Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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099
FNUS52 KILM 201945
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
345 PM EDT Sun Aug 20 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A weak front will slowly dissipate across the area through
tonight. Moisture from a trough to our south will make its way
on shore over the southeast coast through Monday. High pressure
will expand across the area from the western Atlantic Monday
thru Wednesday, continuing the heat and high humidity. A cold
front will move across the Eastern Carolinas from the northwest
late Wednesday night into Thursday. Canadian high pressure will
build down behind front bringing drier weather for the weekend.

Fog potential for tonight...Moderate to High.

NCZ105>110-211145-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
345 PM EDT Sun Aug 20 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           30           20           20
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            3            2            2
Min/Max Temp          73           90           73           90
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  4        E  3         S  4         LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        LGT/VAR      S  6
Precip amount         0.02         0.04         0.01         0.01
Precip duration       0            1            0            1
Inversion             2000         79/0900      2000         80/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        100          63           99           55
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4930                      4850
Transport wnd (mph)                SE  7                     SW 12
Ventilation rate                   34510                     58200
ADI early             17 Gen poor  21 Fair      43 Gen good  35 Fair
ADI late              1 Very poor  40 Fair      1 Very poor  56 Gen good
Max LVORI early       7            10           6            9
Max LVORI late        10           3            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 81 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 85 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-211145-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
345 PM EDT Sun Aug 20 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            20           20           20
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            2            2            2
Min/Max Temp          73           91           72           90
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  4        LGT/VAR      S  3         LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        LGT/VAR      SW  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.03         0.01         0.01
Precip duration                    1            0            1
Inversion             2000         78/0900      2000         78/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        100          59           100          55
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          4            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5180                      5030
Transport wnd (mph)                SE  8                     SW 13
Ventilation rate                   41440                     65390
ADI early             15 Gen poor  22 Fair      42 Gen good  42 Gen good
ADI late              1 Very poor  33 Fair      1 Very poor  57 Gen good
Max LVORI early       7            10           7            10
Max LVORI late        10           3            10           1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 78 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 96 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-211145-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
345 PM EDT Sun Aug 20 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            20           0            20
Precip type           None         Tstms        None         Tstms
LAL                   1            2            1            2
Min/Max Temp          72           92           72           91
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  3        LGT/VAR      S  5         S  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        LGT/VAR      SW  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.02         0.00         0.01
Precip duration                    1                         1
Inversion             2000         78/0900      2000         77/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        100          57           100          53
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5590                      5250
Transport wnd (mph)                SE  8                     SW 14
Ventilation rate                   44720                     73500
ADI early             17 Gen poor  25 Fair      47 Gen good  35 Fair
ADI late              1 Very poor  40 Fair      1 Very poor  62 Good
Max LVORI early       6            10           6            10
Max LVORI late        10           3            10           1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Not as warm. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
73 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 94 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-211145-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
345 PM EDT Sun Aug 20 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           30           30           20
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            3            3            2
Min/Max Temp          73           91           73           90
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  5         LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        LGT/VAR      S  6
Precip amount         0.01         0.06         0.02         0.01
Precip duration       0            2            0            1
Inversion             2000         80/0900      2000         80/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        100          60           99           56
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5540                      4930
Transport wnd (mph)                SE  5                     S 10
Ventilation rate                   27700                     49300
ADI early             20 Gen poor  14 Gen poor  36 Fair      37 Fair
ADI late              1 Very poor  31 Fair      1 Very poor  49 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            10           5            9
Max LVORI late        10           3            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 78 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 85 percent. Northeast
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-211145-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
345 PM EDT Sun Aug 20 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            40           30           20
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            3            3            2
Min/Max Temp          73           92           73           91
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  5        LGT/VAR      SE  4        LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        LGT/VAR      S  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.07         0.02         0.01
Precip duration                    2            0            1
Inversion             2000         80/0900      2000         79/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        100          57           99           54
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5650                      5520
Transport wnd (mph)                E  3                      SW 12
Ventilation rate                   16950                     66240
ADI early             16 Gen poor  9 poor       28 Fair      35 Fair
ADI late              1 Very poor  25 Fair      1 Very poor  51 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            10           6            10
Max LVORI late        10           3            10           1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 75 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-211145-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
345 PM EDT Sun Aug 20 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            20           20           20
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            2            2            2
Min/Max Temp          72           92           73           91
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  3        NE  3        SE  5        LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        LGT/VAR      SW  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.03         0.01         0.01
Precip duration                    1            0            1
Inversion             2000         78/0900      2000         78/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        100          56           99           51
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5680                      5920
Transport wnd (mph)                SE  8                     SW 13
Ventilation rate                   45440                     76960
ADI early             17 Gen poor  20 Gen poor  42 Gen good  30 Fair
ADI late              1 Very poor  37 Fair      1 Very poor  62 Good
Max LVORI early       5            10           5            10
Max LVORI late        10           3            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Not as warm. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
70 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 94 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

RGZ



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