Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 130819
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
319 AM EST SAT FEB 13 2016

.DISCUSSION...
ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN ALL WEEKEND. SEASONABLE
WEATHER WILL RETURN ON MONDAY WHILE RAIN CHANCES INCREASE
SHARPLY AND LAST INTO TUESDAY. SEASONABLE WEATHER WILL LAST FOR
THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK EXCEPT FOR A MINOR COOLDOWN THURSDAY.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT....NONE.

NCZ105>110-140030-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
319 AM EST SAT FEB 13 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLEAR        CLEAR        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          39           16           36
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NW 12 G22    N  8         N  7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NW 15 G21    N  9         NE  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
INVERSION             30/0800      NONE         NONE
MAX/MIN RH (%)        24           59           24
DSI                   3                         1
HAINES INDEX          5            5            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5470                      3650
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 25                     E  6
VENTILATION RATE      136750                    21900
ADI EARLY             85 GOOD      15 GEN POOR  46 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              85 GOOD      12 POOR      34 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            2            1
MAX LVORI LATE        1            2            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
80 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN AND
FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. WARMER. LOWS AROUND 50.
MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO
20 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM
RH 64 PERCENT. CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO
20 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 40. MAXIMUM RH
93 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
81 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
86 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-140030-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
319 AM EST SAT FEB 13 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLEAR        CLEAR        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          39           17           35
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NW 12 G20    N  8         NE  7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NW 14        N  9         NE  4
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
INVERSION             29/0800      NONE         NONE
MAX/MIN RH (%)        24           61           25
DSI                   3                         1
HAINES INDEX          5            5            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5640                      3700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 20                     E  7
VENTILATION RATE      112800                    25900
ADI EARLY             73 GOOD      13 GEN POOR  43 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              69 GOOD      12 POOR      26 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            2            1
MAX LVORI LATE        1            2            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH
84 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN AND
FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM
RH 61 PERCENT. CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
83 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
84 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-140030-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
319 AM EST SAT FEB 13 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          44           18           39
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)N 12 G20     N  8         NE 10
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) N 14 G20     NE 10        E  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
INVERSION             32/0800      NONE         NONE
MAX/MIN RH (%)        25           58           25
DSI                   2                         1
HAINES INDEX          5            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5320                      3610
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 20                     E  8
VENTILATION RATE      106400                    28880
ADI EARLY             67 GOOD      13 GEN POOR  37 FAIR
ADI LATE              67 GOOD      13 GEN POOR  27 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            2            1
MAX LVORI LATE        1            2            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
78 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN AND
FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. MAXIMUM RH 87 PERCENT. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
82 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
86 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-140030-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
319 AM EST SAT FEB 13 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          43           17           39
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)N 11         N  8         NE  8
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) N 12         NE  9        E  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
INVERSION             30/0800      NONE         NONE
MAX/MIN RH (%)        24           60           24
DSI                   3                         1
HAINES INDEX          5            5            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5580                      3980
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 17                     SE  9
VENTILATION RATE      94860                     35820
ADI EARLY             63 GOOD      12 POOR      41 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              63 GOOD      12 POOR      27 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            2            2
MAX LVORI LATE        1            2            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
78 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN AND
FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 89 PERCENT. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS
AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
83 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
84 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

40



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