Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 201923
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
323 PM EDT Wed Sep 20 2017

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will build in from the north for the remainder of the
week. Isolated showers will be possible through Friday. Reinforcing
high pressure will build in from the northwest early next week as
Hurricane Maria moves north, well offshore of the Carolinas early
next week.

Fog potential for tonight...Moderate-High

NCZ105>110-211130-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
323 PM EDT Wed Sep 20 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           40           30           30
Precip type           Showers      Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            3            3            3
Min/Max Temp          69           88           67           86
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  4         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  4
Precip amount         0.01         0.07         0.02         0.02
Precip duration       1            2            1            1
Inversion             2000         79/1000      2000         73/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        99           53           100          53
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6290                      6000
Transport wnd (mph)                N  3                      NE  5
Ventilation rate                   18870                     30000
ADI early             27 Fair      7 poor       7 poor       12 poor
ADI late              4 Very poor  14 Gen poor  1 Very poor  22 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            9            7            10
Max LVORI late        8            3            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows in the
upper 60s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. North
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows in the
upper 60s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent.
North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with isolated showers. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. Northwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows in the
upper 60s. Maximum RH 89 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny with isolated showers. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum RH 54 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-211130-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
323 PM EDT Wed Sep 20 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           30           20           30
Precip type           Showers      Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            3            2            3
Min/Max Temp          69           88           67           87
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  3        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  3        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  3
Precip amount         0.03         0.07         0.03         0.02
Precip duration       1            1            1            1
Inversion             2000         78/1000      2000         72/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        99           50           100          51
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          4            4            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6740                      6030
Transport wnd (mph)                N  5                      NE  7
Ventilation rate                   33700                     42210
ADI early             29 Fair      6 Very poor  21 Fair      19 Gen poor
ADI late              2 Very poor  28 Fair      1 Very poor  36 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            10           7            10
Max LVORI late        10           3            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows in the mid
60s. Maximum RH 89 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum RH 56 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows in the
upper 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum RH 56 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows in the
upper 60s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny with isolated showers. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum RH 47 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-211130-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
323 PM EDT Wed Sep 20 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           20           20           20
Precip type           Showers      Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            2            2            2
Min/Max Temp          68           89           67           88
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  4        NW  3        NE  3        NE  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  3        N  3         LGT/VAR      NE  5
Precip amount         0.03         0.05         0.02         0.03
Precip duration       1            1            1            1
Inversion             2000         79/1000      2000         73/0900
Dispersion            Poor                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        98           49           100          49
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          4            4            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6780                      6150
Transport wnd (mph)                N  5                      NE  8
Ventilation rate                   33900                     49200
ADI early             23 Fair      10 poor      25 Fair      30 Fair
ADI late              3 Very poor  34 Fair      1 Very poor  36 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            10           6            10
Max LVORI late        9            2            10           1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows in the mid
60s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum RH 51 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows in the
upper 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum RH 53 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with isolated showers. Lows in the
upper 60s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny with isolated showers. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum RH 42 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-211130-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
323 PM EDT Wed Sep 20 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            30           30           30
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            3            3            3
Min/Max Temp          70           88           68           87
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  4        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.07         0.04         0.05
Precip duration                    1            1            2
Inversion             2000         80/1000      2000         74/0900
Dispersion            Poor                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        98           53           100          55
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6240                      5860
Transport wnd (mph)                NW  3                     NE  6
Ventilation rate                   18720                     35160
ADI early             18 Gen poor  9 poor       12 poor      12 poor
ADI late              3 Very poor  18 Gen poor  1 Very poor  26 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            8            6            10
Max LVORI late        7            2            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows in the
upper 60s. Maximum RH 87 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. North winds
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows in the
upper 60s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent.
North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum RH 59 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. Northwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with isolated showers. Lows in the
upper 60s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny with isolated showers. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum RH 52 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-211130-
Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
323 PM EDT Wed Sep 20 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           20           20           30
Precip type           Showers      Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            2            2            3
Min/Max Temp          69           89           67           87
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  4         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  3        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  4
Precip amount         0.01         0.06         0.04         0.07
Precip duration       1            1            1            2
Inversion             2000         79/1000      2000         73/0900
Dispersion            Poor                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        99           51           100          52
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          4            4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6710                      6190
Transport wnd (mph)                N  3                      NE  8
Ventilation rate                   20130                     49520
ADI early             23 Fair      7 poor       15 Gen poor  14 Gen poor
ADI late              3 Very poor  29 Fair      1 Very poor  36 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            10           6            10
Max LVORI late        9            2            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum RH 54 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows in the
upper 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum RH 53 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with isolated showers. Lows in the
upper 60s. Maximum RH 89 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny with isolated showers. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum RH 45 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-211130-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
323 PM EDT Wed Sep 20 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           20           30           30
Precip type           Showers      Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            2            3            3
Min/Max Temp          68           89           67           88
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  3        NW  3        LGT/VAR      NE  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  3        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  5
Precip amount         0.02         0.03         0.03         0.05
Precip duration       1            1            1            1
Inversion             2000         78/1000      2000         72/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        99           49           100          50
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          4            3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6780                      6300
Transport wnd (mph)                N  3                      NE  7
Ventilation rate                   20340                     44100
ADI early             22 Fair      14 Gen poor  18 Gen poor  23 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  27 Fair      2 Very poor  31 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            10           6            10
Max LVORI late        9            2            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum RH 51 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows in the mid
60s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with isolated showers. Lows in the
upper 60s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny with isolated showers. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum RH 40 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

III



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