Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
313 PM EST Tue Dec 12 2017

.DISCUSSION...
The passage of a strong cold front will usher in Arctic air
tonight through Wednesday night. Critically low afternoon
relative humidity is expected on Wednesday. Temperatures will quickly
moderate Thursday and Friday. The next chance for showers arrives early
next week.

Fog potential for tonight...none.

NCZ105>110-131215-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
313 PM EST Tue Dec 12 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          MClear       Clear        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          27           44           30           57
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW 13 G27    NW 11 G22    SW  7        W  9
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW 11 G24    W 10         W  9         NW  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             None         N/A          None         N/A
Dispersion            Excellent                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        63           26           89           42
DSI                                1                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2940                      4020
Transport wnd (mph)                W 16                      W 16
Ventilation rate                   47040                     64320
ADI early             41 Gen good  63 Good      19 Gen poor  65 Good
ADI late              40 Fair      47 Gen good  21 Fair      61 Good
Max LVORI early       1            1            3            4
Max LVORI late        2            1            3            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
91 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 50s. Minimum RH 51 percent. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain
showers. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Northwest
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Not
as cool. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 85 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
49 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-131215-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
313 PM EST Tue Dec 12 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          MClear       Clear        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          25           44           29           56
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW 13 G23    W  9         SW  7        W  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  9        W  9         SW  8        NW  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             None         N/A          None         N/A
Dispersion            Good                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        62           27           86           41
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2930                      4200
Transport wnd (mph)                W 14                      W 14
Ventilation rate                   41020                     58800
ADI early             39 Fair      65 Good      19 Gen poor  66 Good
ADI late              39 Fair      53 Gen good  21 Fair      58 Gen good
Max LVORI early       1            1            3            4
Max LVORI late        2            1            3            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 49 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 30. Maximum RH
91 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Not
as cool. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 90 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the lower 60s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 85 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
44 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-131215-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
313 PM EST Tue Dec 12 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          MClear       Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          28           47           31           58
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW 13 G25    NW  9        SW  7        W 10
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW 10 G21    W  8         SW  9        W  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             None         N/A          None         N/A
Dispersion            Excellent                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        68           30           84           43
DSI                                1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2920                      3980
Transport wnd (mph)                W 12                      W 18
Ventilation rate                   35040                     71640
ADI early             42 Gen good  69 Good      20 Gen poor  61 Good
ADI late              41 Gen good  48 Gen good  21 Fair      64 Good
Max LVORI early       1            2            3            3
Max LVORI late        2            2            3            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
93 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 50s. Minimum RH 52 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain
showers. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Northwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Not
as cool. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 84 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
49 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-131215-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
313 PM EST Tue Dec 12 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          MClear       Clear        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          24           45           29           57
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW 13 G23    W  8         SW  7        W  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  7        W  8         SW  9        NW  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             None         N/A          None         N/A
Dispersion            Fair                      Good
Max/Min RH (%)        67           27           87           41
DSI                                1                         2
Haines Index          5            4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2930                      4240
Transport wnd (mph)                W 12                      W 12
Ventilation rate                   35160                     50880
ADI early             39 Fair      57 Gen good  19 Gen poor  63 Good
ADI late              19 Gen poor  55 Gen good  20 Gen poor  52 Gen good
Max LVORI early       1            2            3            4
Max LVORI late        3            1            3            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Not
as cool. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 92 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the lower 60s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 85 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
42 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-131215-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
313 PM EST Tue Dec 12 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          MClear       Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          27           48           30           58
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW 12 G21    W  7         SW  6        W  9
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  8        W  8         SW  8        W  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             None         N/A          None         N/A
Dispersion            Good                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        72           28           84           43
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2930                      4120
Transport wnd (mph)                W 10                      W 17
Ventilation rate                   29300                     70040
ADI early             41 Gen good  66 Good      21 Fair      61 Good
ADI late              20 Gen poor  50 Gen good  21 Fair      60 Gen good
Max LVORI early       1            2            3            4
Max LVORI late        3            1            3            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Not
as cool. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 94 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 85 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
46 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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