Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 030807
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
407 AM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

.DISCUSSION...
UNSETTLED AND HUMID CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY
WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...WITH A
GOOD CHANCE OF SIGNIFICANT RAIN. A COLD UPPER LOW WILL DIP ACROSS
THE CAROLINAS LATE IN THE WEEK...BRINGING COOLER TEMPERATURES AND
A FEW SHOWERS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. DRYING AND WARMING WILL FOLLOW
INTO NEXT WEEKEND.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...HIGH.

NCZ105>110-040015-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...WILMINGTON...
MASONBORO...MYRTLE GROVE...OGDEN...CAROLINA BEACH...SEAGATE...
BOILING SPRING LAKES...LELAND...SHALLOTTE...OAK ISLAND...
LONG BEACH...SOUTHPORT...SUNSET BEACH
407 AM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        70           60           40
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   4            3            2
MIN/MAX TEMP          81           63           79
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  9        SW  8        W  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW 11        SW  5        W  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.31         0.40         0.10
PRECIP DURATION       5            3            5
INVERSION             72/0900      2100         68/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        63           95           52
DSI                   2                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4270                      5040
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 25                     W  8
VENTILATION RATE      106750                    40320
ADI EARLY             58 GEN GOOD  33 FAIR      10 POOR
ADI LATE              71 GOOD      6 VERY POOR  35 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            5            6
MAX LVORI LATE        2            6            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 83 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 30 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 30 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
15 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 81 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 30 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
86 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
85 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
85 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
45 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ096-099-040015-
BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELIZABETHTOWN...BLADENBORO...WHITEVILLE...
TABOR CITY...CHADBOURN...LAKE WACCAMAW
407 AM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        70           60           40
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   4            3            2
MIN/MAX TEMP          81           62           78
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  8        SW  6        NW  4
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW 10        SW  3        W  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.34         0.34         0.05
PRECIP DURATION       4            3            5
INVERSION             71/0900      2100         66/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        65           95           53
DSI                   2                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5080                      5330
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     W 12
VENTILATION RATE      101600                    63960
ADI EARLY             36 FAIR      39 FAIR      10 POOR
ADI LATE              61 GOOD      6 VERY POOR  55 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            5            6
MAX LVORI LATE        1            6            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 84 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 30 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 30 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 82 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 20 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
86 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
41 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-040015-
ROBESON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LUMBERTON
407 AM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        70           50           30
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS
LAL                   4            3            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          81           61           77
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  9        SW  6        NW  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW 11        W  4         W  8
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.34         0.22         0.02
PRECIP DURATION       4            2            7
INVERSION             70/0900      2100         65/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        63           92           49
DSI                   2                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5430                      5390
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     SW 13
VENTILATION RATE      97740                     70070
ADI EARLY             34 FAIR      35 FAIR      12 POOR
ADI LATE              57 GEN GOOD  4 VERY POOR  62 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            4            6
MAX LVORI LATE        1            6            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 83 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 30 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS. HIGHS AROUND 70.
MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 30 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 80 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 20 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
85 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
86 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH 85 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-040015-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...RED HILL...MYRTLE BEACH...
SOCASTEE...NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...LITTLE RIVER...
ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...MURRELLS INLET
407 AM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        60           60           40
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   4            3            2
MIN/MAX TEMP          83           63           79
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  8        SW  8        W  6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW 11        SW  6        W  8
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.35         0.06
PRECIP DURATION       4            3            1
INVERSION             72/0900      2100         67/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        63           92           49
DSI                   2                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4950                      4770
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     W 10
VENTILATION RATE      84150                     47700
ADI EARLY             34 FAIR      29 FAIR      14 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              54 GEN GOOD  8 POOR       55 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            5            6
MAX LVORI LATE        2            6            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 81 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 20 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 20 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 79 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 20 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH
40 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
83 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
83 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
85 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
43 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-040015-
DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DILLON...FLORENCE...MARION...MULLINS...
KINGSTREE
407 AM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        60           50           30
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS
LAL                   4            3            2
MIN/MAX TEMP          83           61           78
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  8        SW  7        NW  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW 11        W  5         W  8
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.23         0.03
PRECIP DURATION       4            2            1
INVERSION             71/0900      2100         66/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        60           91           45
DSI                   3                         3
HAINES INDEX          4            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5520                      5140
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     W 14
VENTILATION RATE      93840                     71960
ADI EARLY             32 FAIR      37 FAIR      14 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              58 GEN GOOD  6 VERY POOR  69 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       7            5            6
MAX LVORI LATE        2            6            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 83 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 20 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 20 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. MAXIMUM RH 81 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 20 PERCENT. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH
38 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
83 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
85 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
85 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-040015-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...MCCOLL...HARTSVILLE...
DARLINGTON...NORTH HARTSVILLE
407 AM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        60           50           20
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS
LAL                   4            3            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          82           60           78
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  9        SW  6        NW  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW 11        W  4         W  8
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.30         0.12         0.01
PRECIP DURATION       5            2            1
INVERSION             71/0900      2100         64/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        62           92           47
DSI                   3                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5550                      5480
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 17                      SW 14
VENTILATION RATE      94350                     76720
ADI EARLY             37 FAIR      34 FAIR      8 POOR
ADI LATE              55 GEN GOOD  4 VERY POOR  62 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            4            6
MAX LVORI LATE        1            6            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 83 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 20 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 20 PERCENT. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 80 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 20 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH
37 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
82 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
84 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
84 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

15



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