Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
787 FNUS52 KILM 060640 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 240 AM EDT Mon May 6 2024 .DISCUSSION... Scattered showers and thunderstorms will today into Tue, peaking each afternoon and early evening. This due to the combination of several upper level disturbances, diurnal heating and the daily sea breeze. Dry high pressure will build overhead late Tue with well above normal temperatures Tue through Thu. A strong cold front will bring showers and thunderstorm late Thu into Fri followed by high pressure and cooler temps next weekend. Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Unfavorable Type 1-B...Direction SW...Maximum Wind 34 mph at 1400 ft. Fog potential for tonight is Moderate. NCZ105>110-062245- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover- Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 240 AM EDT Mon May 6 2024 Today Tonight Tue Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 30 30 40 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 3 3 Max/Min Temp 85 66 88 Min/Max RH (%) 57 98 55 Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 6 SW 7 G18 SW 7 Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 9 G18 SW 7 SW 9 G19 Precip Amount 0.13 0.04 0.03 Precip Duration 2 1 2 Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 73/0900 1900 71/0800 Dispersion Fair Haines Index 3 3 3 DSI 3 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4100 5700 Transport Wind (mph) SW 17 W 20 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 69700 114000 ADI Early 50 Gen Good 45 Gen Good 68 Good ADI Late 58 Gen Good 11 Poor 104 Very Good Max LVORI Early 6 5 5 Max LVORI Late 1 5 2 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 7 Turner Stability B D B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 93 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 78 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 86 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. $$ NCZ096-099-062245- Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 240 AM EDT Mon May 6 2024 Today Tonight Tue Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 60 50 50 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 3 3 Max/Min Temp 85 65 89 Min/Max RH (%) 56 100 52 Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 5 S 6 SW 6 Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 6 SW 6 SW 7 Precip Amount 0.15 0.10 0.03 Precip Duration 2 2 2 Precip Begin 8 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 70/0800 1900 68/0800 Dispersion Fair Haines Index 3 3 3 DSI 3 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4200 5900 Transport Wind (mph) SW 15 W 20 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 63000 118000 ADI Early 50 Gen Good 30 Fair 59 Gen Good ADI Late 56 Gen Good 10 Poor 119 Very Good Max LVORI Early 8 6 7 Max LVORI Late 1 7 2 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 4 Rain 7 7 Turner Stability B D B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 93 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 77 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ NCZ087-062245- Robeson- Including the city of Lumberton 240 AM EDT Mon May 6 2024 Today Tonight Tue Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 60 50 40 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 3 3 Max/Min Temp 85 66 89 Min/Max RH (%) 58 99 52 Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 6 S 7 SW 7 Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 7 SW 7 SW 9 G18 Precip Amount 0.11 0.19 0.02 Precip Duration 2 2 2 Precip Begin 12 PM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 71/0900 1900 68/0800 Dispersion Fair Haines Index 3 3 3 DSI 3 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4300 5600 Transport Wind (mph) SW 16 W 20 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 68800 112000 ADI Early 48 Gen Good 26 Fair 52 Gen Good ADI Late 58 Gen Good 13 Gen Poor 88 Good Max LVORI Early 8 6 6 Max LVORI Late 2 6 1 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 4 Rain 7 7 Turner Stability C C B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 90 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 53 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 75 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 85 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-062245- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 240 AM EDT Mon May 6 2024 Today Tonight Tue Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 40 40 30 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 3 3 Max/Min Temp 84 66 88 Min/Max RH (%) 59 100 54 Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 5 S 6 SW 6 Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 7 SW 6 SW 7 G18 Precip Amount 0.25 0.13 0.01 Precip Duration 2 1 2 Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 73/0900 1900 70/0800 Dispersion Fair Haines Index 3 3 3 DSI 2 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4200 6400 Transport Wind (mph) SW 14 W 18 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 58800 115200 ADI Early 53 Gen Good 25 Fair 68 Good ADI Late 48 Gen Good 10 Poor 121 Very Good Max LVORI Early 9 6 7 Max LVORI Late 3 7 1 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 5 Rain 7 7 Turner Stability B D B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 94 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 78 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 87 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ032-033-039-062245- Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 240 AM EDT Mon May 6 2024 Today Tonight Tue Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 60 50 30 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 3 3 Max/Min Temp 84 65 89 Min/Max RH (%) 59 100 51 Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 4 S 5 SW 5 Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 6 SW 5 SW 7 Precip Amount 0.23 0.13 0.01 Precip Duration 2 2 2 Precip Begin 12 PM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 72/0900 1900 68/0800 Dispersion Fair Haines Index 3 3 3 DSI 3 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4200 5900 Transport Wind (mph) SW 13 W 20 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 54600 118000 ADI Early 48 Gen Good 23 Fair 62 Good ADI Late 53 Gen Good 10 Poor 125 Very Good Max LVORI Early 9 7 7 Max LVORI Late 2 8 1 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 4 Rain 7 7 Turner Stability B D B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 93 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 78 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-062245- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon 240 AM EDT Mon May 6 2024 Today Tonight Tue Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 60 50 40 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 3 3 Max/Min Temp 84 65 89 Min/Max RH (%) 62 100 51 Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 5 S 6 SW 6 Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 7 SW 6 SW 8 Precip Amount 0.22 0.16 0.01 Precip Duration 2 2 2 Precip Begin 12 PM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 69/0800 1900 68/0800 Dispersion Fair Haines Index 3 3 4 DSI 3 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 3900 5900 Transport Wind (mph) SW 14 W 21 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 54600 123900 ADI Early 42 Gen Good 26 Fair 55 Gen Good ADI Late 55 Gen Good 12 Poor 123 Very Good Max LVORI Early 8 8 6 Max LVORI Late 3 8 2 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 4 Rain 7 7 Turner Stability B D B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 90 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 79 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures below normal. Precipitation near normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759 0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$ Forecaster...dch