110640
ADI early             32 Fair      1 Very poor  48 Gen good
ADI late              28 Fair      1 Very poor  71 Good
Max LVORI early       4            6            8
Max LVORI late        2            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear, colder. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
76 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 33 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Light and variable wind.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
45 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 95 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 50 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
86 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-180300-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
546 AM EST Fri Nov 17 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          60           36           73
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  8        LGT/VAR      S  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  5        LGT/VAR      S 12
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             52/1000      1800         63/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        38           100          51
DSI                   1                         3
Haines Index          4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2250                      4710
Transport wnd (mph)   NE 10                     S 22
Ventilation rate      22500                     103620
ADI early             32 Fair      1 Very poor  42 Gen good
ADI late              31 Fair      1 Very poor  68 Good
Max LVORI early       4            8            10
Max LVORI late        2            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Southwest winds 15 to
20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear, colder. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
75 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 81 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 95 percent. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 53 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-180300-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
546 AM EST Fri Nov 17 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          60           36           71
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  7        LGT/VAR      S  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  4        LGT/VAR      SW 12 G20
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             50/1000      1800         56/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        35           95           50
DSI                   1                         2
Haines Index          4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2250                      4470
Transport wnd (mph)   NE  7                     SW 24
Ventilation rate      15750                     107280
ADI early             30 Fair      1 Very poor  43 Gen good
ADI late              25 Fair      1 Very poor  70 Good
Max LVORI early       4            6            7
Max LVORI late        2            7            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 37 percent. Northwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear, colder. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
80 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 32 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
78 percent. Light and variable wind.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
44 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 96 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
48 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH
45 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-180300-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
546 AM EST Fri Nov 17 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          61           37           73
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  7        LGT/VAR      S  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  5        LGT/VAR      SW 12
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             51/1000      1800         60/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        37           100          49
DSI                   1                         3
Haines Index          4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2220                      4630
Transport wnd (mph)   NE  9                     S 22
Ventilation rate      19980                     101860
ADI early             32 Fair      1 Very poor  43 Gen good
ADI late              29 Fair      1 Very poor  67 Good
Max LVORI early       5            6            9
Max LVORI late        2            9            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear, colder. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
79 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 32 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
81 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
45 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
50 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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