Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 270750
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
350 AM EDT Sat May 27 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Increasingly hot temperatures are expected over the next few
days as high pressure over Florida moves slowly eastward.
By Tuesday the high should be far enough away to allow a weak cold
front to stall across the Carolinas. This front will linger
through Friday, enhancing the potential of scattered
thunderstorms.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...low.

NCZ105>110-280000-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
350 AM EDT Sat May 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            20           20
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            2            2
Min/Max Temp          91           69           91
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  5        SW  8 G26    W  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 12 G27    SW  7        SW  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration                    1            0
Inversion             78/1000      2000         75/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        39           93           48
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          5            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6510                      6490
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 17                     W 14
Ventilation rate      110670                    90860
ADI early             40 Fair      39 Fair      37 Fair
ADI late              53 Gen good  6 Very poor  59 Gen good
Max LVORI early       7            4            6
Max LVORI late        1            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 91 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 91 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-280000-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
350 AM EDT Sat May 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            30           30
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            3            3
Min/Max Temp          90           68           91
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  5        SW  7 G20    W  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 12 G23    SW  5        SW  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.05
Precip duration                    1            1
Inversion             78/1000      2000         75/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        38           93           46
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6560                      6230
Transport wnd (mph)   W 18                      W 15
Ventilation rate      118080                    93450
ADI early             45 Gen good  43 Gen good  23 Fair
ADI late              62 Good      5 Very poor  68 Good
Max LVORI early       7            3            6
Max LVORI late        1            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-280000-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
350 AM EDT Sat May 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          90           70           91
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  5        SW  8 G25    W  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 13 G29    SW  6        SW  8 G20
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             78/1000      2000         75/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        39           91           47
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          5            5            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6280                      6620
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 18                     W 16
Ventilation rate      113040                    105920
ADI early             42 Gen good  41 Gen good  44 Gen good
ADI late              56 Gen good  4 Very poor  74 Good
Max LVORI early       6            3            6
Max LVORI late        1            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 91 percent. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-280000-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
350 AM EDT Sat May 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            20           30
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            2            3
Min/Max Temp          91           69           92
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  5        SW  7 G20    W  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 12 G23    SW  5        W  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.03
Precip duration                    1            0
Inversion             79/1100      2000         75/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        37           91           46
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          5            5            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6350                      6660
Transport wnd (mph)   W 18                      W 16
Ventilation rate      114300                    106560
ADI early             46 Gen good  44 Gen good  28 Fair
ADI late              64 Good      4 Very poor  77 Good
Max LVORI early       7            3            6
Max LVORI late        1            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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