Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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Fire Weather Planning Forecast...CORRECTED
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
358 PM EDT Sat May 20 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Influence of Bermuda High will start to weaken as a cold front
approaches from the west. Showers and thunderstorms will begin
to increase Sunday ahead of a cold front that will move in from
the west on Monday. Showers and thunderstorms will continue
through the middle of the week as the front lingers in the region
before a second cold front moves into the area later Thursday.
High pressure will bring a drying trend for the end of the week.

Fog potential for tonight...Low-Moderate

NCZ105>110-211145-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
358 PM EDT Sat May 20 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           30           30           80
Precip type           Showers      Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            3            3            5
Min/Max Temp          66           84           68           82
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  4         NE  3        SE  5        SW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  3         E  6         S  3         S  9
Precip amount         0.01         0.03         0.01         0.12
Precip duration       1            1            1            4
Inversion             2100         73/0900      2100         73/0800
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        95           58           96           60
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          5            4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4420                      4010
Transport wnd (mph)                SE  7                     S 13
Ventilation rate                   30940                     52130
ADI early             30 Fair      5 Very poor  22 Fair      23 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  21 Fair      3 Very poor  34 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            7            6            7
Max LVORI late        7            3            8            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs around 80. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-211145-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
358 PM EDT Sat May 20 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           30           20           80
Precip type           Showers      Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            3            2            5
Min/Max Temp          66           85           68           82
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  4         LGT/VAR      SE  5        S  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  4        S  4         S  8
Precip amount         0.01         0.06         0.04         0.22
Precip duration       1            1            1            5
Inversion             2100         72/0900      2100         71/0800
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        97           53           97           61
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          5            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5290                      4240
Transport wnd (mph)                SE  8                     S  9
Ventilation rate                   42320                     38160
ADI early             29 Fair      4 Very poor  29 Fair      25 Fair
ADI late              1 Very poor  26 Fair      3 Very poor  26 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            8            6            8
Max LVORI late        8            3            8            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs around 80. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 99 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.

$$

NCZ087-211145-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
358 PM EDT Sat May 20 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy        Cloudy
Precip chc (%)        20           30           30           90
Precip type           Showers      Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            3            3            5
Min/Max Temp          66           86           68           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  5         E  3         SE  6        S  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  3         SE  5        S  5         SW  6
Precip amount         0.01         0.03         0.05         0.36
Precip duration       1            1            2            9
Inversion             2100         72/0900      2100         71/0800
Dispersion            Poor                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        93           49           97           63
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          5            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5390                      4170
Transport wnd (mph)                S  8                      S  8
Ventilation rate                   43120                     33360
ADI early             29 Fair      7 poor       33 Fair      26 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  29 Fair      4 Very poor  25 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            7            5            7
Max LVORI late        7            3            8            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 99 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-211145-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
358 PM EDT Sat May 20 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            20           20           80
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            2            2            5
Min/Max Temp          66           85           68           82
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  6         E  3         SE  7        S  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  3         SE  7        S  4         S 10
Precip amount         0.00         0.02         0.02         0.21
Precip duration                    1            1            5
Inversion             2100         75/0900      2100         73/0800
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        94           54           96           63
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          5            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4470                      4260
Transport wnd (mph)                S 10                      S 12
Ventilation rate                   44700                     51120
ADI early             33 Fair      6 Very poor  35 Fair      24 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  34 Fair      4 Very poor  30 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            7            5            6
Max LVORI late        7            2            7            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs around 80. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
82 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 46 percent. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-211145-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
358 PM EDT Sat May 20 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy        Cloudy
Precip chc (%)        0            20           30           90
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            2            3            5
Min/Max Temp          65           87           68           81
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  6         LGT/VAR      SE  7        S  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        S  5         S  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.02         0.03         0.34
Precip duration                    1            1            9
Inversion             2100         73/0900      2100         72/0800
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        93           49           97           63
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          5            4            4            5
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5290                      4270
Transport wnd (mph)                S  8                      S  8
Ventilation rate                   42320                     34160
ADI early             32 Fair      11 poor      35 Fair      23 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  30 Fair      4 Very poor  22 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            7            5            7
Max LVORI late        7            2            8            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs around 80. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
82 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 42 percent. West winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 98 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-211145-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
358 PM EDT Sat May 20 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        MCldy        Cloudy
Precip chc (%)        0            40           50           90
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            3            3            5
Min/Max Temp          66           86           68           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  5         E  3         SE  6        S  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE  3        SE  5        S  5         S  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.02         0.08         0.47
Precip duration                    1            2            9
Inversion             2100         72/0900      2100         71/0800
Dispersion            Poor                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        91           49           96           66
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          5            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5240                      4160
Transport wnd (mph)                S  7                      S  8
Ventilation rate                   36680                     33280
ADI early             29 Fair      8 poor       29 Fair      23 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  26 Fair      5 Very poor  24 Fair
Max LVORI early       3            7            4            7
Max LVORI late        7            2            7            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 55 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

III


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