Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
000
FNUS52 KILM 160758
FWFILM
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
358 AM EDT SUN JUN 16 2013
.DISCUSSION...
DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS SOUTHWARD. WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP EARLY NEXT
WEEK AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT...WHICH WILL MOVE THROUGH
THE AREA WEDNESDAY.
WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...MODERATE.
NCZ105>110-170000-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
358 AM EDT SUN JUN 16 2013
TODAY TONIGHT MON
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 30
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE TSTMS
LAL 1 1 3
MAX/MIN TEMP 87 67 86
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW 6 S 8 SW 7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW 11 G22 SW 5 SW 10
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.02
PRECIP DURATION 1
INVERSION 76/0900 2100 78/1100
MIN/MAX RH (%) 43 96 60
DSI 3 2
HAINES INDEX 4 4 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4860 3410
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 15 SW 14
VENTILATION RATE 72900 47740
ADI EARLY 47 GEN GOOD 44 GEN GOOD 31 FAIR
ADI LATE 55 GEN GOOD 6 VERY POOR 36 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 3 6
MAX LVORI LATE 1 6 3
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-170000-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
358 AM EDT SUN JUN 16 2013
TODAY TONIGHT MON
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 30
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE TSTMS
LAL 1 1 3
MAX/MIN TEMP 88 66 88
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW 6 S 7 SW 6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW 10 SW 5 SW 6
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.03
PRECIP DURATION 1
INVERSION 77/1000 2100 79/1100
MIN/MAX RH (%) 42 99 58
DSI 3 3
HAINES INDEX 4 4 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5480 5360
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 16 SW 10
VENTILATION RATE 87680 53600
ADI EARLY 43 GEN GOOD 41 GEN GOOD 26 FAIR
ADI LATE 56 GEN GOOD 6 VERY POOR 36 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 4 7
MAX LVORI LATE 1 7 3
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS
AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
SCZ053>056-170000-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
358 AM EDT SUN JUN 16 2013
TODAY TONIGHT MON
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 30
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE TSTMS
LAL 1 1 3
MAX/MIN TEMP 86 67 88
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW 5 S 9 SW 6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 10 G22 SW 4 SW 7
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.02
PRECIP DURATION 1
INVERSION 76/1000 2100 78/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%) 48 99 58
DSI 3 3
HAINES INDEX 4 4 4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4930 4640
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 17 S 12
VENTILATION RATE 83810 55680
ADI EARLY 40 FAIR 47 GEN GOOD 24 FAIR
ADI LATE 53 GEN GOOD 5 VERY POOR 34 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 4 7
MAX LVORI LATE 1 7 2
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-170000-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
358 AM EDT SUN JUN 16 2013
TODAY TONIGHT MON
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 30
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE TSTMS
LAL 1 1 3
MAX/MIN TEMP 88 66 90
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW 5 S 7 SW 6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW 8 SW 5 SW 6
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.04
PRECIP DURATION 1
INVERSION 78/1100 2100 80/1100
MIN/MAX RH (%) 41 100 54
DSI 3 3
HAINES INDEX 4 4 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 6500 5950
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 15 SW 10
VENTILATION RATE 97500 59500
ADI EARLY 38 FAIR 52 GEN GOOD 25 FAIR
ADI LATE 61 GOOD 6 VERY POOR 34 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 4 8
MAX LVORI LATE 1 7 2
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS
AROUND 70. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH
57 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
$$
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