Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 242005
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
305 PM EST Sat Feb 24 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Warm weather will continue until a cold front arrives on Monday.
The front will be accompanied by showers and possibly an isolated
thunderstorm. Near normal temperatures are expected Tuesday and
Wednesday as high pressure builds in from the north. Another cold
front is expected late Thursday or on Friday.

Fog potential for tonight...High

NCZ105>110-251215-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
305 PM EST Sat Feb 24 2018

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        Cloudy
Precip chc (%)        20           40           70           80
Precip type           Showers      Showers      Showers      Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          59           83           61           69
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  7        SW 10        SW  8        W  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  7        SW 12        SW  5        LGT/VAR
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.13         0.27
Precip duration       0            1            6            7
Inversion             1800         67/0800      1900         65/0900
Dispersion            Good                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        100          55           99           75
DSI                                3                         1
Haines Index          4            3            3            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5920                      2490
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 30                     N 17
Ventilation rate                   177600                    42330
ADI early             11 poor      80 Good      15 Gen poor  35 Fair
ADI late              7 poor       92 Good      4 Very poor  48 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            8            6            9
Max LVORI late        8            2            9            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 87 percent. North winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
42 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
91 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 64 percent. East winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 82 percent. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 45 percent. North
winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-251215-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
305 PM EST Sat Feb 24 2018

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        Cloudy
Precip chc (%)        0            40           70           80
Precip type           None         Showers      Showers      Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          60           83           61           68
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  8         SW 10        SW  6        LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  8         SW 13        SW  3        LGT/VAR
Precip amount         0.00         0.02         0.15         0.29
Precip duration                    2            7            9
Inversion             1800         67/0800      1900         65/0900
Dispersion            Good                      Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        99           53           98           72
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          4            3            4            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6010                      2380
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 22                     NE 18
Ventilation rate                   132220                    42840
ADI early             11 poor      83 Good      16 Gen poor  44 Gen good
ADI late              8 poor       94 Good      3 Very poor  52 Gen good
Max LVORI early       5            8            6            9
Max LVORI late        8            1            8            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 83 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
38 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
90 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 62 percent. East winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Lows
in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 80 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 43 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-251215-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
305 PM EST Sat Feb 24 2018

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        Cloudy
Precip chc (%)        0            50           70           80
Precip type           None         Showers      Showers      Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          62           83           61           67
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  9         SW 12 G20    SW  6        NW  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  9         SW 14 G21    SW  3        N  3
Precip amount         0.00         0.03         0.17         0.30
Precip duration                    2            9            11
Inversion             1800         66/0800      1900         63/0900
Dispersion            Good                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        97           52           93           71
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          4            4            3            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5650                      2360
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 23                     NE 20
Ventilation rate                   129950                    47200
ADI early             18 Gen poor  78 Good      15 Gen poor  39 Fair
ADI late              10 poor      87 Good      2 Very poor  52 Gen good
Max LVORI early       4            6            5            6
Max LVORI late        6            1            7            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 84 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
37 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
87 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Lows
in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 50. Maximum RH 80 percent. West winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 42 percent. Northwest winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
78 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-251215-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
305 PM EST Sat Feb 24 2018

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        Cloudy
Precip chc (%)        0            40           50           80
Precip type           None         Showers      Showers      Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          59           83           61           70
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  8         SW 10        SW  7        W  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  8         SW 12        SW  4        W  4
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.12         0.30
Precip duration                    1            3            6
Inversion             1800         68/0800      1900         65/0900
Dispersion            Good                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        100          53           100          74
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          4            3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6310                      2570
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 18                     N 10
Ventilation rate                   113580                    25700
ADI early             11 poor      73 Good      15 Gen poor  21 Fair
ADI late              8 poor       74 Good      4 Very poor  34 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            8            6            9
Max LVORI late        8            2            9            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 89 percent. North winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 69 percent. East winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 83 percent. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
North winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-251215-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
305 PM EST Sat Feb 24 2018

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        Cloudy
Precip chc (%)        0            40           50           80
Precip type           None         Showers      Showers      Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          60           84           62           68
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  8         SW 10        SW  5        LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  8         SW 13 G20    SW  3        NW  3
Precip amount         0.00         0.02         0.14         0.32
Precip duration                    2            3            10
Inversion             1800         67/0800      1900         64/0900
Dispersion            Good                      Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        100          50           99           73
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          4            3            4            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6320                      2510
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 23                     N 10
Ventilation rate                   145360                    25100
ADI early             9 poor       76 Good      15 Gen poor  31 Fair
ADI late              9 poor       89 Good      3 Very poor  32 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            8            5            9
Max LVORI late        7            1            7            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 50. Maximum RH 86 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
40 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
93 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 63 percent. East winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Lows
in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 79 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 40 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
78 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-251215-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
305 PM EST Sat Feb 24 2018

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        Cloudy
Precip chc (%)        0            50           70           80
Precip type           None         Showers      Showers      Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          62           83           61           67
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  8         SW 11        SW  5        LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  9         SW 14 G20    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip amount         0.00         0.03         0.17         0.32
Precip duration                    2            9            11
Inversion             1800         66/0800      1900         62/0600
Dispersion            Good                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        97           51           94           71
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5850                      2580
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 23                     NE 16
Ventilation rate                   134550                    41280
ADI early             12 poor      74 Good      16 Gen poor  30 Fair
ADI late              9 poor       84 Good      2 Very poor  51 Gen good
Max LVORI early       4            7            5            6
Max LVORI late        6            1            7            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 84 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
38 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
88 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 65 percent. East winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Lows
in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 50. Maximum RH 79 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 41 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

III


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