Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 260909
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
509 AM EDT WED AUG 26 2015

.DISCUSSION...
A FRONT WILL OSCILLATE ACROSS THE AREA INTO THURSDAY...THEN DRIFT
OFFSHORE...REMAINING IN CLOSE PROXIMITY TO THE COAST. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL STRUGGLE TO SLOWLY BUILD INTO THE AREA DURING THE WEEKEND. WE
WILL BE WATCHING THE PROGRESS OF TROPICAL STORM ERIKA EARLY NEXT WEEK...
IT IS TOO EARLY TO SAY WHAT IMPACTS IF ANY WILL BE FELT ACROSS THE
EASTERN CAROLINAS.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...MODERATE.

NCZ105>110-270115-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
509 AM EDT WED AUG 26 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        70           70           40
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   4            4            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          87           68           84
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S  6         LGT/VAR      SE  4
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.43         0.55         0.22
PRECIP DURATION       5            6            2
INVERSION             76/0900      2000         75/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        58           100          57
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4360                      5120
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 13                      S  8
VENTILATION RATE      56680                     40960
ADI EARLY             19 GEN POOR  22 FAIR      30 FAIR
ADI LATE              42 GEN GOOD  2 VERY POOR  39 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       10           8            10
MAX LVORI LATE        2            10           2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-270115-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
509 AM EDT WED AUG 26 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        70           70           40
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   4            4            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          88           69           85
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)E  3         S  4         E  3
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S  6         LGT/VAR      SE  4
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.40         0.48         0.18
PRECIP DURATION       5            6            2
INVERSION             78/0900      2000         75/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        57           100          60
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4510                      4940
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 10                      S 12
VENTILATION RATE      45100                     59280
ADI EARLY             23 FAIR      18 GEN POOR  51 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              36 FAIR      2 VERY POOR  51 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       10           8            10
MAX LVORI LATE        3            10           3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ096-099-270115-
BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
509 AM EDT WED AUG 26 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        70           70           30
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   4            4            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          88           68           85
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)E  3         SE  3        NE  4
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S  3         NE  3        NE  4
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.44         0.44         0.15
PRECIP DURATION       3            5            2
INVERSION             74/0900      2000         73/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        54           100          57
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4900                      5020
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  6                      SE  6
VENTILATION RATE      29400                     30120
ADI EARLY             11 POOR      19 GEN POOR  12 POOR
ADI LATE              26 FAIR      2 VERY POOR  22 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       10           8            9
MAX LVORI LATE        3            10           2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-270115-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
509 AM EDT WED AUG 26 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           50           30
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            3            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          89           69           87
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  5        N  3         NE  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) N  4         NE  4        NE  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.31         0.10
PRECIP DURATION       3            5            1
INVERSION             76/0900      2000         75/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        51           100          52
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5450                      5580
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  5                      SE  7
VENTILATION RATE      27250                     39060
ADI EARLY             18 GEN POOR  14 GEN POOR  31 FAIR
ADI LATE              22 FAIR      4 VERY POOR  33 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            6            9
MAX LVORI LATE        2            9            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. EAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-270115-
ROBESON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LUMBERTON
509 AM EDT WED AUG 26 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           40           30
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            3            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          89           68           86
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  6        N  5         NE  6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) N  4         NE  4        NE  8
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.36         0.31         0.08
PRECIP DURATION       3            5            1
INVERSION             74/0900      2000         73/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        50           100          54
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5840                      5510
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  3                     SE  6
VENTILATION RATE      17520                     33060
ADI EARLY             18 GEN POOR  8 POOR       24 FAIR
ADI LATE              23 FAIR      5 VERY POOR  27 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            5            9
MAX LVORI LATE        2            9            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

27


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