Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
345 AM EDT Tue Jul 25 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms may bring heavy rainfall
and possible localized flooding into Wednesday. A cold front
will approach from the north and should slip into the area late
tonight and on Wednesday before stalling and then dissipating
by Thursday. The arrival of a stronger cold front this weekend
will bring numerous thunderstorms back into the eastern Carolinas.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...Low.

NCZ105>110-252345-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
345 AM EDT Tue Jul 25 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        40           40           60
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            4
Min/Max Temp          91           72           87
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  5         S  5         NE  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      E  7
Precip amount         0.21         0.12         0.28
Precip duration       1            2            2
Inversion             80/0900      2000         78/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        54           100          58
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6210                      5930
Transport wnd (mph)   W  5                      E  7
Ventilation rate      31050                     41510
ADI early             22 Fair      16 Gen poor  44 Gen good
ADI late              19 Gen poor  2 Very poor  44 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            6            9
Max LVORI late        3            10           3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
60 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-252345-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
345 AM EDT Tue Jul 25 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        40           40           40
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            3
Min/Max Temp          91           72           88
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  4         S  3         E  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  4        LGT/VAR      E  6
Precip amount         0.13         0.10         0.23
Precip duration       1            2            2
Inversion             78/0900      2000         77/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        53           100          54
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6360                      6340
Transport wnd (mph)   N  2                      E  6
Ventilation rate      12720                     38040
ADI early             11 poor      7 poor       43 Gen good
ADI late              13 Gen poor  3 Very poor  47 Gen good
Max LVORI early       9            7            9
Max LVORI late        3            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-252345-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
345 AM EDT Tue Jul 25 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        40           40           60
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            4
Min/Max Temp          90           73           87
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  5         SW  6        NE  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      E  7
Precip amount         0.33         0.12         0.36
Precip duration       1            2            2
Inversion             78/0900      2000         79/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        59           99           64
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5670                      5230
Transport wnd (mph)   W  3                      E  8
Ventilation rate      17010                     41840
ADI early             16 Gen poor  14 Gen poor  14 Gen poor
ADI late              15 Gen poor  3 Very poor  24 Fair
Max LVORI early       9            5            9
Max LVORI late        3            9            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-252345-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
345 AM EDT Tue Jul 25 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        50           40           70
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            4
Min/Max Temp          90           72           87
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  4         SW  4        E  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  4        LGT/VAR      E  7
Precip amount         0.19         0.09         0.34
Precip duration       1            2            7
Inversion             77/0900      2000         78/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        56           100          62
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5760                      5490
Transport wnd (mph)   W  2                      E  6
Ventilation rate      11520                     32940
ADI early             12 poor      13 Gen poor  18 Gen poor
ADI late              15 Gen poor  2 Very poor  20 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       9            6            10
Max LVORI late        3            10           3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-252345-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
345 AM EDT Tue Jul 25 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        50           40           60
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            4
Min/Max Temp          91           71           89
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  4         S  3         E  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE  4        LGT/VAR      E  7
Precip amount         0.10         0.09         0.24
Precip duration       1            2            2
Inversion             76/0900      2000         77/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        52           100          57
DSI                   3                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6630                      6250
Transport wnd (mph)   SW  2                     E  5
Ventilation rate      13260                     31250
ADI early             8 poor       11 poor      38 Fair
ADI late              12 poor      2 Very poor  39 Fair
Max LVORI early       9            6            9
Max LVORI late        3            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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