Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 101956
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
356 PM EDT THU JUL 10 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL STALL ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT AND BECOME ILL-
DEFINED BY THE WEEKEND AND THIS WILL RESULT IN SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL.
TYPICAL SUMMERTIME CONDITIONS WILL RETURN NEXT WEEK...WITH A
WARMING TREND DEVELOPING. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH ON
WEDNESDAY.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW TO MODERATE.

NCZ105>110-111200-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
356 PM EDT THU JUL 10 2014

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        70           60           40           40
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   4            4            4            3
MIN/MAX TEMP          74           86           71           88
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S  8         SW  4        S  3         LGT/VAR
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         0.47         0.25         0.15
PRECIP DURATION       5            6            4            2
INVERSION             2100         80/0900      2000         79/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        91           62           97           56
DSI                                2                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                4830                      4620
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  7                     E  6
VENTILATION RATE                   33810                     27720
ADI EARLY             75 GOOD      26 FAIR      15 GEN POOR  25 FAIR
ADI LATE              5 VERY POOR  26 FAIR      1 VERY POOR  24 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            6            5            8
MAX LVORI LATE        6            3            8            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-111200-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
356 PM EDT THU JUL 10 2014

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        80           60           30           40
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   5            4            4            3
MIN/MAX TEMP          72           87           71           91
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S  5         LGT/VAR      S  4         LGT/VAR
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR      SE  4        LGT/VAR      E  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.61         0.38         0.11         0.13
PRECIP DURATION       6            6            3            2
INVERSION             2100         78/0900      2000         78/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        99           59           100          48
DSI                                2                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                4370                      5800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  3                      E  5
VENTILATION RATE                   13110                     29000
ADI EARLY             78 GOOD      15 GEN POOR  14 GEN POOR  26 FAIR
ADI LATE              2 VERY POOR  16 GEN POOR  2 VERY POOR  29 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            9            6            10
MAX LVORI LATE        9            3            10           2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. NORTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-111200-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
356 PM EDT THU JUL 10 2014

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        80           60           30           40
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   5            4            4            3
MIN/MAX TEMP          73           89           71           90
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S  9         SW  4        SE  4        LGT/VAR
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         0.33         0.15         0.13
PRECIP DURATION       5            2            2            2
INVERSION             2100         80/0900      2000         79/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        95           59           99           54
DSI                                3                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                5310                      4890
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  5                      E  7
VENTILATION RATE                   26550                     34230
ADI EARLY             74 GOOD      21 FAIR      10 POOR      28 FAIR
ADI LATE              7 POOR       19 GEN POOR  3 VERY POOR  28 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            6            5            10
MAX LVORI LATE        6            3            10           2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-111200-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
356 PM EDT THU JUL 10 2014

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        80           60           30           40
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   5            3            3            3
MIN/MAX TEMP          71           91           71           92
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S  5         LGT/VAR      SE  3        LGT/VAR
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S  3         SE  3        SE  3        E  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.52         0.29         0.10         0.12
PRECIP DURATION       6            2            1            2
INVERSION             2100         78/0900      2000         78/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        100          53           100          46
DSI                                3                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                4840                      6160
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  5                      E  6
VENTILATION RATE                   24200                     36960
ADI EARLY             59 GEN GOOD  17 GEN POOR  10 POOR      30 FAIR
ADI LATE              3 VERY POOR  17 GEN POOR  3 VERY POOR  34 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            10           6            10
MAX LVORI LATE        10           2            10           2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

27




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